Announcement

**Udog** · 06-06-2015, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

-- Since 1979, the favored horse has won the Belmont only six times.

-- Kyrie Irving broke his kneecap, is obviously out for the rest of the Finals.

-- Jason Dufner went -10 on his first 23 holes this week at the Memorial, then went -1 over his last 13 holes and is one shot out of the lead.

-- Alex Rodriguez has a .374 OB% for a first place team, which is pretty damn good.

-- Missouri State is the #8 college baseball team but they had to play at Arkansas in the Super Regionals because they share their home park with a minor league team.

-- At what point does TV's obsession with Eldrick Woods end? He's not good.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: DD Lohaus handicaps the Belmont Stakes

Exciting Times, Exciting Times.....

American Pharoah comes to Belmont Park with a chance to make history. Join the elite of the racing world and restore faith that this most difficult task (winning the Triple Crown) can still be accomplished by those who are elite... ...

I for one hope it happens and we can quiet those who believe the format needs to be changed. IT IS SUPPOSED TO BE HARD TO ACCOMPLISH! That is why it hasn't happened since 1978 and why only 11 (out of 4144 entrants) have done it previously. Look at the names....the greatest of the great....not the pretty good or those for whom we have changed the rules...no changes please..

OK, enough of the preaching....on to the race...

I picked the winner in the Preakness but couldn't connect with the longshot play that was designed to make it interesting. American Pharoah was the best horse that day and I believe he is the best horse in the Belmont. American Pharoah did look improved in last and I believe he may be even better in the Belmont...remember he did have an injury earlier in the year and did miss some training time. He is strictly the one to beat.

The other horses in the field just don't offer any inspiration for me...listen they are all solid horses but I just don't believe they have enough to beat American Pharoah. Maybe I am being a bit biased because I want a Triple Crown winner and I don't think the group is as strong as everyone says they are...or American Pharoah is just that much better than them all.

It has happened before...with the OTHER TRIPLE CROWN WINNERS...that is what they are; simply better than the rest....

Picks:
1. American Pharoah
2. Frosted
3. Materiality

** Longshot Play: Keen Ice: played in the Derby. Give one more try**

The Bets:
$25Ex American Pharoah/Frosted, Materiality, Keen Ice
$5WPS Keen Ice

Total Bets: $90.00

**Udog** · 06-06-2015, 08:35 AM

Belmont Stakes bteting horse-by-horse preview and picks

Here we go again. Thirteen times since Affirmed won the Triple Crown in 1978 has a horse entered the Belmont Stakes with a chance to make history and each time they’ve failed.

What makes this year different?

Here’s a look at the field for Saturday’s Belmont Stakes:

1. Mubtaahij (Jockey, Irad Ortiz, odds 10-1): Took a lot of money at the windows in the Kentucky Derby and finished a hard-closing eighth. Should be able to get the Belmont’s grueling distance but don't think he's a major threat. Import, who won the UAE Derby, skipped the Preakness to freshen up.

2. Tale of Verve (Gary Stevens, 15-1): Has just one win in seven career starts but he took a game second in the Preakness making his entry in this race seem legitimate. Also shown ability to come from off the pace and has run six straight races over a mile long but it took him six tries to break his maiden and this is too steep a challenge.

3. Madefromlucky (Javier Castellano, 12-1): First of two Todd Pletcher-trained horses in the field and if one trainer would like to prevent Bob Baffert from winning the Triple Crown, it's Pletcher. This one won the Peter Pan over this surface but was walloped by American Pharoah twice at Oaklawn once in the slop and once on a fast surface.

4. Frammento (Mike Smith, 30-1): Didn't like him in the Kentucky Derby where he finished 11th and there's no reason to jump on him here. He's won just once in eight career starts and his best Beyer figure is 87 – overmatched.

5. American Pharoah (Victor Espinoza, 3-5): The favorite has lost the last nine Belmont stakes and all 11 Triple Crown winners had raced at Belmont before running in the 1½-mile Belmont Stakes. Pharoah has never run at Belmont. But, he was a 2-year-old champion, has won six-straight races all with Beyer figures over 100, and importantly he’s held his weight steady since his Derby start. When Baffert entered stablemate Dortmund in the Preakness he was stating the obvious: there isn’t a 3-year-old in training that can beat him anywhere.

6. Frosted (Joel Rosario, 5-1): Is a half-brother to Tonalist who spoiled California Chrome’s Triple Crown hopes last year. Was a hard-charging fourth after a dismal start in the Kentucky Derby and the fact that he's already raced at Belmont (finishing second as a 2-year-old) makes him the biggest threat. His best race was a win in the Wood at Aqueduct but he can't spot the chalk too much distance or he'll never catch him,

7. Keen Ice (Kent Desormeaux, 20-1): Also skipped the Preakness after encountering major traffic problems in the Kentucky Derby where he finished seventh at 45-1. He’s sure to take some money here but the lack of much speed up front should severely hinder his chances.

8 Materiality (Jorge Velasquez, 6-1): The second Pletcher charge and another with a good chance to play the role of spoiler. He was left at the gate in the Derby but then staged an unlikely rally to finish sixth posting the fastest time of all the runners in the final half mile. The Derby loss was his first in four starts and he usually breaks well. Really thought he'd be a menace in the Preakness but he wasn't ready and he spent two straight weeks training at Belmont for this race.

Picks: 1. American Pharoah. 2. Materiality. 3. Frosted. 4. Mubtaahij.

**Udog** · 06-06-2015, 08:49 AM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, June 6

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MINNESOTA (1 - 0) at INDIANA (0 - 1) - 6/6/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (1 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 0) - 6/6/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 260-317 ATS (-88.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 164-208 ATS (-64.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (1 - 0) at TULSA (0 - 1) - 6/6/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (0 - 0) at SEATTLE (0 - 0) - 6/6/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 29-44 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games in June games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 104-73 ATS (+23.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1997.
SEATTLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Saturday, June 6

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. WASHINGTON
New York is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of New York's last 23 games on the road
Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. INDIANA
Minnesota is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TULSA
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa
Tulsa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. SEATTLE
Los Angeles is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

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**Udog** · 06-06-2015, 09:21 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Saturday, June 6

Minnesota @ Indiana

Game 651-652
June 6, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
112.032
Indiana
109.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
159
by 2 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 7
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+7); Over

New York @ Washington

Game 653-654
June 6, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
111.014
Washington
112.945
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
151
by 2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7
145
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+7); Over

Chicago @ Tulsa

Game 655-656
June 6, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
113.637
Tulsa
109.583
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
155
by 4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 2
161 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-2); Under

Los Angeles @ Seattle

Game 657-658
June 6, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
115.525
Seattle
112.664
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
141
by 3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 1
146
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-1); Under

Announcement

Saturday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/6

Saturday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/6

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