Announcement

**Udog** · 04-21-2015, 09:03 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Running a 26-mile marathon seems unhealthy; then again, if I drive 26 miles, I'm looking for a Wendy's drive-thru window.

-- Cubs face Francisco Liriano tonight, their first game against a lefty starter- they also brought up infield prospect Addison Russell, who will play 2B..

-- North Carolina PG Marcus Paige had his ankle scoped this week; he didn't do lot of practicing this season.

-- San Jose Sharks "fired" Todd McLellan after seven years; he was 311-163-66 as Sharks' coach, but never made the Stanley Cup finals. No one quits these jobs.

-- Why would Oklahoma City fire Scott Brooks? Is it his fault his players were hurt all season? Sometimes coaching an NBA team seems like running an asylum. He has not been fired yet, but rumors are they want to hire Kevin Ollie.

-- Jimmy Butler scored 31 points for the Bulls last night; he didn't have a D-I scholarship offer coming out of high school. He went to Tyler JC for a year, then went to Marquette. Life is funny sometimes.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud..........

13) Losing isn't fun; Cincinnati Reds' manager Brian Price went on a 5:34 tirade against a sportswriter, complete with 77 F-bombs and 11 other expletives. My first thought on this was: the season is two weeks old and the guy sounds like he's going to have a nervous breakdown. He might not be cut out for the job.

12) Seriously, 77 F-bombs in 5:34 is tremendous and he got off to a slow start. Worst thing about the whole thing is that his basic point is wrong; its the job of the reporter to give out news on the team. If a manager can't deal with this being the age of instant news via social media, then he shouldn't have the job he has. If he doesn't start winning soon, he won't have it anyway.

11) Sad day for a couple of tough guys: Doug Buffone, 71 and Bob St Clair, 84 two very tough men, passed away Monday. Buffone was a LB for the Bears with Dick Butkus, St Clair was a Hall of Famer for the 49ers. RIP fellas.

10) Anaheim Ducks are first team in NHL history to lead a playoff series 3-0 when they trailed all three games in the third period. Ottawa is down 3-0 in its series with Montreal, losing last two games in OT- they led all three games after the first period.

9) Woman was standing behind the plate in Pittsburgh last night; a foul ball hit the net, the net gave way a little and the ball hit the lady square in the side of the head. She was taken away on a stretcher after a 15-minute delay- can you say "personal injury lawsuit"?

8) Steve Spurrier turned 70 years old this week, is still going strong, playing golf and coaching the Gamecocks. He's had a tremendous career.

7) Adrian Peterson will make $765,000 a game this season, $15M in 2016, $17M in 2017; will another team take a chance on such an expensive player in his 30's? Peterson hasn't played since Week 1 of last season.

6) Kyle Wiltjer is coming back to Gonzaga next year, Jakob Poeltl is coming back to Utah, great news for both those teams.

5) Couple transfers to note: PG Ricky Tarrant goes from Alabama to Memphis and Evan Payne goes from LMU to Long Beach State.

4) Rumors say the Marlins will hire Wally Backman as manager if they can Mike Redmond; Backman is a fiery type who has done well in the minors, but Redmond is highly respected. Two weeks is a little quick to be firing people.

3) 15 of 30 current major league managers caught in the big leagues.

2) Ranger-Penguin series is first time since 2009 Stanley Cup finals that the Penguins haven't had home ice advantage in a series- thats ten series ago.

1) NFL schedule comes out tonight at 8:00; as Bud Grant used to say, "Its not who you play, its when you play them." Steelers-Patriots is early favorite to be the Thursday night season opener.

**Udog** · 04-21-2015, 09:05 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, April 21

Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Game 721-722
April 21, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston Celtics
121.777
Cleveland Cavalie
126.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 5
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 11 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Boston Celtics
(+11 1/2); Over

Washington Wizards @ Toronto Raptors

Game 723-724
April 21, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington Wizard
119.861
Toronto Raptors
121.456
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto Raptors
by 1 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto Raptors
by 5
191 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington Wizard
(+5); Over

Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets

Game 725-726
April 21, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas Mavericks
120.527
Houston Rockets
132.494
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston Rockets
by 12
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston Rockets
by 5 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston Rockets
(-5 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 21

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BOSTON (40 - 43) at CLEVELAND (54 - 29) - 4/21/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-6 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-5 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (47 - 36) at TORONTO (49 - 34) - 4/21/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 35-45 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 37-45 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
TORONTO is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 158-199 ATS (-60.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (50 - 33) at HOUSTON (57 - 26) - 4/21/2015, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 34-45 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
DALLAS is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a division game this season.
DALLAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 224-180 ATS (+26.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 172-133 ATS (+25.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-6 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-6 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 21

Cleveland won seven of last nine games overall, covering two of its last seven; they were 13-31 on arc, 26-33 on line in Game 1 win, as Irving was on court for 41 minutes, James 42, with extra day rest before this game. Boston won/covered eight of its last ten games overall; they had only three fast break points in Game 1, were -12 on the boards- Celtic subs scored 55 of their 100 points, which is not good. Boston starters were a combined -53.

Washington was only road team to win Game 1 in their series; Wiz held Toronto to 38% from floor in game with total of only 29 FTs, by far fewest of any playoff game so far. Raptor starters were 0-11 on arc for game; DeRozan/Lowry combined to shoot 8-30- they dropped to 0-7 in Game 1's of first round series. Wizards snapped a 3-game road losing streak with Game 1 win; Toronto lost two of last three at home; five of their last six games stayed under total.

Houston won five of last six games with Dallas; four of last five series games stayed under total. Rockets won seven of last nine overall; six of their last seven games went over. Dallas is 4-2 in its last six games; nine of its last ten went over. Rockets had 29 fast break points in Game 1, were 10-25 on arc, 32-45 on the foul line-- how this game is officiated is obviously a key, seeing as Dallas was just 14-17 on line. FG%'s generally go down in Game 2's.

Home favorites are 6-4 in this round; over is 3-7.

2015 playoffs
Brooklyn vs Atlanta
Atl 99-92, -10, U201.5

Boston vs Cleveland
Clev 113-100, -11.5, O203

Milwaukee vs Chicago
Chi 103-91, -8, O186
Chi 91-82, -8, U190.5

Washington vs Toronto
Wash 93-86 OT, +4, U194.5

New Orleans vs Golden State
GSt 106-99, -12, U205
GSt 97-87, -13, U206.5

Dallas vs Houston
Hst 118-108, -5.5, O212.5

San Antonio vs LA Clippers
LA 107-92, -1.5, U207

Portland vs Memphis
Mem 100-86, -5.5, U188.5

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-21

NBA

Tuesday, April 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Boston

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games at home

9:30 PM
DALLAS vs. HOUSTON
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-21-2015, 09:08 AM

NBA

Tuesday, April 21

Under bets cash in Monday's playoff action

Both of the NBA's playoff games finished under the closing total Monday evening, with six of the first 10 games of the postseason finishing south of the total.

Over the past two days, Under wagers have gone 5-1 on the hard wood.

There are three games on the board Tuesday.

Al Horford, Atlanta - Prob Wed

Horford suffered a dislocated finger during Sunday's game but will likely play in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals against the Nets.

**Udog** · 04-21-2015, 05:21 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, April 21

Eastern Conference - Rd 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2

Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers, 7:05 ET
Boston: 84-59 OVER after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more
Cleveland: 15-5 OVER after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers

Eastern Conference - Rd 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2

Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors, 8:05 ET
Washington: 26-15 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog
Toronto: 10-22 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

Western Conference - Rd 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2

Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets, 9:35 ET
Dallas: 7-15 ATS as a road underdog
Houston: 35-20 ATS after playing a game as favorite

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/21

Tuesday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/21

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