Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/9

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, August 9

Good Luck on day #221 of 2015!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- There were 671 fumbles in the NFL LY; 308 of them (45.9%) were recovered by the other team.

-- Philadelphia Eagles (-8) turned ball over 36 times LY, most in the NFL. Green Bay and New England (13 each) both turned it over the least.

-- Houston (31), Dallas (30) led the NFL in takeaways; Jets 13 (-11) had the least. How does a Rex Ryan defense have the least turnovers in the league?

-- NFL kickers made 94-154 (61%) of 50+-yard field goals LY.

-- Demarco Murray ran ball for 1,845 yards LY, 484 yards more than anyone else. Dallas ran him into the ground, then let him walk; now he's an Eagle. Hmmm....

-- Jacksonville (450), Washington (414) lost the most yards on sacks LY; Houston (108) and Denver (118) lost the least


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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Random stuff on a summer day........

13) Why teams lose: top of 5th, White Sox trail 3-2 in Kansas City; Jose Abreu is up with men on first/second two out- the slow-running catcher is on second. They pick him off second, WITH JOSE ABREU UP!!! Awful, terrible baserunning.

Royals score four in bottom of 5th, then Abreu leads off the sixth inning with a solo home run, because that happens to losing teams after a runner gets picked off.

12) Very bad news for the Marlins: Jose Fernandez is back in Miami getting his shoulder checked. More bad news: Marcell Osuna got pulled from his AAA game last night in New Orleans; impatient people like me thought he was getting called back to Miami, but turns out he was taken out because he sprained his wrist. Oy.

11) When the 49ers released troubled Aldon Smith, at least they saved $2.9M in cap room, small consolation. They've had a terrible offseason, for sure.

10) Since July 1, they've had over 32 inches of rain in Tampa Bay area, 8+ inches just in August- they don't have proper drainage to handle all that water. Not good.

9) Phillies have a catcher named Cameron Rupp; wonder if he is a college hoop fan, seeing as Duke plays home games in Cameron Indoor Stadium and Kentucky plays its home games in Rupp Arena. I'm just askin'....

8) Rams signed Nick Foles to a 2-year contract extension, so while I have no idea where the Rams will call home next year, I know who their QB will be and that is lot more important to me.

7) Want to win a bar bet? A guy named Tom Van Arsdale, who played in 929 NBA games over 12 seasons, scoring 14,232 points (15.3 ppg) has played in most NBA games without ever playing in a playoff game. His brother Dick also played in the NBA-- the twins were selected on consecutive picks in the 1965 Draft.

6) Pirates are 14-3 in last 17 home games; their bullpen got nine of those 14 wins.

5) Astros lost 13 of their last 15 road games; since acquiring Carlos Gomez, he is 9 for 35 and Jose Altuve is 9-37- they need to be better than that. Altuve has played in 17 games since his last walk and he is about four feet tall (5-5 or so really).

4) Rashad Muhammad, a Las Vegas kid whose brother played for UCLA and is now in the NBA, has transferred from San Jose State to Miami. Funny, I saw San Jose play a few times LY-- had no idea they had a player good enough to play in the ACC.

3) St Louis Cardinals look like a good bet to win the NL Central; that leaves six teams fighting for the four remaining playoff spots. Mets/Nationals and Dodgers/Giants are batting for division titles; the two losers will battle Pirates/Cubs for the two Wild Card slots-- two good teams are staying home in October.

2) Very nice ceremony in Arizona last night; they retired Randy Johnson's #51 and gave him a drum set just like the one the band Rush uses. Johnson spoke nicely, as he mentioned by name trainers, equipment guys and lot of teammates. Good to see.

1) Happy 80th birthday Lee Corso, one of the great characters in sports TV. I hope I am as sharp as he is when I turn 80; hell, I wish I was that sharp now.

[Udog]

Hall of Fame Game betting preview: Steelers vs. Vikings

Pittsburgh Steelers at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5, 35)

Football bettors rejoice as the NFL returns with the annual Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio Sunday. The Pittsburgh Steelers and Minnesota Vikings face off and will look to get their seasons off on the right foot with the Steelers failing to get past the Wild Card round since 2010-11 and the Vikings not making the postseason since 2012.

The Steelers lost in the Wild Card round against the Baltimore Ravens last season when the team Pittsburgh offensive line allowed Ben Roethlisberger to be sacked five times. The Vikings are coming off a year full of controversy with the circus that was Adrian Peterson's legal issues, but found a gem in Teddy Bridgewater. The former Louisville signal-caller finished the season leading all rookie quarterbacks in yards per game and quarterback rating.

LINE HISTORY: Various books opened the game with the Vikings favored by 2.5-points, but that line has majorly shifted to -3.5. The total has never really moved off the originally set 34.5.

INJURY REPORT: Steelers - T Mike Adams (Out-Back), CB Senquez Golson (Out-Shoulder) Vikings - LB Casey Matthews (Out-Hip)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "NFL teams go about preseason games in different ways. Some teams will just go thru the motions, and others actually use the games to prepare them for the regular season. It all depends on the coach’s philosophy. Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin: “We don’t prepare a lot for the first game whether it’s the Hall of Fame Game or our first preseason game. We kind of play rules football and don’t spend a lot of time from a game standpoint. We don’t spend a lot of time focusing on our opponents the first time out.”

Minnesota’s situation is different. Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer was away from the team for some time; he was taking care of his sick father. Upon return, Zimmer had this to say about the Hall of Fame Game: “We want to be crisp, we want to look sharp and I want to see the things we’ve been practicing being taken to the game field.” Because of the above information, the Vikings have gone from a 2-point favorite up to a 3.5-point favorite." - Covers Expert Steve Merril

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "10 days ago we had this Hall of Fame matchup between the Steelers and the Vikings at Vikings -3 with a total of 34.5, now the line currently sits at Vikings -3.5 with 67 percent of the action to cover that number and the total is up to 35 with 71 percent of the action on the over." - Michael Stewart of Carbonsports.ag

ABOUT THE STEELERS: It is hard to look at this game too seriously for the Steelers as almost their entire starting offense will be sitting this one out. QB Ben Roethlisberger, RB Le'Veon Bell, WR Antonio Brown, TE Heath Miller, C Maurkice Pouncey and LB James Harrison are among the players sitting out the game against the Minnesota Vikings. Landry Jones, who has reportedly been very productive in training camp, will see the significant amount of snaps from under center. There is also expectation that CB Brandon Boykin will see plenty of action since he was recently acquired from the Eagles and has told the coaches to 'throw me in whenever.'

Expect the Steelers defense to show some creative looks throughout the preseason with new defensive coordinator Keith Butler in charge. There could be a lot of misdirections and Butler will try to get one-on-one matchups for his defensive ends.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS: Even though Teddy Bridgewater missed Friday's walk-through due to family matters, he is expected to get the start for the Vikings. In last year's preseason Bridgewater threw five touchdowns with no interceptions and a QB rating of 111.2. There has been no official word on whether or not we will see Adrian Peterson enter the game for the Vikings, but coach Mike ZImmer said the lineup will depend on his "mood."

The Vikings defense was far from perfect last season, which led the organization to fo defense-heavy in this years draft. The top three picks by the team (Trae Waynes, Eric Kendricks, Danielle Hunter) are all defensive players who will likely see some significant time this preseason. Especially Kendricks as Anthony Barr has been dealing with some lingering injury issues in camp.

TRENDS:

*NFC teams are 9-2 SU and 8-2-1 ATS versus AFC teams in contests in Canton.
*Eight of the last 11 Hall of Fame Games have played Over with a total of 35 or less points.
*The Steelers are 2-9-1 ATS in the past three preseasons.
*The Vikings went 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS last preseason.

CONSENSUS: 51 percent of users are taking the Vikings with 55 percent on the over.




Bettors siding with Vikings, Over in HOF Game

Brace yourselves, football is coming.

Sunday marks the kickoff to the NFL preseason as the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Minnesota Vikings in the NFL Hall of Fame Game. Ahead of the occasion, it appears football-starved bettors at CarbonSports.ag are siding with the favored Vikings.

"Our line is currently sitting at Vikings -3.5 and 67 percent of bettors are backing them to cover the chalk," said Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for the book.

"After opening the total at 34.5, we've since bumped up that number to 35. Seventy-one percent of totals action is on the Over."

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, August 9

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PHOENIX (14 - 7) at CHICAGO (13 - 9) - 8/9/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (11 - 9) at WASHINGTON (12 - 8) - 8/9/2015, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 269-327 ATS (-90.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 83-112 ATS (-40.2 Units) in August or September games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 170-215 ATS (-66.5 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-5 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 9-3 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (7 - 14) at TULSA (10 - 12) - 8/9/2015, 4:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1997.
ATLANTA is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (7 - 14) at MINNESOTA (15 - 6) - 8/9/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 78-106 ATS (-38.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 149-189 ATS (-58.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 58-42 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-5 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 7-5 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Sunday, August 9

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Trend Report
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2:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. CHICAGO
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chicago's last 16 games at home

4:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. WASHINGTON
Connecticut is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Connecticut

4:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. TULSA
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tulsa's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Tulsa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Los Angeles is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, August 9


Phoenix @ Chicago

Game 601-602
August 9, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
113.407
Chicago
115.650
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4
160
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+4); Under

Connecticut @ Washington

Game 603-604
August 9, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
113.258
Washington
115.114
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6 1/2
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+6 1/2); Under

Atlanta @ Tulsa

Game 605-606
August 9, 2015 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
102.949
Tulsa
113.449
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 10 1/2
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 5 1/2
159
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(-5 1/2); Over

Los Angeles @ Minnesota

Game 607-608
August 9, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
107.466
Minnesota
122.093
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 14 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-5 1/2); Under