Announcement

**Udog** · 12-03-2015, 07:41 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Conference championship games this weekend..........

-- MAC-- Bowling Green (-11.5) vs Northern Illinois

-- C-USA-- Western Kentucky (-7) vs Southern Mississippi

-- AAC-- Houston (-6) vs Temple

-- Pac-12-- Stanford (-4.5) vs USC

-- SEC-- Alabama (-17.5) vs Florida

-- MW-- San Diego State (-3.5) vs Air Force

-- ACC-- Clemson (-5.5) vs North Carolina

-- Big 14-- Michigan State (-3.5) vs Iowa

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) First of all, our thoughts and prayers go out to the people in San Bernadino after yesterday's killings at a county office complex. It is just very sad; I'm not going to go on a rant here about guns or anything, but stuff like this needs to stop.

12) It is interesting how CNN brings in experts in to talk about these situations as cameras from helicopters show police activity. Former CIA people, police offficers, military experts- they all speculate on a fluid situation-- live TV is very interesting.

On to more pleasant subjects........
11) There is an interesting article in ESPN the Magazine on agent Jimmy Sexton, who is one of the major power brokers in college football- he represents fifty college coaches, and NFL players like Philip Rivers and Julio Jones.

Put it this way: last week, Alabama-Auburn, Florida-Florida State, USC-UCLA all played rivalry games. Sexton represents the head coach from all six of those schools.

10) David Price got $31M a year from the Red Sox; he's a damn good pitcher, but his 0-7, 5.27 career postseason record has to raise eyebrows. He is also 30 years old, so he will be 37 when his contract runs out. Lot of $$$ to commit to one player.

Price is 104-56, 3.09 in 213 career regular season starts; he was 18-5, 2.45 in 2015.

9) Miami Marlins are really going to hire Barry Bonds as a hitting coach? Does that mean he has to talk to the media? Don Mattingly as a manager, Bonds as hitting coach would put a lot of hitting expertise in Miami's dugout.

Mark McGwire is going to be the Padres' bench coach; interesting times we live in.

8) Mark Richt is the new football coach at Miami, his alma mater, where he backed up Jim Kelly in the early 80's. Richt is highly regarded as a person, averaged 9.6 wins a year at Georgia. I am very, very curious what Michael Irvin says about this hire.

7) Interesting development: Ivy League is considering having a postseason hoop tournament, starting in 2016-17. Guess they've finally seen the light that getting the whole league together for a weekend would be a money maker, plus it would give the league's basketball programs some national publicity. Right now, Ivy League is the only Division I league that doesn't have a postseason tournament.

6) 76ers suspended Jahlil Okafor for two games; they can't do anything right. This is why teams do exhaustive research on draft prospects and still, problems pop up and screw things up. I mean, the season is five weeks old and he's already had incidents involving the police three times. No bueno.

Meanwhile, Knicks rookie Kristaps Porzingis says the 76ers never worked him out before the draft. Seriously? The NBA should make these idiots sell the team, or hire a new GM, at the least. The guy running things now is an imbecile.

5) San Diego State-San Diego are playing basketball outdoors at Petco Park Sunday, just before the Chargers play Denver at Qualcomm. Interesting concept; Toreros have a new coach, Aztecs are offensively challenged. Big sports day in San Diego.

4) ESPN's Dan Dakich last night said that he's always thought Rick Pitino is the best coach in the country at player development. Interesting comment coming from a guy who both played and coached at Indiana.

3) Basketball scheduling note: Duke doesn't play a true road game until their ACC slate starts January 2 at Boston College. Until then, Blue Devils play nine home tilts, only one of which (vs Indiana, ACC-Big 14 challenge) is against a team in top 100.

They're also playing four neutral court games, all in New York City, all against top 50 opponents, all on national TV. Interesting how different teams schedule.

2) Central Florida signed Oregon OC Scott Frost as its new coach; UCF is a really big school, a sleeping giant athletically. Frost played at both Nebraska/Stanford, then played in NFL for six years with four different teams.

1) Michigan State 71, Louisville 67-- Funny how the new rule, really going back to an old rule, how coaches can't call timeouts while the clock is running, has created a few problems early on-- players haven't adjusted to calling timeouts yet.

Wisconsin 66, Syracuse 58, OT-- Jim Calhoun is worth listening to on TV; he talks lot slower than he did when he was coaching, he obviously knows a ton and gives out good basic basketball knowledge.

I have to look this up; teams that win these Thanksgiving tournaments at fun places tend to let down in their first game back on campus. Something I sense, have to find out for sure. There are peaks and valleys to every season.

Butler 78, Cincinnati 76-- You have to be damn good to score 78 on Cincy.

**Udog** · 12-03-2015, 07:43 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 3

Western Michigan is 3-4, losing its true road games by 6 at DePaul, by 4 at UNCW; Broncos are turning ball over 21.3% of time- their best win is over #279 San Diego. James Madison is #43 in experience; they're 4-3 vs D-I teams, with win at Richmond. Dukes are shooting 38.5% from arc. CAA home favorites are 6-2 vs spread MAC road underdogs are 4-7.

Delaware is 3-2, with both losses vs top 100 teams; their wins are by 6-1-23 points. Blue Hens are shooting just 28% from arc- they start three sophs and a junior. South Florida is 2-5; six of the seven games were at home; Bulls' best win is over #101 Albany. USF is turning ball over 21% of time, shooting just 24.8% from arc (6th-worst in US).

UL-Monroe swept UL-Lafayette LY, 57-55/67-55, after losing 11 of 15 to Cajuns before that; ULM is shooting 17.2% from arc this year, worst in country- they're 2-2 vs D-I teams, beating Chattanooga by 10 in only home games. ULL lost to Miami/alabama by 16-12 points in its only two D-I games- they have a couple wins against non-D-I teams.

Tex-Arlington lost in OT at Texas Tuesday; they've got wins at Ohio St, Memphis, are 5-2 while grabbing 42.5% of its own missed shots, #5 in country. UTA won 72-59 at North Texas in last meeting three years ago. UNT is 0-4 vs D-I teams after couple of non-D-I wins; they're turning ball over 24.8% of time (#345). Sun Belt road underdogs are 8-13.

Kentucky was beating UCLA 41-7 at half LY, pounded Bruins 83-44 as Wildcats made 12-26 on arc. Kentucky is 7-0; its only quality win was 74-63 over Duke on a neutral floor in NYC; Wildcats have #1 eFG% in country, are grabbing 42.2% of its own missed shots- they're making only 27.6% of shots on arc. UCLA is 4-3 with home loss to Monmouth.

Colorado State is 5-1 after losing last game in double OT on neutral court to UTEP last game; two of its last three games went two OTs. Rams are #8 team in experience- they start three seniors, are thin. Long Beach State lost by 4 at home to San Diego State Tuesday; 49ers lost last four games vs #15 schedule, their last three were all by 6 or less points.

UCSB is 2-3, 0-3 vs Pac-12 teams, losing by 18-12-2 points; Gauchos are shooting just 28% from arc, not getting to line much (#337)- they lost by 12 to Oregon State in only home game so far. USC was 5-0 before losing last two games in Orlando to Xavier/Monmouth; Trojans are playing at pace #13; they've made 38.5% on arc- this is their first true road game.

Belmont is 5-3, 1-3 vs top 100 teams, winning at Marquette, losing other three games by 9-5-14 points- they're making 65.1% of shots inside arc, #1 in country. Valparaiso is #28 in experience; they've lost to Oregon, Ball State by 6-3 points in last three games. Crusaders are 2-0 at home vs D-I teams, beating Fort Wayne by 14, Iona by 25.

SIU-Edwardsville lost last five games since beating Arkansas State in its opener; they lost by 20-16 points at Fort Wayne, Butler. Cougars are making 27.5% on arc (#326), 42.8% inside it (#301). Milwaukee is 1-3 in last four D-I games; this its first D-I home games. Horizon home faves are 2-4 against the spread; OVC road underdogs are 11-17.

Cal-Riverside is 3-2 vs D-I teams, winning both home games by 14-26 points; Highlanders have #32 eFG% defense; foes are shooting 23.7% on arc against them. Northern Colorado is 0-5 vs D-I teams, allowing average of 92.8 ppg- all their defensive metrics are terrible. Big West home faves are 4-3 against the spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 10-13.

Cal Poly lost at UNLV/UCLA by total of 7 points, then beat couple of stiffs by 9-13, along with two non-D-I wins. Mustangs beat Fort Wayne by 14 LY, making 9-20 on arc; this is their first D-I home game. FW won five of last six games, losing last game to Navy on neutral floor. Big West home faves are 4-3 against the spread; Summit League road dogs are 15-8.

**Udog** · 12-03-2015, 07:44 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, December 3

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN vs. WOFFORD
No trends available
Wofford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wofford is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 7:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. JAMES MADISON
Western Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
James Madison is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 7:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. DELAWARE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 6 games on the road
South Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Delaware is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 8:00 PM
CENTRAL ARKANSAS vs. OKLAHOMA
No trends available
Oklahoma is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 8:00 PM
SIU EDWARDSVILLE vs. WISC-MILWAUKEE
SIU Edwardsville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
SIU Edwardsville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Wisc-Milwaukee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Wisc-Milwaukee is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 8:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. TEXAS-ARLINGTON
North Texas is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games on the road
Texas-Arlington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Texas-Arlington is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 8:00 PM
WARREN WILSON vs. WESTERN CAROLINA
No trends available
Western Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Western Carolina is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 9:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. UCLA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kentucky's last 8 games on the road
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games at home
UCLA is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 9:00 PM
LAVERNE vs. SOUTHERN UTAH
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Southern Utah's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 6 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 9:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. GRAND CANYON
Central Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Central Michigan's last 8 games on the road
Grand Canyon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Grand Canyon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 9:00 PM
BELMONT vs. VALPARAISO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Belmont's last 8 games on the road
Belmont is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Valparaiso
Valparaiso is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Belmont
Valparaiso is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Belmont

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 9:00 PM
LONG BEACH STATE vs. COLORADO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Long Beach State's last 6 games on the road
Long Beach State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Colorado State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 9:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Lafayette

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 10:00 PM
USC vs. SANTA BARBARA
USC is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Santa Barbara is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing USC
Santa Barbara is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 11:00 PM
NORTHERN COLORADO vs. UC RIVERSIDE
Northern Colorado is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UC Riverside is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
UC Riverside is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 11:00 PM
IUPU FORT WAYNE vs. CAL POLY
No trends available
Cal Poly is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
Cal Poly is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 3, 11:00 PM
MASTER'S COLLEGE vs. FRESNO STATE
No trends available
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Fresno State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 12-03-2015, 08:36 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 3

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W MICHIGAN (3 - 4) at JAMES MADISON (5 - 3) - 12/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JAMES MADISON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
JAMES MADISON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
JAMES MADISON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JAMES MADISON is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
JAMES MADISON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S FLORIDA (2 - 5) at DELAWARE (3 - 2) - 12/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA-LAFAYETTE (2 - 2) at LA-MONROE (3 - 2) - 12/3/2015, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA-MONROE is 3-1 against the spread versus LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA-MONROE is 3-1 straight up against LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N TEXAS (2 - 4) at TX-ARLINGTON (5 - 2) - 12/3/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-ARLINGTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENTUCKY (7 - 0) at UCLA (4 - 3) - 12/3/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LONG BEACH ST (3 - 4) at COLORADO ST (5 - 1) - 12/3/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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USC (5 - 2) at UC-SANTA BARBARA (2 - 3) - 12/3/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BELMONT (5 - 3) at VALPARAISO (6 - 2) - 12/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SIU EDWARDSVL (1 - 5) at WI-MILWAUKEE (5 - 3) - 12/3/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SIU EDWARDSVL is 1-0 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
SIU EDWARDSVL is 1-0 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons

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N COLORADO (1 - 5) at UC-RIVERSIDE (4 - 2) - 12/3/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N COLORADO is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UC-RIVERSIDE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-RIVERSIDE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-0 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
N COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IUPU-FT WAYNE (6 - 2) at CAL POLY-SLO (4 - 2) - 12/3/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAL POLY-SLO is 1-0 against the spread versus IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
CAL POLY-SLO is 1-0 straight up against IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons

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C ARKANSAS (1 - 5) at OKLAHOMA (4 - 0) - 12/3/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/3

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/3

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