Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/21

[Udog]

Well, guys, it's been a tough few days. I had an unexpected and sudden complication from eye surgery and had to stop everything for a few days. It's amazing how much you'll find to get done when you can't drive, read or look at monitors, televisions or movie screens!

Anyway, we should be good to go now as long as I don't strain it for a while.

On heavy days, the college trends will have their own thread. On light days, they'll be in one with the NBA.

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, November 21

Good Luck on day #325 of 2015!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Some college football trends to ponder for today's games........

-- Michigan State is 11-3 vs spread in last 14 games as an underdog.

-- Oklahoma won/covered last five games, scoring 55.2 ppg.

-- Average total in last three USC-Oregon games is 90.3.

-- 10-0 Houston won last two games by combined total of four points.

-- K-State won seven games in row vs Iowa State, winning last four played in Little Apple by average score of 35-18.

-- Iowa is 10-0, but is 0-4 vs spread as Big 14 home favorite this year.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) If you enjoy pro football and want to learn more about it, read this piece about how Carson Palmer prepared for a game against the Browns last month.

Interesting stuff about how NFL teams prepare for a game.

12) If you didn't use the link or it didn't work, article tells how Carson Palmer had to learn 171 plays (plus formations/blocking schemes) in five days in preparation for the Cardinals' game in Cleveland. Interesting look behind the scenes.

11) Miami 90, Utah 66-- Miami-Butler is good title game in Puerto Rico Sunday.

10) Movie stuff: They're coming out with a new movie about Texas Longhorns called My All American- actor who plays coach Darrell Royal looked familiar to me, so I had to look him up. Guy's name is Aaron Eckhart-- turns out he played the assistant coach for the Sharks in Any Given Sunday, the movie where Al Pacino was coach, Cameron Diaz was the team's owner and Barry Switzer the TV announcer.

9) Hofstra 82, Florida State 77-- Hofstra dressed nine guys; three of them fouled out, a 4th guy had four fouls, but they made 10-22 from arc and held off Seminoles team that was 0-10 from arc in first half. Joe Mihalich is a very good coach.

8) Cavaliers' center Timofey Mozgov (deltoid injury) is out for next 10-14 days. he is a good player the Knicks stupidly traded in the Carmelo Anthony deal.

7) Knicks 93, Thunder 90-- That said, Phil Jackson has done good job re-building the Knicks. Not many people thought he would do it- still a ways to go, but they're fun to watch and should make the playoffs at least.

6) Tex-Arlington 73, Ohio State 68-- Thought this was a woman's score first time I saw it, but it was not; Buckeyes were 13-27 on foul line, got outrebounded by nine on a bad night for the Big 14 (Michigan lost to Xavier, Northwestern needed OT to beat Columbia of the Ivy League) and Duquesne beat Penn State by 26.

5) Cameron Maybin had a nice year for the Braves LY, his reward was getting dealt back to his original team the Tigers Friday, and Atlanta didn't get much for him. One of the fascinating things about baseball is how different people see the same things but draw different conclusions from them.

When Detroit got rid of Maybin ten years ago, he was part of the package that brought Miguel Cabrera to Motown, pretty good deal for the Tigers.

4) Rumors have Giants competing with the Dodgers for Zack Greinke's services in the free agent market; either that, or they're just trying to drive the price up, though the Dodgers seem to have an unlimited budget- they were paying $88M LY to guys who weren't even on their team.

3) A's signed 35-year old Rich Hill to a $6M contract for next year; Hill made zero big league starts from 2010-14, then started four games for Boston in September and went 2-1, 1.55, which paid off with a $6M deal from my favorite team. Oy.

2) Air Force 37, Boise State 30-- First time since 1993 Boise State lost home games on consecutive weekends.

1) Raptors beat Lakers last night, but Toronto center Jonas Valanciunas broke his hand and will miss some time......Golden State beat the Bulls; not sure if they're ever going to lose a game.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, November 21


Sacramento @ Orlando

Game 701-702
November 21, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.616
Orlando
114.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+2); N/A

Milwaukee @ Indiana

Game 703-704
November 21, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
116.312
Indiana
117.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+5); Under

Atlanta @ Cleveland

Game 705-706
November 21, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
117.151
Cleveland
125.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 8 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-5 1/2); N/A

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 707-708
November 21, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
105.218
Miami
122.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 17
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 13 1/2
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-13 1/2); Over

Washington @ Detroit

Game 709-710
November 21, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.404
Detroit
119.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3); N/A

New York @ Houston

Game 711-712
November 21, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.864
Houston
118.829
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+5); Under

Memphis @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
November 21, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.925
San Antonio
129.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 10
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 7 1/2
189 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-7 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, November 21

Hot teams
-- Magic won five of last seven games (0-2HF).
-- Pacers won seven of their last nine games (1-2HF).
-- Cavaliers are 6-0 at home, 3-3 as home favorites.
-- Wizards won last two games, by 10-29 points (0-2AU). Detroit won its last two games, by 5-10 (0-2HF).
-- Miami won four of its last five games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Knicks won last three games, covered last six (5-1AU).
-- Grizzlies won their last four games (1-2AU). Spurs won six of their last seven games (3-2HF).

Cold teams
-- Kings lost all four road games (2-2AU).
-- Milwaukee lost four of its last five games (3-3AU).
-- Hawks lost three of their last four games (1-0AU).
-- 76ers are 0-13, 3-3 as road underdogs.
-- Rockets lost five of their last six games (0-6HF).

Series records
-- Kings won five of last six games with Orlando.
-- Bucks lost eight of last ten games with Indiana.
-- Cavaliers swept Atlanta 4-0 in LY's playoffs (3-1 vs spread).
-- Wizards won four of last six games with Detroit.
-- Heat won three of last four games with Philly (2-1-1 vs spread).
-- Knicks lost last ten games with Houston (2-8 vs spread).
-- Spurs won eight of last ten games with Memphis.

Totals
-- Last three Orlando games went over total.
-- Last four Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games stayed under; six of Cavaliers' last seven games went over
-- Six of last eight Washington games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Miami games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in New York's last ten games.
-- Three of last four Memphis games went over.

[Udog]

NBA

Saturday, November 21

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games on the road
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. DETROIT
Washington is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Washington

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. CLEVELAND
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. HOUSTON
New York is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games when playing New York

8:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Memphis is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 21

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SACRAMENTO (4 - 9) at ORLANDO (6 - 6) - 11/21/2015, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 41-64 ATS (-29.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 119-89 ATS (+21.1 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
ORLANDO is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (5 - 7) at INDIANA (7 - 5) - 11/21/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 131-175 ATS (-61.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 184-227 ATS (-65.7 Units) after a division game since 1996.
INDIANA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games this season.
INDIANA is 49-24 ATS (+22.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (9 - 5) at CLEVELAND (9 - 3) - 11/21/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 61-47 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-5 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 13) at MIAMI (7 - 4) - 11/21/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 109-144 ATS (-49.4 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 114-152 ATS (-53.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (5 - 4) at DETROIT (7 - 5) - 11/21/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 97-137 ATS (-53.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
DETROIT is 60-91 ATS (-40.1 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (7 - 6) at HOUSTON (5 - 8) - 11/21/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 292-230 ATS (+39.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (7 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (9 - 3) - 11/21/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 912-795 ATS (+37.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 722-613 ATS (+47.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 138-104 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 464-386 ATS (+39.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 189-133 ATS (+42.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 128-90 ATS (+29.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 144-108 ATS (+25.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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