Thursday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/27

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, August 27

Good Luck on day #239 of 2015!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some handicapping notes for next weekend's college football games.......

-- Since 2008, Michigan is 7-14 vs spread as a road underdog.

-- Since 2011, TCU is 3-8 vs spread as a road favorite.

-- UCLA is starting a freshman QB but has 131 starts back on its O-line, most of any team in America.

-- Since 2011, Penn State is 2-6 vs spread as a road favorite.

-- Northwestern covered only three of its last 14 home games.

-- Since 2012, Florida Atlantic is 14-4 vs spread as a road underdog.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Tremendous tragedy in Virginia yesterday, where two news reporters were shot to death on live TV by a disgruntled former employee. Our thoughts and prayers go out to he families of the victims. You just never know in this world.

12) For some reason, the New York Daily News put out a front page cover of the shooter murdering one of his victims with the headline "EXECUTED ON LIVE TV". There was outrage on social media about the callousness of the headline/picture; not sure if it was pulled for the later editions or not.

11) Related but unimportant note: USA Network has a program called Mr Robot, which has a somewhat bizarre story line, part of which included a shooting incident much like the one in Virginia yesterday. As a result, the network didn't air that episode last night and will air it next Wednesday instead.

10) Nationals' OF Reed Johnson was on an injury rehab assignment, until he pulled an oblique muscle while sneezing last night and no, I'm not making that up.

9) Yoenis Cespedes for the Mets: .311 with 21 RBI in 23 games. Next question will be: Who will give him a longterm contract this winter? He's been on four teams in the last 13 months. No one seems too anxious to sign him long-term.

8) Texas walked Jose Bautista the first four times he was up last night; he scored twice and Toronto won easily 12-4. Blue Jays look like a slow pitch softball team on their good days and they've had a few of those in the last week.

7) Then there are my A's, having a dismal season; I looked it up and they have Billy Butler signed for two more years at $11.67M per year. I seriously want to puke. He is a fat guy with no power who can't run and doesn't play in the field. Awesome.

6) Speaking of puking, HBO's Hard Knocks showed Houston LB Brian Cushing barfing four times in about 45 seconds during a practice last week. One of the ballboys came over, sprayed some water on it and things went on as normal.

5) Colorado's DJ LaMahieu became the first Rockie ever to bat in all nine spots in the batting order in one season last night. He is hitting .311 with a .369 OB% and is an underrated player, even though he plays half his games in hitter-happy Denver.

4) If you play fantasy football, keep in mind the San Diego Chargers dropped back to pass on 68% of plays inside their opponents' 10-yard line LY, most in the NFL.

3) Justin Verlander came within three outs of his 3rd career no-hitter; only five pitchers have thrown more than two no-hitters. Chris Iannetta hit a double in the 9th inning, but Verlander still blanked the Angels 5-0.

2) Lebron James sold his house in Miami recently for $13.4M, so he has some extra change to throw around this week. What could be in a house to make it worth $13.4M?

1) Bobby Hurley got out of Buffalo just in time; school tossed the Bulls' best player (Justin Moss) after this second brush with a robbery charge. Kid was MAC Player of the Year last year; doubtful an NBA team would sign him right away, not even sure if he is eligible to sign with an NBA team. Incredibly dumb career move.

[Udog]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Lookahead spot

When you’re a member of the SEC, the first thing you do when the schedule is released is find out if and when you play Alabama. Well, unless, of course, you are the Crimson Tide, then you can’t care less about who’s lining up across from you – you’re just going to beat their ass. But for the rest of the Southeastern Conference, a game against Alabama is circled on the calendar months in advance, which means Arkansas is ripe for a possible letdown spot in Week 5 of the upcoming college football season.

The Razorbacks are in Knoxville that weekend for a showdown with the Volunteers, who enter that game fueled by an embarrassing 49-7 smashing at the hands of the Hogs back in 2011. Sure, the Vols players don’t recall that thumping but the Big Orange faithful do. And with Arkansas looking past Tennessee and to Week 6’s trip to Tuscaloosa, this game could move off its current stand of pick’em before kickoff on October 3.

Letdown spot

The Green Bay Packers are currently battling a letdown of different proportions following a season-ending knee injury to star WR Jordy Nelson during preseason action last week, but could be ripe for our select version of the letdown spot in Week 4 of the NFL season. The Cheeseheads have an interesting home stand against the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football in Week 3, set as 6.5-point favorites at Lambeau Field, then face a tough hike to the West Coast on short rest the following week.

Green Bay travels to San Francisco for a game against the 49ers on October 4, with books dealing the Packers as early 6-point road chalk. San Francisco will be eager for a strong showing with this game being the lone stop at Levi’s Stadium between Weeks 2 and 5. The Niners may have been the punchline of the NFL offseason but six points is a lot to give a home team facing an opponent traveling a long distance on short rest. And we have no clue if the Packers will have figured out how to play without Nelson by then.

Schedule spot

The WNBA season is a mix of extended hiatuses from the hardwood and frantic travel schedules, like the one the Phoenix Mercury face this week. The Mercury, currently second in the Western Conference, open play in Connecticut Thursday night taking on the Sun. From there, Phoenix hikes to the nation’s capital for a matchup with the Mystics Friday.

The Mercury get a day off Saturday to travel west to Minnesota for a huge showdown between the top two teams in the conference Sunday, forcing Phoenix to play three games in four days with the most important – and arguably toughest – coming at the end. The Mercury have won three of their four meetings with the Lynx this season, most recently a 79-67 victory at home as 1-point underdogs last Sunday. Not only is the schedule working against them but Minny willl be out for revenge this weekend.

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 27

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PHOENIX (16 - 11) at CONNECTICUT (12 - 15) - 8/27/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against Eastern conference opponents this season.
PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHOENIX is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Thursday, August 27

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. CONNECTICUT
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, August 27


Phoenix @ Connecticut

Game 601-602
August 27, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
114.853
Connecticut
105.840
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 9
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 6
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-6); Under