Announcement

**Udog** · 04-02-2015, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Best six, worst six major league teams in one-run games last season.

San Diego, 33-21 Cincinnati, 22-38

Baltimore, 32-23 Houston, 17-28

St Louis, 32-23 Seattle, 18-27

LA Dodgers, 25-20 Toronto, 15-20

LA Angels, 27-22 Oakland, 21-28

Milwaukee, 23-19 Arizona, 23-30

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Gregg Marshall stays at Wichita State, which came up with a $3.3M salary to keep their coach out of Alabama. Basketball is serious business.

12) Where does the Crimson Tide turn now? Steve Prohm? Richard Pitino? If you take a new job, no matter what the money is like, you better be sure you can win there or else you're fired three years later. Or sooner.

11) Speaking of which, the Cubs fired Rich Renteria last fall after one season as manager, when Joe Maddon became available. Would love to see a TV network scoop Renteria up so we can get his insights on what managing the Cubs is like and what getting the boot after only one season is like.

10) Curious to me how Dave Martinez is the only coach who went from Tampa to Chicago with Joe Maddon; most of the rest are still with the Rays.

9) NFL Draft is four weeks from tonight and the top two QBs aren't going to be there. The more I think about Jameis Winston, the more I think I'd pass on taking him. Too many questions; I'm thinking Jimbo Fisher insulated him a lot from public scrutiny, and his NFL coach ain't going to be doing that. Life in the fishbowl can be unpleasant if you struggle on the field.

8) Supposedly, 12 Florida State kids might get drafted this year, which means Coach Fisher has a rebuilding job ahead of him, including starting a new QB. Winston lost one game in two seasons as a starter; he'll be hard to replace.

7) I'm not a morning person, but one of the best things about mornings are sausage biscuits with egg at McDonald's. Sadly, they stop serving them at 10:30, which is way too early for this late riser, but there is hope- McDonald's is going to start testing serving 24-hour breakfast in San Diego this spring.

If this goes well and they start serving breakfast 24 hours a day, the way Jack in the Box does out west, it will be tremendous. Sausage biscuits are terrific!!!!

6) People bet on exhibition baseball games; Pirates played the Orioles on the road last night-- Baltimore used a DH, while Pittsburgh didn't, since their pitchers have to bat next week. Game ended in a 3-3 tie, but if you bet the Orioles, you had an edge.

5) There have been 300+ college basketball transfers; there are 351 D-I teams, so you do the math on how many kids make the wrong decision, or become unhappy with their playing time. Georgia Sate's Ron Hunter says he recruits some kids he knows he can't get, on hope that if they decide to transfer, they'll consider Georgia State then..

4) Speaking of Hunter, how do some of these teams hire new coaches without giving him an interview? He's won at IUPUI and Georgia State, not exactly Kentucky/UCLA.

3) Over/under total for Mets and Bronx Bombers are both 81.5; when was last time the Bronx total wasn't higher than the Mets' expectations?

2) Chris Mullin is likeable; he was a great player, enjoyed his work on TV, hope he wins at St John's, but wasn't it a little weird how prominent Lou Carnesecca was at Mullin's press conference? Carnesecca is 90, has been out of coaching 23 years-- all that went thru my mind watching the press conference was that Carnesecca is still pulling strings behind the scenes, which if true, is an odd way to run a business.

1) Quote of the Day, part II: "20th pick in this (NFL) Draft is the same as the 50th pick, to me." unnamed NFL scout to themmqb.com. All of which means the 2nd round could be almost as much fun as the first round.

**Udog** · 04-02-2015, 08:39 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, April 2

StanfordvsMiami (Fla.)
Game 707-708
April 2, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
66.955
Miami (Fla.)
63.543
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 3 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 1 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-1 1/2); Over

Northern ArizonavsEvansville

Game 709-710
April 2, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
55.376
Evansville
65.275
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Evansville
by 10
154 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Evansville
by 7 1/2
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Evansville
(-7 1/2); Over

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 2

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STANFORD (23 - 13) vs. MIAMI (25 - 12) - 4/2/2015, 9:00 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N ARIZONA (23 - 14) at EVANSVILLE (23 - 12) - 4/2/2015, 7:00 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 2

NIT games
Stanford is 12-3 outside Pac-12, winning four straight in this tournament after going 4-8 in last 12 pre-NIT games. Cardinal lost by 11 to Duke in its only ACC game; they've got good size, experience and shoot ball well but blew 21-point lead to ODU in semis Tuesday. Miami is 14-3 outside ACC, with all four wins in this event by seven or less points. ACC teams are 12-11 vs spread this postseason, 6-2 as underdogs; Pac-12 favorites are 6-5 this postseason. Miami PG Rodriguez missed last three games.

CBI games (best-of-3 series, Loyola wins, 2-0)

CIT tournament
Evansville is 14-2 outside MVC, which won CBI (Loyola) last nite; Purple Aces won first two home games in this tournament by 5-13 points. Long trip, quick turnaround for Northern Arizona after they won at home in front of 5,800+ fans Tuesday, quite an event; Lumberjacks are 8-8 outside Big Sky, 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with only win vs #77 St Mary's in December- they've got five seniors in rotation. Big Sky teams are 4-3 vs spread this postseason, 1-2 as a dog. Missouri Valley teams are 7-5 against spread as a favorite.

NCAAB

Thursday, April 2

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NORTHERN ARIZONA vs. EVANSVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northern Arizona's last 9 games on the road
Northern Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Evansville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Evansville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
STANFORD vs. MIAMI
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

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**Udog** · 04-02-2015, 10:31 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, April 2

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NIT Finals Betting Preview: Stanford vs. Miami
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Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanes (+1.5, 134.5)

Chasson Randle is one win away from bookending his Stanford career with NIT championships and can complete his senior season in style with a victory against Miami (Fla.) on Thursday at Madison Square Garden. Randle became the Cardinal's all-time leading scorer on Tuesday in a semifinal win against Old Dominion as he scored 24 points to move his four-year total to 2,350 points, passing Todd Lichti's mark that stood for more than 25 years. Randle was Stanford's leading scorer as a freshman on its 2011-12 team that defeated Minnesota in the NIT championship game.

The Cardinal are aiming for their third NIT championship - they also won it in 1991 - while the Hurricanes had never even made the semifinals in 11 previous NIT appearances. Miami slipped past Temple in Tuesday's first semifinal behind junior guard Sheldon McClellan, who registered 16 points and 11 boards. The Hurricanes likely will not have point guard Angel Rodriguez (wrist), who has missed the last three games, and also will be without center Tonye Jekiri, who suffered a concussion in the first half against the Owls.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Both the spread and the total have yet to move off their opening numbers of Miami +1.5 and 134.5 respectively.

ABOUT STANFORD (23-13 SU, 16-19-1 ATS, 17-18-1 O/U): Randle is hardly a one-man show for Stanford, as he averages 19.4 points to join Anthony Brown (14.9) and Stefan Nastic (13.5) in double figures, and the senior trio combined for 55 of the team's 67 points against Old Dominion. “For me to win an NIT championship, for our seniors, (if) we went out on top and won our last game ... that would be very special for us,” Randle told reporters. “For the younger guys, they will have something to hang their hats on for next year going into next season.” Brown is 6-of-9 from 3-point range in the last two games and has made 44.3 percent from the behind the arc on the season.

ABOUT MIAMI (25-12 SU, 17-17-1 ATS, 14-16-2 O/U): The Hurricanes continue to win on the defensive end, as they have captured seven of eight while holding their opponents to 62.3 points during that stretch. However, not having Jekiri (8.6 points, 9.9 rebounds, 51 blocks) could be a major blow on Thursday as the team's next best rebounder is McClellan (4.7) and no one else on the squad has more than 17 blocks. "We've been like a M.A.S.H. unit," Miami coach Jim Larranaga said to reporters. "But somehow, some way, these guys find a way to stick together."

TRENDS:

*Cardinal are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
*Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
*Over is 7-2 in Cardinal last 9 games following a ATS win.
*Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 games following a S.U. win.

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**Udog** · 04-02-2015, 11:01 AM

Guys,

I'm having really bad equipment problems today. I can't make anything work. I'll finish the trends threads as soon as I can get this figured out.

**Udog** · 04-02-2015, 12:19 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 2

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Game 701-702
April 2, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami Heat
116.419
Cleveland Cavalie
134.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland Cavaliers
by 17 1/2
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 12
200
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland Cavalie
(-12); Under

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

Game 703-704
April 2, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston Rockets
118.735
Dallas Mavericks
122.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas Mavericks
by 4
216 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas Mavericks
by 2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas Mavericks
(-2); N/A

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors

Game 705-706
April 2, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix Suns
117.521
Golden State Warr
126.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State Warriors
by 9 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State Warr
by 12 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix Suns
(+12 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 2

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MIAMI (34 - 40) at CLEVELAND (48 - 27) - 4/2/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (51 - 24) at DALLAS (46 - 29) - 4/2/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 224-178 ATS (+28.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 43-31 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 114-72 ATS (+34.8 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 31-40 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (38 - 37) at GOLDEN STATE (61 - 13) - 4/2/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 61-44 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 54-39 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-95 ATS (-40.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, April 2

Miami at Cleveland, 8:05 ET
Miami: 18-23 ATS as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points
Cleveland: 31-18 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more

Houston at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Houston: 22-13 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
Dallas: 3-12 ATS after a win by 6 points or less

Phoenix at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Phoenix: 30-18 ATS as a road underdog
Golden State: 64-95 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 2

Hot Teams
-- Cleveland won nine of its last eleven games (1-3 last four HF).
-- Houston won eight of its last ten games (3-1 last four AU).
-- Warriors won their last nine games (8-1 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Miami lost four of its last six games (2-5 last seven AU).
-- Dallas lost four of its last six games (1-3 last four HF).
-- Suns lost their last four games (0-4 vs spread).

Series Records
-- Heat won nine of last ten games with Cleveland (1-1 this year).
-- Rockets won three of their last four games with Dallas.
-- Suns lost last five visits to Oakland, four by 10+ points.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Miami games stayed under total.
-- Last three Houston-Dallas games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Sun-Warrior games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- Dallas is 3-5 vs spread if it won night before Houston is 6-4 vs spread on road if it played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 241-172 ATS: West 214-196-3
East teams HF vs West: 53-57
East teams HU vs West: 45-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-78-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-20

NBA

Thursday, April 2

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CLEVELAND
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. DALLAS
Houston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 21 games

10:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. GOLDEN STATE
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 04-02-2015, 12:24 PM

NBA

Thursday, April 2

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Game of the Day: Heat at Cavaliers
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Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers (-12, OFF)

LeBron James hasn’t fared so well against the organization he left after last season and will try to help the Cleveland Cavaliers gain a season split of the four-game series against the visiting Miami Heat. James and the Cavaliers suffered double-digits in both games down in Miami but did post a convincing 113-93 victory in Cleveland on Feb. 11. James is averaging 24.7 points against the Heat and is two points away from passing Patrick Ewing (24,815) for 20th on the NBA’s all-time scoring list.

Miami has lost four of its last six games and is seventh place in the Eastern Conference with the charging Brooklyn Nets right behind. The Heat fell 95-81 to the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday while Cleveland has been off since edging Philadelphia 87-86 on Sunday, when a reporter irritated James by asking if the Cavaliers are in a minor funk. “A minor funk? We were 19-20 at one point,” James shot back. “Ain’t no funk. What’s our record? That’s not much of a funk. We’re playing good ball.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: Books online opened the Cavs at -12.

INJURY REPORT: Heat - G Shabazz Napier (Ques-Hip), F Luol Deng (Ques-Knee), F Udonis Haslem (Ques-Illness) Cavaliers - F Kevin Love (Prob-Back), G Iman Shumpert (Ques-Ankle)

POWER RANKINGS: Heat (-2.9) + Cavaliers (-9.8) + Homecourt (-3) = Cavaliers -9.9

ABOUT THE HEAT (34-40 SU, 33-37-4 ATS, 30-44 O/U): Forward Luol Deng (knee) missed the loss to San Antonio and his availability for the Cavaliers is expected to be firmed up after the mid-day shootaround. Miami did get center Hassan Whiteside (hand) back versus the Spurs after a three-game absence and he scored 10 points. “It’s just about what I can tolerate on the court with the pain,” Whiteside told reporters. “It’s just the performance and how well I can play.”

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (48-27 SU, 37-38 ATS, 29-45-1 O/U): Cleveland is in second place in the East, has won five of its last six games and has posted 16 consecutive home victories and third-place Chicago arrives in town for a nationally televised game on Sunday. That cushion gives the Cavaliers ample opportunity to rest power forward Kevin Love, who took an elbow to his achy back against the 76ers and could again sit out. If Love can’t play, forward Tristan Thompson will move into the starting lineup.

TRENDS:

*Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
*Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
*Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
*Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 overall.

CONSENSUS: 58.41 percent of users are backing the Heat +12.

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**Udog** · 04-02-2015, 03:03 PM

NBA

Thursday, April 2

Warriors go for ninth cover in a row

The Golden State Warriors head into tonight's matchup with the Phoenix Suns as a red-hot bet, covering the spread for in eight consecutive games.

The streak of cashing tickets is the longest of the season for the Warriors, who are the Association's second best bet at 45-28-1 against the spread.

Meanwhile, the Suns are struggling, going 0-4 straight up and against the spread in their last four games.

The Warriors are currently 12.5-point home favorites.

Rockets struggle to cover in Dallas

The Houston Rockets have troubling covering the spread when they visit the Dallas Mavericks, going just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven trips there.

The Rockets are currently 2-point road dogs for their matchup with their instate rivals. The Rockets are 2-1 SU/ATS versus the Mavericks this year, with both those wins coming at home.

Announcement

Thursday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/2

Thursday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/2

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