Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/17

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, December 17

Good Luck on day #351 of 2015!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

According to ESPN.com, six of the biggest strength of schedule mismatches in the bowl games that start this weekend.........

-- Southern Miss vs Washington (#21 SOS)-- USM was 4-32 last three years.

-- Air Force vs California (#7 SOS)-- Golden Bears in first bowl in four years.

-- Marshall vs UConn (#69 SOS)-- Huskies are 3-2 all-time in bowl games.

-- Wisconsin vs USC (#3 SOS)-- How did Badgers play the #70-ranked schedule?

-- Central Michigan vs Minnesota (#25 SOS)-- Gophers have a new coach.

-- Arizona (#50 SOS) @ New Mexico-- Lobos are playing on their home field.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Golden State is obviously best NBA team right now, but 3-4 years ago, when I was at the Las Vegas Summer League, it was striking that the Warriors had way more fans than any other team. I remember telling a friend of mine that if you didn't know, you would assume the Warriors were the best team in the NBA because of their big following, but at the time, they were nowhere near that. Strong, loyal fanbase.

12) Lebron James is making $22,970,580 this year; Kevin Love $19,689,000. Just seems a little weird; is Lebron underpaid or Love overpaid? Or both?

11) Bartolo Colon bags a $7.25M deal with the Mets for next year; not even sure if Colon will be in the rotation once Zack Wheeler comes back next summer.

10) Navy football coach Ken Niumatalolo turned BYU down, will stay with Navy next season. You wonder if BYU being an independent hurts them as they try and get a new coach? Cougars aren't on national TV every week like Notre Dame.

9) UNLV has made a 3-pointer in 952 straight games, which is every game they've played since the 3-point shot came into college ball 30 years ago.

8) White Sox acquired 3B Todd Frazier from the Reds in a 3-team deal with Reds and Dodgers; scouts were criticial of the return Cincinnati got back, while thinking that the Dodgers are trying to stockpile young talent to make a run at Jose Fernandez in a potential trade with the Marlins.

7) NHL ratings are up 12% this year on NBC Sports Network telecasts.

6) There have been 24 head coaching changes in college football this year; 11 of the 24 teams are playing in bowls. Bowling Green-Georgia Southern is a bowl where both teams have had really good seasons but both head coaches are gone already.

5) If a team plays badly in a mid or lesser-level bowl game, does that automatically mean "They didn't want to be there"? You hear guys on TV say this all the time, but sometimes team play badly in big games too and you know everyone wanted to be in that game. I'm thinking coaching turnover might have more to do with preparation for a bowl game. Players tend to enjoy games no matter when/where they are.

4) UCLA offensive coordinator Noel Mazzone was hospitalized this week with a blood clot in his lung. Bruins play Nebraska in a bowl game next week, so obviously their prep for that game has been disrupted. Get well soon, coach.

3) Texas A&M has QB issues; Kyle Allen is transferring and Kyler Murray missed practice Wednesday, amidst rumors that he will be gone too, but it was reported last night that Murray will be back practicing Thursday and will start the Aggies' bowl game on December 30 against Louisville.

2) Ryan Mallett signed on with QB-starved Ravens; Houston cut him after he acted like a 10-year old when Brian Hoyer was named starter, then later missed a team flight. It says a lot that it took him so long to latch on with another team.

1) Los Angeles Angels have been in top 10 in salary the last 12 years, but missed the playoffs five of last six years. They won a World Series under Mike Scioscia, but it was in 2002. In lot of places, Scioscia would have another job by now.

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 17

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TORONTO (16 - 10) at CHARLOTTE (14 - 10) - 12/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (17 - 8) at CLEVELAND (16 - 7) - 12/17/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (12 - 14) at LA LAKERS (4 - 21) - 12/17/2015, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 126-82 ATS (+35.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
HOUSTON is 120-83 ATS (+28.7 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 139-180 ATS (-59.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 17

Hot teams
-- Raptors, Hornets both won four of last five games (Toronto 6-2 AU, Charlotte 4-4HF).
-- Oklahoma City won its last five games (1-1-1AU). Cavaliers won last three games, by 5-35-12 points (3-6 last nine HF).

Cold teams
-- Houston lost three of last four on road (2-3AF). Lakers lost six of their last seven games (2-3HU).

Series records
-- Raptors won their last two games with Charlotte, after losing previous six games with the Hornets.
-- Cavaliers-Thunder split their last ten games.
-- Lakers lost six of their last seven games with Houston.

Totals
-- Four of last five Toronto games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Cavalier-Thunder games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Laker games went over the total.

Back/backs
-- Charlotte is 2-1SU (0-3 vs spread) if it played night before.




NBA

Thursday, December 17

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Toronto

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Oklahoma City is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games at home

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games
LA Lakers are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 17


Toronto @ Charlotte

Game 701-702
December 17, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
119.467
Charlotte
126.506
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 6
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1
196
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+1); Under

Oklahoma City @ Cleveland

Game 703-704
December 17, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
126.193
Cleveland
124.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+3 1/2); Under

Houston @ LA Lakers

Game 705-706
December 17, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
115.617
LA Lakers
107.556
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 8
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6
213
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 17

Toronto at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Toronto: 29-15 ATS in road games
Charlotte: 1-9 ATS in home games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more

Oklahoma City at Cleveland, 8:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 15-4 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite
Cleveland: 0-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins

Houston at LA Lakeers, 10:35 ET
Houston: 93-58 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses
Los Angeles: 1-10 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 17

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOR at CHA 07:00 PM

CHA +2.5 DOUBLE PLAY

O 194.0 DOUBLE PLAY


OKC at CLE 08:00 PM

OKC +3.0 TRIPLE PLAY

O 203.5 TRIPLE PLAY


HOU at LAL 10:30 PM

HOU -6.0 *****

O 215.0 *****