Announcement

**Udog** · 11-07-2015, 07:23 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

NFL trends to ponder with Week 9 upon us..........

-- Buffalo is 3-8 in last 11 games as a home favorite; Ryan is 0-5 in his last five.

-- Washington is 5-12 in last seventeen games as a road underdog.

-- Green Bay won six of last eight games with Carolina, 5-2 in last seven visits to Charlotte; average total in last five series games is 54.6.

-- Broncos are 14-9 in last 23 games as a road favorite.

-- 49ers didn't score TD in their last two games, gaining 331 yards total, converting 4-28 on 3rd down

-- NFC South teams are 13-7 vs spread in non-divisional games.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind........

13) BYU 17, San Jose State 16-- Spartans scored a TD with 0:45 left, went for two points and the win, but missed. If I'm coaching San Jose, I play for OT, just for the extra TV exposure- there is nothing else on TV at midnight on the west coast.

12) This is how tenuous winning in the NFL is:
Tom Brady's career won-loss record: 188-55.
Bill Belichick's head coaching record: 240-118.

Belichick's record without Brady: 52-63

The smartest coaches are the guys with the best players.

11) I'd love to know how much Billy Donovan, Fred Hoiberg and Brad Stevens like coaching in the NBA, as opposed to college ball. Doubt we'll ever find out.

10) Indiana Pacers wore Hickory High uniforms last night, straight from the movie Hoosiers. Paul George played the role of Jimmy Chitwood, scoring 36 points, but he wears number 13, which benchwarmer Ollie wore in the famous movie.

9) Augustana 76, Iowa 74-- Augustana is a D-II school, but a very good one; Iowa plays in the Big 14. Not a positive sign for the Hawkeyes.

8) Dodgers turned down Chase Utley's $11M option for next year; would be funny (to me, at least) if the Mets signed him up to fill their upcoming gap at 2B.

7) I can't stand the NBA rule where teams can use a timeout to advance the ball from the backcourt to the frontcourt-- it creates artificial excitement, but it also takes away chances for teams that are behind to trap in the backcourt after made baskets.

6) If you care about such things, Rice Owls have played 31 freshmen this season, more than anyone else in America.

5) Denver is a 5.5-point favorite at Indianapolis Sunday; if you bet this game back when schedule came out and early lines were posted, Colts were a 3-point favorite.

4) Giants have allowed 315.4 passing yards/game, most in the NFL so far.

3) So far this season, NBA teams are 21-11 vs spread if they played the night before; NHL teams are 32-36 if they played the night before.

2) Temple 60, SMU 40-- Really bad beat if you took SMU and the points; game was 45-40 with 2:00 left, the Owls scored on a 36-yard pass, went for two and got it, then scored on a pick-6 with 0:55 for the cover. Much closer game than final score shows.

1) I hope kids realize how much work Stephen Curry has put in to become as good a shooter as he is now. Thousands and thousands of jumpshots. Lot of time.

**Udog** · 11-07-2015, 07:27 AM

NBA

Saturday, November 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Orlando is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 18 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home

8:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. MILWAUKEE
Brooklyn is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,

8:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Charlotte is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

8:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of New Orleans's last 23 games when playing on the road against Dallas
New Orleans is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Orleans

9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. UTAH
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Utah is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

10:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Golden State's last 18 games on the road
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Houston is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the LA Clippers last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 9 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-07-2015, 08:32 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, November 7

Minnesota @ Chicago

Game 701-702
November 7, 2015 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
114.517
Chicago
120.377
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 6
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 9 1/2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+9 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Philadelphia

Game 703-704
November 7, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
114.498
Philadelphia
113.414
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 4
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+4); Under

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 705-706
November 7, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
116.502
Atlanta
123.126
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 6 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-3 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ San Antonio

Game 707-708
November 7, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
116.251
San Antonio
128.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 12 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 10
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-10); Over

Brooklyn @ Milwaukee

Game 709-710
November 7, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
112.030
Milwaukee
115.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 5 1/2
194
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+5 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Dallas

Game 711-712
November 7, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
116.262
Dallas
118.891
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 5 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+5 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Utah

Game 713-714
November 7, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
116.719
Utah
123.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 7
174
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 1
179 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-1); Under

Golden State @ Sacramento

Game 715-716
November 7, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
135.997
Sacramento
116.451
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 19 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-13); Under

Houston @ LA Clippers

Game 717-718
November 7, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
119.013
LA Clippers
129.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 10 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8
218
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-8); Over

**Udog** · 11-07-2015, 09:26 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (2 - 2) at CHICAGO (4 - 2) - 11/7/2015, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 113-151 ATS (-53.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (2 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 5) - 11/7/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 82-112 ATS (-41.2 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 92-134 ATS (-55.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3 - 2) at ATLANTA (6 - 1) - 11/7/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 95-135 ATS (-53.5 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 158-204 ATS (-66.4 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
ATLANTA is 59-42 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (2 - 3) at SAN ANTONIO (3 - 2) - 11/7/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 37-66 ATS (-35.6 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 136-175 ATS (-56.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 908-792 ATS (+36.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 718-610 ATS (+47.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 462-384 ATS (+39.6 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 75-43 ATS (+27.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 304-242 ATS (+37.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 188-133 ATS (+41.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 364-292 ATS (+42.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (0 - 6) at MILWAUKEE (3 - 3) - 11/7/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 348-410 ATS (-103.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 129-175 ATS (-63.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-84 ATS (-45.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (0 - 5) at DALLAS (2 - 3) - 11/7/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 289-239 ATS (+26.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 37-51 ATS (-19.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (3 - 3) at UTAH (3 - 2) - 11/7/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (6 - 0) at SACRAMENTO (1 - 5) - 11/7/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 61-44 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 33-51 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (3 - 3) at LA CLIPPERS (4 - 1) - 11/7/2015, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 60-44 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 117-79 ATS (+30.1 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
HOUSTON is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 228-282 ATS (-82.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 10-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-6 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-07-2015, 11:30 AM

NBA

Saturday, November 7

Pelicans still without SU or ATS win this season

It's not "sound the alarm" time in New Orleans as it's still early in the NBA season, but this is certainly not the start anyone expected from the Pelicans.

Along with the horrible Brooklyn Nets and Philadelphia 76ers, the Pelicans are one of just three teams in the NBA without a straight up win, but are the last team in the league without a victory against the spread (0-5 SU, ATS).

The Pelicans lost 121-115 to the Atlanta Hawks as 2.5-point home underdogs Friday evening as their early season woes continued. They have a chance to snap out of their funk with a visit to the Dallas Mavericks Saturday night.

Books opened the Mavs as 4.5-point home faves, but that has since move to -5.

No smoke and mirrors as Magic continue impressive ATS run

The Orlando Magic posted an impressive 92-87 win over the red-hot Toronto Raptors Friday evening, picking up only their second win in the early days of the new NBA season.

What's really impressive, however, is the fact that the Magic now own a record of 6-0 against the spread which is tied for fourth-best mark to begin an NBA season since the 1990-91 campaign.

The Magic are a young and exciting team and despite the 2-4 SU record, have been competitive in each of their contests. In their four defeats, which have come against the Washington Wizards, Oklahoma City Thunder, Chicago Bulls and Houston Rockets, they've lost by a total of just 14 points.

Now even with the 2003-04 Milwaukee Bucks at 6-0 to begin the season, the Magic will look to improve to 7-0 ATS and move to a tie for the third-best ATS start with the 2007-08 Boston Celtics as 4-point road faves at the Philadelphia 76ers Saturday night.

**clubgowi** · 11-07-2015, 12:18 PM

NBA Atlanta Hawks – Washington Wizards

Recommendation: OVER 203

Odds: 1.917

Bookmaker: Pinnaclesports / Sportmarket

Atlanta and Washington resume their rivalry in Southeast Division tonight. Hawks recorded a very nice 60-win regular season last year and saw Wizards out in 6 games during the Conference semifinals. It wasn’t as easy series for them as it sounds though, Washington kept most of the games close, especially the last ones. I very much suspect Hawks will continue their dominance over the opponent at home floor in Atlanta tonight but am much more interested in the total line bettingwise.

Hawks rediscovered their mojo after the disappointing loss against Detroit at home in the opener. They not only recorded 6 straight wins but really found their rhythm in offense, corresponding with the return of key sharpshooter Kyle Korver in play. They still has the usual problems in rebounding the ball of course, that couldn’t be addressed easily but it’s just their way to win games with very good shooting percentage, thus lowering the weight of the rebounding factor Smiley

Wizards will be highly motivated to dethrone Atlanta from the top of the division on their turn. As I’ve mentioned last time when speaking of them, everything’s about the strong backcourt here, Bradley Beal and John Wall. These guys like to run, penetrate and score, competing with whomever the opponents guard player is, and competing between themselves for the franchise player honors too (in a good manner for now) !

You probably know by now where I’m leading you, OVER is the recommendation here.

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/7

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/7

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment