Announcement

**Udog** · 04-03-2015, 04:57 PM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Wisconsin-Kentucky is 7th national semi-final since 1987 with two #1 seeds. Here is a list of the first six of those games.......

2008: Kansas (+3) 84, North Carolina 66

2002: Maryland (+1.5) 97, Kansas 88

1997: Kentucky 78 (-1.5), Minnesota 69

1996: Kentucky 81 (-8), UMass 74

1993: Michigan (+6.5), Kentucky 78

1987: Indiana (+4) 97, UNLV 93 (underdogs 5-1 vs spread in these games)

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here........

13) Shaka Smart takes the Texa$ job and the ca$h that comes with it; read some stuff that said Texas AD Patterson is very hard to work for. Big 14 is real tough league; West Virginia already presses a lot in that league. Rick Barnes was in the NCAA tournament 16 of 17 years; tough act to follow

12) Tennessee paid a search firm $51,000 for them to be told Rick Barnes is a good coach; I would've told them for $51. What a waste of money.

BARNES' WIFE WENT TO TENNESSEE!!!! All they had to do was call him up, and they save $51,000. Complete waste of money. Barnes will be Vols' fourth coach in last six years, by the way. Hard to figure out why.

11) Bowling Green fired its coach Chris Jans, after a video surfaced of Jans in a bar, hitting on a woman while drunk. Jans went 21-12 in his first year with the Falcons, who will have their third coach in three years next fall.

10) John Wooden's last game was 40 years ago in San Diego, when his UCLA team won the NCAA tourney; tickets for the Final Four that year cost $12.

9) Missouri Valley-Mountain West will have a series of games next fall, which will help each league's non-conference schedules and provide some quality TV programming. UNLV-Wichita, Illinois State-San Diego State are two of the better games on the schedule.

8) Sacramento Kings signed 7-foot-5 Sim Bhullar to a 10-day contract; good move. Young man is a better athlete than you'd think; he'll do fine.

7) Chris Paul had a huge game Wednesday, in Clippers' win at Portland; he had 41 points, 17 assists; his only turnover was in the first 0:15 of the game.

6) Coco Crisp (elbow) is out 6-8 weeks for the A's, who play 23 of their first 26 games against AL West rivals. Lot of new players on the A's this season.

5) Chicago Blackhawks (21,756), Montreal Canadiens (21,286) lead the NHL in average attendance; Florida (11,190), Carolina (12,483) are last in the league.

4) Justin Verlander begins the baseball season on the DL, first time he has been on the DL. Tigers are hopeful he can make his first start on April 12 against the Indians; they're not real deep in pitching.

3) Houston Texans have 35 ladies on their cheerleading squad; when they had tryouts recently, over 1,000 women tried out. Lot of cheerleaders in Texas.

2) Washington Redskins once went 11 years (1968-79) without a first round draft pick; their first pick in the '72 draft was in the 8th round!!!!

1) Billy Donovan's salary at Florida is $4.07M a year, but there are murmurs that he will listen closely when NBA teams come calling later this spring; if he leaves Gainesville, it'll create a big domino effect in the coaching carousel, and Shaka Smart might wish he turned down this Texas offer.

**Udog** · 04-03-2015, 04:59 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, April 3

New York Knicks @ Washington Wizards

Game 501-502
April 3, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York Knicks
104.099
Washington Wizard
125.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington Wizard
by 21
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington Wizard
by 14 1/2
192
Dunkel Pick:
Washington Wizard
(-14 1/2); Under

Charlotte Hornets @ Indiana Pacers

Game 503-504
April 3, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte Hornets
117.094
Indiana Pacers
126.599
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana Pacers
by 9 1/2
187
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana Pacers
by 5
194
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana Pacers
(-5); Under

Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets

Game 505-506
April 3, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto Raptors
117.048
Brooklyn Nets
113.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto Raptors
by 3 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn Nets
by 3
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto Raptors
(+3); Over

Milwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics

Game 507-508
April 3, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee Bucks
116.765
Boston Celtics
119.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston Celtics
by 3
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston Celtics
by 5 1/2
195
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks
(+5 1/2); Under

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies

Game 509-510
April 3, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City Thu
120.781
Memphis Grizzlies
122.826
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 2
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 6 1/2
199
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City Thu
(+6 1/2); Under

Orlando Magic @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Game 511-512
April 3, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando Magic
110.887
Minnesota Timberw
112.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota Timberw
by 1 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando Magic
by 3
202
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota Timberw
(+3); Under

Detroit Pistons @ Chicago Bulls

Game 513-514
April 3, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit Pistons
113.206
Chicago Bulls
127.372
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 14
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 8 1/2
196
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Bulls
(-8 1/2); Over

Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

Game 515-516
April 3, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver Nuggets
115.570
San Antonio Spurs
133.624
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 18
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 12 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio Spurs
(-12 1/2); Over

New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings

Game 517-518
April 3, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans Pelic
127.464
Sacramento Kings
116.548
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans Pelic
by 11
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans Pelic
by 6
205
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans Pelic
(-6); Over

Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers

Game 519-520
April 3, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland Trail Bl
125.762
Los Angeles Laker
110.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 15 1/2
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 10
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland Trail Bl
(-10); Under

**Udog** · 04-03-2015, 05:04 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, April 3

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NEW YORK (14 - 61) at WASHINGTON (42 - 33) - 4/3/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 29-44 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW YORK is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
WASHINGTON is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 39-52 ATS (-18.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 129-171 ATS (-59.1 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (32 - 42) at INDIANA (32 - 43) - 4/3/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 197-142 ATS (+40.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (45 - 30) at BROOKLYN (34 - 40) - 4/3/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 9-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 10-8 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (37 - 38) at BOSTON (34 - 41) - 4/3/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 323-390 ATS (-106.0 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 42-32 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-31 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 116-84 ATS (+23.6 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (42 - 33) at MEMPHIS (51 - 24) - 4/3/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 13-8 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 12-10 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
11 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (22 - 53) at MINNESOTA (16 - 59) - 4/3/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (29 - 46) at CHICAGO (45 - 30) - 4/3/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 53-75 ATS (-29.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (28 - 47) at SAN ANTONIO (49 - 26) - 4/3/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 897-784 ATS (+34.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 710-604 ATS (+45.6 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 457-381 ATS (+37.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 401-337 ATS (+30.3 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 301-241 ATS (+35.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 184-138 ATS (+32.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 117-84 ATS (+24.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (40 - 34) at SACRAMENTO (26 - 48) - 4/3/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 184-228 ATS (-66.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 42-31 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SACRAMENTO is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-5 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (48 - 26) at LA LAKERS (20 - 54) - 4/3/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 125-80 ATS (+37.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 157-197 ATS (-59.7 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 49-67 ATS (-24.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-03-2015, 05:06 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, April 3

NY Knicks at Washington, 7:05 ET
NY Knicks: 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington: 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

Charlotte at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Charlotte: 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points
Washington: 8-18 ATS in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers

Toronto at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Toronto: 9-18 ATS when they make 43% to 47% of their shots
Brooklyn: 28-10 ATS when they score 99 to 104 points in a game

Milwaukee at Boston, 7:35 ET
Milwaukee: 41-31 ATS in all games
Boston: 51-82 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games

Oklahoma City at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Oklahoma City: n/a
Memphis: n/a

Orlando at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Orlando: n/a
Minnesota: n/a

Detroit at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Detroit: 12-4 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Chicago: 53-75 ATS in home games

Denver at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Denver: 3-12 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more
San Antonio: 15-5 ATS in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread

New Orleans at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
New Orleans: 42-31 ATS in all games
Sacramento: 9-21 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Portland at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Portland: 16-7 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days
LA Lakers: 19-33 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days

**Udog** · 04-03-2015, 05:08 PM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, April 3

Hot Teams
-- Brooklyn won five in row, nine of last 11 games (2-9 last 11 HF). Raptors won/covered last three games (2-5 last seven AU).
-- Celtics won three of last four games (7-3 last ten HF).
-- Detroit won five of its last seven games (6-7 last 13 AU). Bulls also won five of last seven (6-2 last eight HF).
-- Spurs won eight of last nine games, covering last five.
-- Pelicans won/covered their last three games (3-1 last four AF).
-- Portland won four of its last five games (1-3 last four AF).

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost their last eight games (2-6 vs spread); Wizards lost five of their last seven (6-3 last nine HF).
-- Hornets lost nine of last thirteen games (11-5 last 16 AU). Pacers lost nine of last eleven games (1-5 last six HF).
-- Bucks lost eight of their last ten games (4-2 last six AU).
-- Memphis lost its last four games (0-4 vs spread). Thunder lost three of last four games (3-1 last four AU).
-- Orlando lost 10 of its last 11 games (0-2 AF). Minnesota lost its last five games (0-4 last four HU).
-- Nuggets lost five of last seven games (1-3 last four AU).
-- Sacramento lost its last three games (2-4 last six HU).
-- Lakers lost three of last four games (2-4 last six HU).

Series Records
-- Wizards won their last six games with New York.
-- Pacers won seven of last nine games with Charlotte.
-- Nets-Raptors split their last ten meetings.
-- Celtics lost five of last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder-Grizzlies split their last ten games.
-- Home side won last six Orlando-Minnesota games.
-- Pistons lost four of last five visits to Chicago.
-- Spurs won last six games with Denver, covering 3 of last 4.
-- Kings won four of last six games with New Orleans.
-- Lakers lost their last four games with Portland.

Totals
-- Three of last four NY-Washington games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Indiana games went over the total.
-- Last five Toronto road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Buck-Celtic games stayed under.
-- Last three Thunder-Memphis games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Orlando-Minnesota games went over.
-- Four of last five Detroit-Chicago games went over.
-- Three of last four Nugget-Spur games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Pelican-King games went over.
-- Four of last five Portland-Laker games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- None

East vs West
SU: West 241-172 ATS: West 214-196-3
East teams HF vs West: 53-57
East teams HU vs West: 45-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-78-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-20

**Udog** · 04-03-2015, 05:11 PM

NBA

Friday, April 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. WASHINGTON
New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Charlotte's last 16 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MEMPHIS
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Memphis's last 25 games
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. MINNESOTA
Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Orlando is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
Detroit is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Chicago is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. SAN ANTONIO
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SACRAMENTO
New Orleans is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Sacramento's last 13 games when playing New Orleans

10:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Portland is 6-19 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games
LA Lakers are 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-03-2015, 05:14 PM

NBA

Friday, April 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Thunder at Grizzlies
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (-4, OFF)

The Thunder, who will enter Friday with a 1 1/2-game lead on New Orleans for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference, began a run of five straight foes currently locked into postseason slots with a wild 135-131 loss against Dallas on Wednesday. Russell Westbrook produced another triple-double with 31 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists for Oklahoma City, which next goes home to take on Houston and San Antonio, two of the hotter teams in the league. The Rockets are tied with the Grizzlies for the second spot in the West, which might mean avoiding defending NBA champion San Antonio in the first round. Memphis snapped an ill-timed three-game losing streak with a 97-83 win over Sacramento on Monday in the opener of a four-game homestand.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN, FSN Oklahoma, SportSouth (Memphis)

LINE HISTORY: Online books opened the line between Memphis -4 and -4.5.

INJURY REPORT: Thunder - C Steven Adams (Questionable, ankle), F Nick Collison (Out indefinitely, ankle), F Serge Ibaka (Out indefinitely, knee). Grizzlies - F Zach Randolph (Probable, elbow), G Tony Allen (Doubtful, hamstring).

POWER RANKINGS: Thunder (-7.5) + Grizzlies (-8.1) + home court (-3.0) = Grizzlies -3.6

ABOUT THE THUNDER (42-33 SU, 37-36-2 ATS, 36-37-1 O/U): Westbrook, who has 10 triple-doubles this season, can often carry his team, but he does need support and much of it has come from reserve Anthony Morrow. The shooting guard made 6-of-9 3-pointers en route to 32 points against Dallas and has hit a whopping 52.5 percent of his long-range attempts since the start of February. Regardless of how well those two produce on the offensive end, the Thunder have to solve some defensive woes that will not get any better if big man Steven Adams - who sprained his ankle Wednesday - is added to a heap of injured players who excel on that end of the court, including Serge Ibaka, Andre Roberson, Nick Collison and superstar Kevin Durant.

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (51-24 SU, 35-38-2 ATS, 32-41-2 O/U): Memphis is missing a key defender as well in the form of forward Tony Allen, who has missed two straight games with a hamstring injury and is considered questionable to return Friday. Although the opponent in the slump-busting win on Monday was Sacramento, the Grizzlies - who had uncharacteristically given up at least 103 points in each of the three straight losses - felt good about clamping down on the defensive end. "We played Memphis Grizzlies basketball, which is defense," said reserve center Kosta Koufos, who had eight points, a season-high 12 rebounds and a season high-tying three blocks against the Kings.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Grizzlies are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.
* Over is 9-2 in Thunder last 11 road games.
* Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.

CONSENSUS: 51.76 percent of users are backing OKC.

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**Udog** · 04-03-2015, 05:16 PM

NBA

Friday, April 3

Jared Sullinger, Boston - Prob Fri

Sullinger has recovered from a left metatarsal stress fracture and is expected to play in Friday's game against the Bucks.

Pacers defense floundering causing an over boom

The Indiana Pacers have gone over in six of their past seven contests thanks to a defense that has gone off the rails. During their past seven games the Pacers have allowed an average of 107.9 points per game, that's more than 10 points higher than their season average.

Indiana hosts the Charlotte Hornets Friday with a currently total of 193.5.

**Udog** · 04-03-2015, 07:23 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, April 4

Wisconsin @ Kentucky

Game 821-822
April 4, 2015 @ 8:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
78.181
Kentucky
81.057
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 3
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 5
131 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(+5); Under

Michigan State @ Duke

Game 823-824
April 4, 2015 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
72.433
Duke
75.286
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 3
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 5 1/2
138
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(+5 1/2); Over

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 4

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WISCONSIN (35 - 3) vs. KENTUCKY (38 - 0) - 4/4/2015, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 0-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (27 - 11) vs. DUKE (33 - 4) - 4/4/2015, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
DUKE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
DUKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
DUKE is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) on Saturday games this season.
DUKE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
DUKE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DUKE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
DUKE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DUKE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
DUKE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Saturday, April 4

Wisconsin (#1) vs Kentucky (#1)

Kentucky 8-2 SU & 3-5-2 ATS in 10 Final 4 appearances
Kentucky 3-0 SU & 1-0-2 ATS last 3 Final 4 appearances
Kentucky beat Wisconsin 74-73 in last year's (2014) Final 4
Wisconsin is 0-2 SU & 1-1 ATS in their only 2 Final 4 appearances
Kentucky 1-3 Over/Under last 4 Final 4 games

Michigan State (#7) vs Duke (#1)

Duke 4-1 SU & ATS last 5 Final 4 appearances
Duke 2-1 Over/Under in last 3 Final 4 games
Duke's last Final 4 appearance was 2010
MSU 0-2 SU & ATS last 2 Final 4 games
MSU 1-4 SU & ATS last 5 Final 4 appearances
MSU 2-3 Over/Under last 5 Final 4 games
MSU's last Final 4 appearance was 2010

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 4

Since 1987, in national semifinal games with two #1-seeds playing, underdogs are 5-1 vs spread. Kentucky beat Wisconsin by point in this game LY, but Wildcats were 8-seed then, they're 38-0 now. Kentucky allowed 53 ppg in winning first four tourney games (1-3 vs spread); they're favored by single digits here, bargain because of close call vs Notre Dame in regional final. Badgers won last ten games, scoring 80.5 ppg in winning first four tourney games; they are 37-89 (41.7%) from arc in NCAAs. Kentucky is holding teams to 26.7% from arc. Wisconsin was held to 61.7 ppg in three losses this season.

Duke beat Michigan State 81-71 in November down street from the Lucas Oil Dome, but beating Izzo in March is lot harder than doing it in November. Spartans did shoot 62.5% inside arc that night, but 5-20 outside arc. Michigan State won eight of its last nine games, with OT loss to Wisconsin in Big 14 final- two of their last three wins were vs ACC teams. Duke allowed 53.8 ppg in first four wins in this tourney; Blue Devils allowed 74+ points in all four losses. Over last 10 years, favorites are 17-11-1 vs spread in Final Four games; that said, this is 4th year in row where a 1-seed plays a #4 or lower seed in national semis; underdogs are 3-0 vs the spread in those games.

NCAAB

Saturday, April 4

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Trend Report
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6:09 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. DUKE
No trends available
Duke is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games

8:49 PM
WISCONSIN vs. KENTUCKY
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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NCAAB

Saturday, April 4

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NCAA tournament biggest betting mismatches: Final Four
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Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils (-5, 138.5)

Spartans’ early turnovers vs. Blue Devils’ strong second halves

One of the reasons Michigan State has made it to the Final Four has been its ability to take care of the basketball. Through the first three games of the tournament, MSU coughed the ball up only 20 total times including just five turnovers against Oklahoma in the Sweet 16.

Those wheels wobbled a bit in the Elite Eight, with eight turnovers in the first half versus Louisville and 13 total turnovers for the game. The Spartans, overall, aren’t that sticky when it comes to taking care of the ball. They average 11.3 turnovers per game, the most of the four teams remaining in the tournament.

In its 81-71 loss to Duke in the regular season, Michigan State recorded 10 turnovers in the first half and 13 for the game, leading to 24 points for the Blue Devils. The Spartans fell behind – down 40-33 at half – and couldn’t battle back with Duke turning it up in the final 20 minutes.

The Blue Devils are among the best second-half teams in the tournament, averaging 40.5 points per second half this season – most of any of the Final Four contenders. Unlike, Louisville’s offense, Duke can pile it on and makes it very tough for even the most talented teams to dig themselves out of a hole. Michigan State pulled to within three points of the Blue Devils in the second half of that November 18 matchup before Duke erupted for a 13-3 run to seal the win.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Kentucky Wildcats (-5, 131)

Badgers’ lack of bigs vs. Wildcats’ size surplus

The Badgers aren’t used to looking up at their opponents. Wisconsin came into the tournament with an average height of 79.2 inches or 6-foot-6, behind only the Kentucky Wildcats at 79.3 inches. It just so happen UK is Wisconsin’ tall task to topple for a shot at the national title.

These teams battled last year in the Final Four, but Kentucky ran a much smaller lineup, with two true big men and three guards. This season, the Wildcats march out a starting frontcourt that goes 7-foot, 6-foot-11, and 6-foot-10, and draws another 7-footer off the bench. Only one NBA team – the Minnesota Timberwolves – has more height than Kentucky.

Wisconsin tops out at 7-footer Frank Kaminsky and declines to 6-foot-9 Sam Dekker and 6-foot-7 Nigel Hayes in the starting lineup, bringing in 6-foot-9 Duje Dukan off the pine. There’s not a lot of depth when it comes to real size for the Badgers, who could get caught short handed if foul trouble comes into play. Wisconsin was whistled for 21 personal fouls in the Elite Eight against Arizona, which matched up pretty well with the Badgers in terms of height, and 13 of those calls were on the frontcourt. Kaminsky had four personal fouls alone, his highest total of the season.

Kentucky has drawn an average of 21.7 fouls per game in its last three NCAA contests, attempting 26.7 free throws per outing in that span. And the Wildcats make them count too, shooting better than 77 percent from the charity stripe. The Badgers were called for just 12.4 fouls a game on the year but that average has jumped to 17.3 in the last three NCAA games.

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NCAAB

Saturday, April 4

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NCAA Final Four betting news and sportsbook notes
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The NCAA tournament has been trimmed from 68 to just four teams heading into the weekend, with the Duke Blue Devils battling the Michigan State Spartans and the Kentucky Wildcats facing the Wisconsin Badgers in Indianapolis Saturday.

These Final Four contenders are quite familiar with each other. Duke and MSU played back in November as part of the Champions Classic, which funny enough was held in Indianapolis. For UK and Wisconsin, this is déjà vu as these teams met in last year’s Final Four.

We look at those past matchups and tell you what to “Take” and what to “Leave” when it comes to betting this weekend’s action:

Duke Blue Devils 81, Michigan State Spartans 71

TAKE: Duke’s 13-3 run in the second half. Michigan State trimmed the Blue Devils’ lead to as slim as three points before talent took over. Duke has many more scoring options, with four starters – all but Jahlil Okafor – scoring in double figures versus Gonzaga. The Spartans have struggled at times to put up points and Travis Trice has shouldered the lion’s share of the scoring in the NCAA.

LEAVE: Michigan State’s rotation. The Spartans were still trying to iron out their lineup in this massive non-conference game and it was apparent Tom Izzo was more concerned about finding the best rotation before Big Ten play than knocking off Duke. Michigan State had seven players log 19 or more minutes of floor time and marched out two walk-ons. Chemistry was an issue in that game. It’s not now.

Kentucky Wildcats 74, Wisconsin Badgers 73

TAKE: Wisconsin’s eight turnovers. The Badgers are one of the very best teams in the country at taking care of the basketball – coughing up the ball an average of just 7.4 times per game. And as Notre Dame showed in the Elite Eight, turning the ball over seven times and going 29 minutes without giving it away, that’s what you need to do to hang with Kentucky. The Badgers can’t afford to let the Wildcats capitalize on mistakes and score buckets in transition.

LEAVE: Frank Kaminsky’s eight points. Kentucky rolled out a much smaller lineup last season and rotated different players and double teams on Wisconsin’s big man, forcing him to give up the ball and put the pressure on the Badgers’ other scorers. This time around, UK has the size and skill to go one-on-one with “Frank the Tank” and honestly can’t afford to give Wisconsin’s perimeter players open looks. Kaminsky will have more room to operate on the blocks Saturday.

Big stadium blanks

The Final Four games are being played inside Lucas Oil Stadium Saturday – a massive 70,000-seat, domed football stadium that hosted the Super Bowl in 2012.

The venue could plague long-range shooters with its change in field of depth from the regional final venues, and it’s caught the attention of one Las Vegas oddsmaker who is keeping an eye on the totals for this weekend’s games.

“When you play in these football stadiums it’s much different than playing in a smaller gym or even these 20,000-seat arenas,” John Avello, director of race and sports at the Wynn Las Vegas, tells Covers. “When you go to these football stadiums – like Indianapolis or in Dallas – the crowds are pushed back and the depth perception is much different.”

Avello recalls the 2011 Final Four, which was held in NRG Stadium in Houston. The Final Four teams – VCU, UConn, Butler and Kentucky – shot a combined 119 for 347 (34 percent) from the field and 36 for 128 from 3-point range (28 percent) in the three games. Shooting in the final was even worse with Butler and UConn going 31 for 120 (25 percent) from the floor and 10 for 44 (23 percent) from beyond the arc. Those games went 1-2 Over/Under.

Easter Weekend in Vegas

According to Las Vegas sportsbooks, Easter is one holiday that doesn’t turn out the tourists. Unlike Christmas, New Year’s, and even Columbus Day, Easter’s four-day weekend is more about spending time at home than the casino.

“This is a dead week with Easter,” says Bert Osborne, sportsbook director at the South Point Las Vegas. “We don’t expect too many tourist coming to town.”

Bookmakers are projecting a slower-than-usual Final Four weekend simply because of the holiday and says the books will be packed predominantly with locals.

“Yeah, it’s not the best for business with the way (the Final Four) has fallen on the holiday,” says Avello. “It will be busy, but it hasn’t had the same build up as pas years.”

NCAA futures and props

Depending on which book you ask about NCAA futures liability, they all have a different cheering interest for this weekend’s Final Four.

Some shops took nothing but Kentucky futures bets throughout the season and a Wildcats win would hit them for a healthy loss. Others are holding a lot of handle on Duke to win the national title while others are sitting pretty, with no true liability heading into the weekend.

According to CG Technology, which operates sportsbooks at the M Resort, Cosmopolitan, and Venetian among others, a Duke championship is the worst result for them while a Wisconsin title would be the most profitable.

“We took a five-figure wager on Duke 5/1 and another at 7/1 throughout the season,” Jason Simbal, vice president of race and sports for CG Technology, tells Covers. “So we’ve been cheering against the Blue Devils all season.”

Online at Sportsbook.ag, oddsmaker Peter Childs is sweating his “Kentucky to go undefeated prop”, which carries a lot of liability riding into the Final Four and possible national title game.

“We have horrendous liability on Kentucky going undefeated so at some point I need them to lose,” Childs tells Covers. “I would sacrifice handle over paying out tickets as high as 10-1 on Kentucky going undefeated, so if Kentucky were to lose to Wisconsin, I would by no means miss them on Monday.”

Avello offered a similar prop on Kentucky this season, offering the Wildcats versus the field. Kentucky drew a lot of action but as the tournament got closer more money came in on the field to win the NCAA – not UK.

“We were taking a lot back on the field, so if Kentucky goes down we’ll be OK,” says Avello. “I was able to sell a lot of that liability off.”

Biggest national title game ever?

You have to know TV executives are drooling over the possible Duke-versus-Kentucky matchup in the Final Four, and sportsbooks are cheering for this dream showdown in their own way.

“If those two teams get there it will be a record everything: record ratings, record handle,” says Simbal. “You have Kentucky’s undefeated story going against Duke. You can’t ask for a better final than that.”

Simbal says a Duke-Kentucky championship would likely generate great two-way action, but could also create some liability on the moneyline. Kentucky bettors would lay the points and Duke backers would ignore the spread and take the Blue Devils on the moneyline to win outright.

“It’s what people do in championship games,” he says. “Lay the favorite and bet the dog on the moneyline. People will want to lay the Duke +200 instead of taking the points.”

Online sportsbook Bookmaker.eu is a little different on a possible superpower matchup between Duke and Kentucky, and would much rather see these two public teams go down to erase their futures liability.

“Not having Kentucky playing on Monday would hurt some,” says John Lester of Bookmaker.eu, “but not enough to fret over. And given the futures liability, we’d rather not have them in the picture.”

As far as the worst title game matchup, a Michigan State-Wisconsin game would likely drop the audience and the betting interest, especially since it would be the team’s third encounter this season. Wisconsin knocked off MSU in the Big Ten title game 80-69 in OT – and defeated the Spartans 68-61 in Madison on March 1, covering in both games.

“No one wants to see these two teams play again,” says Simbal. “It doesn’t have the same appeal as a Duke-Kentucky final would, that’s for sure.”

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Announcement

Friday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/3

Friday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/3

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