Announcement

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 08:18 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Milwaukee 68, Wisconsin 67-- Panthers ended 22-game series losing streak.

-- Dayton 72, Vanderbilt 67-- Flyers building a solid at-large resume.

-- Grizzlies 93, Pistons 92-- Matt Barnes stuck half-court shot with 0:01.1 left.

-- Pirates traded 2B Neil Walker to the Mets for P Jon Niese.

-- Mets signed SS Asdrubal Cabrera, have new DP combo with Walker.

-- A's traded 3B Brett Lawrie to White Sox for couple of pitching prospects.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Why is Steph Curry such a great shooter? He works his ass off, thats why. He says he makes between 200-350 shots every day during the season and probably a lot more in the offseason. He once made 77 3-pointers in a row at a practice. You aren't born that way; if more players practiced this much, they'd shoot a lot better.

12) Cool trivia; Don Sutton is in baseball's Hall of Fame; his career record in the majors was 324-256. Turns out he lost one game in high school; the opposing pitcher in his one loss was Kenny Stabler, the great Raiders' quarterback.

11) I was in a deli for a sandwich earlier this week; guy at the register has the biggest arms I've ever seen, like one of the WWE wrestlers on TV. Turns out the guy is a pro bodybuilder but apparently there isn't a whole lot of money in that. Go figure.

10) Orioles offered Chris Davis a 7-year deal for $150M; how on God's green earth does he turn that down? Apparently Davis wants eight years, $200M. Granted, he hit 47 HRs with 117 RBI LY but that was playing half his games in Baltimore's closet of a ballpark. His numbers would go down most anywhere else. Just take the money.

9) Heisman Trophy is one of the most overrated things on earth; in what other sport is the Player of the Year award talked about so much?

8) Five years ago, Conference USA was the #8 basketball league in America; now, it is the #22 league, as the football maneuvering has crippled the basketball part. The mid-major leagues that are basketball-only have mostly all passed by C-USA.

7) Was pretty cool seeing Ray Allen, Richard Hamilton at courtside Tuesday nite watching UConn playing Maryland at Madison Square Garden. Those guys made ton of money playing in the NBA, but still took out time to cheer on the alma mater.

6) Paris Hotel is Las Vegas is getting a 10,000 square foot beer garden above Hexx restaurant that will seat up to 500 people. One thing about Las Vegas is places are always being improved/added. If you like to eat/drink, Vegas is where to go.

5) I think the NFL makes a mistake fining players for celebration penalties; I don't think it is a deterrent. My suggestion is to still throw flags for celebrations but get rid of the fines- it gives the media too easy a chance to rip the league ("No Fun League"). Let the players act out after they score TDs, let the coaches police things after player gets a penalty for being a selfish human.

4) If the Browns fire Mike Pettine this winter, they'll have their sixth head coach in nine years next season- this is no way to run a business, especially one worth close to $1B, thats billion with a B. Hire a coach, give him five years to run his program and recruit free agents-- things couldn't be worse than they are in Cleveland right now.

3) SMU has a good basketball team; they pounded Michigan by 24 the other night, but the Mustangs aren't going to the postseason this year because they committed academic fraud. Larry Brown was out of college coaching for 25 years, mostly because he put his last school (Kansas) on probation too. Hmmm....

2) Not only does Big X play a 9-game conference football schedule, now they're going to have to play at least one other Power 5 game every year. My guess is the phones at Vanderbilt, Purdue and Wake Forest are going to be ringing off the hook soon, since they're the perennial doormats in the other Power 5 leagues. .

1) I'm genuinely concerned that if Donald Trump became President, we would have a civil war in this country; you can't have a leader who openly insults more than half the citizens. Part of me thinks he is saying outrageous stuff on purpose so he will lose, but no matter what he does, he doesn't drop in the polls. Weird thing.

No matter what, some day all this is going to make one hell of a movie.

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 08:19 AM

Three college football bowl bets you shouldn't wait on

Utah currently stands as a 2.5-point favorite over BYU and most books still have that line. But a few have gone to -3 already.

Las Vegas Bowl: Utah Utes (-2.5) vs. BYU Cougars

Utah currently stands as a 2.5-point favorite over BYU and most books still have that line. But a few have gone to -3 already. I expect this line to hit the key number of three at the majority of sportsbooks, so shrewd bettors should jump on this game now.

Brigham Young is losing head coach Bronco Mendenhall to Virginia, but he will coach the Cougars in this game. However, that's a tricky situation, especially for the players who will be returning to BYU next season. They may tune Mendenhall out, and the distraction is enough to make BYU a fragile team. Utah has no such issues, and they'll come with their best effort against an in-state rival. Bettors should play this game now and take the best of the number.

New Mexico Bowl: New Mexico Lobos (+10) vs. Arizona Wildcats

This line briefly came out with Arizona as a -12.5 to -13 point favorite over New Mexico, but it quickly settled on the current line of -10. This line should eventually tick down below the key number of 10 at some point, so bettors should get on this game now.

New Mexico is essentially playing a home game. The Lobos went 5-2 SU at home this season with one of those losses only coming by seven points. Arizona went 2-4 SU on the road with one of its wins coming by seven points. The Wildcats went 1-4 SU down the stretch while the Lobos went 3-2 SU over their last five games. Take New Mexico now before the line goes lower.

Hawaii Bowl: Cincinnati Bearcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs (N/A)

Cincinnati and San Diego State are complete opposites. The Bearcats have a potent offense and a terrible defense. Cincinnati likes to throw the ball a lot. They average 373 passing yards per game. The Aztecs run the ball essentially on every play, averaging 48 rushing attempts per game while running for 235 yards per game.

This total, which has yet to hit the board, will be a difficult one for the oddsmakers to set because of the opposite styles of play. Cincinnati is currently a 1.5-point favorite over San Diego State. That indicates that this total may be shaded to the Over just a bit. Cincinnati to the Over and San Diego State to the Under are correlated in this game.

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 08:24 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 10

Hot teams
-- Brooklyn covered 11 of last 14 games (3-2 last five SU).
-- Hawks won three of their last four games (3-2AU). Thunder won six of their last eight games (1-6 last seven HF).
-- Clippers won six of their last seven games (1-0AU).

Cold teams
-- 1-21 Philly failed to cover its last three games.
-- Chicago lost its last three games (1-9HF).
-- Knicks lost seven of their last nine games (6-4AU, 0-3 last three) Sacramento lost five of its last seven games (4-1HF).

Series records
-- 76ers lost seven of last nine games with Brooklyn.
-- Thunder won four of last six games with Atlanta.
-- Clippers won five of last six games with Chicago.
-- Kings won three of last four games with New York.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Philly games stayed under total.
-- Last four Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Clipper games went over the total.
-- Last four New York games went over the total.

NBA

Thursday, December 10

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the LA Clippers last 12 games when playing on the road against Chicago
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Atlanta is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Oklahoma City is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games

10:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. SACRAMENTO
New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Sacramento is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against New York

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**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 08:47 AM

NBA

Thursday, December 10

NBA roundup: Harden's 42 lead Rockets to win

WASHINGTON -- Rockets guard James Harden scored 42 points and outdueled Wizards guard John Wall as Houston outlasted Washington for a 109-103 win Wednesday night.

One night after scoring a season-low 10 points in a 110-105 loss at the Brooklyn Nets, Harden recorded his eighth game this season with at least 30 points. He made five 3-pointers and 11 of 12 free throws while contributing nine rebounds and seven assists as Houston won for the fourth time in five games.

Wall compiled 26 points, 12 assists and nine rebounds, but the Wizards couldn't keep up in the final minutes.

Harden's three-point play with 2:13 remaining broke a 99-99 tie. After each team traded baskets, Wall's turnover led to forward Corey Brewer's fast-break layup for a 106-101 lead with 40.8 seconds left.

Celtics 105, Bulls 100

BOSTON -- A 10-0 run early in the fourth quarter helped Boston pull out a win over Chicago.

The Bulls, losing despite a career-high 36 points from guard Jimmy Butler, closed within three with three minutes left, but five straight points by Boston's Isaiah Thomas brought the lead back to eight. The Bulls got as close as four but no closer.

Thomas, scoreless in the first half, finished with 20 points, five assists and five rebounds to lead eight Celtics in double figures. Chicago's Pau Gasol had 16 points and 15 rebounds.

Grizzlies 93, Pistons 92

AUBURN HILLS, Mich. -- Matt Barnes drained a 31-foot shot with 1.1 seconds remaining to give Memphis a victory over Detroit.

Barnes scored in transition for the Grizzlies, who had trailed throughout the second half. He finished with eight points and 11 rebounds.

Zach Randolph led Memphis with 21 points and 16 rebounds. Center Marc Gasol contributed 19 points and 12 rebounds after sustaining left foot and ankle sprains against Oklahoma City on Tuesday. Detroit's Andre Drummond had 18 points and 19 rebounds.

Raptors 97, Spurs 94

TORONTO -- DeMar DeRozan scored 28 points and added six assists as Toronto defeated San Antonio.

In winning their second game in a row, the Raptors ended the Spurs' four-game winning streak.

The Raptors led all the way and had a seven-point advantage at the half and led by as many as 13 points. Kyle Lowry scored 19 points and added eight assists for Toronto. Manu Ginobili led San Antonio with 17 points.

Clippers 109, Bucks 95

MILWAUKEE -- J.J. Redick made six 3-pointers and scored 31 points, leading Los Angeles past Milwaukee.

Blake Griffin had 21 points to go along with 14 rebounds for the Clippers, while DeAndre Jordan grabbed 19 rebounds to go along with nine points. Chris Paul finished with 18 points and 18 assists.

Michael Carter-Williams came off the bench to score 20 points and hand out 11 assists for Milwaukee. Greg Monroe finished with 16 points and 10 rebounds.

Timberwolves 123, Lakers 122 (OT)

MINNEAPOLIS -- Kevin Martin scored a game-high 37 points, leading Minnesota to an overtime win over Los Angeles.

Martin scored 17 points in the fourth quarter alone, making four 3-point field goals, helping the Wolves erase a five-point deficit with under 10 minutes to play.

The win snapped a four-game losing streak for the Timberwolves, while the Lakers lost their fourth consecutive game. Minnesota rookie Karl-Anthony Towns finished with 26 points and grabbed 14 rebounds. D'Angelo Russell paced the Lakers with 23 points.

Hornets 99, Heat 81

CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- Marvin Williams and Kemba Walker scored 18 points apiece, and Nicolas Batum had his first triple-double of the season as Charlotte blasted Miami.

The Hornets dominated throughout, leading by as many as 22 points in the first half and extending the lead to 30 in the second half.

Guard Tyler Johnson led the Heat with 20 points off the bench, including 15 in the fourth quarter.

Jazz 106, Knicks 85

SALT LAKE CITY -- Gordon Hayward personally outscored New York 13-11 in the first quarter and finished with a game-high 24 points as Utah cruised to a win.

Hayward hit nine of 14 shots and also contributed five assists and four rebounds in 27 minutes.

Carmelo Anthony scored 12 points on 3-of-11 shooting as the Knicks lost their third straight.

Suns 107, Magic 104

PHOENIX -- Alex Len scored a career-high 20 points and tied a career best with 14 rebounds as Phoenix held off Orlando.

Brandon Knight and Eric Bledsoe added 21 points each for the Suns, who won back-to-back games for the first time since Nov. 14-16. Phoenix is now 7-0 against teams playing the second of back-to-back games. The Magic beat the Nuggets in Denver on Tuesday.

Nikola Vucevic had 21 points and 11 rebounds for the Magic, who had won six of the seven games.

Hawks 98, Mavericks 95

DALLAS -- Atlanta won consecutive games for the first time in more than a month, slipping past Dallas.

Paul Millsap scored 20 and grabbed 11 rebounds to lead another typical balanced attack by Atlanta. Four other Hawks scored in double figures.

Dallas had a chance in the final seconds but could only manage a long desperation 3-point attempt from Deron Williams that didn't have a chance. Williams led the Mavericks with 18 points and six assists.

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 09:37 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 10

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 21) at BROOKLYN (6 - 15) - 12/10/2015, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (14 - 9) at OKLAHOMA CITY (13 - 8) - 12/10/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 144-105 ATS (+28.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
ATLANTA is 66-51 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (13 - 9) at CHICAGO (11 - 8) - 12/10/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1996.
CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 114-154 ATS (-55.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (10 - 13) at SACRAMENTO (8 - 15) - 12/10/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 42-58 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 09:39 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 10

Philadelphia @ Brooklyn

Game 501-502
December 10, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
109.219
Brooklyn
114.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 5
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 7
196 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+7); Under

Atlanta @ Oklahoma City

Game 503-504
December 10, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
117.621
Oklahoma City
127.601
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7
212
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-7); Under

LA Clippers @ Chicago

Game 505-506
December 10, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
120.484
Chicago
122.982
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
Pick
200
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
Over

New York @ Sacramento

Game 507-508
December 10, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
114.169
Sacramento
117.693
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 3 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 6
207
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+6); Over

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 11:16 AM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 10

Philadelphia at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Philadelphia: 58-35 ATS in road games off a home loss by 10 points or more
Brooklyn: 74-109 ATS at home after a combined score of 205 points or more

Atlanta at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
Atlanta: 18-8 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins
Oklahoma City: 7-0 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins

LA Clippers at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Los Angeles: 33-21 OVER in road games
Chicago: 1-8 ATS as a home favorite

NY Knicks at Sacramento, 10:35 ET
New York: 79-54 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5
Sacramento: 23-38 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/10

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/10

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