Saturday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/11

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, April 11

Good Luck on day #101 of 2015!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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NBA Matchups

NBA Hot and Not

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Anatomy of a marathon; notes on the 19-inning game in the Bronx Friday:

-- Red Sox won 6-5 in 19 innings, after blowing leads in 9th, 16th and 18th innings.

-- Game took 6:49-- it started at 7:24pm, ended at 2:13am.

-- Red Sox left 20 men on base; Mike Napoli was 0-8 with four Ks.

-- Carlos Beltran, Didi Gregorius both went 1-6; neither guy started.

-- Total of 628 pitches were thrown; quick turnaround for umpires, who don't get to sit down during game. Saturday's game is at 1:05.

-- 249 pitches were called a ball; only 247 of the 628 pitches were swung at, with 132 pitches called strikes.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud...........

13) Tampa Bay's new manager is Kevin Cash. Bottom 8th in Miami last night, Marlins have go-ahead run on second, two out, Giancarlo Stanton up in an 8-8 game. Mike Morse is on deck. A drunken monkey knows you walk Stanton and pitch to Morse, but no, they didn't and Stanton gets the go-ahead single.

There is no defense for such hideous strategy; Rays had rallied from down 8-1 to tie game- they wound up losing 10-9 in the ninth. Cash is a rookie manager, for sure, but he'll never become a veteran manager unless he wakes up.

12) Adrian Gonzalez had knocked in a run in six straight plate appearances; since 1950, the holder of the record in this category is Jermaine Dye, with seven in 1999.

11) Cincinnati Reds are 4-0, with all four wins in their final at-bat.

10) Oakland A's have played five games; five different guys batted 2nd.

9) In their first four games, Bronx Bombers have been outscored 12-1 in the first five innings.

8) Calgary Flames are in NHL playoffs for first time in six years; Winnipeg has a team in playoffs for first time since 1996. People there are VERY happy.

7) Texas football coach Charlie Strong forgot his quarterback's first name during a deposition of a lawsuit between the Longhorns and Oklahoma State. Lot of coaches would forget their wife's name before their QB's.

6) Part of the reason Bobby Hurley bolted Buffalo for Arizona State was that Buffalo AD wouldn't negotiate with Hurley's agent. That and the maximum possible weather upgrade, moving from western New York to Tempe.

5) If I'm Danny Hurley, I get my brother on the phone, schedule a road game in the Arizona desert this year, with a return trip to URI next year. Even if ASU doesn't give the Rams a return game, URI should be better than the Sun Devils this coming season.

4) As I'm typing this, I can hear a guy outside walking down the street, cursing out whoever he is talking to on his cellphone. Keep it classy, Colonie.....

3) Friday's Cubs-Rockies game was the 12th game in major league history where both pitchers batted 8th; I'm just not a fan of this, but managers keep doing it. DJ LaMahieu went 3-4 in 9-hole for Colorado, but scored only once.

2) Best wishes to Iowa State basketball coach Fred Hoiberg, who will undergo open heart surgery soon to repair a valve in his heart. Hoiberg is so calm, he seems like the last guy who would have heart problems. Get well soon, sir.

1) What a week for Jim Nantz; Final Four last weekend, Masters this week. Wonder which event he prefers doing?

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 11

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NEW YORK (15 - 63) at ORLANDO (25 - 53) - 4/11/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 28-40 ATS (-16.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games this season.
ORLANDO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (46 - 32) at MIAMI (35 - 44) - 4/11/2015, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (18 - 61) at CHICAGO (47 - 32) - 4/11/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (53 - 25) at LA CLIPPERS (53 - 26) - 4/11/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 75-110 ATS (-46.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 170-233 ATS (-86.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 10-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 9-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (36 - 42) at PORTLAND (51 - 28) - 4/11/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 53-83 ATS (-38.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
UTAH is 42-34 ATS (+4.6 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
UTAH is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PORTLAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (16 - 62) at GOLDEN STATE (64 - 15) - 4/11/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 32-44 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 324-385 ATS (-99.5 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 179-232 ATS (-76.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 41-54 ATS (-18.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) on Saturday games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 11

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won three of last four games, covering all four.
-- Toronto won five of its last seven games (2-6 last eight AU).
-- Bulls won last five home games, covering four of them.
-- Memphis won three of its last four games (3-1 last four AU). Clippers won 11 of their last 12 games (1-4 last five HF).
-- Utah won five of last seven games, covering six of them (0-3 last three AU). Portland won seven of its last ten (7-4 last 11 HF).
-- Warriors won 12 of their last 14 games (5-1 last six HF).

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost 11 of last 12 games, covered five of last seven.
-- Miami lost five of its last six games (4-1 last five HF).
-- 76ers lost their last seven games (2-5 vs spread).
-- Minnesota lost its last nine games (2-7 vs spread).

Series Records
-- Knicks lost three of last four games with Orlando.
-- Heat won nine of last ten games (7-3 vs spread) with Toronto.
-- 76ers lost last five games (3-2 vs spread) with Chicago.
-- Clippers won/covered only two of last ten with Memphis.
-- Portland won six of last seven games with the Jazz.
-- Warriors won nine of last ten (6-4 vs spread) with Minnesota.

Totals
-- Eight of last nine NY-Orlando games went over total.
-- Four of last five Toronto-Miami games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Philly-Chicago games went over.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Memphis-Clipper games.
-- Seven of last ten Utah-Portland games went over.
-- Seven of last nine Minnesota-Golden State games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- Knicks are 5-10-1 on road if they played night before. Orlando is 10-5 if it played night before.
-- Toronto is 8-5 on road if it played night before.
-- Memphis is 6-8 on road if it played night before.
-- Utah is 7-4 vs spread if it lost the night before.
-- Minnesota is 5-3 on road if it played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 241-176 ATS: West 214-200-3
East teams HF vs West: 55-57
East teams HU vs West: 45-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-21

[Udog]

NBA

Saturday, April 11

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. ORLANDO
New York is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Orlando
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing at home against New York
Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. MIAMI
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHICAGO
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. PORTLAND
Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Utah is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
Portland is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Utah

10:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. LA CLIPPERS
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games
LA Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home
LA Clippers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Minnesota's last 19 games when playing Golden State
Minnesota is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games

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[Udog]

NBA

Saturday, April 11

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Game of the Day: Grizzlies at Clippers
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Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers (-8, 196.5)

The Clippers have won four straight games and hold the No. 5 position in the West but are just one game behind the Grizzlies. Los Angeles is itching for the playoffs to arrive as it has won 11 of its past 12 games. “We’ve been about business,” power forward Blake Griffin told reporters. “I like our attitude and resolve going into games.” The Grizzlies have won four of their past five games, and a Monday visit to play the Golden State Warriors looms after the contest against the Clippers.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, NBATV, SportSouth (Memphis), Prime Ticket (Los Angeles)

LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened the Clips as a 7-point favorite, but that's since risen to -8 at the time of writing.

INJURY REPORT: Grizzlies - Conley, questionable (foot), Allen, mid-April (hamstring). Clippers - N/A

POWER RANKINGS: Grizzlies (-8) + Clippers (-11.5) + Homecourt (-3) = Clippers -6.5

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (54-25): Point guard Mike Conley sat out the Utah contest with a sprained right foot and it is uncertain whether or not he will play against Los Angeles. Beno Udrih stepped into the starting lineup and scored 20 points on 9-of-13 shooting and is averaging 17 points on 14-of-21 shooting over the past two games. Center Marc Gasol had a solid all-around game against Jazz with 22 points, seven rebounds and six assists.

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (53-26): A priority over the final three games is getting sharpshooter Jamal Crawford back on track. The backup guard missed 17 games due to a calf injury and was rusty in his return against the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday when he scored four points in 19 minutes, and he said his return was timed with the playoffs in mind. “Do I feel like I’m in rhythm and my timing is there and I’m in tip-top shape? No, not at all,” Crawford told reporters. “But I don’t have that luxury right now. I have to try to get it back as best as I can in games.”

TRENDS:

*Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
*Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.
*Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 overall.
*Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 58 percent of the public is backing the underdog Grizzlies.


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[Udog]

NBA

Saturday, April 11


Mike Conley, Memphis - Ques Sat

Conley missed the last game due to a sprained right foot and is questionable to play Saturday against the Clippers.


Knicks have been embarrassing on the road

The New York Knicks have gone 0-6 straight up and 0-5-1 against the spread in their past six on the road. The average score of those six games has been 107-86.7, with the Knicks losing by an average of 20.3 ppg.

The Knicks visit the Orlando Magic Saturday

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, April 11


Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazers

Game 509-510
April 11, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah Jazz
122.099
Portland Trail Bl
123.199
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 1
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 6 1/2
184
Dunkel Pick:
Utah Jazz
(+6 1/2); Over

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors

Game 511-512
April 11, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota Timberw
110.682
Golden State Warr
125.370
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State Warr
by 15
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State Warr
by 19 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota Timberw
(+19 1/2); Over

New York Knicks @ Orlando Magic

Game 501-502
April 11, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York Knicks
103.068
Orlando Magic
112.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando Magic
by 9
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando Magic
by 11
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York Knicks
(+11); Over

Toronto Raptors @ Miami Heat

Game 503-504
April 11, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto Raptors
123.217
Miami Heat
121.793
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto Raptors
by 1 1/2
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami Heat
by 3 1/2
196 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto Raptors
(+3 1/2); Under

Philadelphia 76ers @ Chicago Bulls

Game 505-506
April 11, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia 76er
109.760
Chicago Bulls
129.717
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 20
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 13
191
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Bulls
(-13); Over

Memphis Grizzlies @ Los Angeles Clippers

Game 507-508
April 11, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis Grizzlies
121.370
Los Angeles Clipp
131.172
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles Clipp
by 10
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles Clipp
by 8
196
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles Clipp
(-8); Over