Announcement

**Udog** · 04-30-2015, 10:03 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Over is 17-6-3 in interleague games so far this season.

-- Dodgers haven't led the major leagues in homers since 1974.

-- Oklahoma-Villanova are playing a basketball game near Pearl Harbor on Dec 7, to commemorate the 74th anniversary of that sad day.

-- Last time a horse with #2 post won the Kentucky Derby was 1978.

-- Giancarlo Stanton was walked intentionally 24 times LY; he's only been walked intentionally once so far this year.

-- Alabama has had a kid taken in the first round of NFL Draft the last six years, the longest active streak in college football.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) I didn't know they changed the format of the Match Play golf tournament this year, making it like AAU basketball, with sixteen 4-team pools, the winners moving on to the Sweet 16 of the tournament. So all players are going to play 54 holes before the Sweet 16 is determined- maybe this is why Phil Mickelson begged out of playing, maybe he doesn't approve of the changes.

12) If Billy Donovan does indeed go to the NBA, then the Florida opening will be interesting to follow-- think Shaka Smart will be kicking himself for going to Texas? I'm guess Florida is a better job than Texas-- Rick Barnes did pretty darn well in Austin and got fired for it.

11) NFL will have lot of kids in Chicago for their draft this weekend, but no quarterbacks; Jameis Winston not being there bothers me; the grandmother excuse is lame. If he cared so much about being close to her, why didn't he go to college in Alabama? Lot of red flags where Winston is concerned.

10) The more you read, it seems like the consensus among NFL people is that there are roughly 16 players this year with solid first round grades, so first round won't be so good at the bottom, but the middle rounds will be strong.

9) US Open golf tournament will be broadcast on FOX for first time in June; Joe Buck/Greg Norman will be the main announcers.

8) Baylor-Utah scheduled a football series for 2023-24; kids who will play in those games are currently in anywhere from 4th to 8th grade.

7) There is a Shake Shack in Istanbul, Turkey, in case you were wondering. Good milkshakes, but ridiculously expensive, at least the ones at the racetrack in Saratoga are-- then again, everything in Saratoga is too expensive.

6) UAB will get kicked out of Conference USA if they don't revive the football program; rumors have Liberty University wanting to step up and take UAB's place in C-USA, as they try and raise the profile of their athletic department.

UAB's basketball team is on the rise; not sure what league where they would go to if they were forced to leave C-USA?

5) Animal trainer Jack Hanna made his 103rd and last appearance with David Letterman last night; guy always had unique animals with him on TV. Going to be odd not to have Letterman on latenight TV anymore

4) It is slightly weird that there the AL/NL have separate rules as far as the DH is concerned, but in Japan, where they also have two major leagues, they also have only one league with the DH, one without. Whats up with that?

3) I don't ask for much, but I beg the folks at Taco Bell to lose the commercial where the brother/sister scream while opening Christmas gifts. Good grief it is annoying to have noise, just for the sake of noise-- please make it stop.

2) For one day, I'd love to shoot a basketball as well as Kyle Korver.

1) Ben Martin beat Matt Kuchar at the Match Play tournament thanks to a hole-in-one on the 17th hole; it was Martin's first ace on Tour-- this is his first match play event since the US Amateur in 2009.

**Udog** · 04-30-2015, 10:06 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 30

Chicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks

Game 531-532
April 30, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Bulls
121.121
Milwaukee Bucks
124.657
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee Bucks
by 3 1/2
184
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 4
187 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks
(+4); Under

Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs

Game 535-536
April 30, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles Clipp
128.446
San Antonio Spurs
131.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 3 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 5 1/2
206
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles Clipp
(+5 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 30

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CHICAGO (53 - 34) at MILWAUKEE (43 - 44) - 4/30/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 47-37 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHICAGO is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 51-72 ATS (-28.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 329-396 ATS (-106.6 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-7 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 11-6 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (58 - 29) at SAN ANTONIO (58 - 29) - 4/30/2015, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-47 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 225-279 ATS (-81.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 172-237 ATS (-88.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 131-172 ATS (-58.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 102-88 ATS (+5.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 715-608 ATS (+46.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 461-383 ATS (+39.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 75-54 ATS (+15.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 257-211 ATS (+24.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 121-86 ATS (+26.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-8 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 30

Bucks won last two games by total of 8 points after losing eight of previous nine series games; seven of last nine games went under the total. Bucks only turned ball over 48 times in five games (+31). Chicago cut its turnovers down from 28 to 12 in Game 5, but they were just 4-22 from arc- they have lot of pressure on them-- no team has ever blown 3-0 series lead. Bulls' bench is just 12-40 from floor last two games.

Clippers shot 51.3%, 53.6% from floor in its two series wins- they shot 42.4%, 34.1%, 46.5% in three losses. LA missed 16 foul shots, was 1-16 from arc in 111-107 loss last game; you get feeling they are better team, but they keep getting beat. San Antonio was 16-58 from arc in two losses, 29-73 in three wins. Spurs have solid record at home when they can eliminate opponents; home side lost three of last four series games.

Home favorites are 15-13 in this round, home dogs are 5-4; home teams are 24-13 SU-- over is 17-20.

2015 playoffs
Brooklyn vs Atlanta
Atl 99-92, -10, U201.5
Atl 96-91, -9.5, U202
Brook 91-83, +3.5, U199
Brook 120-115 OT, +5, O198
Atl 107-97, -9, O200

Boston vs Cleveland
Clev 113-100, -11.5, O203
Clev 99-91, -11, U206
Clev 103-95, -4, U204
Clev 101-93, -6.5, U201.5
Cavaliers won series, 4-0

Milwaukee vs Chicago
Chi 103-91, -8, O186
Chi 91-82, -8, U190.5
Chi 113-106, 2OT, -2.5, O187
Mil 92-90, +4, U190
Mil 94-88, +8, U189

Washington vs Toronto
Wash 93-86 OT, +4, U194.5
Wash 117-106, +5, O193.5
Wash 106-99, -4.5, O195.5
Wash 125-94, -6.5, O197.5
Wizards win series, 4-0

New Orleans vs Golden State
GSt 106-99, -12, U205
GSt 97-87, -13, U206.5
GSt 123-119 OT, -5, O203
GSt 109-98, -6.5, U208
Warriors win series, 4-0

Dallas vs Houston
Hst 118-108, -5.5, O212.5
Hst 111-99, -6.5, U214
Hst 130-128, +1, O214.5
Dal 121-109, +3, O218.5
Hst 103-94, -8, U221.5
Rockets win series, 4-1

San Antonio vs LA Clippers
LAC 107-92, -1.5, U207
SA 111-107 OT, +1.5, O207.5
SA 100-73, -5, U203.5
LAC 114-105, +6, O202.5
SA 111-107, +2.5, O203

Portland vs Memphis
Mem 100-86, -5.5, U188.5
Mem 97-82, -6, U189
Mem 115-109, +3.5, O189
Port 99-92, -4, U193
Mem 99-93, -6, O189.5
Grizzlies win series, 4-1

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-21

NBA

Thursday, April 30

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MILWAUKEE
Chicago is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Chicago is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

9:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 13 of the LA Clippers last 18 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 14-3 SU in its last 17 game

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**Udog** · 04-30-2015, 10:06 AM

NBA

Thursday, April 30

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Game of the Day: Thursday's NBA Playoffs matchups
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Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks (+3.5, 187.5)
Bulls lead series 3-2

The Milwaukee Bucks have put a major scare into Chicago and look to even up the series against the visiting Bulls on Thursday. Sixth-seeded Milwaukee dug itself a 0-3 hole but consecutive victories have placed third-seeded Chicago in a precarious position in the best-of-7 Eastern Conference first-round series.

The Bulls appeared to be on their way to a sweep and now have to win on Milwaukee’s floor for the second time in the series to avoid a Game 7 confrontation. “We’ve done it to ourselves,” power forward Pau Gasol told reporters. “Now we have a very difficult challenge in front of us. They have momentum, they have confidence and they go home to force Game 7. Let’s see how we play Game 6, how we react to the situation as a team.” The Bucks outclassed and outhustled Chicago while posting a 94-88 road win on Monday and coach Jason Kidd promises Milwaukee is all-in per winning the series. “You can always talk about the future but we don’t,” Kidd told reporters. “We don’t really understand what the future holds for us. We’ve got to stay in the present. That is what this team has done all year.”

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened at MIL +2.5 before jumping a full point to +3.5. The opening total of 187.5 has not moved.

TRENDS:

*Bulls are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Milwaukee.
*Bucks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.
*Over is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
*Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Los Angeles Clippers at San Antonio Spurs (-5.5, 205.5)
Spurs lead series 3-2

The defending champion San Antonio Spurs have an opportunity to close out the series when they host the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday. San Antonio took a 3-2 series lead with a 111-107 victory on Tuesday, leaving the Clippers in need of back-to-back wins to claim the Western Conference first-round series.

The Spurs are aware they are in a good position but nobody wants to pretend this still isn’t a series that can be lost. “We are excited about it,” backup guard Manu Ginobili told reporters. “Our job is not done yet because we have a bigger game at home and we really want to close this series out.” Los Angeles nearly won Game 5, but a basket interference call with 4.9 seconds left negated Blake Griffin’s go-ahead basket. “It’s tough but the series isn’t over,” Griffin told reporters. “We’ve got to be ready to come and play. It’s going to be a hostile environment in San Antonio in a closeout game, elimination game, so we’ve got to be ready to go.”

LINE HISTORY: The spread and the total have yet to move from their opening mark of SA -5.5, 205.5.

TRENDS:

*Spurs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
*Under is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
*Over is 14-5-2 in the last 21 meetings in San Antonio.
*Underdog is 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

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**Udog** · 04-30-2015, 10:09 AM

NBA

Thursday, April 30

Tony Parker, San Antonio - Prob Thurs

Parker is expected to play in Game 6 of the Western Conference Quarterfinals against the Clippers despite a quad injury.

Cavs' Love to miss 4-6 months after surgery

Cleveland Cavaliers forward Kevin Love underwent season-ending surgery Wednesday to repair a dislocated left shoulder, the team announced.

The timetable for Love's return is four to six months. The 2015-16 season is to start in exactly six months.

The operation was performed by New York Mets medical director David Altchek, and Love is expected to rehab in Cleveland under the guidance of Cavaliers team doctor Richard D. Parker.

Love was hurt Sunday when he became entangled with Boston Celtics forward Kelly Olynyk in Game 4 of Cleveland's first-round series sweep. Love was initially projected to miss two to three weeks, but a second opinion revealed significant damage to the shoulder.

Love, who was in his first season with the Cavaliers after an offseason trade from the Minnesota Timberwolves, can become a free agent in July. He was playing in his first-ever playoff series.

Announcement

Thursday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/30

Thursday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/30

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