Announcement

**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 07:54 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 10 season record: 30-29-2

6) Seahawks -3 (411)-- Chance to get back in contention in NFC West L

5) Chiefs +6 (426)-- KC lost first meeting with Denver in last minute. W.

4) Redskins even (448)-- New Orleans hasn't had their bye week yet. W

3) Jaguars +5.5 (466)-- Not a lot of faith in the Ravens here. W

2) Raiders -3 (520)-- Scored 34+ points in each of last three games. L

1) Titans +5.5 (620)-- Letdown spot for unbeaten Carolina? . L

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday......

13) Chiefs 29, Broncos 13-- KC won its third straight game, picking off five passes; Andy Reid is now 15-2 in post-bye games. Peyton Manning was benched in second half for Brock Osweiler, as Denver lost its second straight game after a 7-0 start.

12) Lions 18, Packers 16-- Detroit won in Wisconsin for first time since 1991, when Mike Tomczak was the Packer QB, Wayne Fontes was the Lions' coach, Brett Favre was an Atlanta Falcon. Last few minutes of this game weren't pretty; Lions missed a PAT, stopped the tying 2-point play from Green Bay, but then the Packers fell on the onside kick, giving them yet another chance. Packers have now lost three in a row.

11) Buccaneers 10, Cowboys 6-- Jameis Winston fumbled as he was flipped while trying to hurdle into the end zone, but a holding penalty on Dallas gave Bucs another chance and Winston ran in for the winning score with 0:54 left, handing Dallas its 7th loss in a row. Curious to see if Tony Romo plays for Dallas next week.

10) Panthers 27, Titans 10-- Carolina is now 9-0; their next three opponents all have losing records. Titans have lost ten home games in a row. Cam Newton didn't make any friends with a long celebration after scoring TD with 2:42 left to make score 27-10. At some point, you need to act like a professional; celebrate on the sidelines.

9) Bears 37, Rams 13-- Rookie RB Lankford had 182 total yards, two TDs for Bears, who won impressively despite having a short week after playing Monday night in San Diego. St Louis is 1-5 outside its own division; their passing game is a mess and their defense appears a bit overrated.

8) Redskins 47, Saints 14-- Redskins gained 526 TY, Cousins threw for four TDs in his first game since his dad was diagnosed with cancer-- he gave his dad the game ball after this convincing win. Washington had ball ten times, scored four TDs, four FGs.

7) Valparaiso 83, Iona 58-- Iona is expected to win the MAAC; this score says an experienced Valpo team is really good. Not often Iona scores less than 60 points.

6) Dolphins 20, Eagles 19-- On their first two drives, Philly scored two TDs, gaining 122 yards on 14 plays; combined with a safety, they led 16-3 and were driving again but missed a 32-yard FG on their third drive, had a punt blocked on the next drive and went into the ashcan after that. With the offense Eagles run, don't they need a QB who is a running threat?

5) Steelers 30, Browns 9-- Roethlisberger threw for 286 yards in first half of a game he didn't start; Landry Jones got hurt, which was very bad news for Cleveland, which got decent stats from Manziel but only one TD. Browns only had 15 yards rushing, and Manziel had 17; maybe Kevin Costner can draft for them next spring.

4) Jaguars 22, Ravens 20-- This is how fine a line there is between winning/losing in the NFL; Ravens are 2-8, with both wins by a FG. All ten of their games were decided by 8 or less points-- all one-possession games.

Baltimore was going to win this game but a facemask penalty on the Ravens on the last play moved the ball 15 yards closer and allowed Jags to make a 53-yard walk-off FG.

3) Vikings 30, Raiders 14-- Minnesota ran for 263 yards in this game, as they take over first place in the NFC North. If the playoffs started Monday morning........

NFC: Giants-Vikings-Panthers-Cardinals Wild Card: Packers-Falcons
AFC: Patriots-Bengals-Colts-Broncos. Wild Card: Steelers-Bills

2) Patriots 27, Giants 26-- Giants' DB dropped a sure INT on first play of last drive, as New England drove 44 yards on 12 plays in 1:46. Giants were up 20-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter. Somehow, they're in first place, despite being 5-5- the #4-5 first round game in the NFC playoffs could find Packers visiting the NFC East champ.

1) Cardinals 39, Seahawks 32-- Seven NFL teams were -2 or worse in turnovers this week; Arizona is only one of the seven who won. Packers/Falcons are two Wild Card teams in NFC right now- they have two game lead on other NFC also rans. Seattle has led in fourth quarter in all five of its losses this year.

**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 08:14 AM

Buckeyes open as double digit faves against Sparty

If Ohio State wants a shot at reaching the four-team playoff to defend its national championship, it’s going to have get through its two Michigan rivals over the next two weekends.

First up for the Buckeyes: a home date with Michigan State. Ohio State (10-0 SU, 4-6 ATS) tuned up with a 28-3 road victory over Illinois on Saturday, cashing as a 17.5-point favorite. The Buckeyes now have 23 consecutive SU wins (13-10 ATS) since losing the 2014 season opener to Virginia Tech.

Meanwhile, for the Spartans (9-1 SU, 3-7 ATS) to have any shot at the Big Ten title – and perhaps a shot at the playoff – they’ll have to continue their bounce-back from a Week 10 loss at Nebraska. Michigan State got back on track Saturday, rolling past Maryland 24-7 as a 14.5-point home chalk.

Johhny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, opened Ohio State as a hefty 12.5-point favorite.

“Michigan State had its best defense effort against Maryland this past week, but Ohio State can now see the finish line, and it will take a triple-A-plus effort to slay the beast,” Avello said.

Baylor at Oklahoma State (-1)

Oklahoma State is still on track for a surprising perfect season and perhaps a spot in the playoff, but certainly had its hands more full than it expected with Iowa State on Saturday. The Cowboys (10-0 SU, 6-4 ATS) needed a late touchdown to claim a 35-31 victory, falling short as 11.5-point road favorites.

On the flip side, Baylor blew its opportunity to make this matchup a meeting of Big 12 unbeatens. The Bears (8-1 SU, 4-4 ATS), 2.5-point home faves Saturday against Oklahoma, were dealt a 44-34 loss.

“Baylor’s national title hopes may have imploded Saturday, and a running of the table by Oklahoma State will get the Cowboys into the playoff,” Avello said. “The Cowboys were a 29-point dog at Baylor last year, but this game should be closer to a pick.”

Texas Christian at Oklahoma

In another game that could go a long way toward determining whether the Big 12 will get in or be left out of the playoff, a pair of one-loss teams will try to stay in the conversation.

The Sooners (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS) logged their fifth consecutive SU and ATS victory, besting Baylor 44-34 as 2.5-point road ‘dogs Saturday.
The Horned Frogs (9-1 SU, 4-6 ATS), who saw their perfect record go up in smoke at Oklahoma State on Nov. 7, weren’t nearly as impressive Saturday at home. TCU went off as a massive 46.5-point chalk against winless Kansas, but had to hold on for a lackluster 23-17 victory.

TCU quarterback Trevone Boykin (ankle) is expected to play, but the line hasn’t been posted yet.

“TCU must have been looking ahead to this one, with that lackluster performance at home against Kansas,” Avello said. “The Sooners are playing their best football right now and are also in the thick of it for college football’s grand prize.”

UCLA at Utah (-1)

The Pac-12 South Division is a muddled mess, but both these teams still have a shot to reach the conference title game, despite suffering upset losses on Saturday.

UCLA (7-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) went off as 11.5-point home chalk Saturday against Washington State, but tumbled 31-27. Utah (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) was a 5.5-point favorite at Arizona, but lost 37-30.

“The top spot for the Pac-12 South is still up in the air for both these teams, along with Southern Cal,” Avello said. “The Utes have an easier road to get there, playing Colorado at home next week while UCLA travels to USC. The Bruins and Utes both lost tough ones Saturday, but motivation should be high for both clubs this week.”

**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 08:15 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 16

Hot teams
-- Mavericks won four of their last five games (1-0AF).
-- Pacers won six of their last seven games (3-1AU). Bulls won six of their nine games (0-4HF).
-- Celtics won four of their last five games (1-0AU).
-- Thunder won three of their last four games (0-0U). Memphis won last two games, by 8-1 points (0-3HF).
-- Spurs won seven of their last eight games (6-2 vs spread).
-- Suns won four of last five home games (3-2HF).

Cold teams
-- 0-10 Philly covered one of its five home games.
-- Houston lost last three games, by 12-9-8, scoring 98 in all three (0-4HF).
-- Trailblazers lost their last five games, covering once.
-- Lakers lost eight of their first ten games (3-3AU).

Series records
-- Dallas won eight of last nine games with Philly but covered only one of last four.
-- Home side won eight of last ten Indiana-Chicago games.
-- Rockets won their last four games with Boston (3-1 vs spread).
-- Grizzlies won three of last four games with Oklahoma City.
-- Blazers won/covered once in last five trips to San Antonio.
-- Lakers lost eight of last nine games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Three of last four Dallas games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Indiana-Chicago games stayed under.
-- Last six Rocket-Celtic games stayed under total.
-- Last four Thunder-Grizzlies games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Portland games went over total.
-- Last six Laker games stayed under the total.

NBA

Monday, November 16

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis's last 17 games
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 19 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
Chicago is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Indiana
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. PHOENIX
LA Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Phoenix's last 25 games
Phoenix is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games

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**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 08:38 AM

NBA

Monday, November 16

NBA roundup: Jazz slip past Hawks

ATLANTA -- Derrick Favors returned to his hometown to score 23 points and grab eight rebounds, leading the Utah Jazz to a 97-96 win over the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday at Philips Arena.

Favors, who grew up in Atlanta and played one season at Georgia Tech before turning professional, shot 11-for-20 from the field. His bucket gave the Jazz a five-point lead at 93-88, a margin from which the Hawks could not recover.

Favors also made an 18-footer as the shot clock was running out with 38 seconds left to extend Utah's lead to four points. He scored 17 points in the second half.

Atlanta had one last chance to win the game. Al Horford made a 3-pointer with 33 seconds left to cut the lead to one, and the Hawks had the ball after Favors missed a jumper with 12 seconds left. Paul Millsap had an open look at the basket as time expired, but his 16-footer bounced off the rim and into the arms of Favors.

Hornets 106, Trail Blazers 94

CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- Nicolas Batum and Al Jefferson combined for 62 points as Charlotte built a big lead and held on for a victory over Portland.

The Hornets used a dominating inside-outside performance from Jefferson (29 points, five rebounds) and Batum (33 points, 5-of-10 on 3-pointers) to seize a lead in the second quarter that the Hornets would not relinquish.

The Hornets' 15-0 run that secured the lead began with a Batum 3-pointer at the end of the first quarter, and ballooned with the help of eight points from Jeremy Lamb (13 points for the game) in the second quarter.

Grizzlies 114, Timberwolves 106

MINNEAPOLIS -- Jeff Green led hot-shooting Memphis with 21 points during a win over Minnesota.

Mike Conley added 20 for the Grizzlies, who had six players in double figures en route to their second victory in a row. The Grizzles entered the game with the NBA's worst shooting percentage, but they hit on a season-best 56.3 percent of their shots.

Zach LaVine scored 25 points but the Timberwolves fell to 0-5 at home with their fourth consecutive loss. Guard Andrew Wiggins finished with 21 points.

Knicks 95, Pelicans 87

NEW YORK -- Aided by strong play from the bench, New York won for just the second time at home this season, knocking off New Orleans.

Carmelo Anthony paced the Knicks with 29 points and 13 rebounds, but it was the New York reserves who made the difference. Langston Galloway scored 15 points, and Kevin Seraphin added 12 points in 13 minutes.

Pelicans star Anthony Davis showed no ill effects from a hip contusion that kept him out for two previous games. He poured in 36 points, pulled in 11 rebounds and blocked four shots in 40 minutes. Ryan Anderson contributed 16 points.

Celtics 100, Thunder 85

OKLAHOMA CITY -- Marcus Smart scored a career-high 26 points to lead Boston past Oklahoma City.

Taking on the challenge of guarding Thunder guard Russell Westbrook, Smart still made nine of 14 shots from the field and hauled in eight rebounds. Isaiah Thomas scored 20 points and handed out eight assists for the Celtics.

Westbrook had a game-high 27 points on 5-of-20 shooting. He shot 2-of-10 from behind the 3-point arc. Serge Ibaka other Thunder player in double figures, finishing with 16 points and 10 rebounds.

Kings 107, Raptors 101

SACRAMENTO, Calif. -- DeMarcus Cousins scored a game-high 36 points, and Ben McLemore's acrobatic layup with under a minute left lifted Sacramento past Toronto.

Cousins produced his third consecutive game of at least 30 points, and the Kings held the Raptors to 12 points over the final 10:23 to win for the third straight time. Cousins stopped DeMar DeRozan's drive to the hoops with 20 seconds left, and Sacramento's Rudy Gay hit two free throws after a foul at the other end to clinch it.

Gay added 27 points, and Omri Casspi contributed 14 for the Kings. DeRozan finished with 24 points, and Kyle Lowry scored 22 for Toronto.

Lakers 97, Pistons 85

LOS ANGELES -- Kobe Bryant compiled 17 points, nine assists and eight rebounds, and Los Angeles snapped a four-game skid with a victory over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday night at Staples Center.

Guard Jordan Clarkson also had 17 points for the Lakers. Bryant made just six of 19 shots from the floor but was effective in involving his teammates. The Lakers defeated the Pistons for the seventh consecutive time and the 10th time in the past 11 meetings.

Detroit's Andre Drummond extended his streak of double-doubles to 10 in a row with 17 points and 17 rebounds, and Spencer Dinwiddie added 17 points.

**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 10:24 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 16

Boston @ Houston

Game 505-506
November 16, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
123.777
Houston
118.546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
208
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+5); Over

Oklahoma City @ Memphis

Game 507-508
November 16, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
121.724
Memphis
120.693
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+2); Over

Portland @ San Antonio

Game 509-510
November 16, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
114.875
San Antonio
129.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 15
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 12
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-12); N/A

LA Lakers @ Phoenix

Game 511-512
November 16, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
111.286
Phoenix
124.908
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 13 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 11 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-11 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Philadelphia

Game 501-502
November 16, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
122.757
Philadelphia
112.223
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 10 1/2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 8
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-8); Under

Indiana @ Chicago

Game 503-504
November 16, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
116.577
Chicago
124.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 8 1/2
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
196 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-4 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 10:38 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, November 16

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DALLAS (6 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 10) - 11/16/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 443-366 ATS (+40.4 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 141-106 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 150-115 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 100-133 ATS (-46.3 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 92-137 ATS (-58.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (6 - 4) at CHICAGO (6 - 3) - 11/16/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (5 - 4) at HOUSTON (4 - 6) - 11/16/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 61-47 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 292-229 ATS (+40.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 54-40 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (6 - 4) at MEMPHIS (5 - 6) - 11/16/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 68-39 ATS (+25.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 7-7 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-7 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (4 - 7) at SAN ANTONIO (7 - 2) - 11/16/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 911-793 ATS (+38.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 721-611 ATS (+48.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 463-385 ATS (+39.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 306-242 ATS (+39.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-6 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (2 - 8) at PHOENIX (5 - 4) - 11/16/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 61-43 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/16

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/16

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