Announcement

**Udog** · 05-09-2015, 10:36 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

-- Bulls 99, Cavaliers 96-- Rose banked in contested 3 at buzzer; Bulls are up 2-1.

-- Rangers 2, Washington 1 OT-- NY stays alive with an overtime home win.

-- Jacksonville's top draft pick Dante Fowler tore his ACL in the first half hour of his first practice as a pro, is already out for the year.

-- NBA fined Matt Barnes $50,000 for cursing out James Harden's mother.

-- Washington 9, Atlanta 2-- Bryce Harper has five homers in his last two games.

-- Toronto hitting coach Brook Jacoby was suspended for 14 games for an incident that happened after a recent game in Boston. 14 games is a hefty suspension.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Some Week 1 NFL trends to peruse....

Something a little different today; notes on Week 1 NFL games, in case you'd like to invest in these games now, which you can in some places......

Steelers @ Patriots (NL, 53.5)-- Brady's '15 status will be announced next week; Pitt lost last four road openers by average score of 28-11. Patriots are 5-0-1 vs spread in last six home openers where spread was less than nine points, 0-6 if the spread was 9+ points.

Packers (-4.5, 50.5) @ Bears-- Pack won last five visits to Windy City, four by 7+ points, but they've lost last three road openers. Bears won five of last six home openers.

Chiefs @ Texans (-1.5, 42.5)-- Houston won last five home openers, covering four of them. Under is 7-3 in last 10 road openers for KC, home openers for Texans.

Browns @ Jets (-2.5, 41)-- Cleveland is 1-15 SU in season openers. Jets won last four home openers, with three of four by 5 or less points.

Colts (-2.5, 48) @ Bills-- Buffalo is 5-2 in last seven home openers, with losses by 2-5 points. Rex Ryan won his last four home openers with the Jets. Colts lost four of last five road openers; under is 7-3 in their last ten road openers.

Dolphins (-2.5, 44.5) @ Redskins-- Home side won last seven Dolphin-Redskin tilts. Under is 16-5 in Miami's last 21 road openers. Washington is 10-3 in its last 13 home openers; Miami lost nine of last 11 road openers.

Panthers (-4, 43) @ Jaguars-- Carolina lost five of last six openers- they won LY with Derek Anderson at QB. Jaguars lost their last three home openers by combined score of 99-26. Under is 14-6-1 in Jacksonville home openers.

Seahawks (-3.5. 43.5) @ Rams-- Rams lost 17 of last 20 games with Seattle, but won three of last five played here. Average total in last ten series games, 32.4. Seattle lost seven of last eight road openers.

Saints @ Cardinals (-2.5, 47)-- New Orleans covered one of its last eight road openers. Arizona won five in row, eight of last nine home openers. Home team won last five Saint-Cardinal games.

Lions @ Chargers (-2, 45.5)-- Detroit is 3-11 (4-10 vs spread) in last 14 road openers. San Diego won four of last five home openers. Lions lost last four visits to San Diego, with three of four losses by six or less points.

Titans @ Buccaneers (-3, 42)-- Mariota vs Winston? Home side won nine of ten series games. Under is 15-3 in Titans' last 18 road openers, 8-3-1 in Buccaneers' last 12 home openers. Titans covered six of last eight road openers.

Bengals (-3.5, 42) @ Raiders-- Cincy has never won (0-10) in Oakland; they were 1-3 vs Raiders in LA (win in '88). Oakland lost last five times they opened season at home (last Week 1 home win, '02). Five of last six Cincy road openers went over.

Ravens @ Broncos (-4, 53)-- Average total in last three series games, 66.7. Baltimore is 5-2 vs spread last seven times they were an underdog in their road openers. Denver is 23-3 in last 26 home openers, 10-4-1 vs spread in last fifteen.

Giants @ Cowboys (-5.5, 50)-- Big Blue lost last four season oepners; over is 10-1 in their last 11 road openers. Cowboys are 1-5 vs spread in last six tries as a home fave in Week 1. Average total in last five Giant-Cowboy games, 55.2.

Eagles (-1, 53) @ Falcons-- Atlanta won/covered last seven home openers; they scored average of 34.2 ppg in last five home openers. Over is 5-1-1 in Eagles' last seven road openers. Average total in last three Eagle-Falcon games, 52.7.

Vikings @ 49ers (-4, 41.5)-- Home side won 10 of last 11 series games. In their last 14 road openers as an underdog, Vikings are 8-4-2 vs spread. 49ers won last four openers, scoring 28+ points in all four games.

**Udog** · 05-09-2015, 10:41 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, May 9

Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards

Game 721-722
May 9, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta Hawks
123.003
Washington Wizard
125.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington Wizard
by 2 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 4
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington Wizard
(+4); Over

Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies

Game 723-724
May 9, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State Warr
125.461
Memphis Grizzlies
126.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 1 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State Warr
by 4 1/2
196 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis Grizzlies
(+4 1/2); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, May 9

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ATLANTA (65 - 25) at WASHINGTON (51 - 37) - 5/9/2015, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
ATLANTA is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
ATLANTA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
ATLANTA is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 341-411 ATS (-111.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 156-201 ATS (-65.1 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 78-118 ATS (-51.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (72 - 16) at MEMPHIS (60 - 29) - 5/9/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-96 ATS (-41.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 89-69 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 48-36 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) on Saturday games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 8-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-5 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, May 9

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3, Series Tied 1-1

Atlanta Hawks at Washington, 5:05 ET
Atlanta: 19-7 ATS in road games after 2 straight games with 26 or more assists
Washington: 4-12 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3, Series Tied 1-1

Golden State at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Golden State: 2-10 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games
Memphis: 15-7 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, May 9

Wall has multiple fractures in left hand/wrist; can he manage pain enough to play after missing Game 2? Washington is 2-4 in its last six games vs Atlanta; eight of last ten series games went over total. Seven of last nine Wizard games went over total. Hawks bench shot 7-20 in Game 1, 7-15 in Game 2; they took ten less 3's last game, got to foul line 11 more times. Wizards' bench was a combined +35 in Game 1, Atlanta's -27- in Game 2, Wiz bench was -30, Hawks +9. .

Memphis PG Conley (facial fractures) scored 22 points in 27:00 in Game 2 upset, giving his team a great lift; Warriors were just 6-26 from arc in Game 2, after going 13-28 in first game. Grizzlies lost five of last seven games with Golden State; six of last eight series games stayed under the total. Six of last eight Memphis games stayed under total. Golden State has 72 wins this year; they've won nine of last ten games but covered only two of last nine. Both series games stayed under the total.

2015 playoffs
Chicago vs Cleveland
Chi 99-92, +4.5, U195
Clev 106-91, -5.5, O195.5
Chi 99-96, -3, O194.5

Washington vs Atlanta
Wash 104-98, +5.5, O197
Atl 106-90, -9, U199

Memphis vs Golden State
GSt 101-86, -10.5, U196
Mem 101-86, +10.5, U198.5

LA Clippers vs Houston
LAC 117-101, +7.5, O212
Hst 115-109, -8, O214.5
LAC 124-99, -6, O214.5

NBA

Saturday, May 9

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games on the road
Washington is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Washington is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. MEMPHIS
Golden State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Golden State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
Memphis is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 05-09-2015, 10:44 AM

NBA

Saturday, May 9

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Game of the Day: NBA Saturday playoff matchups
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Atlanta Hawks at Washington Wizards (+3, 199)
Series tied 1-1

John Wall will likely be on the sidelines for a second consecutive contest when the Washington Wizards host the Atlanta Hawks in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference semifinals on Saturday. The star point guard has been diagnosed with five non-displaced fractures in his left hand and wrist and Washington has yet to announce his status for the rest of the series.

Wall’s injury is a big blow to the Wizards, who solidly defeated the Hawks in Game 1 before Atlanta recovered to win the second game with Wall sitting out. “By no means do we feel like this series is over or our goals change,” veteran forward Paul Pierce told reporters. “We will continue to go out there and reach for our goals.” The Hawks played much better in Game 2 after a lackluster opening performance and look to take control of the series. “We’ve been doing it all year,” center Al Horford told reporters. “I know it’s the playoffs and the intensity goes up. There are a lot of things that go into it, but it’s gotten us this far, so we have to stay confident.”

TV: 5 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened the Wiz as 2-point favorites, but that line has since hopped the fence all the way to +3 as of this writing.

INJURY REPORT: Hawks - N/A Wizards - G John Wall (Doub-Wrist)

ABOUT THE HAWKS: Atlanta would like to see shooting guard Kyle Korver (9-of-26 in the series) regain his stroke and point guard Jeff Teague (7-of-26) is also struggling. One player thriving is small forward DeMarre Carroll, who is averaging 23 points in the series and has compiled six consecutive 20-point efforts, the longest by a Hawks’ player since Dominique Wilkins rattled off 12 straight in 1988. Power forward Paul Millsap has posted back-to-back double-doubles and has four in the postseason.

ABOUT THE WIZARDS: Journeyman Ramon Sessions started in place of Wall and had a solid effort with 21 points in Game 2. He will continue to play a big role in the series moving forward with Wall’s status in doubt while Pierce is troubled by the timing of the injury. “It is definitely difficult for the team but I am sure it is even more devastating for John,” Pierce told reporters. “I’m more hurt for him than anything because I know how badly he wants to be out there.”

TRENDS:

*Hawks are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
*Wizards are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
*Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Over is 10-2 in Wizards last 12 home games.

Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies (+4.5, 196.5)
Series tied 1-1

The return of Mike Conley sparked Memphis in Game 2 and the Grizzlies look to take a 2-1 lead in the Western Conference semifinals when they meet the visiting Golden Warriors on Saturday. Conley scored 22 points eight days after having facial surgery to lead Memphis to a 97-90 victory on Tuesday.

The Grizzlies have homecourt advantage after splitting the two games on Golden State’s floor, and thoroughly rattled the Warriors in Game 2 while forcing 20 turnovers. “We were too quick with our intention to score,” Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters. “Instead of just moving the ball and setting good screens, everyone was trying to do everything frantically on their own.” Memphis standout defender Tony Allen is causing problems for Golden State and insists the Grizzlies haven’t tweaked their philosophy. “We play a certain style no matter who we play,” Allen told reporters. “It’s just a game of basketball. You’ve got to get back in transition and with a team like (the Warriors), you’ve got to defend the perimeter.”

LINE HISTORY: Books initially opened the Grizz +4 but that's been bet to its current price of +4.5.

INJURY REPORT: Warriors - C Ognjen Kuzmic (Ques-Ankle) Grizzlies - N/A

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: The Golden State backcourt of Stephen Curry (20.5 average in the series) and Klay Thompson (15.5) have yet to hit their stride and the Warriors were 6-of-26 from 3-point range in Game 2. Curry was a subpar 7-of-19 shooting in the contest while Thompson was reduced to non-contributor status by Allen, ducked the media afterward and then bristled the following day when a reporter suggested Allen was in his head. “They know what I think now? That’s all I gotta say,” Thompson responded. “In my head? Come on, man.”

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES: Conley wore a mask to protect the broken bones in his face and was 8-of-12 shooting in 27 stellar minutes. “I’m just happy that he’s able to play,” center Marc Gasol told reporters. “I’m happy that Mike is not only able to push through it but help his team win. He gives us poise, he gives us toughness.” Conley said his vision was fine out of the swollen left eye for most of the game, but his lack of activity did cause cramping issues in the final minutes.

TRENDS:

*Road team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
*Grizzlies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
*Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
*Under is 24-4 in Grizzlies last 28 home games.

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Announcement

Saturday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 5/9

Saturday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 5/9

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