Announcement

**Udog** · 11-08-2015, 09:36 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 8 season record: 25-22-2

6) Giants, -2.5-- Bucs' WR Evans could light up the Giants' defense.

5) Broncos -5 (456)-- Struggling Colts welcome an old friend back home.

4) Rams +1.5 (461)-- Matchup of teams on the upswing.

3) Eagles, -2.5 (508)-- Cowboys are 0-5 since Romo got hurt.

2) Jets -6.5 (555)-- Jets get center Mangold back from an injury.

1) Steelers -4 (706)-- Underdog covered all three Oakland road games.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday.....

13) Alabama 30, LSU 16-- Crimson Tide outrushed LSU 250-54, just beat them up physically on both lines. LSU's QB isn't good enough to move the chains by throwing the ball. As many pros as LSU produces, almost none of them throw the ball.

12) Nebraska 39, Michigan State 38-- Cornhuskers have five losses by five or less points; they were due to win a weird game, which they did here. Spartans led by 12 points with 2:00 to go- the winning TD scored on a play where the WR went out of bounds but came back in- refs ruled he was forced out, a shaky decision.

11) Arkansas 53, Ole Miss 52 OT-- Hogs converted a 4th-and 25 in OT, thanks to a schoolyard-like lateral; find it on SportsCenter, it is too weird to desbribe here. Hogs' win puts Alabama in the drivers' seat to win the SEC West. This game had 1,195 TY, no turnovers, six accepted penalties. Entertaining.

10) Oklahoma State 49, TCU 29-- Wow was I wrong about TCU; they got squashed in this game, which was over long before WR Doctson, Frogs' best player, left with a wrist injury. Four of ten previously unbeaten teams lost on Saturday.

9) Florida 9, Vanderbilt 7-- Games like this are why Top 25 poll is non-sensical; the Gators should drop in polls for beating Vandy without scoring a TD, but they won't. Florida has one loss, have held four of last five opponents to 10 or less points.

8) Clemson 23, Florida State 13-- Seminoles will drop in polls because of this game, which is comical; they played the #1 team toe-to-to-toe for 50:00, but lost, because in every game, someone loses. But Florida State is better than Florida.

7) Navy 45, Memphis 20-- First loss for Tigers, who don't play good enough defense to stop the Middies' option attack- they ran ball for 374 yards. Navy is now 24-9 vs the spread in its last 33 games as a road underdog.

6) South Alabama 52, Idaho 45-- Vandals scored 93 points in their last two games but managed to lose both; their QB is the son of Cowboys' OC Scott Linehan.

5) Tennessee 27, South Carolina 24-- Vols blew 17-0 lead, were saved when TE for Gamecocks was stripped of ball around Tennessee 20 in last minute. after a terrific catch/run that had South Carolina set up to tie or win the game.

4) UConn 7, Tulane 3-- I've been doing this stuff for long time; have never (that I can remember at least) logged stats for a game where neither team had 10+ first downs. In this day and age, how do you lose a game when you give up seven points?

3) Iowa 35, Indiana 27-- Hawkeyes haven't lost yet; who they losing to in the Rose Bowl? USC? Utah? UCLA? Iowa lost its last three bowl games by average of 32-19.

2) USC 38, Arizona 30-- RichRod went for it on 4th-and-2 at midfield when he led 23-20 in the third quarter; game swung on that failed play. There are guys making big, big money to be head coaches who aren't well-versed in game management. This wasn't a horrible mistake, but it was an unnecessary risk for a struggling team on the road.

Memo to ESPN's Rod Gilmore, who is a lawyer in real life: Jeff Fisher makes $7M a year coaching the Rams and has never coached college football. He is in his late 50's and probably wants no part of recruiting 17-year olds. Mentioning his name as a possible new coach for USC, just because he went to school there, is irresponsible.

1) Trouble at Missouri-- This has nothing to do with sports, other than the black football players at Missouri have gone on strike, until the school president quits or is fired. There have been racially-fueled incidents on campus recently and there is a lot of unrest regarding how those incidents were handled.

Maybe someday coach Gary Pinkel will write a book; his starting QB is off the team, amidst rumors he is involved with drugs, now 75% of the team is on strike. Have fun recruiting this winter, even if this issue does get resolved fairly soon.

**Udog** · 11-08-2015, 09:51 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, November 8

LA Lakers @ New York

Game 501-502
November 8, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
107.021
New York
117.903
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 11
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 4 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-4 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
November 8, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
118.304
Cleveland
128.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 10 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 7
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-7); Over

Toronto @ Miami

Game 505-506
November 8, 2015 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
121.639
Miami
120.259
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
185
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
190 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+2 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Oklahoma City

Game 507-508
November 8, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
118.149
Oklahoma City
123.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+9); Under

Detroit @ Portland

Game 509-510
November 8, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.132
Portland
124.583
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 4 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1 1/2
197 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1 1/2); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (1 - 4) at NEW YORK (2 - 4) - 11/8/2015, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (3 - 3) at CLEVELAND (5 - 1) - 11/8/2015, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (5 - 1) at MIAMI (3 - 3) - 11/8/2015, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 70-44 ATS (+21.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 107-141 ATS (-48.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 112-149 ATS (-51.9 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
MIAMI is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (3 - 3) at OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 3) - 11/8/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 97-69 ATS (+21.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 53-28 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (4 - 1) at PORTLAND (4 - 2) - 11/8/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA

Sunday, November 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. NEW YORK
LA Lakers are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games
LA Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
New York is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Lakers

3:30 PM
INDIANA vs. CLEVELAND
Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Indiana
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Miami
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Toronto
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Phoenix is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Oklahoma City's last 18 games when playing Phoenix

9:00 PM
DETROIT vs. PORTLAND
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Portland is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/8

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/8

Comment

Comment