Announcement

**Udog** · 12-17-2015, 09:43 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

According to ESPN.com, six of the biggest strength of schedule mismatches in the bowl games that start this weekend.........

-- Southern Miss vs Washington (#21 SOS)-- USM was 4-32 last three years.

-- Air Force vs California (#7 SOS)-- Golden Bears in first bowl in four years.

-- Marshall vs UConn (#69 SOS)-- Huskies are 3-2 all-time in bowl games.

-- Wisconsin vs USC (#3 SOS)-- How did Badgers play the #70-ranked schedule?

-- Central Michigan vs Minnesota (#25 SOS)-- Gophers have a new coach.

-- Arizona (#50 SOS) @ New Mexico-- Lobos are playing on their home field.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Golden State is obviously best NBA team right now, but 3-4 years ago, when I was at the Las Vegas Summer League, it was striking that the Warriors had way more fans than any other team. I remember telling a friend of mine that if you didn't know, you would assume the Warriors were the best team in the NBA because of their big following, but at the time, they were nowhere near that. Strong, loyal fanbase.

12) Lebron James is making $22,970,580 this year; Kevin Love $19,689,000. Just seems a little weird; is Lebron underpaid or Love overpaid? Or both?

11) Bartolo Colon bags a $7.25M deal with the Mets for next year; not even sure if Colon will be in the rotation once Zack Wheeler comes back next summer.

10) Navy football coach Ken Niumatalolo turned BYU down, will stay with Navy next season. You wonder if BYU being an independent hurts them as they try and get a new coach? Cougars aren't on national TV every week like Notre Dame.

9) UNLV has made a 3-pointer in 952 straight games, which is every game they've played since the 3-point shot came into college ball 30 years ago.

8) White Sox acquired 3B Todd Frazier from the Reds in a 3-team deal with Reds and Dodgers; scouts were criticial of the return Cincinnati got back, while thinking that the Dodgers are trying to stockpile young talent to make a run at Jose Fernandez in a potential trade with the Marlins.

7) NHL ratings are up 12% this year on NBC Sports Network telecasts.

6) There have been 24 head coaching changes in college football this year; 11 of the 24 teams are playing in bowls. Bowling Green-Georgia Southern is a bowl where both teams have had really good seasons but both head coaches are gone already.

5) If a team plays badly in a mid or lesser-level bowl game, does that automatically mean "They didn't want to be there"? You hear guys on TV say this all the time, but sometimes team play badly in big games too and you know everyone wanted to be in that game. I'm thinking coaching turnover might have more to do with preparation for a bowl game. Players tend to enjoy games no matter when/where they are.

4) UCLA offensive coordinator Noel Mazzone was hospitalized this week with a blood clot in his lung. Bruins play Nebraska in a bowl game next week, so obviously their prep for that game has been disrupted. Get well soon, coach.

3) Texas A&M has QB issues; Kyle Allen is transferring and Kyler Murray missed practice Wednesday, amidst rumors that he will be gone too, but it was reported last night that Murray will be back practicing Thursday and will start the Aggies' bowl game on December 30 against Louisville.

2) Ryan Mallett signed on with QB-starved Ravens; Houston cut him after he acted like a 10-year old when Brian Hoyer was named starter, then later missed a team flight. It says a lot that it took him so long to latch on with another team.

1) Los Angeles Angels have been in top 10 in salary the last 12 years, but missed the playoffs five of last six years. They won a World Series under Mike Scioscia, but it was in 2002. In lot of places, Scioscia would have another job by now.

**Udog** · 12-17-2015, 09:47 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, December 17

Marshall @ West Virginia

Game 707-708
December 17, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
51.297
West Virginia
77.679
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 26 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 20 1/2
164
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-20 1/2); Under

Cal Poly @ Southern California

Game 709-710
December 17, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cal Poly
53.568
Southern Californ
68.615
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Californ
by 15
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Californ
by 9 1/2
151
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Californ
(-9 1/2); Under

Belmont @ Middle Tennessee

Game 711-712
December 17, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Belmont
61.473
Middle Tennessee
58.123
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Belmont
by 3 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 2
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Belmont
(+2); Over

South Dakota @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Game 713-714
December 17, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota
52.182
Wisconsin-Milwauk
58.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin-Milwauk
by 6 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin-Milwauk
by 9
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Dakota
(+9); Over

Morehead State @ Eastern Washington

Game 715-716
December 17, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead State
50.680
Eastern Washingto
50.380
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Washingto
by 1
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Morehead State
by 3
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Washingto
(+3); Under

Northridge @ Portland State

Game 717-718
December 17, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northridge
44.208
Portland State
46.753
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland State
by 2 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland State
by 5 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northridge
(+5 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 12-17-2015, 09:51 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARSHALL (3 - 6) vs. W VIRGINIA (8 - 1) - 12/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 207-258 ATS (-76.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
MARSHALL is 207-258 ATS (-76.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
MARSHALL is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 40-64 ATS (-30.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
W VIRGINIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 113-84 ATS (+20.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
W VIRGINIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAL POLY-SLO (5 - 4) at USC (8 - 2) - 12/17/2015, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BELMONT (7 - 4) at MIDDLE TENN ST (6 - 2) - 12/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus BELMONT over the last 3 seasons
BELMONT is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S DAKOTA (6 - 4) at WI-MILWAUKEE (8 - 3) - 12/17/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S DAKOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
S DAKOTA is 1-0 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOREHEAD ST (5 - 3) at E WASHINGTON (5 - 6) - 12/17/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MOREHEAD ST is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
E WASHINGTON is 31-56 ATS (-30.6 Units) in December games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CS-NORTHRIDGE (2 - 7) at PORTLAND ST (3 - 5) - 12/17/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND ST is 1-0 against the spread versus CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND ST is 1-0 straight up against CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-17-2015, 09:55 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 17

West Virginia forces turnovers 31% of time, #1 in country; they won last four games with Marshall, last three by 10 or less points. WVU is 4-0 vs teams outside top 200, with 33 points closest of the four, but this game is Marshall's Super Bowl. Thundering Herd is #114 at protecting the ball, not bad, but they shoot 29% on arc, 63.1% on line. Big X favorites are 21-16 vs spread; C-USA underdogs are 23-40.

USC is 8-2 with wins by 12-35 over UCSB/Northridge of Big West; they allowed 58 ppg in winning last three games, by 12-19-12 points. Cal Poly is 3-4 vs D-I teams, with three losses by 5 or less points- they lost by 5 at UCLA. Mustangs lost by 30 at St Mary's Monday. Pac-12 teams are 10-1 SU (7-4 vs spread) vs Big West teams this year. Big West road dogs are 13-11 vs spread. Pac-12 home favorites are 31-18.

Belmont won its last three games with Middle Tennessee St by 4-12-15 points; Bruins are 6-4 vs schedule #64; they shoot 65.7% inside arc, #1 in country. Blue Raiders lost by 6 to VCU in its only top 100 game; they shoot 38.7% from arc, only 60.9% on foul line. C-USA home favorites are 10-9 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 21-20. C-USA teams are 6-4 SU vs OVC this year, 2-4 vs spread when favored.

Milwaukee won its last three games with win at Wisconsin; Panthers got crushed 84-60 at South Dakota LY- Coyotes made 7-15 on arc. W-Mil won by 13 in its only D-I home game. South Dakota won at Minnesota in double OT then lost at home to Bakersfield; Coyotes are shooting 39.4% on arc. Horizon home favorites are 4-7 vs spread; Summit League road dogs are 20-15.

Eastern Washington is 3-6 vs schedule #111, with one D-I home win, by 6 over Seattle; Eagles just went 0-3 on eastern swing that ended Monday with 97-80 loss at Western Carolina. Morehead State is 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, losing by 8-24-15 points; Eagles turn ball over 23.6% of time despite playing pace #326- they're 1-3 on road, with 60-46 win at Saint Louis the only win. Big Sky home underdogs are 6-5 vs spread.

Big West teams are 3-2 SU vs Big Sky this year; underdogs covered four of the five games. Portland State forced 18 turnovers, made 7-14 on arc in 63-55 win at Northridge LY (led by 19 with 9:40 left). Vikings allowed 81 ppg in losing last three games- they lost by 6 to Portland in only D-I home games. Northridge is 1-7 vs schedule #55; they turn ball over 22.5% of time, playing pace #209.

**Udog** · 12-17-2015, 10:01 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, December 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:30 PM
ST. THOMAS (TX) vs. RICE
No trends available
Rice is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Rice is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Thomas (TX)

12:30 PM
MISS VALLEY STATE vs. NORTH TEXAS
No trends available
North Texas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
North Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
HAMPTON vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
No trends available
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
BELMONT vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
JACKSON STATE vs. OHIO
No trends available
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
LIBERTY vs. PRINCETON
No trends available
Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Princeton is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

7:00 PM
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN vs. WRIGHT STATE
No trends available
Wright State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
Wright State is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games

7:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. WEST VIRGINIA
No trends available
West Virginia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
West Virginia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Marshall

8:00 PM
NORFOLK STATE vs. EVANSVILLE
No trends available
Evansville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Evansville is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games

8:00 PM
PAINE vs. TROY
No trends available
Troy is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Troy is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home

8:00 PM
SOUTH DAKOTA vs. WISC-MILWAUKEE
No trends available
Wisc-Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Wisc-Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
LIPSCOMB vs. TENNESSEE STATE
No trends available
Tennessee State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
VALLEY CITY vs. NORTH DAKOTA
No trends available
North Dakota is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
North Dakota is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games

9:00 PM
MARYVILLE vs. BRADLEY
No trends available
Bradley is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Bradley is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:05 PM
MOREHEAD STATE vs. EASTERN WASHINGTON
Morehead State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Eastern Washington is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
Eastern Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
CAL POLY vs. USC
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cal Poly's last 5 games on the road
Cal Poly is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
USC is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of USC's last 7 games

10:05 PM
CS NORTHRIDGE vs. PORTLAND STATE
CS Northridge is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
CS Northridge is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Portland State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Portland State is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

11:00 PM
NORTHWEST INDIAN vs. SEATTLE
No trends available
Seattle is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Seattle is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-17-2015, 12:58 PM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 17

Marshall at West Virginia, 7:00 ET
Marshall: 24-47 ATS after a win by 15 points or more
W Virginia: 21-7 ATS after a blowout win by 30 points or more

Cal Poly Slo at USC, 10:00 ET
Cal Poly Slo: 7-20 ATS after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers
USC: 6-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite

Belmont at Middle Tenn State, 7:00 ET
Belmont: 6-0 OVER as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick
Midd Tenn St: 10-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home underdog

South Dakota at Wisc Milwaukee, 8:00 ET
S Dakota: 12-2 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3
Wisc Milwaukee: 9-21 ATS after playing a road game

Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/17

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/17

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment