Announcement

**Udog** · 11-11-2015, 07:41 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Thanks to all the men and women who defend our country, keep us safe; today is Veterans' Day and it is an important day to remember.

-- Colts' QB Andrew Luck is out 2-6 weeks with a lacerated kidney and abdominal tears. Apparently he threw seven passes after the injury Sunday.

-- If you're planning ahead, April 30 is Noah Syndergaard Garden Gnome night at Citi Field in NYC- make your plans accordingly.

-- I'm curious if all these Tues/Wed MAC football games help their recruiting?

-- Twins signed Korean 1B Byung-Ho Park who apparently is a very good hitter.

-- You can buy a lottery ticket in New York, but now you can't play daily fantasy sports- this is the kind of double standard that explains why a lot of people despise the government-- if they're not getting a piece of the income, it becomes illegal.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: How NFL teams do 1st drives of a half

I track how each team does on the first drive of each half, both offense/defense; here are some notes as the NFL season is roughly at the halfway mark..........

13) 8-0 Bengals have scored 34 points (most in NFL) on their first drive of each game, averaging 53 yards per drive.

12) Patriots have scored on their first drive of the second half in every game this year, five FGs, three TDs. In eight games, they've outscored opponents 67-38 on the first drive of each half, tied with Green Bay (59-30) for best mark in the league.

11) Arizona (45-19), Oakland (48-20) have also done well on first drives; on Cardinals' foes' first drive of the game, they've run 41 plays for only 150 yards. Surprising that the Raiders are doing so well; Jack Del Rio could easily be Coach of the Year.

In their last three games, Raiders scored a TD on their first drive in five of six halves.

10) 49ers' offense has been terrible early in games; its offense has been outscored 7-6 by the other team's defense on their first drive of a game.

9) Houston is so dysfunctional they cut a QB who started four games and no one has picked him up, even though quality passers are scarce. Texans have run 39 plays for 140 yards on their first drive of a game, scoirng zero points. No bueno.

8) Dick LeBeau works for the Titans now; they make good halftime adjustments. On opponents' first drive of the second half, Titan opponents have run 34 plays for 77 yards, scoring no points. Once the rookie QB gets some experience, this could be a team that makes a big jump next season.

7) Rams had to sign Wes Welker; their offense is so totally dependent on Gurley and Austin, they're 20-90 on third down the last seven games, have gained only 76 yards on 28 plays on their first drive of a game. Too much pressure on the defense; if they can move the chains more now, it helps their field position and makes the team more balanced. Playing on a shorter field makes the game a lot easier.

6) Buffalo has outscored opponents 23-3 on first drives of a game; their opponents gained only 92 yards on 34 plays on their first drives. Oddly, they've been bad on first drive of third quarter; their opponents gained 7.1 yards/play, scored four TDs and FG. Seems like they prepare for opponents better than they adjust at halftime.

5) Eagles scored a TD on their first drive of the second half in four of last five games, and n fifth drive, they gained 49 yards before losing a fumble. They wore down Dallas' defense Sunday night, gaining 287 yards on 35 plays over their last five drives.

4) Miami changed coaches after four games, because the defensive players weren't happy with their defensive scheme; in their first four games, Dolphins allowed three TDs and a FG (285 yards on 30 plays) on the first drive of a game.

Since the change, Miami allowed 158 yards on 27 plays, allowing one TD, one FG, so thats an improvement, maybe just because the players feel more invested now.

3) Denver has been surprisingly bad on the first drive of a game, kicking two FGs on eight drives, gaining 197 yards on 45 plays (4.4 ypp).

2) Teams are 6-0 the week after playing Carolina, both SU and against the spread; four of those six teams were favored.

1) Not sure why this is true but it is, but teams are 0-8 against the spread the week after playing the Cardinals, winning only two games SU.

**Udog** · 11-11-2015, 07:43 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 11

Indiana @ Boston

Game 707-708
November 11, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
121.773
Boston
120.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2 1/22
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+2 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Dallas

Game 709-710
November 11, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
126.204
Dallas
115.357
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 11
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 7
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-7); Over

New Orleans @ Atlanta

Game 711-712
November 11, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
113.296
Atlanta
125.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 12 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 9
212
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-9); Over

Golden State @ Memphis

Game 713-714
November 11, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
127.792
Memphis
124.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 3 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7 1/2
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+7 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ Houston

Game 715-716
November 11, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
112.861
Houston
120.789
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 8
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 12 1/2
206
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+12 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ Denver

Game 717-718
November 11, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
113.347
Denver
119.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-1 1/2); Over

Detroit @ Sacramento

Game 719-720
November 11, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
117.222
Sacramento
121.790
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 4 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 1 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(-1 1/2); Over

San Antonio @ Portland

Game 721-722
November 11, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
124.777
Portland
120.798
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 4
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+8); Under

LA Lakers @ Orlando

Game 701-702
November 11, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
107.485
Orlando
120.025
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 12 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 7 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-7 1/2); N/A

Toronto @ Philadelphia

Game 703-704
November 11, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
122.686
Philadelphia
110.547
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 12
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-8 1/2); Over

New York @ Charlotte

Game 705-706
November 11, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
116.508
Charlotte
118.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 2
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5 1/2
197
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+5 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-11-2015, 07:46 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 11

Hot teams
-- Orlando won three of its last five games.
-- Charlotte won three of its last four games. Knicks won/covered three of four road games.
-- Indiana won four of its last five games.
-- Clippers won five of their last seven games.
-- Hawks won seven of their last eight games.
-- Warriors won first eight games (1-2AF).
-- Rockets won their last four games (0-2HF).
-- Bucks won four of their last five games.
-- Pistons won five of their first seven games.
-- Spurs won/covered five of their last six games.

Cold teams
-- Lakers lost six of first seven games (2-2AU).
-- 76ers are 0-7 this season (3-4 vs spread). Toronto lost last three games, by 5-20-2 points.
-- Celtics lost three of their last four games.
-- Dallas lost two of its last three games.
-- Pelicans won their first game in seven tries last night.
-- Memphis lost its last three games, by 19-10-2 points.
-- Nets lost their first seven games (1-6 vs spread).
-- Denver lost four of its last six games.
-- Sacramento lost its last six games (1-4 vs spread in last five).
-- Portland lost last two games, by 17-4 points.

Series records
-- Lakers lost five of last six visits to Orlando.
-- 76ers lost last eight games with Toronto (3-5 vs spread).
-- Hornets won their last three games with New York.
-- Pacers won six of last nine games with Boston.
-- Clippers won six of last eight games with Dallas; the whole free agent thing with DeAndre Jordan will be the story here. .
-- Pelicans won four of last six games with Atlanta.
-- Grizzlies lost last four games with Golden State; they lost by 50 to the Warriors in Oakland last week.
-- Rockets won nine of last ten games with Brooklyn.
-- Nuggets won nine of last ten games with Milwaukee.
-- Pistons won nine of last ten games with Sacramento.
-- Spurs lost three of last four games with Portland, which may be why they signed Aldridge away from Blazers.

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Laker-Magic games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Toronto games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five New York games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last nine Clipper-Dallas games went over.
-- Five of last six New Orleans-Atlanta games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Memphis-Golden State games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Brooklyn games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games stayed under.
-- Last four Detroit-Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine San Antonio-Portland games.

**Udog** · 11-11-2015, 07:49 AM

NBA

Wednesday, November 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Philadelphia is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. ORLANDO
LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. BOSTON
Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Indiana's last 23 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Boston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. ATLANTA
New Orleans is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Atlanta is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DALLAS
LA Clippers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the LA Clippers last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Dallas's last 18 games
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. MEMPHIS
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Memphis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. HOUSTON
Brooklyn is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Brooklyn

9:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. DENVER
Milwaukee is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Denver
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee

10:00 PM
DETROIT vs. SACRAMENTO
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 15 games
Sacramento is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

10:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. PORTLAND
San Antonio is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Portland
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Portland is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
Portland is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against San Antonio

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**clubgowi** · 11-11-2015, 12:31 PM

NBA Philadelphia 76ers - Toronto Raptors

Recommendation: Raptors - 8

Odds: 1.854

Bookmaker: Pinnaclesports / Sportmarket

The spread seems a bit steep here at first sight, moreover the game is at Wells Fargo, Philly. Sixers will be the most pathetic team in the league for another season though (yes, even Lakers are better Smiley and this seems set in stone. Their coach Brett Brown still insist that his team can compete with anyone in the league (let’s take a minute and laugh at him) but when the talent and effort aren’t there, all is just wishful thinking. Sixers may welcome Nerlens Noel back in the squad tonight after injury but this doesn’t bother me too much, the guy is not showing any promise to fulfill his potential currently. Even the bright spot, rookie center Okafor, can’t help Philly too much. He records very nice stats for a rookie but this just doesn’t transfer directly in teams ratings.

Raptors suffered a setback after their shockingly good start to the season, or more like the reality hit them hard. It’s true though that Toronto’s last loss against Knicks was a bit harsh, coming after a very bad referee decision in the key possession (Carmelo Anthony was clearly out of bounds and it should have been Raptors ball). So Toronto will be angry mad and motivated on 100 % for victory, I just hope they escape some stupid backdoor cover. Carrol and Terence Ross are questionable again for tonight (both will likely miss the game in fact) but DeRozan and Kyle Lowry showed their old form against New York, so more of the same, please!

**Udog** · 11-11-2015, 06:11 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, November 11

LA Lakers at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Los Angeles: 14-4 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds
Orlando: 1-9 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more

Toronto at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Toronto: 70-45 ATS on road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5
Philadelphia: 13-26 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or more

NY Knicks at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
New York: 12-27 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
Charlotte: 25-11 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less

Indiana at Boston, 7:35 ET
Indiana: 9-1 ATS in road games in November
Boston: 47-76 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more

LA Clippers at Dallas, 8:05 ET
Los Angeles: 119-86 OVER after a game with 15 or less assists
Dallas: 4-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5

New Orleans at Atlanta, 8:05 ET
New Orleans: 3-21 ATS on road off a win by 10 pts or more over a division rival
Atlanta: 13-4 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite

Golden State at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Golden State: 14-4 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 10 or more steals
Memphis: 20-43 ATS after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers

Brooklyn at Houston, 8:05 ET
Brooklyn: 19-8 UNDER off a road loss
Houston: 21-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs

Milwaukee at Denver, 9:05 ET
Milwaukee: 20-7 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
Denver: 5-8 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog

Detroit at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Detroit: 27-15 ATS after playing a road game
Sacramento: 9-20 ATS in non-conference games

San Antonio at Portland, 10:35 ET
San Antonio: 74-54 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite
Portland: 6-19 ATS off a road loss

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/11

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/11

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment