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  • Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, December 4

    Good Luck on day #338 of 2015!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NBA Matchups

    NBA Hot and Not

    NBA Injuries

    NBA Referees


    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Injuries




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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    NFL trends with Week 13 upon us..........

    -- Vikings covered nine of their last ten games.

    -- Patriots are 7-0 in game following their last seven losses.

    -- Ravens are 2-10-2 vs spread in their last 14 games.

    -- 49ers are 0-5 on road (1-4 vs spread), losing by average of 36-14

    -- Denver covered nine of last ten as an AFC West road favorite.

    -- Falcons are 0-7 vs spread in their last seven games.

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here......

    13) We've talked about how fine a line there is between winning and losing in the NFL. here's an example. Mike Smith coached Falcons for seven years; in the first five years, he was 28-11 in games decided by 7 or less points. The last two years, he was 5-11 in games decided by 7 or less, and he got fired.

    The bounce of a ball, here or there, an injury or two, an official's call.......

    12) NFC East teams are 9-17 vs spread this year in non-divisional games.

    11) Jets play a "road game" against the Giants this week; they also played one over in London against the Dolphins, which means they're really playing only six true road games this season, a pretty big advantage in short season of 16 games.

    10) Davidson won't retire Steph Curry's number because he hasn't graduated from the school. They had a great player named Mike Maloy in the late 60's; same thing with him, he isn't in the school's Hall of Fame because he didn't graduate.

    9) Will Muschamp made $1.6M this year to be the defensive coordinator at Auburn; Tigers are 6-6, Muschamp is trying to get a head coaching job but even if he doesn't get one, it looks like he won't be coming back to Auburn next year. Boosters aren't fond of shelling out huge money when the ballclub goes 6-6.

    8) Arizona's big man Kaleb Tarczewski is out 4-6 weeks with a stress fracture in his foot, bad news for a thin, inexperienced Wildcat squad.

    7) NCAA President Mark Emmert was chancellor at LSU when they signed Nick Saban as football coach in 1999- they gave him $1.2M, a huge amount back then.

    6) Pittsburgh Pirates won 98 games this year without one complete game by a pitcher, most wins ever by team without a CG-- previous record was 83 wins.

    5) In his last three games, DeAndre Jordan is 17-54 on the foul line. In the game before that, he didn't take a foul shot in 25 minutes; what were the Pelicans thinking?

    4) Packers 27, Lions 23-- Green Bay was dead in this game several times, but Detroit wouldn't let them lose. After leading 17-0, Lions gagged game away in epic fashion, as they rushed only three guys on last play, giving Rodgers time to chuck ball down field 62 yards where Richard Rodgers made Motown miserable with the walk-off TD.

    3) UCLA 87, Kentucky 77-- Bruins trailed 41-7 at half in LY's game; they led 9-2 in this one and were never headed, as Wildcats lose for first time this year. UCLA is 5-3, from everything we read/hear, there are lot of teams who could win a national title as there are no one or two dominant teams like last year.

    2) Jim Boeheim's 9-game suspension starts Saturday-- he is away from the team the whole time, so pushing the suspension up to now is a big help for Syracuse- he'll be back after three ACC games, instead of nine. He'll miss games against stiff teams like Montana State, Colgate, Colgate and Texas Southern and will be back for games against Duke and Notre Dame.

    1) Toronto Blue Jays put out their 2016 calendar recently, but one small problem; David Price is on the cover, the same David Price who just signed with the Red Sox for $217M over seven years. Whoops.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Friday, December 4


      Hot teams
      -- Detroit won its last three home games (3-3 HF, 3-0 last three).
      -- Hawks won three of last four home games (4-6HF).
      -- Rockets won three of last four games (1-3AU).
      -- Cavaliers won five of their last seven games (1-5AF).

      Cold teams
      -- Nets lost last six road games (6-1 last seven AU). Knicks lost four of their last five games (2-2HF).
      -- Suns lost six of their last seven games (1-1AF). Washington is 1-5 in its last six games (2-1HU).
      -- Bucks lost seven of last nine games (1-5 last six AU).
      -- Lakers lost seven of their last eight games (1-5 last six AU).
      -- Dallas lost four of its last six games (4-1HF).
      -- Pelicans lost their last four games (1-2HU).

      Series records
      -- Nets won their last four games with the Knicks.
      -- Suns won their last three games with Washington.
      -- Bucks won their last four games with Detroit.
      -- Lakers won six of last nine games with Atlanta.
      -- Rockets won five of last seven games with Dallas.
      -- Cavaliers lost seven of last nine games with New Orleans.

      Totals
      -- Last four Brooklyn games stayed under total.
      -- Six of last eight Phoenix games went over total.
      -- Last three Milwaukee games stayed under.
      -- Three of last four Laker games went over total.
      -- Three of last four Dallas games stayed under.
      -- Last three Cleveland games stayed under total.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Friday, December 4


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        7:00 PM
        PHOENIX vs. WASHINGTON
        Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Phoenix is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Washington
        Washington is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing Phoenix
        Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

        See more trends!
        DECEMBER 4, 7:00 PM
        BROOKLYN vs. NEW YORK
        Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
        Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 9 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

        See more trends!
        DECEMBER 4, 7:30 PM
        MILWAUKEE vs. DETROIT
        Milwaukee is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Detroit
        Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
        Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

        See more trends!
        DECEMBER 4, 8:00 PM
        LA LAKERS vs. ATLANTA
        LA Lakers are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road
        LA Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
        Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
        Atlanta is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Lakers

        See more trends!
        DECEMBER 4, 8:30 PM
        HOUSTON vs. DALLAS
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
        Houston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
        Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Dallas is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

        See more trends!
        DECEMBER 4, 9:30 PM
        CLEVELAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
        Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Cleveland


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Friday, December 4


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Game of the Day: Cavs at Pelicans
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LeBron and the Cavaliers have gone just 5-11 against the spread when tabbed as favorites.

          Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans (Off, Off)

          The Cleveland Cavaliers posted a season low point total in their last contest and look to rebound with a much better effort when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Cleveland trailed the entire game while suffering a 97-85 loss to the Washington Wizards on Tuesday to lose for just the second time in seven games.

          Forward LeBron James gets upset every time the Cavaliers lose and he was one of the main culprits in the loss to the Wizards as he committed nine turnovers to go with 24 points and 13 rebounds. "We just got to get better," James said afterward. "They beat us from the beginning to the end. We've got to improve, and we've got to improve in a lot of facets of our game in order to be better." New Orleans continues to struggle with the third-worst record in the NBA after suffering a 108-101 loss to the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. The Pelicans have lost four straight games and are allowing a league-worst 109.1 points per game.

          TV:
          9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, FSN Ohio (Cleveland) FSN New Orleans

          LINE HISTORY:
          N/A

          INJURY REPORT:


          Cavs - SG Iman Shumpert (Mid February, wrist), PG Kyrie Irving (Out indefinitely, knee).

          Pelicans - C Kendrick Perkins (Early February, pectoral), SF Quincy Pondexter (Out indefinitely, knee).

          POWER RANKINGS:
          Cavs (-9.8) + Pelicans (-3) + home court (-3.0) = Cavs -9.8

          WHAT CAPPERS SAY:
          "LeBron and company continue to disappoint chalk players as the Cavs are just 5-11 ATS when favored this season. At 4-15, not only are the Pelicans the league's biggest disappointment, but also a virtual lock to miss the playoffs."

          ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (13-5 SU, 7-11 ATS, 10-8 O/U):
          Center Timofey Mozgov has struggled in three games since returning from a shoulder injury and went scoreless while committing four turnovers in just nine minutes against Washington. Mozgov shot 59 percent from the field and averaged 10.6 points and 6.9 rebounds in 46 games with Cleveland last season after being acquired from the Denver Nuggets but has been largely ineffective this season while averaging seven points and 4.4 rebounds and shooting a woeful 44.6 percent "I think it's fairly clear that right now he's not at the same level physically that we're used to seeing him," Cavaliers coach David Blatt told reporters. "And we got to get him there."

          ABOUT THE PELICANS (4-15 SU, 6-13 ATS, 8-11 O/U):
          The defensive play has been horrid as New Orleans has allowed 100 or more points in 17 of its 19 games. The Pelicans, who have allowed 110 or more points a whopping 10 times, showed signs of solid defense by holding Houston to 17 first-quarter points but then allowed a combined 67 points over the next two quarters. Power forward Anthony Davis had 29 points and 13 rebounds against the Rockets for his third straight double-double and 10th of the season.

          TRENDS:


          * Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in New Orleans.
          * Cavaliers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
          * Pelicans are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss.
          * Over is 5-1 in Pelicans last six home games.


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Friday, December 4



            Brooklyn @ New York

            Game 501-502
            December 4, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Brooklyn
            116.955
            New York
            115.783
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Brooklyn
            by 1
            186
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            New York
            by 3 1/2
            193
            Dunkel Pick:
            Brooklyn
            (+3 1/2); Under

            Phoenix @ Washington

            Game 503-504
            December 4, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Phoenix
            116.978
            Washington
            119.401
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Washington
            by 2 1/2
            205
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Phoenix
            by 1
            212 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Washington
            (+1); Under

            Milwaukee @ Detroit

            Game 505-506
            December 4, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Milwaukee
            110.968
            Detroit
            123.142
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Detroit
            by 12
            199
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Detroit
            by 6 1/2
            194
            Dunkel Pick:
            Detroit
            (-6 1/2); Over

            LA Lakers @ Atlanta

            Game 507-508
            December 4, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Lakers
            110.163
            Atlanta
            123.653
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Atlanta
            by 13 1/2
            212
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Atlanta
            by 11 1/2
            202
            Dunkel Pick:
            Atlanta
            (-11 1/2); Over

            Houston @ Dallas

            Game 509-510
            December 4, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston
            113.855
            Dallas
            121.721
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Dallas
            by 8
            202
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Dallas
            by 5 1/2
            209 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Dallas
            (-5 1/2); Under

            Cleveland @ New Orleans

            Game 511-512
            December 4, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Cleveland
            123.592
            New Orleans
            116.017
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Cleveland
            by 7 1/2
            214
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Cleveland
            by 5
            207
            Dunkel Pick:
            Cleveland
            (-5); Over

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Long Sheet

              Friday, December 4


              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              BROOKLYN (5 - 13) at NEW YORK (9 - 10) - 12/4/2015, 7:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              BROOKLYN is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
              NEW YORK is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
              NEW YORK is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
              BROOKLYN is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
              4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              PHOENIX (8 - 11) at WASHINGTON (7 - 9) - 12/4/2015, 7:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              PHOENIX is 102-77 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 61-43 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
              WASHINGTON is 51-76 ATS (-32.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
              WASHINGTON is 346-417 ATS (-112.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
              WASHINGTON is 131-176 ATS (-62.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
              PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
              4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              MILWAUKEE (7 - 12) at DETROIT (10 - 9) - 12/4/2015, 7:35 PM
              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              MILWAUKEE is 7-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              MILWAUKEE is 5-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              LA LAKERS (3 - 15) at ATLANTA (12 - 9) - 12/4/2015, 8:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              LA LAKERS are 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
              ATLANTA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
              ATLANTA is 126-94 ATS (+22.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
              ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              HOUSTON (8 - 11) at DALLAS (11 - 8) - 12/4/2015, 8:35 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              HOUSTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games this season.
              HOUSTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
              DALLAS is 228-185 ATS (+24.5 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              HOUSTON is 9-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
              HOUSTON is 9-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
              8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              CLEVELAND (13 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 15) - 12/4/2015, 9:35 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              CLEVELAND is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
              CLEVELAND is 132-179 ATS (-64.9 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
              NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                NBA

                Friday, December 4



                NBA roundup: Wade, Heat top Thunder

                MIAMI -- Guard Dwyane Wade scored 28 points -- including two game-winning free throws with 1.5 seconds left -- to lead the Miami Heat to a 97-95 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday.

                Wade scored Miami's final eight points to overshadow Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant, each of whom had 25 points for the Thunder.

                Durant had his ups and downs in the game. He was in foul trouble early and then was hit with a technical in the second quarter when he got in the face of Heat guard Goran Dragic. Durant, who was attempting to alley-oop dunk on the play in question, was upset that Dragic stuck out his backside to bump him as he flew by.

                Miami's Hassan Whiteside had 11 points, eight rebounds and two blocks. He had a spectacular end-to-end sequence in the second quarter, scoring on an alley-oop dunk that was thrown behind him and then blocking Durant's layup despite trailing the play on a fast break.

                Nuggets 106, Raptors 105

                TORONTO -- Will Barton scored 22 points, Danilo Gallinari added 21, and Denver held on to defeat Toronto and end an eight-game losing streak.

                Darrell Arthur added 19 points for the Nuggets, while center Joffrey Lauvergne scored 14 points and grabbed 10 rebounds.

                DeMar DeRozan led the Raptors with 34 points. Kyle Lowry added 16 points and eight assists, while Cory Joseph had 15 and DeMarre Carroll 10.

                Magic 103, Jazz 94

                SALT LAKE CITY -- Tobias Harris led six Magic players in double figures, and Orlando took advantage of center Rudy Gobert's absence to beat Utah.

                Harris scored 17 points and Nikola Vucevic added 16 points for Orlando, which won its fifth straight.

                Gordon Hayward scored 24 points and guard Alec Burks totaled 21 for the Jazz. Utah played without Gobert, who is out indefinitely after spraining a left knee ligament in practice Wednesday.

                Spurs 103, Grizzlies 83

                MEMPHIS, Tenn. -- Kawhi Leonard made a career-best seven 3-pointers and scored a game-high 27 points as San Antonio defeated Memphis.

                Leonard scored 20 of his points and hit six of his 3-pointers in the second half. Overall, he shot 9-for-13 from the floor and 7-for-9 from long range. He also grabbed eight rebounds and added three assists, two steals and a block. LaMarcus Aldridge added 18 points, and Tony Parker had 17 points, seven rebounds and five assists.

                Marc Gasol, Mike Conley and Mario Chalmers each had 15 points for Memphis.

                Trail Blazers 123, Pacers 111

                PORTLAND, Ore. -- Damian Lillard scored 26 points and CJ McCollum added 21, leading Portland to a victory over Indiana.

                The Trail Blazers won for just the second time in five games.

                C.J. Miles scored 27 points for the Pacers, whose six-game winning streak ended. Paul George, named early in the day as the Eastern Conference player of the month for November, finished with 11 points on 4-for-17 shooting, including 0-for-9 from 3-point range.

                Celtics 114, Kings 97

                Isaiah Thomas scored 21 points and added eight assists, and Boston made it a miserable trip to Mexico City for Rajon Rondo and Sacramento.

                Thomas ripped apart his former team from the beginning, scoring 19 points in the opening half and 12 in the first 12 minutes as Boston ran to leads of 32-17 after one period and 51-36. Kelly Olynyk came off the bench to add 21 points for the Celtics.

                On the court, it was not so calm. Rondo, who played his first eight-plus seasons with Boston and now the NBA's assist leader in his first campaign with the Kings, barked several times at referee Bill Kennedy in the third quarter and was ejected with 6:30 to go. He finished with only five points and eight assists in 24 minutes.

                Comment


                • #9
                  NBA
                  Short Sheet

                  Friday, December 4


                  Brooklyn at New York, 7:05 ET
                  Brooklyn: 20-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
                  New York: 5-15 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread

                  Phoenix at Washington, 7:05 ET
                  Phoenix: 29-13 ATS in road games after a non-conference game
                  Washington: 9-20 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days

                  Milwaukee at Detroit, 7:35 ET
                  Milwaukee: 21-8 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
                  Detroit: 31-54 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite

                  LA Lakers at Atlanta, 8:05 ET
                  Los Angeles: 23-35 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7
                  Atlanta: 23-12 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

                  Houston at Dallas, 8:35 ET
                  Houston: 16-6 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points
                  Dallas: 7-18 ATS in home games off a road win

                  Cleveland at New Orleans, 9:35 ET
                  Cleveland: 8-20 ATS in road games after playing a home game
                  New Orleans: 28-12 ATS at home after 2 games where they had 5 or less steals

                  Comment

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