Announcement

**Udog** · 06-14-2015, 06:41 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

ESPN's top six preseason college football teams.........

6) Baylor-- New QB, but whole offensive line is back.

5) USC-- Senior QB, seven starters back on defense.

4) Auburn-- How good a quarterback is Jeremy Johnson?

3) Oregon-- Transfer QB Vernon Adams plays his old team in the opener.

2) TCU-- Ten starters back on offense, all with chips on their shoulders.

1) Ohio State-- Their 3rd-string QB would start on most other teams.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........

13) Boston Red Sox' last 3.5 seasons.........
-- 2012-- 69-93, 26 games out of first place
-- 2013-- 97-65, won World Series
-- 2014-- 71-91, 25 games out of first place
-- 2015-- 27-35, seven games out of first place.

They have very little quality pitching; how will they get better?

12) Toronto has won ten games in a row, is charging towards the top of the AL East; my question is this: How the hell was this collection of hitters ever 23-30?

11) How come no one has the onions to say the Bronx Bombers are better off this year with ARod, than they were last year, with a washed-up Derek Jeter?

10) ARod will get to 3,000 hits soon; he got over 2,000 RBI yesterday; his teammates seem to like him and he is still a productive player, but Ken Rosenthal hinted on FOX yesterday that no one wants him in the All-Star Game next month. Why?

9) Hey, if Ollie from Hoosiers can shoot his free throws underhanded, how come Dwight Howard or DeAndre Jordan haven't tried it yet? Rick Barry was one of the greatest foul shooters ever-- he shot underhanded.

8) There is an actor named Kevin Dunn who played a front office guy with the Twins in the underrated 1994 movie Little Big League. 20 years later, he played an assistant for the Cleveland Browns in Draft Day. Mr Dunn plays Ben Caffrey in the TV series Veep-- he's appeared in over 100 movies/TV shows.

7) Streaky San Francisco Giants lost their last seven home games.

6) Big Ten Network runs a very fine reality show during football/basketball season that gives you a (slightly) behind the scenes look at the people who play and coach these teams. I've been watching several of them in a row as I write this. Lot of good stories.

5) Wisconsin had another terrific football team last year; coach Anderson was seen in a few shots, telling the kids how much he enjoyed coaching them, yet he quit after they lost 59-0 to Ohio State in the Big 14 title game and is now at Oregon State. I am guessing we won't see the meetings that led to Anderson quitting his job.

4) Ted Ginn Sr is a high school coach in Cleveland, I think; his son still plays in the NFL. They showed him on this show and he has a fairly large pendant around his neck that says "SR" as in Ted Ginn Jr's father. Kind of cool.

3) Junior college football is really good; I remember seeing a Santa Monica-West LA JC game in 1990, on a cruddy field with about 200 fans watching on a beautiful day in LA. Five years later, watching Isaac Bruce play for the Rams, I realized that he played in that game in 1990-- thats how good JC football is in some places.

2) A school named East Mississippi won three of the last four JC national titles; the nearest Wal-Mart is 35 miles from campus but Jim Kelly's nephew played there last year and now he plays for Ole Miss. Would enjoy seeing those games on TV.

1) A's lost 1-0 in Anaheim last night; rooting for the 2015 A's is like rooting for the criminals in Law and Order; it is promising for a while but at the end, most nights it is just very disappointing.

**Udog** · 06-14-2015, 06:43 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, June 14

Cleveland @ Golden State

Game 709-710
June 14, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
123.518
Golden State
141.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 18
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8
195
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-8); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, June 14

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CLEVELAND (67 - 33) at GOLDEN STATE (81 - 20) - 6/14/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 132-178 ATS (-63.8 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-98 ATS (-40.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, June 14

NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series Tied- 2-2

Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers, 9:00 ET
Golden State: 13-3 UNDER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days,
Golden State: 67-98 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders

Cleveland: 33-19 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more,
Cleveland: 15-2 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, June 14

Making shots; it is that simple; Warriors are 22-57 from arc in their two series wins, s 20-69 in two lossess. Golden State was 19-27 from line in last game, after going just 7-12 in Game 3. Cleveland attacks hoop more with Irving gone; they are 65-92 on foul line in last three games (13-19 in Game 1). Warriors played well once they started playing with sense of desperation; can they play that way at home? Cleveland was 4-27 from arc in last game- they were 27-89 in first three games.

Golden State won nine of its last 13 games with Cleveland; ten of the 13 games were decided by 8+ points. Cavaliers are 14-4 so far in playoffs, Warriors are 14-5. 11 of last 14 Golden State games stayed under the total, including last three. Six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Golden State needs a faster-paced game to succeed in this series.

2015 playoffs
Cleveland vs Golden State
GSt 108-100 OT, -6, O203.5
Clev 95-93, OT, +7.5, U199
Clev 96-91, +2, U194.5
GSt 103-82, -4, U195

NBA

Sunday, June 14

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Golden State's last 16 games

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**Udog** · 06-14-2015, 06:44 AM

NBA

Sunday, June 14

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Game of the Day: Cavaliers at Warriors
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors (,)

Series tied 2-2

The injury-riddled Cleveland Cavaliers may have to dig into their bench for reinforcements when they face the host Golden State Warriors in Sunday's Game 5 of the NBA Finals. The losses of forward Kevin Love (shoulder) and point guard Kyrie Irving (knee) have left Cleveland short-handed but the series is tied at two games apiece after Golden State emerged victorious with a 103-82 rout in Game 4.

Cavaliers coach David Blatt has been reluctant to play more than seven or eight players but star forward LeBron James not-so-subtly hinted that veterans such as Mike Miller (14 minutes in the series) and Shawn Marion (no action) need to see playing time so the starters can get more rest. "That's the coach's decision if he decides he wants to go deeper in the bench," James said at a press conference. "We haven't played many guys throughout this playoff run. I think it would help some of the guys that are playing some high minutes for sure -- just give guys a couple minutes here, a couple minutes there." One of the more valuable players in the series is Golden State guard Andre Iguodala, who started for the first time all season in Game 4 and had 22 points while holding James to a series-low 20. "You understand how hard it really is just to win a game, and you take it one game at a time," Iguodala told reporters. "The flow has changed. You make so many adjustments, your mind's just always locked in on a task and you learn how mentally strong you have to be in order to just win a game and not just a series."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: Online books opened the lines at GS -8.5, 195.5 after Game 4, which has yet to move.

INJURY REPORT: Cavaliers - F LeBron James (Prob-Head), G Kyrie Irving (Out-Knee) Warriors - N/A

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS: James is averaging 35.8 points in the series despite a miserable 7-for-22 shooting effort in Game 4 that drops his series percentage to 38.8. Guards Matthew Dellavedova (3-of-14), J.R. Smith (2-of-12) and Iman Shumpert (2-of-9) all had dismal shooting performances in Game 4 with Smith missing all eight 3-point attempts as Cleveland was 4-of-27 from behind the arc. "We don't have many options as far as lineups we can to go, but we can make adjustments," James said. "That's what you do throughout a series."

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Iguodala's surprise start moved center Andrew Bogut to the bench and Bogut played just three minutes while forward David Lee remained part of the rotation after providing a spark in Game 3. But outside of Iguodala's contributions, the best sight for Golden State was seeing point guard Stephen Curry shoot 4-of-7 from 3-point range and the league MVP has scored 39 points over the last five quarters. "Obviously, you never lose your confidence," Curry said at his press conference. "You understand there is a lot of series left, and a lot of opportunity to turn it around."

TRENDS:

*Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
*Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
*Under is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
*Under is 13-3 in Warriors last 16 overall.

CONSENSUS: 61.82 percent of the consensus is on the Cavs +8.5 with 59.4 percent on the over.

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**Udog** · 06-14-2015, 06:45 AM

NBA

Sunday, June 14

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Game 5 of the NBA Finals is a turning point for totals betting
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After three straight Under finishes (and a Game 1 that would have stayed below the betting total if not for overtime) between the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers, logic says play the Under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals Sunday. History says something different.

Over the past nine NBA Finals, Game 5 has been a turning point in totals betting with a 5-3 Over/Under record since 2006.

The first four games of the championship series have produced a combined 12-25-3 Over/Under (67.5 percent Under) mark - including a 1-3 O/U count this postseason – in that span, with a collective 20-32-3 Over/Under (61.5 percent Under) in the finals overall. And Game 4 has been a consistent Under winner, playing below the total in eight of the past 10 years when including Thursday’s result.

Oddsmakers have set the total for Game 5 in Oracle Arena at 195.5 points - a half point higher than the Game 4 number closed. Books opened Thursday’s total as low as 192.5 before one-sided money on the Over pushed that total upwards.

Game 5 NBA Finals situations have had an average betting total of 191.31 points over the last nine seasons, with the teams combining for an average of 202 points, trumping the Over/Under by 10.69 points in that span.

That scoring surge in Game 5's is a massive jump in production when compared to the scoring in the first four games of the NBA Finals, with teams averaging 185.75 points against an average total of 191.2 from 2006 to 2014.

For the entire playoffs (Round 1 to NBA Finals), Game 5 situations have produced a 63-59 Over/Under count (51.6 percent Over) since 2006, including a 5-3 O/U record in the 2015 NBA Playoffs.

If you’re sizing up the Over for Game 5 Thursday, you may want to pull the trigger sooner than later. Sportsbooks online and in Nevada have all reported one-sided action on the Over in all four games of the NBA Finals, and expect that lean to be even more with the high-scoring Warriors returning home.

Golden State is 1-8-1 Over/Under at home in the playoffs, averaging 100.6 points per game in Oakland – compared to 113.3 points per home game in the regular season. Cleveland is 2-7 O/U on the road in the postseason, scoring 96.2 points per road game after averaging 102.8 points away from Quicken Loans Arena in the regular season.

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**Udog** · 06-14-2015, 06:48 AM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, June 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (1 - 2) at INDIANA (1 - 3) - 6/14/2015, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 10-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-6 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (3 - 0) at PHOENIX (1 - 2) - 6/14/2015, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-6 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 9-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (2 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 1) - 6/14/2015, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1997.
ATLANTA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
ATLANTA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 7-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (2 - 1) at SAN ANTONIO (0 - 2) - 6/14/2015, 4:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 6-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (1 - 2) at LOS ANGELES (0 - 1) - 6/14/2015, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (2 - 1) at NEW YORK (3 - 1) - 6/14/2015, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 260-319 ATS (-90.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 163-206 ATS (-63.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 164-210 ATS (-67.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 06-14-2015, 06:48 AM

WNBA

Sunday, June 14

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. INDIANA
Chicago is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Indiana
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 10 games at home
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CONNECTICUT
Atlanta is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Atlanta is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Connecticut's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

3:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Phoenix's last 22 games

4:30 PM
TULSA vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa
San Antonio is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Tulsa

5:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. LOS ANGELES
Seattle is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing at home against Seattle

6:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

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**Udog** · 06-14-2015, 07:13 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, June 14

Chicago @ Indiana

Game 601-602
June 14, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
109.338
Indiana
114.616
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 5
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
156
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+1 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Phoenix

Game 603-604
June 14, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
114.219
Phoenix
119.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 5 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6 1/2
154
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+6 1/2); Over

Atlanta @ Connecticut

Game 605-606
June 14, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
109.151
Connecticut
114.193
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 5
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+3 1/2); Under

Tulsa @ San Antonio

Game 607-608
June 14, 2015 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
110.825
San Antonio
109.703
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 1
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3
157
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(+3); Under

Seattle @ Los Angeles

Game 609-610
June 14, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
106.549
Los Angeles
109.648
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 3
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 5
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+5); Under

Washington @ New York

Game 611-612
June 14, 2015 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
114.116
New York
110.057
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
144
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+2 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 06-14-2015, 08:56 AM

WNBA

Sunday, June 14

This has been a hot trend in early WNBA season

Under wagers have registered an 11-6-1 record through the first 18 games of the WNBA season, good enough to cash at a rate of just under 65 percent.

The season is barely over a week old, but the Washington Mystics (0-3 Over/Under), Connecticut Sun (0-3 O/U) and San Antonio Stars (0-2) have remained perfect for Under bettors.

The Los Angeles Sparks have played just one game thus far, which resulted in a push on the total.

Sunday is a busy day on the WNBA calendar, with six games on the board.

**Udog** · 06-14-2015, 10:59 AM

NBA

Sunday, June 14

Under bets hot with NBA Finals heading to Game 5

The Under has gone 3-0 in the past three games in the NBA Finals heading into Game 5 and has a record of 3-1 overall in the series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors.

The series opened with a total of 203.5 in Game 1 and it took overtime for the teams to eclipse the closing number. The number has come down in each game since with Game 2 at 199 and games 3 and 4 at 194.5.

Oddsmakers opened the total for Game 5 at 195.5 and it has yet to budge as of Sunday morning. Through four games, the two teams are averaging a combined 192 points scored per game.

Announcement

Sunday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/14

Sunday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/14

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