Announcement

**Udog** · 04-28-2015, 09:06 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- White Sox-Oriole game was postponed because of rioting in Baltimore.

-- Dodgers lose pitcher Brandon McCarthy for the year (torn UCL).

-- Last night was Tampa Bay's 20th game, but their first outdoor game; their road games had been at Toronto/Miami, both domed stadiums.

-- There is a baseball player at U of Iowa named Fenway Parks. Seriously.

-- James Winston threw 18 INTs last year, second-most in country. New Mexico State's quarterback was the only QB who threw more.

-- St John's-Arizona State at MGM Grand in Las Vegas December 22; couple of pretty famous coaches, Chris Mullin and Bobby Hurley.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........

13) Looks like college basketball will have a 30-second clock next fall; I just don't think its going to make a huge difference, if thats the only rule change. It creates a few more possessions per game, but not really that many more.

12) Part of the reason Texas Rangers took a shot with Josh Hamilton going to Arlington is their attendance is down 11,160 fans a game since 2012. If it is true that the Rangers will only pay Hamilton $5M a year, that means the Angels are paying Hamilton $20.4M this year and $54.8M over the next two years to play against them!!! That must go over great in the Anaheim clubhouse.

11) Golfer Mikko Ilonen should buy Phil Mickelson a nice Christmas present this year; Lefty dropped out of the Match Play tournament this week, which means Ilonen gets in-- even if he loses in the first round, Ilonen bags a check for $50,000 or so.

10) According to college football expert Phil Steele, Washington Huskies will play the hardest schedule this fall; U-Dub's opponents had a 101-56 record last fall- they play at Boise State Labor Day weekend.

9) Next time Alex Rodriguez hits a homer, he ties Willie Mays with 660 in his career and banks a checks for $6M, but his employers are trying to cheap out and not play the $6M, since they can't cash in on ARod's milestone (buy your own commemorative bat for $299.95!!!!) due to his steroid history.

8) Riviera Hotel in Las Vegas closes down for good this Monday, the end of an era, but it is sold out this weekend, with the Mayweather-Pacquiao fight a big ticket in town. Lot of the older casinos in Vegas are slowly going away.

7) There is a beer sold at my local grocery store called Arrogant Bastard Ale; I'm not much of a drinker, but thats a tremendous name.

6) The 2011 San Diego Padres had eight relief pitchers for most of the year; five of those eight guys are now relievers for the surprisingly good Astros.

5) Why teams lose: when the Seahawks took Russell Wilson with the 75th pick in the 2012 Draft, Jacksonvile took a freakin' punter five picks earlier. Why does a team draft a punter in the third round?

4) There have been a total of 73 runs scored in Bud Norris' four starts, with Orioles 2-2, outscored 37-36. In Chris Archer's last four starts, there were a total of only fifteen runs scored- Archer allowed one run in his last 26.2 IP.

3) Boston has pitching problems; Buchholz/Porcello have at least finished the sixth inning in six of their eight starts, but the other three starters finished six innings only two times in nine starts- that creates too much of a strain on their bullpen. Boston has to trade for a quality starter and soon.

2) Both the shortstops on my fantasy team got hurt last night; Jose Reyes has been hurt, but finally went on the DL- he has a broken rib but had been trying to play thru it, not batting lefty because it hurt too much.

Jed Lowrie hurt his thumb sliding into home (why can't anyone slide??); he is flying back to Houston today for an MRI, which sounds ominous. Waiver wire in our 16-team keeper league is amazingly weak at shortstop. Oy.

1) Trevor Bauer pitches against the Royals tonight; last night, he had boxing gloves on (real ones) in the dugout during the game, a reference to the issues Kansas City has been having with other teams this month.

**Udog** · 04-28-2015, 09:09 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, April 28

Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets

Game 517-518
April 28, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas Mavericks
121.564
Houston Rockets
125.745
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston Rockets
by 4
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston Rockets
by 7
222
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas Mavericks
(+7); Under

San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers

Game 521-522
April 28, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio Spurs
131.287
Los Angeles Clipp
130.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 1
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles Clipp
by 2
206
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio Spurs
(+2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (51 - 35) at HOUSTON (59 - 27) - 4/28/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 35-47 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
DALLAS is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a division game this season.
DALLAS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 225-182 ATS (+24.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 9-7 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-7 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (57 - 29) at LA CLIPPERS (58 - 28) - 4/28/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 903-789 ATS (+35.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 407-342 ATS (+30.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 138-97 ATS (+31.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 74-54 ATS (+14.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 325-271 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 225-278 ATS (-80.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 131-171 ATS (-57.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 28

Houston won seven of last nine games with Dallas; three of four series games went over total. Rockets won nine of last 12 games overall; eight of their last ten games went over. Dallas is 5-4 in its last nine games; 11 of its last 13 went over. Mavericks shot 50%+ in Games 3-4; they scored 72-61 points at half and split pair. Mavs shot 44.4%/37.1% in games at Houston- they were 9-21 from line in Game 4, when Rockets were 7-31 from arc, 26-40 on line- they were 29-69 from arc in first three games.

Clippers shot 51.3%, 53.6% from floor in its two series wins- they shot 42.4%, 34.1% in two losses. LA got huge game from coach's son and evened series at the Alamo Sunday; LA is now 8-2 in its last ten games, but 2-3 in last five home games with Spurs. Spurs won 13 of last 16 games; they won three of last five road games. San Antonio was 16-58 from arc in two losses, 18-49 in two wins. Green/Parker were combined 0-9 from arc Sunday.

Home favorites are 12-12 in this round, home dogs are 5-4; home teams are 21-12 SU-- over is 14-19.

2015 playoffs
Brooklyn vs Atlanta
Atl 99-92, -10, U201.5
Atl 96-91, -9.5, U202
Brook 91-83, +3.5, U199

Boston vs Cleveland
Clev 113-100, -11.5, O203
Clev 99-91, -11, U206
Clev 103-95, -4, U204
Clev 101-93, -6.5, U201.5
Cavaliers won series, 4-0

Milwaukee vs Chicago
Chi 103-91, -8, O186
Chi 91-82, -8, U190.5
Chi 113-106, 2OT, -2.5, O187
Mil 92-90, +4, U190

Washington vs Toronto
Wash 93-86 OT, +4, U194.5
Wash 117-106, +5, O193.5
Wash 106-99, -4.5, O195.5
Wash 125-94, -6.5, O197.5
Wizards win series, 4-0

New Orleans vs Golden State
GSt 106-99, -12, U205
GSt 97-87, -13, U206.5
GSt 123-119 OT, -5, O203
GSt 109-98, -6.5, U208
Warriors win series, 4-0

Dallas vs Houston
Hst 118-108, -5.5, O212.5
Hst 111-99, -6.5, U214
Hst 130-128, +1, O214.5
Dal 121-109, +3, O218.5

San Antonio vs LA Clippers
LAC 107-92, -1.5, U207
SA 111-107 OT, +1.5, O207.5
SA 100-73, -5, U203.5
LAC 114-105, +6, O202.5

Portland vs Memphis
Mem 100-86, -5.5, U188.5
Mem 97-82, -6, U189
Mem 115-109, +3.5, O189

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-21

NBA

Tuesday, April 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. LA CLIPPERS
San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-28-2015, 09:10 AM

NBA

Tuesday, April 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Tuesday's NBA Playoffs matchups
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets (-7, 222)

Rockets lead series 3-1

Raymond Felton got the first chance to start in place of Rondo at the point in Game 3 but Carlisle decided to go with more energy in Game 4 and pushed Barea into the first unit. The veteran responded with 17 points and 13 assists in 36 minutes. “I'm trying to push it every time," Barea told reporters. “I'm trying to be aggressive and my teammates, people around me are ballin'. I'm just trying to attack and do my job. If I do my job and I create problems for their defense, then I think everybody else plays a lot looser and more open.”

Houston missed 17 straight shots in a 10-minute span that bridged the half and never recovered in Game 4. “We got slow offensively, the ball stuck,” Rockets coach Kevin McHale told reporters. “We didn’t do very well for that stretch. All that being said, it was our offensive rebounding and our lack of being able to contain the ball that ended up beating us. Our offense sucked for a while. That was a fatal blow, more of our effort overall I think.” MVP candidate James Harden went 1-of-7 from 3-point range in the loss while handing out a series-low five assists.

LINE HISTORY: The Rockets opened as 6-point favorites, while the total opened at 222.

TRENDS:

* Over is 8-1 in Rockets last nine home games.
* Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Houston.
* Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Over is 9-1 in Mavericks last 10 vs. Western Conference.

San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Clippers (-2, 205)

Series tied 2-2

Coach Gregg Popovich was highly disappointed with his club’s Game 4 performance, particularly when you factor in the important of the game. “In general, we lacked a lot of discipline,” Popovich told reporters. “We didn’t execute sharply enough in what we wanted to do strategy-wise or just in general basketball play. I’m just more disappointed in the lack of focus than anything else, and not being as sharp in a lot of situations.” Small forward Kahwi Leonard continued his strong play with 26 points, seven rebounds and five assists and is averaging 24.8 points in the series.

Though Chris Paul had a huge game and power forward Blake Griffin stood out with 20 points and 19 rebounds, backup guard Austin Rivers might have provided the biggest impact with 16 points on 7-of-8 shooting. Rivers has been much-maligned throughout his three-year NBA career and the criticism has increased since he joined the club coached by father Doc Rivers. “This is something I know I can do,” Rivers told reporters. “It wasn’t a surprise for me. Obviously it is to you guys but I’ve been working so hard and this team has been working so hard.”

LINE HISTORY: The Clippers opened as 2-point home faves while the total opened at 205.

TRENDS:

* Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
* Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. Western Conference.
* Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Clippers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a S.U. win.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-28-2015, 09:18 AM

NBA

Tuesday, April 28

NBA roundup: Nets even series with Hawks

NEW YORK -- Rookie guard Bojan Bogdanovic hit the go-ahead 3-pointer with 85 seconds left in overtime, and the Brooklyn Nets evened their Eastern Conference quarterfinal series with a 120-115 victory over the Atlanta Hawks on Monday.

The best-of-seven series is tied at two games apiece heading to Game 5 on Wednesday in Atlanta. The Washington Wizards, who swept their first-round series against the Toronto Raptors, await the Hawks-Nets winner.

Point guard Deron Williams led the Nets with 35 points. He shot 13-for-25 from the floor overall, and he added seven assists and five rebounds. Williams made seven 3 pointers, three of them in the fourth quarter when the Nets rallied from an eight-point deficit.

Forward DeMarre Carroll and guard Jeff Teague led Atlanta with 20 points apiece.

Bucks 94, Bulls 88

CHICAGO -- Guard Michael Carter-Williams compiled 22 points, nine assists and eight rebounds, and Milwaukee held on for a win against Chicago. The Bucks staved off elimination and trimmed their deficit to 3-2 in the best-of-seven, Eastern Conference first-round series.

Forward Pau Gasol scored 25 points and grabbed 10 rebounds to lead the Bulls. Guard Jimmy Butler added 20 points and 10 rebounds for Chicago, which trailed for the entire second half.

The Bulls narrowed the deficit to 86-83 with 4:45 remaining in the fourth quarter after back-to-back jump shots by guard Derrick Rose and Gasol. Milwaukee responded with a jump shot by Carter-Williams and a slam dunk by forward John Henson to re-establish a seven-point lead.

Milwaukee guard Khris Middleton contributed 21 points.

Trail Blazers 99, Grizzlies 92

PORTLAND, Ore. -- Guard Damian Lillard scored 32 points, and Portland rallied from a 10-point, fourth-quarter deficit to defeat Memphis and stay alive.

The Trail Blazers outscored the Grizzlies 29-12 over the final 8 1/2 minutes to cut their deficit in the best-of-seven, Western Conference first-round playoff series to 3-1. Memphis will again look to close out Portland in Game 5 on Wednesday night in Tennessee.

Forward LaMarcus Aldridge scored 18 points and grabbed 12 rebounds, guard C.J. McCollum had 18 points, forward Meyers Leonard collected 13 points and 13 rebounds, and forward Nicolas Batum contributed 12 points and 13 rebounds for the Blazers.

Center Marc Gasol had 21 points, seven rebounds and six assists, for the Grizzlies while Courtney Lee scored 19 points.

**Udog** · 04-28-2015, 04:36 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, April 28

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Hou leads 3-1

Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets, 8:05 ET
Dallas: 7-16 ATS as a road underdog
Houston: 13-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied 2-2

San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Clippers, 10:35 ET
San Antonio: 19-7 ATS off a home loss
Los Angeles: 4-13 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/28

Tuesday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/28

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment