Announcement

**Udog** · 06-16-2015, 07:17 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six most improved teams in 2015, according to Phil Steele's great magazine.........

6) Temple-- 19 starters back; 15 seniors on defensive two-deep depth chart.

5) Indiana-- Add RB Howard from UAB; he should be a big help.

4) Pitt-- Narduzzi is Pitt's fifth head coach in this decade; unreal.

3) Michigan-- I heard they hired a new coach-- is this true????

2) Akron-- Went 5-7 LY despite being favored in nine of 12 games.

1) Miami Fla-- Even with only one senior projected to start on offemse.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........

13) Last winter, the Padres jacked their payroll up from $90,636,600 LY to this year's $108,387,033; that increase brought expectations, which a 32-33 record didn't satisfy, so Monday, after 8.5 years in charge, manager Bud Black got fired.

12) Angels won the 2002 World Series; three of Mike Scioscia's coaches from that year started this season as big league managers-- two have already been fired-- Ron Roenicke in Milwaukee and now Black (Joe Maddon is the third). Whether it is fair or not, the manager takes the hit for an underachieving team. Just the way it is.

11) Padres GM AJ Preller is another Ivy League alum (Cornell) who has become the head of a big league organization; he was a frat brother of Texas GM Jon Daniels while at Cornell. Here is part of Preller's quote about the firing........

"At the end of the day this was the direction we wanted to go. I've evaluated him (Black) overall for eight months when I was looking at everything. I've seen inconsistencies, ups and downs. This team is not bottoming out or playing poorly. Just too much inconsistency. We have not played to the level we are capable of."

In other words, Preller is saying "I did MY JOB. They're underachieving!!!"

Elsewhere in this crazy world of ours.......
10) White Sox scored zero or one run in 14 of their first 62 games.

9) Anthoy Rizzo has already been hit by 15 pitches this year; he crowds the plate.

8) Ichiro Suzuki is 34-115 with seven walks (one HBP) against John Lackey; the 123 plate appearances are the most of any active hitter against any active pitcher.

7) Mets promoted Danny Muno to the majors five times this year and sent him back down five times; we talked few weeks ago how Muno's dad played football with Joe Montana in college-- my friend Joe from Yorktown Heights let me know that Muno's grandfather once served as Montana's agent-- now that must've been a good gig.

6) Glad to see Chris Davis bunt for a hit against the shift last night; might've been the hardest bunt ever-- it landed on the chalk, five feet past third base. Joey Votto also bunted for a hit against the shift last night--- good for them.

5) Cuban defector Yasmany Tomas can really hit, but his agent did him a disservice by hooking him up with an NL team-- he has no position to play. He should be with an American League team, where he could DH every day.

4) Last two nights, I've heard TV announcers bash the A's over the Donaldson trade; Keith Hernandez did it last night, someone else on Sunday, can't remember who, since I watch too much TV. Here are the details of that trade........

Firstly, Donaldson is a bus driver, a great player who can "drive the bus" to wins; he helped the A's make the playoffs three years in a row, but he was getting expensive and expensive doesn't fly in Oakland, no matter how good you are. On November 28, A's traded Donaldson to Toronto for these four humans..........

-- Brett Lawrie is no Donaldson, but he's done OK at third base this year. hitting .272.
-- Kendall Graveman is 3-3, 4.22 in nine starts for Oakland, but has a 2.20 ERA in his last five starts and looks like a keeper.
-- Sean Nolin has a 1.77 ERA n his first five AAA starts this year; he had one dreadful start in the big leagues back in 2013.
-- Franklin Barreto is a 19-year old shortstop hitting .263 in A ball.

3) Graveman/Nolin are projected as big league starting pitchers; ask someone who is a Red Sox fan if starting pitching is important. Pitching is more important than having a great third baseman- you cannot win without high quality pitching.

So my point is this: TV nitwits can jump on the pile and bash the A's, but they are strapped by payroll concerns-- the only way they can stay competitive is to stockpile young pitchers, its the only chance they have. This year is a disaster but maybe next year won't be- they need to get some more prospects when they sell off older players like Zobrist, Clippard and Kazmir in the next six weeks. It is their reality.

2) Home plate umpire Marty Foster got drilled in the jaw by a foul ball last night and had to leave the Toronto-Mets game in the third inning; really a vicious blow that KO'd him after he finished that half inning. Umpires take a beating behind the plate; so do catchers. Hopefully Mr Foster will be back on the field soon.

1) Freddie Freeman was 30 for his first 68 with runners in scoring position; wow!!!.

**Udog** · 06-16-2015, 07:19 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, June 16

Golden State @ Cleveland

Game 711-712
June 16, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
134.321
Cleveland
132.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 1 1/2
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 4 1/2
195
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+4 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 16

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GOLDEN STATE (82 - 20) at CLEVELAND (67 - 34) - 6/16/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-98 ATS (-39.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-36 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, June 16

NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6

Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers, 9:00 ET
Golden State: 68-98 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders
Golden State: 3-12 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Cleveland: 11-3 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more
Cleveland: 15-3 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, June 16

Making shots; it is that simple; Warriors are 34-83 from arc in their three series wins, 20-69 in two lossess. Golden State was 39-61 from line in last two games, after going just 7-12 in Game 3. Cleveland needs to attack hoop more; they were 15-21 on line last game, 12-35 on arc. Warriors played well once they started playing with sense of desperation; now the Cavaliers are desperate team. Cleveland was 16-62 from arc in last two games- they were 27-89 in first three games.

Mosgov had 28 points in Game 4, played 9 minutes Sunday; will he see the court in this game?

Golden State won 10 of its last 14 games with Cleveland; 11 of the 14 games were decided by 8+ points. Cavaliers are 14-5 so far in playoffs, Warriors are 15-5. Under is 11-3-1 in last 15 Golden State games, 3-0-1 in last four. Under is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. Golden State needs a faster-paced game to succeed in this series. .

2015 playoffs
Cleveland vs Golden State
GSt 108-100 OT, -6, O203.5
Clev 95-93, OT, +7.5, U199
Clev 96-91, +2, U194.5
GSt 103-82, -4, U195
GSt 104-91, -9.5, N195

NBA

Tuesday, June 16

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. CLEVELAND
Golden State is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Golden State

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**Udog** · 06-16-2015, 07:20 AM

NBA

Tuesday, June 16

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Game of the Day: Warriors at Cavaliers
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Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers (+4.5, 194.5)

Warriors lead 3-2

The Golden State Warriors look to secure their first world title in 40 years when they visit the Cleveland Cavaliers in Tuesday's Game 6 of the NBA Finals. Golden State has won the past two games, including Sunday's 104-91 victory, but Cleveland's LeBron James will be aiming for another stellar effort to force a Game 7 on Friday.

James had 40 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists in Game 5 but his second triple-double of the series wasn't enough and now Cleveland's season lies on the brink. "You cope with it by understanding it's just one game and looking at the opportunity we have on Tuesday to force a Game 7," James said in his press conference. "Obviously, for myself, I want to do whatever it takes to help our team win, and I haven't been able to do that the last two games." Warriors guard Stephen Curry had a huge 37-point outing in Game 5 and is ready to close out the series. "We're confident. We're not getting ahead of ourselves," Curry said in his press conference. "In the locker room, if you walked in there was the exact same (feeling) after a regular-season win. But we know the sense of urgency of the moment."

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: Books initially opened the Cavs as 4.5-point home dogs, but that's since dropped down to +4.

INJURY REPORT: Warriors - S. Curry (probable). Cavaliers - K. Irving (out for season), K. Love (out for season), A. Varejao (out for season).

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: The regular-season MVP version of Curry was on display when he scored 17 points in the fourth quarter of Game 5 and was 7-of-13 from 3-point range for the contest. He struggled with his shooting early in the series -- the 5-for-23 effort in Game 2 was particularly distasteful -- and has made 18 3-pointers over the past three games while raising his series average to 26.2 points. "He had a tough first couple of games and he got going at the end of Game 3 in the fourth quarter and that's all it takes," Golden State coach Steve Kerr said in his press conference. "Steph makes a couple shots, he feels like he's got it rolling, and he's been great ever since."

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS: With Golden State playing a small lineup, Cleveland coach David Blatt opted to match it and turned center Timofey Mozgov into a spectator one game after Mozgov was sensational with 28 points and 10 rebounds. The Warriors are happy to play the faster pace and Blatt bristled when reporters repeatedly inferred he played into Golden State's hand by using Mozgov for just nine scoreless minutes. "Did I make a mistake?" Blatt said in his press conference. "Listen, when you're coaching a game, you've got to make decisions. I felt that the best chance for us to stay in the game and to have a chance to win was to play it the way that we played it. It's no disrespect to anyone, certainly not to Timo, who has done a great job for us."

TRENDS:

*Under is 13-3-1 in Warriors last 17 overall.
*Under is 3-0-1 in Cavaliers last 4 overall.
*Warriors are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
*Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

CONSENSUS: Per Consensus, 61 percent of bets are on the underdog Cavs.

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**Udog** · 06-16-2015, 07:24 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, June 16

Indiana @ Atlanta

Game 651-652
June 16, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
103.003
Atlanta
121.988
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 19
169
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
152
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-4 1/2); Over

San Antonio @ Tulsa

Game 653-654
June 16, 2015 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
105.614
Tulsa
113.598
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 8
173
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 5 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(-5 1/2); Over

Connecticut @ Seattle

Game 655-656
June 16, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
111.889
Seattle
110.567
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 1 1/2
120
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 4
141
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+4); Under

Minnesota @ Los Angeles

Game 657-658
June 16, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.598
Los Angeles
114.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 8 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+8 1/2); Under

WNBA

Tuesday, June 16

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home
Atlanta is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

12:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. TULSA
San Antonio is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Tulsa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Tulsa
Tulsa is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Tulsa is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio

10:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games
Connecticut is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
Seattle is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LOS ANGELES
Minnesota is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
Minnesota is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Minnesota
Los Angeles is 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

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WNBA

Tuesday, June 16

The basketball betting trend that keeps cashing

The under went 4-1-1 in six WNBA games on Sunday's board, keeping alive one of the hottest betting trends you may not know about.

Season to date, the Over/Under mark in the WNBA is 7-15-2, good enough for the under to cash at a rate of just over 68 percent.

The Washington Mystics (0-4 O/U), Connecticut Sun (0-3-1), San Antonio Stars (0-3) and Los Angeles Sparks (0-1-1) have yet to record an Over.

There are four games Tuesday.

**Udog** · 06-16-2015, 09:02 AM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 16

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INDIANA (1 - 4) at ATLANTA (2 - 3) - 6/16/2015, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 108-142 ATS (-48.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in June games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (0 - 3) at TULSA (3 - 1) - 6/16/2015, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) on Tuesday since 1997.
TULSA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 7-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 5-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (3 - 1) at SEATTLE (2 - 2) - 6/16/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (3 - 1) at LOS ANGELES (0 - 2) - 6/16/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-4 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Tuesday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/16

Tuesday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/16

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