Announcement

**Udog** · 12-09-2015, 08:30 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Ben Zobrist signs with the Cubs for four years, $56M, reuniting him with his old Tampa Bay manager Joe Maddon.

-- Cubs then shipped Starlin Castro to the Bronx for Adam Warren, Brendan Ryan.

-- Diamondbacks are serious; they acquired Shelby Miller from Atlanta, giving the Braves Ender Inciarte, Dansby Swanson, #1 pick in LY's draft, in 5-player deal.

-- South Dakota State 84, Minnesota 70-- Jackrabbits get a solid road win.

-- Broncos worked out 17 players Tuesday, including nine DBs; teams that win are sharp on maintaining their depth to replace injured players.

-- Jay Cutler's brother-in-law has been missing for 12 days; police in Utah are still looking for him.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Tell your statistics to shut up.......

I like numbers, think they can explain a lot, but not everything; some people don't like them as much, but there's enough room in this world for all kinds of ideas.

NFL moved kickoffs up to create more touchbacks, since most injuries were occurring on kick returns; as a result, more drives start 80+ yards from the end zone. Defenses and special teams that create short fields help teams win, but which offenses are best at driving the ball 80+ yards?

13) There are six NFL teams averaging 2.00+ ppp on drives starting 80+ yards from goal line (you lose points for defensive TDs/safeties allowed):

Cardinals/Steelers 2.28, Bengals 2.15, Raiders 2.13, Chiefs 2.08, Patriots 2.07.

12) Rams have started 80 drives 80+ yards from end zone, scored only 71 points on those drives; they're only NFL team averaging under 1.00 ppp in that scenario.

11) Other teams that struggle scoring on long (80-yard+) TD drives:

Rams 0.89, Browns 1.03, 49ers 1.19, Panthers 1.26-- Carolina has 10 drives of less than 60 yards and five defensive TDs, lightening the load on its offense. .

10) Chargers have started 92 drives 80+ yards from goal line, seven more than any other team (Saints), 12 more than any of the other teams. Hard to win when you're playing on a longer field than your opponent.

9) Patriots lead NFL with 15 TDs on drives of less than 60 yards, but they haven't scored a TD on defense or special teams this year- they gave up three on Sunday.

Bowl matchups were announced this week; some numbers on how conferences have done in recent bowl games.......
8) Big 14 teams have been an underdog in 27 of last 33 bowl games, going 13-20 SU in those games (14-17-2 vs spread).

7) SEC teams were favored in 32 of last 38 bowl games, going 25-13 SU, 23-14-1 vs spread, 5-1 in few games when they were an underdog.

6) Surprisingly good bowl league: Conference USA, which is 15-7 SU in bowls last four years, 12-8 vs spread (9-3 when favored).

5) ACC teams are 13-19 SU in their last 32 bowls, 3-8 vs spread when favored.

4) Big X games are famous for being high-scoring, but over last four years, bowl games involving Big X teams have seen 18 go under total, only ten go over.

Elsewhere in the world of numbers.........
3) Chicago White Sox used a lefty starting pitcher in 119 games LY, third-most by any team over the last 100 years.

2) Summit League is a mid-major basketball league that has teams like South Dakota State, North Dakota State, Oral Roberts, Denver; heading into Tuesday's games, teams from Summit League were 39-19 against the spread this year, pretty damn good.

1) Golden State Warriors are now 23-0 this season; they're 16-7 against the spread, 9-3 as a road favorite- their last seven games went over the total.

**Udog** · 12-09-2015, 08:30 AM

Sharp bettors are drooling over these can't-miss spot bet opportunities

Going back to last season, the Niners are 1-5 ATS in their last six games coming off an outright win.

Lookahead spot

The Chicago Bulls have busy week. They lost at home to Phoenix Monday night and have Tuesday to stew on that disappointment before visiting Boston Wednesday. That is shaping up as a possible lookahead spot, with Chicago returning to the United Center the next night to host the Los Angeles Clippers Thursday.

The Celtics are in fine form, going 3-2 on their recent five-game road trip with wins in three of the last four games while covering the spread in each of those contests. This will be Boston’s first game back home since Nov. 27. Chicago, looking past the Celtics to the Clippers, is just 6-8 ATS in non-divisional matchups this season.

Letdown spot

Wins are few and far between for the San Francisco 49ers, who caught Chicago in a letdown spot in Week 13 with a 17-16 road win as 6-point underdogs at Soldier Field. Now the tables have turned on the Niners, who are in danger of falling to the same fate visiting the Cleveland Browns in Week 14 as 1.5-point road dogs.

San Francisco has followed its three previous victories with crushing losses. The 49ers beat Minnesota in Week 1, then lost 43-18 to Pittsburgh in Week 2. They knocked off Baltimore in Week 6, then got dumped 20-3 by Seattle in Week 7. And most recently, San Francisco defeated Atlanta 17-16 in Week 9 and – despite a bye week to prepare – lost 29-13 to the Seahawks in Week 11. Going back to last season, the Niners are 1-5 ATS in their last six games coming off an outright win.

Schedule spot

The Oral Roberts Golden Eagles won’t be home much for the holidays, kicking off a five-game road stretch at state rival No. 8 Oklahoma this Saturday. The Golden Eagles, who play at home versus John Brown Wednesday, won’t have another contest in Tulsa until the New Year, playing South Dakota on Jan. 3.

Following the road game against the Sooners, Oral Roberts plays at Missouri State on Dec. 16, at LSU on Dec. 19, at New Mexico State on Dec. 21, and returns to action after the Christmas break with a trip to IUPU-Fort Wayne on Dec. 30. This year, the Golden Eagles are 2-2 ATS on the road and went just 5-10-1 ATS as visitors last season. With the holiday around the corner, basketball may not be the focus for these college kids as the break gets closer.

**Udog** · 12-09-2015, 08:33 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 9

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee

Game 713-714
December 9, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
120.629
Milwaukee
118.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 6
201
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+6); Over

Orlando @ Phoenix

Game 715-716
December 9, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
121.339
Phoenix
119.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 4 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+4 1/2); Under

New York @ Utah

Game 717-718
December 9, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
112.711
Utah
122.292
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 9 1/2
185
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 3
191
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-3); Under

Atlanta @ Dallas

Game 719-720
December 9, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
119.364
Dallas
123.898
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 2
204
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-2); Under

Miami @ Charlotte

Game 701-702
December 9, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
116.177
Charlotte
126.570
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 10 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
192
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+1 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Boston

Game 703-704
December 9, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
122.303
Boston
120.615
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 3
200
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3); Over

Houston @ Washington

Game 705-706
December 9, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
115.075
Washington
120.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 5 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-2 1/2); Under

San Antonio @ Toronto

Game 707-708
December 9, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
129.927
Toronto
122.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 7
183
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 5
188
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-5); Under

Memphis @ Detroit

Game 709-710
December 9, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
114.264
Detroit
121.385
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 7
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
192
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-3); Under

LA Lakers @ Minnesota

Game 711-712
December 9, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
108.955
Minnesota
120.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 12
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-6); Over

**Udog** · 12-09-2015, 08:36 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 9

Hot teams
-- Hornets won seven of last nine games (1-1-1HU). Miami won six of its last nine games (2-1AF).
-- Celtics won five of their last seven games (4-4HF).
-- Houston won five of its last seven games (2-3AU).
-- Spurs won nine of their last ten games (7-3AF).
-- Detroit won four of last five games (5-0 last five HF). Grizzlies won five of their last eight games (3-1 last four AU).
-- Clippers won five of their last six games (2-3AF). Milwaukee won four of last five home games (5-2HU).
-- Orlando won six of its last seven games (6-3AU).
-- Mavericks won three of their last four games (4-2HF).

Cold teams
-- Bulls lost four of their last seven games (2-2AU).
-- Washington lost six of its last nine games (2-4HF).
-- Toronto lost three of its last five games (1-0HU).
-- Lakers lost nine of their last ten games (5-9AU). Minnesota lost its last four games (0-4HF).
-- Suns lost eight of their last ten games (4-4HF).
-- Knicks lost six of their last eight games (6-3AU). Jazz lost three of last four games (2-4HF).
-- Hawks lost four of their last five road games (2-2AU).

Series records
-- Heat won eight of last ten games with Charlotte.
-- Bulls won six of last seven games with Boston.
-- Rockets won seven of last nine games with Washington.
-- Spurs won eight of last nine games with Toronto.
-- Grizzlies won nine of last ten games with Detroit
-- Lakers won three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Clippers won six of last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Suns won three of last four games with Orlando.
-- Knicks lost last two games to Utah by total of seven points.
-- Hawks won five of last seven games with Dallas.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Miami games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Chicago-Boston games went over.
-- Five of last seven Houston games went over.
-- Seven of Spurs' last ten games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games went over total.
-- Three of last four Clipper-Buck games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-0 in Magic's last five visits to Phoenix.
-- Four of last five New York games went over total.
-- Last three Atlanta games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 12-09-2015, 08:39 AM

NBA

Wednesday, December 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. BOSTON
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Boston is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Miami's last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games

7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. WASHINGTON
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Memphis's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Memphis

7:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. TORONTO
San Antonio is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MILWAUKEE
LA Clippers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
LA Clippers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. MINNESOTA
LA Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on the road
LA Lakers are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games at home
Minnesota is 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

9:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PHOENIX
Orlando is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Orlando is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
New York is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Utah
Utah is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing New York
Utah is 1-19 ATS in its last 20 games when playing New York

9:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. DALLAS
Atlanta is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-09-2015, 10:27 AM

NBA

Wednesday, December 9

NBA roundup: What's new? Warriors, 23-0, win again, beat Pacers

INDIANAPOLIS -- Klay Thompson scored 29 of his season-high 39 during a 79-point first half, and Golden State improved to 23-0 Tuesday night with a 131-123 victory against the Indiana Pacers.

Thompson made eight of 10 shots from 3-point range during the first 24 minutes, when the reigning NBA champion Warriors led by as many as 22 points. Through three periods, Thompson and guard Stephen Curry had 62 combined points. Curry finished with 29.

At that point, the Warriors had made 44 of 71 field goal attempts (62 percent).

Paul George led Indiana with 33 points, and C.J. Miles added 24.

Cavaliers 105, Trail Blazers 100

CLEVELAND -- LeBron James scored 33 points, including 12 in the fourth quarter, and Cleveland rallied from an 18-point deficit to beat the Portland.

James added 10 rebounds and three assists while Kevin Love scored 18 points and Matthew Dellavedova had 17 for the Cavaliers, who ended their three-game slide.

Damian Lillard scored 33 points and guard C.J. McCollum had 24, but the Blazers lost for the second time in as many nights.

Thunder 125, Grizzlies 88

MEMPHIS, Tenn. -- Kevin Durant scored 32 points, Serge Ibaka added 17 and Russell Westbrook had 13 points and 16 assists to lead Oklahoma City.

The Thunder, who needed a late jumper by Durant to beat the Sacramento Kings on Sunday, spent the majority of the game against the Grizzlies with a double-digit lead.

Oklahoma City opened the third quarter with a 20-6 run to build a 79-53 advantage. The visitors led by as many as 37 in the quarter, during which they shot 63 percent. Their lead reached 40 in the fourth quarter.

Nets 110, Rockets 105

NEW YORK -- Joe Johnson scored 15 of his 22 points during the fourth quarter, and Brooklyn held on against Houston.

Johnson hit nine of 15 shots while also collecting eight assists and five rebounds on a night when the Nets held a 16-point lead midway through the third quarter. He also was part of a defensive effort that held James Harden to 10 points on two of nine shooting.

Brook Lopez led the Nets with 24 points and Thaddeus Young added 20 and 12 rebounds.

Magic 85, Nuggets 74

DENVER -- Nikola Vucevic scored 18 points and grabbed 13 rebounds, and surging Orlando beat Denver.

Tobias Harris finished with 17 points and nine rebounds, and Elfrid Payton had 18 points for the Magic, who won for the sixth time in seven games.

Will Barton led the Nuggets with 23 points, and JJ Hickson had 10 points and 11 rebounds.

Kings 114, Jazz 106

SACRAMENTO, Calif. -- DeMarcus Cousins shook off a recent slump to score 23 points and add 12 rebounds, and Rudy Gay also scored 23 as Sacramento fought off a stubborn Utah squad.

Omri Casspi added 19 points, 10 rebounds and four assists for Sacramento, which ended a three-game losing streak.

NBA assists leader Rajon Rondo collected 13 more to go with 13 points.

**Udog** · 12-09-2015, 12:46 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, December 9

Miami at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Miami: 10-24 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Charlotte: 28-13 UNDER at home off 1 or more wins

Chicago at Boston, 7:05 ET
Chicago: 10-1 ATS on the road against Atlantic division
Boston: 50-78 ATS off a road win by 10 or more

Houston at Washington, 7:05 ET
Houston: 0-7 ATS off an upset loss
Washington: 8-1 OVER after a combined score of 205 or more

San Antonio at Toronto, 7:35 ET
San Antonio: 25-12 OVER in December games
Toronto: 40-27 OVER after playing a game as favorite

Memphis at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Memphis: 64-48 UNDER in all games
Detroit: 27-14 UNDER in non-conf

LA Lakers at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Los Angeles: 41-22 ATS on road after allowing 100 pts or more 4 games
Minnesota: 0-7 ATS in home games after playing a game as an underdog

LA Clippers at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Los Angeles: 138-102 OVER in road games after allowing 105 points or more
Milwaukee: 122-88 OVER as a home underdog of 6 points or less

Orlando at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Orlando: 54-31 UNDER as a road underdog
Phoenix: 15-5 UNDER against Southeast division opponents

NY Knicks at Utah, 9:05 ET
New York: 22-34 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses
Utah: 15-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

Atlanta at Dallas, 9:35 ET
Atlanta: 18-7 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200
Dallas: 7-19 ATS in home games off a road win

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/9

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/9

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