Thursday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/17

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, September 17

Good Luck on day #260 of 2015!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some NFL trends to ponder with Week 2 approaching........
-- Under is 19-3-2 in Chiefs' last 24 home openers.
-- Carolina is 1-9-1 vs spread as a favorite in home openers.
-- Saints won last seven games against Tampa Bay, with three of last four by 3 or less points or in OT.
-- Over last decade, team that lost the Thursday night season opener is 3-6-1 vs spread m its Week 2 game.
-- Patriots are 21-2 in last 23 games vs Buffalo, 7-1 last eight games vs Rex Ryan
-- Arizona is 13-3-1 under Arians in games where spread was 3 or less points.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.....

13) Rutgers suspended football coach Kyle Flood for three games, fined him $50K for e-mailing a professor over a player's grade-- academic support members are people who are supposed to do stuff like that. Have fun recruiting after this mess.

12) I like ground-level NFL highlights, because it shows you how fast and violent a game it really is. You lose that with the normal TV view from above the field.

11) Rangers 14, Astros 3-- Texas routed Houston ace Dallas Keuchel in first inning and increased its AL West lead to 1.5 games. Astros caught a break when Minnesota lost in extra innings to Detroit- they still hold the second Wild Card spot.

10) Not sure if I mentioned this before, but Milwaukee Brewers brought up a career minor leaguer named Nevin Ashley this month, after he spent ten years in the minor leagues. Ashley turned 31 last month; he's played in 870 minor league games, hitting .263 in 2,905 minor league ABs. Two cool things about Mr Ashley:

a) He doubled in his first major league at-bat, after all those years of waiting.
b) His wife's name is Ashley.......which makes her Ashley Ashley.

9) Houston Texans switched QBs already, whcih makes their organization look just plain stupid. No way do you dump the starting QB after one lousy game.

8) Demarco Murray got $9M more in guaranteed money from the Eagles than what Dallas was offering him. At end of the day, money talks louder than any person can.

Side note on Cowboys: they spent $52M on their offense LY, $32M on defense.

7) Padres pitcher Josh Johnson is going to have his third Tommy John operation; I'm thinking no one has ever come back from three arm operations. Johnson is 31, we wish him well- he musn't mind the grueling rehab process he'll have to undergo. Again.

6) Patriots at Buffalo Sunday, in an interesting early season game. Big day in western New York; Syracuse grad Vanessa Williams will sing the national anthem, as Rex Ryan tries to beat his nemesis, Bill Belichick. Ryan has spent his entire head coaching career trying to find a way to stop Tom Brady. He's still trying.

5) Downtown Los Angeles got 2.39 inches of rain Tuesday, the most they've gotten in one day since March 20, 2011. Dodgers got their game in, too.

4) Read an interesting article today about how San Diego Padres made 30 personnel moves in 24 hours last December 18-19, increasing their payroll by $38M. As I type this, the Padres are 69-78; thats $38M down the freakin' drain. But hey, the guy who made the moves went to an Ivy League school, so he doesn't get fired. Oy.

3) Former Colts/Bills GM, Hall of Famer Bill Polian says a developmental, six-team spring football league would work, but only if the NFL paid for it and benefitted from it. All six teams in his league would be located in the southeast. Polian worked in the USFL 30 years ago, which failed because they tried to move to the fall.

A couple of notes on the Republican debate last night........
2) Very tough to be the moderator; you've got 11 people with very big egos up on the stage fighting for their political life- they all need as much airtime as they can get. Someone actually tracked how much each candidate spoke last night- Donald Trump spoke 27 times, the most. Carly Fiorina interrupted the most, six times.

1) My opinion is that debates are not the best way to choose who is going to lead our country. Being glib and/or telegenic shouldn't be requirements for the job. Of the 17 males running for President, all middle-aged men, none are bald. How? Why?

If you take any cross-section of 17 middle-aged men, the odds of coming up with zero bald guys are astronomic. Could be just me, but I sense a conspiracy here. :-)

[Udog]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

The South Alabama Jaguars will have traveled more than 3,860 miles over the past two weeks following Saturday's game in San Diego.

Letdown spot

For once, the Dallas Cowboys were on the winning side of bad clock management in their come-from-behind home win over the New York Giants in Week 1. Eli Manning bumbled the closing minutes of the game, leaving the door open for Tony Romo to march downfield and score a one-point victory. The Cowboys, high off that incredible win and missing an injured Dez Bryant, head to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles in Week 2.

Philadelphia looked terrible in the opening two frames against the Atlanta Falcons but started to get the chains moving in the second half. Chip Kelly will iron out the kinks before the home opener and scores a huge break with Bryant out (especially after Julio Jones torched the Eagles secondary for huge gains Monday). We could see the Cowboys coming in flat and unable to match the points the Eagles can put up.

Lookahead spot

Ottawa is enjoying a successful summer in its second year back in the CFL. The RedBlacks are 6-4 and in second place in the Eastern Division, taking back-to-back victories into Week 13’s road game in Saskatchewan. Ottawa defeated the Rough Riders on home turf at the end of August with a 35-13 victory as a 3-point favorite. But it could get caught looking past Saskatchewan this Saturday and to an important provincial rivalry next week.

The RedBlacks host the Toronto Argonauts in Week 14 for a crucial matchup. The Agros are 6-5 in the standings and are enjoying a bye this week after suffering three straight losses, including two in a row at the hands of the division-leading Ti-Cats. Both teams will be putting everything they have into that game, so we expect the RedBlacks to be a little distracted versus the Riders.

Schedule spot

The South Alabama Jaguars are stacking the frequent flyer miles in the opening weeks of the college football season. They went to Lincoln to play the Cornhuskers – a 1,028-mile trip – last weekend and found a pissed-off Nebraska team, coming off a last-second upset to BYU. Needless to say, USA was a punch bag for their Big Ten foes, losing 48-9 as a 27.5-point underdog.

The Jaguars take another long flight, traveling west to play San Diego State – a 1,931-mile jump – this Saturday. Books opened with USA as a 15-point road pup but that has since jumped to +17.5. When it’s all said and done, the Jaguars will have traveled more than 3,860 miles in the past two weeks. That’s the same distance it would take to drive from Washington D.C. to Costa Rica. Southern Alabama players will be longing for their own beds well before the whistle blows in Qualcomm Stadium Saturday night.

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 17

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INDIANA (20 - 14) at CHICAGO (21 - 13) - 9/17/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 10-8 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-9 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (18 - 16) at PHOENIX (20 - 14) - 9/17/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 8-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 10-3 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Thursday, September 17

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHICAGO
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Indiana is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

10:00 PM
TULSA vs. PHOENIX
Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Tulsa is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tulsa
Phoenix is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, September 17


Tulsa @ Phoenix

Game 603-604
September 17, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
111.959
Phoenix
113.604
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 1 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 6 1/2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(+6 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Chicago

Game 601-602
September 17, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
113.001
Chicago
116.185
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 3
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 5
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+5); Over

[Dr. Bubba]

Udog, thanks for the post! Any Dunkel #s on cfb , or nfl you may have?

[Udog]

Udog, thanks for the post! Any Dunkel #s on cfb , or nfl you may have?

Sorry I didn't see this sooner, Bubba! Both are posted now. Dunkel's new format at their site needs a few bugs worked out. Not only can they not get them in the proper rotation, they have the wrong numbers assigned to some matchups. Bob Dunkel says it's a work in progress and that will all be ironed out soon.