Announcement

**Udog** · 04-29-2015, 09:53 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting first round matches in the golf tournament today:

-- Justin Rose (-$240) vs Marc Leishman-- Rose is off win in New Orleans.

-- Jason Day (-$200) vs Charley Hoffman-- Day is 14-3 in this event.

-- Jordan Spieth (-$325) vs Mikko Ilonen-- Ilonen got in when Lefty withdrew.

-- Rory McIlroy (-$260) vs Jason Dufner-- Tough first round match, no?

-- Bubba Watson (-$210) vs M.A Jimenez-- Interesting pair of characters here.

-- Henrik Stenson (-$240) vs John Senden- Stenson has won this event.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Random mid-week stuff.......

13) Another baseball game was cancelled at Camden Yards Tuesday due to the rioting/curfew in Baltimore. Wednesday's game is at 2pm and will be the first big league game ever played with no fans.

Baltimore's weekend series against Tampa Bay has been moved to the Trop; the Orioles will be the "home team" for those games.

12) Rockets 103, Mavericks 94-- Houston advances to second round for first time since 2009. Enjoyed listening to Chris Webber on this game, talking about how improved foul shooting is the product of one thing-- good practice.

11) Spurs 111, Clippers 107-- Speaking of which, DeAndre Jordan was 7-16 on the foul line and this led directly to San Antonio grabbing a 3-2 series lead. Asked a few people who coached last night if they would foul on purpose if they were in Spurs' shoes- when million$ of dollar$ are at $take, the an$wer i$ ye$. You find an opponents' weakness, you exploit it.

10) Match Play tournament starts today; since 1999, the average seed of the winner has been 19.6; Brooks Koepka is #19, Kevin Na #20.

9) Blue Jays 11, Red Sox 8-- Boston allowed 34 runs in its last three games, as the price tag for Hamels/Kazmir, even Bud Norris keeps going up. Boston's five starting pitchers have an ERA of over 6.00, worst in major leagues.

8) Speaking of which, Masahiro Tanaka is on the DL, as trends point to him needing Tommy John surgery. Forearm strains are often a precursor to issues with the UCL, which is what just sidelined Brandon McCarthy for the season.

7) Senator from Vermont named Bernie Sanders is running for President; never heard of the guy, but at first glance, he looks like Verne Lundquist.

6) John Daly turned 49 years old this week, which means that a year from now, the Senior Tour is going to get a big boost, if Daly chooses to play there.

5) Bo Jackson is 51 years old, has an artificial hip; he won a long drive contest at a charity golf tournament this week, hitting a golf ball 331 yards. You never hear about him anymore, which means he has a good life. Good for him.

4) Nationals 13, Braves 12-- Atlanta led 10-2 after the 4th inning; Washington has been playing terrible baseball. Teams combined to allow nine unearned runs in this game. The NL East is wide open for the Mets to win, especially is the Nationals keep playing this sloppily.

3) When the NBA holds its draft in June, shouldn't the D-league draft be immediately after it, starting at midnight and shown on the NBA Network? It would be obvious to everyone then what kids got bad advice and maybe more kids would stay in school instead of coming out when they should not.

2) My point is this-- there are 30 NBA teams, it is a two-round draft, so that is sixty selections. 48 college players, 43 international kids applied for this year's draft- thats not counting the college seniors. It just does not add up-- lot of kids could still be in college, getting better-- college teams practice more.

1) Since Kevin Durant helped get Scott Brooks fired, I hope he at least got Brooks' cellphone bill reduced, the way he does on that TV commercial.

**Udog** · 04-29-2015, 09:57 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 29

Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

Game 523-524
April 29, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn Nets
117.491
Atlanta Hawks
120.744
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 3 1/2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 9
200
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn Nets
(+9); Under

Portland Trail Blazers @ Memphis Grizzlies

Game 527-528
April 29, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland Trail Bl
117.175
Memphis Grizzlies
125.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 8
184
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 5 1/2
190
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis Grizzlies
(-5 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 28

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BROOKLYN (40 - 46) at ATLANTA (62 - 24) - 4/29/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
ATLANTA is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
BROOKLYN is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 8-7 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-6 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (52 - 34) at MEMPHIS (58 - 28) - 4/29/2015, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 88-68 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 11-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 12-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 29

Home side won all four Brooklyn-Atlanta games in this series, as Nets lost Games 1-2 here by 7-5 points. Hawks made 22 of 61 from arc, 35-41 on line in pair of home wins, but were 19-63 from arc, 23-32 on line in Game 3-4 losses. Brooklyn lost last four road games- their last road win was April 1 at the Knicks. Johnson is just 22-66 in series; Hawks are doing good job on him. Atlanta won seven of last eight at home, with only loss to those same Knicks.

Memphis PG Conley (facial fractures) is out for rest of series; Griz took 43 foul shots in Game 3, only 14 in Game 4- it was first time in series they didn't have double digit lead at half. Grizzlies won 12 of their last 14 games with Portland, covering 11 of last 13. Portland shot 33.7%/39% from floor in losses by 14-15 in Games 1-2 in this arena- they've forced only six turnovers a game in this series. Even with Conley out, Memphis turned ball over eight times in Game 4.

Home favorites are 13-13 in this round, home dogs are 5-4; home teams are 22-13 SU-- over is 15-20.

2015 playoffs
Brooklyn vs Atlanta
Atl 99-92, -10, U201.5
Atl 96-91, -9.5, U202
Brook 91-83, +3.5, U199
Brook 120-115 OT, +5, O198

Boston vs Cleveland
Clev 113-100, -11.5, O203
Clev 99-91, -11, U206
Clev 103-95, -4, U204
Clev 101-93, -6.5, U201.5
Cavaliers won series, 4-0

Milwaukee vs Chicago
Chi 103-91, -8, O186
Chi 91-82, -8, U190.5
Chi 113-106, 2OT, -2.5, O187
Mil 92-90, +4, U190
Mil 94-88, +8, U189

Washington vs Toronto
Wash 93-86 OT, +4, U194.5
Wash 117-106, +5, O193.5
Wash 106-99, -4.5, O195.5
Wash 125-94, -6.5, O197.5
Wizards win series, 4-0

New Orleans vs Golden State
GSt 106-99, -12, U205
GSt 97-87, -13, U206.5
GSt 123-119 OT, -5, O203
GSt 109-98, -6.5, U208
Warriors win series, 4-0

Dallas vs Houston
Hst 118-108, -5.5, O212.5
Hst 111-99, -6.5, U214
Hst 130-128, +1, O214.5
Dal 121-109, +3, O218.5
Hst 103-94, -8, U221.5
Rockets win series, 4-1

San Antonio vs LA Clippers
LAC 107-92, -1.5, U207
SA 111-107 OT, +1.5, O207.5
SA 100-73, -5, U203.5
LAC 114-105, +6, O202.5
SA 111-107, +2.5, O203

Portland vs Memphis
Mem 100-86, -5.5, U188.5
Mem 97-82, -6, U189
Mem 115-109, +3.5, O189
Port 99-92, -4, U193

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-2

NBA

Wednesday, April 29

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games on the road
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn

9:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. MEMPHIS
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing at home against Portland

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**Udog** · 04-29-2015, 09:58 AM

NBA

Wednesday, April 29

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Game of the Day: Wednesday's NBA Playoffs matchups
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Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks (-9, 200)

Series tied 2-2

Deron Williams fought through tailbone and leg injuries in the Game 4 performance and knocked down one of the highlight shots of the postseason when he crossed over behind the back and hit a fadeaway 3-pointer with the shot clock winding down late in the fourth quarter. "I honestly don't even know what happened," Williams told reporters. "I just know the clock was winding down and I had to get a shot off. But it felt good as soon as it left my hand, though.” Williams buried seven 3-pointers and went 13-of-25 from the field to go along with seven assists and five rebounds in the win.

Atlanta dominated the glass 55-40 in Game 4 but could not hit the shots it needed down the stretch. The Hawks shot 52.4 percent from the field and were having their best night of the series from the outside in the first three quarters while building an 82-74 lead but slumped to 13-of-32 in the fourth quarter and overtime, including 3-of-14 from 3-point range. "This is what the playoffs are all about,” Atlanta coach Mike Budenholzer told reporters. “What we expect is to be challenged, and this is a great challenge for us.

LINE HISTORY: The Hawks opened as 8-point favorites before jumping to -9. The total of 200 has yet to move since opening.

TRENDS:

*Nets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
*Hawks are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
*Under is 5-1 in Nets last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.
*Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies (-5, 191.5)

Grizzlies lead series 3-1

Shooting guard Arron Afflalo (shoulder) missed all five of his shots in Game 4 and backup C.J. McCollum stepped up with his second straight by scoring 18 points. McCollum poured in 26 points in Game 3 and Memphis has been unable to defend him as he has made 16-of-26 field-goal attempts during the last two games. “The first two games, I came out kind of shaky and played like a younger player, making mistakes and not making open shots,” McCollum told reporters. “I just wanted to show my teammates that I could play in a big game and help them out. I was aggressive, trying to get to the cup.”

Memphis saw its chance for a sweep evaporate by blowing a 10-point fourth-quarter lead on Monday and succumbing meekly to the Trail Blazers. Center Marc Gasol scored 21 points and was highly disappointed with his team’s collapse and sharply critiqued his teammates. “We stopped competing and we tried to trade buckets with them, and we played a little bit too fast,” Gasol told reporters. “We did not execute as well as we could have. They took away the momentum that we built and got away with a win.”

LINE HISTORY: The Grizzlies opened -4.5 before getting bumped to -5. The opening total of 191.5 has not moved.

TRENDS:

*Trail Blazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.
*Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
*Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Under is 24-3 in Grizzlies last 27 home games.

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**Udog** · 04-29-2015, 10:00 AM

NBA

Wednesday, April 29

Nets remain undefeated against the spread in series

The Brooklyn Nets continue to payout for their backers in the playoffs as they are a perfect 4-0 against the spread.

The Nets have been very kind to bettors in the first round over the past two seasons as they have now covered in seven straight Conference Quarterfinals games.

Brooklyn has been dogs in each of their playoff games against the Atlanta Hawks, but despite facing an average spread of +7.5 the Nets have actually outscored their series opponent 394-393.

Brooklyn is getting spotted nine-points when they travel back to Atlanta Wednesday.

Zig-Zag theory cashes again in Spurs-Clippers theory

Bettors that subscribe to the zig-zag theory are now 3-1 against the spread following the San Antonio Spurs' 111-107 win as 2.5-point dogs at the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 5 Tuesday evening.

The Clippers cashed in Game 4 using the zig-zag approach and are in that spot again for Game 6 Thursday night in Texas.

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/29

Wednesday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/29

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