Monday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/21

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, September 21

Good Luck on day #264 of 2015!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)six most popular picks in Week 1 season record: 5-2
6) Rams 411-- Trap game after win over Seahawks- L
5) Titans 414-- Not a lot of faith in Johnny Manziel- L
4) Cardinals 428-- Arizona covered last six road openers- W.
3) Ravens 476-- Not a lot of faith in the Raiders. L
2) Bengals 499-- Not really sure why on this one. W
1) Steelers 608-- Long travel, short work week for 49ers. W (3-3, 8-5)

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday......

14) Cowboys 20, Eagles 10-- Dallas wins but loses QB Romo for couple months with broken collarbone. As for the Eagles, Demarco Murray has carried the ball 21 times in his first two games with Eagles and gained a total of 11 yards.

13) Panthers 24, Texans 17-- I'm thinking coaches hate having their team on HBO's Hard Knocks in the summer; Falcons were on last year and Mike Smith got fired. Now Houston is 0-2 and Bill O'Brien looks like a nitwit for the way he's handled his QBs.

12) Buccaneers 26, Saints 19-- New Orleans has now lost its last six home games and Drew Brees says he has a sore shoulder. Uh-oh. Jameis Winston ges his first NFL win and no one talks about him. Lot of people talked about him last week.

11) Steelers 43, 49ers 18-- Roethlisberger averaged 13.7 ypa as Pitt romped in its home opener. Tough scheduling spot for 49ers, with eastern trip after a late Monday night game last week. Steelers scored six TDs on their nine drives in this game.

10) Vikings 26, Lions 16-- Detroit is now 0-2; they scored 13 of their 16 points in last 2:00 of each half. Lions were one of only three teams this week to be -2 or worse in turnovers; all three lost. Peterson had 192 total yards for Minnesota.

9) Patriots 40, Bills 32-- Good thing Buffalo hired a defensive coach last winter; no telling how many yards Brady would've thrown for otherwise. Officials in this game probably soaked their elbows afterwards; 25 accepted penalties for 259 yards. I will say this once again: no one pays to watch officials do their job.

8) Cardinals 48, Bears 23-- Arizona ran opening kick back for TD and things got worse from there for Chicago, which lost Cutler to a hamstring injury, then realized his backup is Jimmy Clausen. Cardinals also scored a defensive TD and had two TD drives of less than 50 yards, whiich is the recipe for winning in the NFL.

7) Browns 28, Titans 14-- Manziel wins his first NFL game, Mariota loses his first and we can put his bust in Canton on hold for a while. Manziel hit Benjamin for TDs of 50 and 60 yards, but they did get outgained by 109 yards (+3 in turnovers).

6) Bengals 24, Chargers 19-- Two of three Cincy TDs were on drives of less than 40 yards. League-wide, favorites are 6-8 vs spread so far this week, over is 7-8. Teams that scored a TD on defense/special teams are 4-1, with Chiefs only loser and they gave one up, too. Creating easy points is a huge key in the NFL.

5) Redskins 24, Rams 10-- Washington was the better-prepared team for this game and was dominant for the whole game, except for a little bit of the third quarter, when the Rans put on a brief rally. St Louis badly needs a playmaker on offense.

Pet Peeve of the Day: Rams score a TD to cut lead to 17-9, they have all momentum on their side, but WR Britt, who caught a whopping two passes all day, got flagged for taunting after the TD, costing Rams 15 yards of field position. Shut the bleep up!!!

4) Falcons 24, Giants 20-- Giants had ball in red zone up 20-10, Manning fumbled when hit, then Atlanta had TD drives of 91-70 yards to pull this game out and move to 2-0. Early prediction: Nick Saban to the Colts, Chuck Pagano to the Giants in 2016.

3) Raiders 37, Ravens 33-- Derek Carr is pretty good, now that he has quality WRs in Crabtree/Cooper. Total yardage in this fun game was 493-448; Ravens miss injured defensive star Suggs. All seven TDs in this game came on drives of 80+ yards. Raiders had 16 accepted penalties for 106 yards and still scored 37 points.

2) Jaguars 23, Dolphins 20-- Miami ran ball only 16 times for 42 yards, in what was only game this week with no turnovers by either side. Bortles has turned out to be a pretty good young QB, but they had only one TD in three red zone drives.

!) Packers 27, Seahawks 17-- Its still funny to me that Aaron Rodgers didn't get a scholarship to play football out of high school. Two NFL games this week were tied at half; of the other 13, only the Giants lost after leading at halftime. Last week, teams that led at the half were 11-4.

[Udog]

NCAAF Opening Line Report: The Pac-12 shuffle

Freshman quarterback Josh Rosen and UCLA have opened as 4-point road favorites against Arizona

According to the preseason prognosticators, Oregon and Southern Cal were the two best teams in the Pac-12 Conference. And that may prove to be the case by season’s end.

But both those squads have already been dinged, quickly opening the door for other Pac-12 teams, with a couple of Week 4 matchups that could shuffle the deck or muddle the picture even more.

UCLA and Arizona are both off to 3-0 SU starts and moving up in the rankings, as the Bruins face their first conference game with the trip to Tucson. The Bruins (1-1-1- ATS) rallied to a squeak out a 24-23 victory over Brigham Young on Saturday, falling well short at the books as a 16.5-point home favorite.

The Wildcats (2-1 ATS) will face their sternest test by far, having already played two FCS squads. They struggled in the season opener before putting away Stephen F. Austin 42-32 as a 32.5-point home fave, but drubbed visiting Northern Arizona on Saturday 77-13 laying 34.5 points.

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, opened UCLA as a 4-point favorite. The Bruins have won and covered their last three against the Wildcats.

“Yes, UCLA is 3-0, but nothing is going to come easy when conference play starts in the Pac-12. On Saturday, freshman QB Josh Rosen looked more like a freshman, the running game emerged and the Bruins prevailed over a very game BYU team,” Avello said. “Arizona has yet to play a top-50 team, but like last year, scoring is not an issue. Until the Wildcats move up an additional notch, they will continue to be home ‘dogs against the Pac-12’s Big Three – USC, UCLA and Oregon.”

Utah at Oregon

The Ducks (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS), who reached the national title game last year, can’t be faulted too much for their lone loss this season – 31-28 at Michigan State as a 5-point underdog. Oregon got healthy by taking on overmatched Georgia State on Saturday, rolling to a 61-28 home win, but failing to cash as a massive 42.5-point chalk.

Utah (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) will be on the road for the second straight week, after besting Fresno State 45-24 Saturday giving 11.5 points. The Utes opened the season with a quality home win over Michigan, 24-17 laying 5 points.

Utah quarterback Travis Wilson suffered a shoulder injury in a Week 2 win over Boise State, so Avello is waiting to set the number until he knows whether Wilson will play, though he’s looking at a line of around Oregon -14.

“Even the very good defense that Utah has had over the past couple of years hasn't been able to slow down the Ducks,” Avello said, noting Oregon’s 51-27 road win last year and 44-21 home win in 2013. “Oregon is in great shape at the quarterback position and didn't miss a beat with Jeff Lockie starting over Vernon Adams Jr. (broken finger) this past week.

“Utah played very well on the road last year, winning at Michigan, UCLA and Stanford, so there will be no fear playing in Eugene, but the Utes better bring offensive firepower.”

Mississippi State at Auburn (-4)

For a team considered an SEC contender, Auburn (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) seems entirely out of sync right now. The Tigers needed overtime in Week 2 to beat Jacksonville State 27-20 as an overwhelming 44-point favorite, and then got blasted Saturday at Louisiana State 45-21 catching 6.5 points.

Mississippi State (2-1 SU and ATS) also fell to LSU, but in much more respectable fashion. The Bulldogs lost 21-19 in Week 2, covering as a 3-point home pup. On Saturday, the Bulldogs stuffed Northwestern State 62-13 laying 38.5 points at home.

“With Mississippi State QB Dak Prescott, you get mixed results from week to week. This past week against Northwestern State, you saw the positive ones,” Avello said. “Last year, this matchup took place in Week 6, and the Bulldogs beat Auburn 38-23. I don't believe this Bulldogs team is anywhere as talented as last year's squad.

“Auburn is really having major heartburn to start the season, but the Tigers will improve as the season progresses. This may be a good place to start.”

Brigham Young at Michigan (-3.5)

New Wolverines coach Jim Harbaugh has picked up two straight blowout wins after the season-opening loss at Utah. On Saturday, Michigan (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) won 28-7 laying 34 points at home against UNLV.

BYU (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS) could easily be unbeaten, despite facing three stout teams. The Cougars let a 20-10 fourth-quarter lead slip away Saturday, losing 24-23 at UCLA but cashing as a hefty 16.5-point ‘dog.

“Wow, who orchestrated this opening schedule for the Cougars?” Avello said, noting BYU won at Nebraska and topped Boise State in Provo. “It would be beneficial to play this type of schedule if it were college basketball, to get battle tested and ready for the NCAA Tournament, but unfortunately, only four teams make it to the college football playoffs.

“With that said, the Cougars almost made it to 3-0. Michigan wasn't impressive against UNLV, which is not a very good team, and the Wolverines will find out what Nebraska, Boise State and UCLA did – BYU is menacing.”

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Monday, September 21


Indiana @ Chicago

Game 617-618
September 21, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
113.893
Chicago
116.742
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 3
165
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 5 1/2
159 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+5 1/2); Over




WNBA

Monday, September 21

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHICAGO
Indiana is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Indiana
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Monday, September 21

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INDIANA (21 - 15) at CHICAGO (22 - 14) - 9/21/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 11-8 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-10 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

Top 25: Big Ten holds top two spots

For the first time in nine years, the Big Ten holds the top two spots in the Associated Press' college football Top 25.

Ohio State remains No. 1 despite a tight 20-13 win over Northern Illinois on Saturday. Michigan State jumped up two places to No. 2 following a 35-21 win over Air Force.

The Buckeyes received 42 first-place votes, and the Spartans received seven.

The Big Ten most recently held No. 1 and No. 2 when Ohio State was on top over Michigan heading into the teams' regular-season-ending meeting in November 2006.

Ole Miss made the biggest jump in the rating, moving from No. 15 to a tie for No. 3 after a 43-37 victory over Alabama. The Rebels, who received 11 first-place votes, share the third spot with TCU, a 56-37 winner over SMU.

Baylor, which was idle this weekend, remained No. 5.

Rounding out the top 10 are Notre Dame, Georgia, LSU (which received one first-place vote), UCLA and Florida State.

The second 10 consists of Clemson, Alabama, Oregon, Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Arizona, Northwestern, Utah, Southern California and Georgia Tech.

Stanford is No. 21. Wisconsin and BYU are tied for 22nd, and Oklahoma State and Missouri round out the rankings.

The 12th-ranked Crimson Tide and 13th-ranked Ducks, both 2-1, are the only top 15 teams with a loss. Oregon fell to Michigan State on Sept. 12.

USC made the largest drop of the week, slipping from No. 6 to No. 19 following a 41-31 home loss to Stanford.

Only two all-top-25 matchups are on the schedule for this week: No. 9 UCLA at No. 16 Arizona, and No. 13 Oregon at No. 18 Utah.