Friday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/14

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, August 14

Good Luck on day #226 of 2015!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Bad news for the Angels; CJ Wilson (elbow) is out for the year.

-- Busy night in Cleveland last night, with Indians/Browns both at home.

-- Browns' new uniforms look like UTEP's; thats not a compliment. At least UTEP has a good logo on their helmets.

-- Chargers used five centers in 16 games last year; hard to be good that way.

-- Why are pitchers discouraged from catching pop ups?

-- William Shatner does a commercial for a personal injury lawfirm in Milwaukee on Brewers' games; wonder what he makes for that?


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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.......

13) Washington Nationals are 55-53 and fading fast, 4.5 games behind the Mets and hopelessly out of the Wild Card race. They have three more games with the Giants this weekend; in the immortal words of Micheal Ray Richardson: "The ship be sinkin'".

12) Mets were three games out of first place two weeks ago, when they made the Cespedes trade- they've made up 7.5 games in fourteen days.

11) I was reading Thursday where Elvis Presley was fond of peanut butter and banana sandwiches; I'm trying to envision what they taste like. I like bananas and I love peanut butter but the thought of the two of them together is not making me hungry.

10) Former big league pitcher Tony Cloninger turned 75 this week; he set a record that may never be broken, a pitcher hitting two grand slams in the same game, back in 1966. Hard enough for a regular player to do it; it has only been done 13 times, last time by Josh Willingham in 2009.

9) My A's have a had a cruddy season and it got worse Thursday; Sonny Gray got scratched from his start, then the A's lost a double via a replay review on a play that never should've been reviewed. Thats the way it is for losing teams; they get hosed. This replay review was on the second pitch of the game, bad way to start the day.

8) Twins announcers swear that the ball is carrying better this season at Target Field; Don Mattingly was saying how the ball is carrying better in his home park this year. Maybe the baseballs are just juiced this year; anyone think of that?

7) Blue Jays are first team since the '77 Royals to have two winning streaks of 11+ games in the same season. When you have a great lineup, the pitchers do better, since they know they don't have to be perfect to win.

6) QB Vernon Adams is finally eligible to play football at Oregon; he passed his last Math test Thursday, after he transferred from I-AA Eastern Washington. Funny thing is, Oregon's first game is against EWU and the Eagles were not going to welcome Adams back to their team had he failed that Math class this week.

Eastern Washington lost 59-52 at Washington LY; Adams passed for 475 yards. They lost their I-AA playoff game 59-46. He is seen as a pro prospect.

5) Labor Day is late this year, so the NFL regular season ends on January 3rd; with Christmas on a Friday and Week 16 on the 27th, there will be six bowl games on that Saturday, the 26th. Not a lot of time for anyone to return their Christmas gifts.

4) Golfer Sang-Moon Bae has to leave the golf tour this fall to serve in the Korean military for two years.

3) I saw Jason Dufner on TV yesterday, only I had no idea it was him; he has lost a lot of weight and he cut his hair short. Didn't recognize him at all.

2) Jets went down meekly, 23-3 in Detroit last night; they're stuck right now with rookie Bryce Petty having to play a lot- they can't risk losing Ryan Fitzpatrick to an injury and they don't have a #3 QB who is ready to play right now. Supposedly they are going to sign Tyler Thigpen soon; he already knows the offense.

Personnel advice: the Browns #4 QB is Thad Lewis, who once played for the Rams. Jets should trade for him as soon as humanly poissible; he isn't bad.

1) I don't care one way or the other about the Redskins, but if I was a Redskins fan, I'd sure as hell prefer Kirk Cousins over RGIII at QB. He moves the team better.

[Udog]

Best and worst NFL preseason bets of the past 20 years

Seattle is a stellar 10-2 SU and ATS in the past three preseasons, while going 13-3 ATS since 2011 in tune-up tilts.

You’ve heard all the warnings when it comes to betting on NFL preseason football. But like smoking, drinking and eating fast food, you still do it anyway.

If you’re going to wager on these whacky-ass exhibition games, in which no one but the head coaches have any clue as to what the hell will happen, at least you should know which NFL teams have consistently cashed in during the preseason and which ones wane in the warm-ups.

Here are the two best and two worst NFL teams to bet during the preseason since 1995:

BEST PRESEASON BETS

Seattle Seahawks (47-29 SU, 45-28-3 ATS)

It doesn’t matter if it’s the preseason or the Super Bowl, the Seahawks are kicking ass and taking names. Seattle has been perfect in two of the past three – going 10-2 SU and ATS – and is 13-3 ATS going back to the 2011 tune-up tilts.

Expectations have never been higher – which could mean so are the preseason spreads - but that didn’t stop the Seahawks from cashing in during the regular season. Winners win – something Seattle backers have done at a 62 percent clip in the preseason since 1995.

New York Jets (46-29 SU, 42-32-1 ATS)

Looking for value come the preseason? Gang Green is your one-stop shop for postseason profits. New York has been inconsistent the past three summers going 1-3, 3-1, and 0-4 ATS in the past three preseasons.

This year, the Jets have Geno Smith and Ryan Fitzpatrick at the top of the QB depth chart – preseason betting’s equivalent to capping starting pitchers when betting baseball. The schedule features Detroit, Atlanta, the Giants and Philadelphia – all teams with established starters. Look for Fitzpatrick to challenge for the starting job, lighting a fire under the J-E-T-S in the preseason.


WORST PRESEASON BETS

Kansas City Chiefs (25-51 SU, 22-51-3 ATS)

Andy Reid cares about the preseason about as much as he does for counting carbs and hot yoga. But while the public consensus is “fade Reid in the preseason”, his recent teams haven’t been that bad.

Kansas City is a poor 3-5 SU/ATS in its first two preseasons Reid and the Philadelphia Eagles finished 6-2 ATS in their final two preseason schedule with Reid on the sidelines. Overall, however, the Chiefs have been a terrible play in August – covering just 30 percent of the time.

Oakland Raiders (35-40 SU, 30-43-2 ATS)

Misery loves company, and preseason bettors have suffered in the AFC West. Oakland joins Kansas City as the worst of the worst in exhibition play. The Silver and Black can’t seem to cover – no matter the time of year. Oakland is a dismal 4-8 SU and ATS.

However, there may actually be hope, at least as far as the preseason is concerned. The Raiders have a respectable QB in Derek Carr, as well as star wideout Amari Cooper - given they survive the preseason.

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, August 14

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NEW YORK (15 - 6) at CONNECTICUT (12 - 10) - 8/14/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 115-80 ATS (+27.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
NEW YORK is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a division game this season.
NEW YORK is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
NEW YORK is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 5-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (17 - 6) at ATLANTA (8 - 14) - 8/14/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
ATLANTA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
ATLANTA is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (14 - 10) at SEATTLE (6 - 18) - 8/14/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 97-68 ATS (+22.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Friday, August 14

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against New York

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota

10:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago


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WNBA

Friday, August 14


Dream continue to cash over tickets, defense failing

The Atlanta Dream have gone over in six of their past seven games. Those seven games have seen the Dream and their opponents combine for an average of 171.5 points per game.

The Dream defense, which is last in the WNBA, is allowing a ridiculous 91.1 ppg in their past seven which is nearly 10 points more than their season average.

The total is currently set at 156.5 when the Dream host the Minnesota Lynx Friday.

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, August 14


New York @ Connecticut

Game 651-652
August 14, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
112.163
Connecticut
113.046
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 1
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 5
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+5); Under

Minnesota @ Atlanta

Game 653-654
August 14, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
114.433
Atlanta
110.956
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 8
157
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+8); Under

Chicago @ Seattle

Game 655-656
August 14, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
114.540
Seattle
107.698
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 7
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-4 1/2); Over