Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/7

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, July 7

Good Luck on day #188 of 2015!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Jon Lester got his first-ever MLB hit last night, had a no-hitter in 7th inning, but lost to the Cardinals 6-0. Montero caught him too, not David Ross. Does this mean Kyle Schwarber could be promoted as backup catcher soon?

-- Florida State is playing its spring game in Orlando next year, in the Citrus Bowl.

-- Detroit 12, Seattle 5-- Last sixteen Tiger games went over the total.

-- Mets 3, Giants 0-- SF lost its 7th game in row. Under is 10-2-2 in first game of a Met road series.

-- Joe Johnson will make $24.8M next season; why?

-- Congrats to AJ Burnett on making his first-ever All-Star team.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind.....

13) I posted yesterday's article in this space with ten laps to go in the NASCAR race late Sunday night, around 2:30am, then turned my laptop off and watched the end of the race, which ended in a horrific accident, the scariest thing I've ever seen.

It is totally amazing no one died in that accident; those cars are built really well. If I had a kid and he wanted to race cars, though, think I'd have to discourage him.

12) Rory McIlroy tore ligaments in his ankle playing soccer over the weekend; that is an expensive injury, with British Open and PGA still ahead on the schedule. Maybe Nike can do a string of commercials dealing with his rehab- his ankle was in a walking boot-- doubt he makes it back before the PGA.

11) People in Montreal are excited over rumors the Red Sox will play two exhibition games there before next season- they're guaranteeing two sellouts if that happens, with all the BoSox fans in northern New England, which borders Quebec.

10) Michigan switched from adidas to Nike, third major football program (Notre Dame, Tennessee) to do that in last year or so. Expensive losses for adidas.

9) Darren O'Day is an All-Star but ARod isn't. Bleeping joke. ARod isn't one of last five guys because he would win the vote- they don't want him.

As for O'Day, he has started zero games and has two saves. Guys who aren't closers and aren't starters aren't one of the best six pitchers on their own team-- how can they be All-Stars? Joe Torre started this with Mike Stanton a few years ago; its yet another reason the All-Star Game has gotten ridiculous. Set-up guys shouldn't be All-Stars.

8) Braves' GM John Hart is doing a fine job in Atlanta; Braves are 41-42 when they weren't supposed to be very good, plus he dumped the hideous contract BJ Upton got on the Padres. But how can this be? Hart will be 67 years old in two weeks; he went to Seminole JC and Central Florida (a state university!!!)- how can he be fielding a team that overachieves if he isn't an Ivy League wunderkind? Interesting......

7) Meanwhile, the Cornell alum/genius who runs the Padres (and traded for BJ Upton, ha!!!) has his team at 39-46- they were 32-33 before he fired Bud Black, so that move has worked real well. But he went to Cornell so he must be smarter than most.

6) Popcorn remains an underrated snack. Very good.

5) JD Martinez has 11 homers in his last 13 games-- damn. Detroit's last sixteen games have gone over the total, partially because their pitching isn't as good as usual.

4) Poor Vin Scully; guy is 87 years old, works Dodger games by himself and had to sit thru a 4:13 mess last night in LA, when Dodgers beat a horrible Philly team 10-7. Phils' bullpen is so awful they left journeyman starter Sean O'Sullivan in for 124 pitches, and he never finished the sixth inning.

3) Long baseball games aren't necessarily a new trend; the longest 9-inning game in LA Dodger history was the one-game Giant-Dodger playoff game after the '62 season, which took 4:18 to play.

By contrast, the Buehrle-Sale matchup in Chicago last night was over in 1:54.

2) RIP Burt from Burt's Bees, (Burt Shavitz) who passed away this week at age 80. He started Burt's Bees at a roadside stand a long time ago and wound up selling it a few years ago for $900M.

1) Danny Lee won the Greenbrier golf tourney last weekend; one of his partners in the pro-am was Virginia Tech basketball coach Buzz Williams. Last year, Williams, who is a bad golfer (or so he says) was partners with Cameron Tringale, who finished 4th in the real tournament. Next year, have to find out who ol' Buzz is partners with.

[Udog]

Big 12 college football betting preview: TCU will score, but will it be enough?

The Baylor Bears, returning a bevy of starters this season, are the favorites to win the Big 12. But will they be able stop Trevone Boykin and the TCU Horned Frogs?

Expert AAA Sports breaks down the best ways to wager on the Big 12 and gives his season win total picks for each of its members heading into the new college football campaign.


Baylor Bears (2014: 11-2 SU, 7-5-1 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 5-2
Season win total: 10

Why bet the Bears: Why not? Baylor brings back just about everyone except quarterback Bryce Petty, and the Bears will go into just about every game this season knowing that they will be able to bully their opponents on both sides of the line.

Why not bet the Bears: A trio of cupcakes early in the season (SMU, Lamar and Rice) could create a false sense of security for when the real games start in October. At least whoever is calling signals will be able to get his feet wet without too much pressure.

Season win total pick: Over 10


Texas Christian Horned Frogs (2014: 12-1 SU, 11-2 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 4-1
Season win total: 10

Why bet the Horned Frogs: TCU will put up points. A lot of points. Trevone Boykin is back at QB after finishing fourth in the country in total offense last season. Top wideout Josh Doctson also returns after setting single-season school record for TD catches and yards. Yikes.

Why not bet the Horned Frogs: The other side of the ball is a problem, especially at linebacker. TCU uses only two LBs, and both of them will be newbies after the departures of standouts Paul Dawson and Chris Hackett. May take a while before TCU can stop decent offenses.

Season win total pick: Push


Oklahoma Sooners (2014: 8-5 SU, 5-8 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 4-1
Season win total: 9

Why bet the Sooners: After a step-back and somewhat disappointing 2014 season, OSU revamped its offense. Lincoln Riley moves in from East Carolina as OC and will give the Sooners a wide-open offense. And if that doesn’t work, they can just hand off to Samaje Perine, one of the best in the Big 12.

Why not bet the Sooners: Questions are everywhere in a program that was once of the top 5 in the country. Might be a good idea to stay off this team, which must play at Oklahoma State, Tennessee, Kansas State and Baylor. Ouch.

Season win total pick: Under 9


Oklahoma State Cowboys (2014: 7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 5-1
Season win total: 7

Why bet the Cowboys: Things are looking up in Stillwater, where the Cowboys surprised even themselves by finishing over .500 and defeating Washington in the Cactus Bowl in what was expected to be a serious rebuild. QB Mason Rudolph, who figured to red-shirt last season but was pressed into service, is a good one. Defense isn’t bad, either.

Why not bet the Cowboys: Careful here. OSU gave up 47 more points than it scored last season, and even that number was inflated by a meaningless 30-point victory over Texas-San Antonio.

Season win total pick: Under 7


Texas Longhorns (2014: 6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 7-1
Season win total: 6.5

Why bet the Longhorns: Should be value to be had here because Texas is just not perceived as a Top-25 program anymore. But Charlie Strong has some talent, and as road wins over Texas Tech and Oklahoma State proved last season, the guy can coach.

Why not bet the Longhorns: Texas averaged only 21.7 points a game last season, and while the spread offense this year will be new, there is no guarantee it will be better. The Longhorns were beaten by Baylor, Kansas State and TCU by an average score of 33-16 in 2014.

Season win total pick: Over 6.5


Kansas State Wildcats (2014: 9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 10-1
Season win total: 7

Why bet the Wildcats: Does Bill Snyder ever have a bad season? Somehow Snyder managed to cajole nine wins out of last year’s squad, and no one should bet too heavily against him finding a way to keep the Cats in the mix this season.

Why not bet the Wildcats: Kansas State may be the only big-time program in the country with a starting QB who has never played the positon at any level. Joe Hubener looks like the No. 1 QB at this point, and the walk-on played several other positions in high school, but not quarterback.

Season win total pick: Over 7


West Virginia Mountaineers (2014: 7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 15-1
Season win total: 8

Why bet the Mountaineers: WVU will score – it always does. QB Skyler Howard will get nothing but better and running back Rushel Shell could be one of the top backs in the country if he stays healthy – he had 788 on the ground last season despite fighting a sprained ankle for much of the season. Defense has to plug a few holes, but should be among the best in the conference.

Why not bet the Mountaineers: Hopes always seem high at WVU, but the math is irrefutable – the Mountaineers are 18-20 in their last three seasons and are firmly ensconced in the middle of the conference. They’re probably two recruiting classes from serious contention.

Season win total pick: Over 8


Texas Tech Red Raiders (2014: 4-8 SU, 6-6 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 20-1
Season win total: 6

Why bet the Red Raiders: Last season could have been a bit of an aberration. Tech never really got things going, lost some games early due to turnovers, and the whole somehow seemed smaller than the sum of its parts. The Raiders were better than their record showed, and they have a solid offensive line to start with this year.

Why not bet the Red Raiders: There’s instability at the QB position, where neither Patrick Mahome nr Davis Webb has been able to separate from the other. Then there’s the defense, which allowed more points than any team in the conference last season (495) and seems capable of allowing 50-plus on any given Saturday.

Season win total pick: Under 6


Iowa State Cyclones (2014: 2-10 SU, 4-7-1 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 25-1
Season win total: 3

Why bet the Cyclones: Iowa State is your basic Dollar Store team. You might be able to find some value if you look hard enough. The Cyclones should be able to move the ball pretty well, led by veteran QB Sam Richardson and a group of pretty good wideouts.

Why not bet the Cyclones: Any program that has won a total of five games in the last two seasons has problems. Another dumpster fire will probably cost Paul Rhoads his job. Rhoads will have his hands trying to repair damage in the offensive line and a defense that ranked 125th in the country last year.

Season win total pick: Over 3


Kansas Jayhawks (2014: 2-10 SU, 4-7-1 ATS)

Odds to win conference: 25-1
Season win total: 3

Why bet the Jayhawks: Because either you have a lot of money that you don’t need to pay bills, you graduated from Kansas or you regret not being alive to watch the carnage in Rome’s Colosseum.

Why not bet the Jayhawks: All you need to know about Kansas is that only five starters return from a team that wasn’t very good last season and will probably be worse this time around. Coach David Beaty should probably spend a lot of his time on the recruiting trail, because he has one of the most difficult rebuilds in the country on his hands.

Season win total pick: Under 3

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, July 7

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TULSA (8 - 4) at ATLANTA (5 - 6) - 7/7/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Tuesday, July 7

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
TULSA vs. ATLANTA
Tulsa is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Tulsa is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, July 7


Tulsa @ Atlanta

Game 651-652
July 7, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
109.015
Atlanta
111.417
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 6
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(+6); Under

[Udog]

WNBA

Tuesday, July 7


Dream heating up at the betting window

The Atlanta Dream have covered the spread in three-consecutive games heading into their clash with the Tulsa Shock as 5-point home favorites Tuesday evening.

The Dream have gone 2-1 straight up over those last three games defeating the Seattle Storm and Washington Mystics, but losing to the Chicago Sky 100-96 as 8.5-point underdogs back on June 24.

Atlanta is just 5-6 SU and ATS in 11 games this season.

[Udog]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Letdown spot

The Toronto Argonauts were handed a raw deal during the 2015 CFL season, with the Pan Am Games kicking them out of the Rogers Centre for the first six weeks of the season. Toronto played a “home” game versus Edmonton in Fort McMurray, Alberta in Week 1 and was in Saskatchewan in Week 2.

Despite those tough tests, the Argos enter Week 3 at 2-0 SU and ATS following a thrilling 42-40 overtime victory against the Rough Riders as 3-point road underdogs this past Sunday. Backup QB Trevor Harris, in for the injured Ricky Ray, went 30 for 38 passing for 267 yards and four touchdowns in the win in Saskatchewan but that victory also sets Toronto up for a big letdown spot in Week 3.

The Argos continue their lengthy road run in Calgary facing the defending Grey Cup winners coming off a stunning 29-11 road loss in Montreal as a 9.5-point favorite. The Stampeders will be in a bad mood and look to throw a lot of pressure at the inexperienced Harris. Calgary won both meetings last season, splitting against the spread.

Lookahead spot

When you’re as bad as the Phillies, heading to the ballpark is like heading to an office job that you just hate. Philadelphia is about as far away from Citizens Bank Park as possible right now, roaming the West Coast for four games with the Dodgers and three against the Giants. And with the All-Star break approaching, the Phillies are looking ahead to some time off from bad baseball.

Not only is Philadelphia counting down the days to the break but the roster is less than focused with the team expected to dump some top talents come the trade deadline. Ace pitcher Cole Hamels seems like a foregone conclusion when it comes to the trade block but names like Aaron Harang, Jonathan Papelbon, and even Ryan Howard have been at the center of rumors.

Tread lightly with the Phillies in the final days of this current road trip. Players may be on the field but their minds are either off planning a family vacation or figuring out where they’re going to play next once the deadline comes.

Schedule spot

The Chicago Bears have an uphill climb in the NFC North. Green Bay is the team to beat with Minnesota and Detroit primed to battle for a wild card spot in the conference. The Bears have plenty of new faces on the field and sideline this season, and those changes will be put to the test come November.

Chicago faces one of the most daunting stretches of schedule in the NFL from Week 9 to Week 12, playing four games – three of them on the road – in a span of just 18 days. That’s a game every 4.5 days, and when you throw in travel and mid-season wear and tear, Chicago could be crawling to the finish line by the time the calendar turns to December.