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The Bum's April's End of the College Basketball Season Final Four !

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  • #16
    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, April 3

    Hot Teams
    -- Brooklyn won five in row, nine of last 11 games (2-9 last 11 HF). Raptors won/covered last three games (2-5 last seven AU).
    -- Celtics won three of last four games (7-3 last ten HF).
    -- Detroit won five of its last seven games (6-7 last 13 AU). Bulls also won five of last seven (6-2 last eight HF).
    -- Spurs won eight of last nine games, covering last five.
    -- Pelicans won/covered their last three games (3-1 last four AF).
    -- Portland won four of its last five games (1-3 last four AF).

    Cold Teams
    -- Knicks lost their last eight games (2-6 vs spread); Wizards lost five of their last seven (6-3 last nine HF).
    -- Hornets lost nine of last thirteen games (11-5 last 16 AU). Pacers lost nine of last eleven games (1-5 last six HF).
    -- Bucks lost eight of their last ten games (4-2 last six AU).
    -- Memphis lost its last four games (0-4 vs spread). Thunder lost three of last four games (3-1 last four AU).
    -- Orlando lost 10 of its last 11 games (0-2 AF). Minnesota lost its last five games (0-4 last four HU).
    -- Nuggets lost five of last seven games (1-3 last four AU).
    -- Sacramento lost its last three games (2-4 last six HU).
    -- Lakers lost three of last four games (2-4 last six HU).

    Series Records
    -- Wizards won their last six games with New York.
    -- Pacers won seven of last nine games with Charlotte.
    -- Nets-Raptors split their last ten meetings.
    -- Celtics lost five of last seven games with Milwaukee.
    -- Thunder-Grizzlies split their last ten games.
    -- Home side won last six Orlando-Minnesota games.
    -- Pistons lost four of last five visits to Chicago.
    -- Spurs won last six games with Denver, covering 3 of last 4.
    -- Kings won four of last six games with New Orleans.
    -- Lakers lost their last four games with Portland.

    Totals
    -- Three of last four NY-Washington games stayed under.
    -- Six of last seven Indiana games went over the total.
    -- Last five Toronto road games went over the total.
    -- Seven of last ten Buck-Celtic games stayed under.
    -- Last three Thunder-Memphis games stayed under.
    -- Three of last four Orlando-Minnesota games went over.
    -- Four of last five Detroit-Chicago games went over.
    -- Three of last four Nugget-Spur games went over.
    -- Seven of last ten Pelican-King games went over.
    -- Four of last five Portland-Laker games stayed under.

    Back-to-Backs
    -- None

    East vs West
    SU: West 241-172 ATS: West 214-196-3
    East teams HF vs West: 53-57
    East teams HU vs West: 45-52
    West teams HF vs East: 81-78-3
    West teams HU vs East: 24-20
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      NBA

      Friday, April 3

      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      7:00 PM
      NEW YORK vs. WASHINGTON
      New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
      Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
      Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

      7:00 PM
      CHARLOTTE vs. INDIANA
      The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Charlotte's last 16 games on the road
      Charlotte is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
      Indiana is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Charlotte
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games

      7:30 PM
      TORONTO vs. BROOKLYN
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
      Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 10 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home

      7:30 PM
      MILWAUKEE vs. BOSTON
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing Boston
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
      Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

      8:00 PM
      OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MEMPHIS
      Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Oklahoma City is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Memphis's last 25 games
      Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

      8:00 PM
      ORLANDO vs. MINNESOTA
      Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
      Orlando is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
      Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

      8:00 PM
      DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
      Detroit is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Chicago
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
      Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
      Chicago is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit

      8:30 PM
      DENVER vs. SAN ANTONIO
      Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
      San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

      10:00 PM
      NEW ORLEANS vs. SACRAMENTO
      New Orleans is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 10 of Sacramento's last 13 games when playing New Orleans

      10:30 PM
      PORTLAND vs. LA LAKERS
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
      Portland is 6-19 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
      LA Lakers are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games
      LA Lakers are 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        NBA

        Friday, April 3


        Jared Sullinger, Boston - Prob Fri

        Sullinger has recovered from a left metatarsal stress fracture and is expected to play in Friday's game against the Bucks.


        Pacers defense floundering causing an over boom

        The Indiana Pacers have gone over in six of their past seven contests thanks to a defense that has gone off the rails. During their past seven games the Pacers have allowed an average of 107.9 points per game, that's more than 10 points higher than their season average.

        Indiana hosts the Charlotte Hornets Friday with a currently total of 193.5.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          NHL
          Short Sheet

          Friday, April 3

          Montreal at New Jersey, 7:05 ET
          Montreal: n/a
          New Jersey: n/a

          Chicago at Buffalo, 7:05 ET
          Chicago: 26-29 SU after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
          Buffalo: 6-1 SU in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game

          St Louis at Dallas, 8:35 ET
          St Louis: 4-10 SU on Friday nights
          Dallas: 20-11 SU when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

          Colorado at Anaheim, 10:05 ET
          Colorado: 14-27 SU off a road loss
          Anaheim: 16-4 SU off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more

          Arizona at San Jose, 10:05 ET
          Arizona: 5-24 SU revenging a loss versus opponent
          San Jose: 7-0 SU off an home win scoring 4 or more goals




          NHL
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Friday, April 3

          Hot teams
          -- Chicago won its last three games, allowing five goals. Buffalo won its last two games, after losing 12 of its previous 13.
          -- Dallas Stars won five of their last seven games.
          -- Ducks won four in row, eight of last ten games.
          -- Sharks won three of their last four games.

          Cold teams
          -- Canadiens lost four of their last five games. Devils lost last six games, scoring 7 goals.
          -- Blues lost five of their last seven games.
          -- Colorado lost five of its last six games.
          -- Arizona lost ten of its last twelve games.

          Series records
          -- Devils lost four of last five games with Montreal.
          -- Sabres lost their last six games with Chicago.
          -- Blues lost five of last seven games with Dallas.
          -- Ducks won their last four games with Colorado.
          -- Sharks won four of last five games with Arizona.

          Totals
          -- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Montreal-New Jesey games.
          -- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Chicago games.
          -- Four of Dallas Stars' last five games went over.
          -- Last three Colorado-Anaheim games stayed under.
          -- Six of last nine Arizona-San Jose games stayed under.

          Back-to-back
          -- Montreal is 8-4 on road if it played night before.
          -- Chicago is 5-3 on road if it played night before.
          -- Blues are 6-4 on road if they played night before.




          NHL

          Friday, April 3

          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          7:00 PM
          CHICAGO vs. BUFFALO
          Chicago is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
          Buffalo is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Chicago

          7:00 PM
          MONTREAL vs. NEW JERSEY
          Montreal is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
          Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
          New Jersey is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home

          8:30 PM
          ST. LOUIS vs. DALLAS
          St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
          St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
          Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

          10:00 PM
          ARIZONA vs. SAN JOSE
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing San Jose
          Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
          San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
          San Jose is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

          10:00 PM
          COLORADO vs. ANAHEIM
          Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
          Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
          Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Colorado
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #20
            NCAAB
            Dunkel

            Saturday, April 4


            Wisconsin @ Kentucky

            Game 821-822
            April 4, 2015 @ 8:45 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Wisconsin
            78.181
            Kentucky
            81.057
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Kentucky
            by 3
            126
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Kentucky
            by 5
            131 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Wisconsin
            (+5); Under

            Michigan State @ Duke

            Game 823-824
            April 4, 2015 @ 6:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Michigan State
            72.433
            Duke
            75.286
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Duke
            by 3
            144
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Duke
            by 5 1/2
            138
            Dunkel Pick:
            Michigan State
            (+5 1/2); Over




            NCAAB
            Long Sheet

            Saturday, April 4

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WISCONSIN (35 - 3) vs. KENTUCKY (38 - 0) - 4/4/2015, 8:45 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            KENTUCKY is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
            WISCONSIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
            WISCONSIN is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            WISCONSIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
            WISCONSIN is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
            WISCONSIN is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
            WISCONSIN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            KENTUCKY is 0-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
            KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MICHIGAN ST (27 - 11) vs. DUKE (33 - 4) - 4/4/2015, 6:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DUKE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
            DUKE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
            DUKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
            DUKE is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) on Saturday games this season.
            DUKE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            DUKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
            DUKE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
            DUKE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
            DUKE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            DUKE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
            DUKE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
            MICHIGAN ST is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            MICHIGAN ST is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            MICHIGAN ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
            MICHIGAN ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
            MICHIGAN ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DUKE is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
            DUKE is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




            NCAAB
            Short Sheet

            Saturday, April 4

            Wisconsin (#1) vs Kentucky (#1)

            Kentucky 8-2 SU & 3-5-2 ATS in 10 Final 4 appearances
            Kentucky 3-0 SU & 1-0-2 ATS last 3 Final 4 appearances
            Kentucky beat Wisconsin 74-73 in last year's (2014) Final 4
            Wisconsin is 0-2 SU & 1-1 ATS in their only 2 Final 4 appearances
            Kentucky 1-3 Over/Under last 4 Final 4 games

            Michigan State (#7) vs Duke (#1)

            Duke 4-1 SU & ATS last 5 Final 4 appearances
            Duke 2-1 Over/Under in last 3 Final 4 games
            Duke's last Final 4 appearance was 2010
            MSU 0-2 SU & ATS last 2 Final 4 games
            MSU 1-4 SU & ATS last 5 Final 4 appearances
            MSU 2-3 Over/Under last 5 Final 4 games
            MSU's last Final 4 appearance was 2010




            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Saturday, April 4

            Since 1987, in national semifinal games with two #1-seeds playing, underdogs are 5-1 vs spread. Kentucky beat Wisconsin by point in this game LY, but Wildcats were 8-seed then, they're 38-0 now. Kentucky allowed 53 ppg in winning first four tourney games (1-3 vs spread); they're favored by single digits here, bargain because of close call vs Notre Dame in regional final. Badgers won last ten games, scoring 80.5 ppg in winning first four tourney games; they are 37-89 (41.7%) from arc in NCAAs. Kentucky is holding teams to 26.7% from arc. Wisconsin was held to 61.7 ppg in three losses this season.

            Duke beat Michigan State 81-71 in November down street from the Lucas Oil Dome, but beating Izzo in March is lot harder than doing it in November. Spartans did shoot 62.5% inside arc that night, but 5-20 outside arc. Michigan State won eight of its last nine games, with OT loss to Wisconsin in Big 14 final- two of their last three wins were vs ACC teams. Duke allowed 53.8 ppg in first four wins in this tourney; Blue Devils allowed 74+ points in all four losses. Over last 10 years, favorites are 17-11-1 vs spread in Final Four games; that said, this is 4th year in row where a 1-seed plays a #4 or lower seed in national semis; underdogs are 3-0 vs the spread in those games.




            NCAAB

            Saturday, April 4

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            6:09 PM
            MICHIGAN STATE vs. DUKE
            No trends available
            Duke is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games

            8:49 PM
            WISCONSIN vs. KENTUCKY
            No trends available
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games
            Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #21
              NCAAB

              Saturday, April 4

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Game of the Day: Final Four Doubleheader
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Michigan State Spartans vs Duke Blue Devils (-5, 138)

              This year's NCAA Tournament Final Four is a star-studded affair - on the court and along the sideline - and the action kicks off Saturday when Duke takes on Michigan State in the first national semifinal from Indianapolis. The Blue Devils are 8-3 all-time in the national semifinals under legendary coach Mike Krzyzewski, while Tom Izzo has led the Spartans to the Final Four for the seventh time since 1999.

              The winner squares off with Kentucky or Wisconsin in Monday's national championship game. Duke, the No. 1 seed from the South Regional, reached this point by holding its first four NCAA Tournament opponents to 53.5 points on 36.8 percent shooting, highlighted by a suffocating performance against Gonzaga in the regional final. Michigan State, the No. 7 seed from the East Regional, has limited the opposition to 33.9 percent shooting and 23.7 percent from 3-point range during its four tournament wins, capped by an overtime triumph against Louisville in the Elite Eight. This game is a rematch from Nov. 18, when the Blue Devils posted an 81-71 victory on this same court as part of the Champions Classic.

              TV: 6:09 p.m. ET, TBS

              LINE HISTORY: Duke opened as -4.5 favorites, but quickly moved to -5. Totals across Vegas and online opened at either 139 or 139.5 before being bet down to 138.

              INJURY REPORT: N/A

              ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (27-11 SU, 22-16 ATS, 20-15-2 O/U): The Spartans shot 50 percent in the first matchup but allowed the Blue Devils to shoot 54 percent, including 7-of-14 from 3-point range, while struggling to contain Jahlil Okafor down low. "We got our feet wet there," Izzo told reporters this week in reflection of that night, when his team was led by senior forward Branden Dawson (18 points, nine rebounds). "We realized what we weren't good enough at. It gave us a barometer to try to figure out who we are." Who they are offensively is a team that relies heavily on two players - senior guard Travis Trice (19.8 points in the NCAAs) and junior guard Denzel Valentine, who has filled up the box score in the tournament to the tune of 13.3 points, six rebounds and 4.5 assists.

              ABOUT DUKE (33-4 SU, 22-14-1 ATS, 18-17 O/U): Okafor, the likely No. 1 pick in this summer's draft, shot 8-of-10 for 17 points in the first game against Michigan State, although the freshman center is struggling of late, totaling 15 points on 7-of-16 shooting in the last two games. “We got better (since November) and they did too,” Okafor told the media this week. “They are a better team. That’s just a game that was part of our journey. It’s going to be a different game this Saturday and we’re looking forward to it.” Okafor is complemented by two more stud freshmen - swingman Justise Winslow, who posted double-doubles in the round of 32 and the round of 16, and point guard Tyus Jones, who registered 15 points in each of the last two contests.

              TRENDS:

              *Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
              *Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
              *Over is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
              *Under is 6-0 in Blue Devils last 6 overall.

              CONSENSUS: Fifty-one percent of Consensus users are on Tom Izzo's Spartans.



              Kentucky Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers (+5, 131)

              Kentucky is two wins away from an undefeated season, although a familiar road block stands in its path to perfection. The Wildcats are back in the NCAA Tournament's Final Four for the fourth time in five seasons and for the second straight year, their national semifinal opponent is Wisconsin - a fellow No. 1 seed that will attempt to pull the upset Saturday in Indianapolis.

              The teams played a thriller in Arlington, Texas, last April with the Wildcats escaping with a 74-73 triumph on Aaron Harrison's NBA-range 3-pointer with 5.7 seconds left. This time around, Kentucky is deeper and more experienced, although it needed two late free throws by Andrew Harrison to prevail against Notre Dame in the Midwest Region final. Wisconsin is likely a better squad as well, led by All-American big man Frank Kaminsky and blossoming forward Sam Dekker. Kentucky leans on the Harrison twins in the backcourt and a collection of athletic big men, highlighted by freshman Karl-Anthony Towns.

              TV: 8:49 p.m. ET, TBS

              LINE HISTORY: Books opened Wisconsin as a 6-point dog before taking a full point drop to +5 quickly. Books opened the total anywhere from 133 to 131, but have settled at 131 Friday.

              INJURY REPORT: N/A

              ABOUT KENTUCKY (38-0 SU, 19-17-2 ATS, 15-23 O/U): The Wildcats are two wins away from becoming the first undefeated team since Indiana in 1975-76 and if the game is close, fans can expect one of the Harrisons to take the final shot. "The biggest thing is you cannot be afraid to miss the game-winning shot. It's not that you want to make it; it's that you're not afraid to miss it," Wildcats coach John Calipari told reporters. "You're not afraid to make a play and it go wrong. You have to have amnesia. You have to be willing to risk. Those two have it. They both have it." Towns certainly was not afraid of the big stage in the Elite Eight, when he shot 10-of-13 for a career-high 25 points after going 0-of-3 for one point against West Virginia in the Sweet 16.

              ABOUT WISCONSIN (35-3 SU, 20-17-1 ATS, 18-20 O/U): The Badgers have won each of their last three games by seven points, including a hard-fought win over Arizona in the West final as Kaminsky recorded 29 points and Dekker set a career high for the second straight game, finishing with 27 points. Kaminsky may win the Wooden Award, but he has plenty of frontcourt help in the form of Dekker and Nigel Hayes while Josh Gasser and Bronson Koenig are also 3-point threats for Wisconsin. "We know what we're up against," Badgers coach Bo Ryan, whose team has won 20 of its last 21, said to reporters. "Our guys are pretty smart guys. They know what it's going to take - a pretty perfect game or close to it, to get these guys."

              TRENDS:

              *Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.
              *Badgers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 neutral site games.
              *Under is 15-3 in Wildcats last 18 non-conference games.
              *Over is 4-0 in Badgers last 4 games following a ATS win.

              CONSENSUS: Sixty-three percent of Consensus users are backing the Badgers.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #22
                NCAAB

                Saturday, April 4

                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                NCAA tournament biggest betting mismatches: Final Four
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils (-5, 138.5)

                Spartans’ early turnovers vs. Blue Devils’ strong second halves

                One of the reasons Michigan State has made it to the Final Four has been its ability to take care of the basketball. Through the first three games of the tournament, MSU coughed the ball up only 20 total times including just five turnovers against Oklahoma in the Sweet 16.

                Those wheels wobbled a bit in the Elite Eight, with eight turnovers in the first half versus Louisville and 13 total turnovers for the game. The Spartans, overall, aren’t that sticky when it comes to taking care of the ball. They average 11.3 turnovers per game, the most of the four teams remaining in the tournament.

                In its 81-71 loss to Duke in the regular season, Michigan State recorded 10 turnovers in the first half and 13 for the game, leading to 24 points for the Blue Devils. The Spartans fell behind – down 40-33 at half – and couldn’t battle back with Duke turning it up in the final 20 minutes.

                The Blue Devils are among the best second-half teams in the tournament, averaging 40.5 points per second half this season – most of any of the Final Four contenders. Unlike, Louisville’s offense, Duke can pile it on and makes it very tough for even the most talented teams to dig themselves out of a hole. Michigan State pulled to within three points of the Blue Devils in the second half of that November 18 matchup before Duke erupted for a 13-3 run to seal the win.


                Wisconsin Badgers vs. Kentucky Wildcats (-5, 131)

                Badgers’ lack of bigs vs. Wildcats’ size surplus

                The Badgers aren’t used to looking up at their opponents. Wisconsin came into the tournament with an average height of 79.2 inches or 6-foot-6, behind only the Kentucky Wildcats at 79.3 inches. It just so happen UK is Wisconsin’ tall task to topple for a shot at the national title.

                These teams battled last year in the Final Four, but Kentucky ran a much smaller lineup, with two true big men and three guards. This season, the Wildcats march out a starting frontcourt that goes 7-foot, 6-foot-11, and 6-foot-10, and draws another 7-footer off the bench. Only one NBA team – the Minnesota Timberwolves – has more height than Kentucky.

                Wisconsin tops out at 7-footer Frank Kaminsky and declines to 6-foot-9 Sam Dekker and 6-foot-7 Nigel Hayes in the starting lineup, bringing in 6-foot-9 Duje Dukan off the pine. There’s not a lot of depth when it comes to real size for the Badgers, who could get caught short handed if foul trouble comes into play. Wisconsin was whistled for 21 personal fouls in the Elite Eight against Arizona, which matched up pretty well with the Badgers in terms of height, and 13 of those calls were on the frontcourt. Kaminsky had four personal fouls alone, his highest total of the season.

                Kentucky has drawn an average of 21.7 fouls per game in its last three NCAA contests, attempting 26.7 free throws per outing in that span. And the Wildcats make them count too, shooting better than 77 percent from the charity stripe. The Badgers were called for just 12.4 fouls a game on the year but that average has jumped to 17.3 in the last three NCAA games.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #23
                  NCAAB

                  Saturday, April 4


                  Under has been the hot bet in recent Duke contests

                  The Duke Blue Devils have been a boon for bettors banking on low totals lately, cashing the Under in eight out of their last nine contests.

                  Most shops opened the total for Duke-Michigan State's Final Four matchup at 137, but that's been bet up to 138 throughout the week.

                  Coach K's squad have been allowing an average of 58 points per game during that span while averaging 75 points for.


                  Coach K is dominating Izzo in career meetings

                  Mike Krzyzewski owns a massive 8-1 edge over Tom Izzo in the nine meetings between the two legendary coaches with Coach K holding a 5-4 advantage against the spread.

                  Their two teams, Duke and Michigan State, meet in the Final Four on Saturday with Duke tabbed as a 5.5-point favorite.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

                    League leaders in various baseball categories last season........

                    -- On-base %age-- McCutchen .410, VMartinez .409, Bautista .403

                    -- Runs-- Trout 115, Dozier 112, Rendon 111, Pence 106

                    -- RBI-- AGonzalez 116, Trout 111, MiCabrera 109, Cruz 108

                    -- HRs-- Cruz 40, Stanton/Carter 37, Abreu/Trout 36

                    -- Strikeouts-- Price 271, Kluber 269, Scherzer 252, Hernandez 248

                    -- ERA-- Kershaw 1.77, Hernandez 2.14, Sale 2.17, Cueto 2.25

                    **********


                    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Happy Opening Day, everyone!!!

                    13) Atlanta Braves raised a white flag the day before Opening Day, shedding roughly $55M in net salary, but dealing closer Craig Kimbrel to San Diego. You know your career is in the ashcan when a team trades their closer so they can also get rid of you (BJ Upton).

                    12) Meanwhile, the Padres are an intriguing team as the season starts; no one can say they're not trying to challenge the Dodgers/Giants in NL West.

                    11) Alabama hires Avery Johnson as its hoop coach; he was NBA Coach of the Year in 2006, but has never coached in college. Johnson's son plays for Texas A&M, an SEC rival of Alabama. People think he'll be a great recruiter.

                    Guys on ESPN Sunday went out of their way to praise Johnson as a person, so thats cool. The SEC has some outstanding basketball coaches.

                    10) One last thought on Shaka Smart-to-Texas: Smart made $1.8M at VCU LY; they offered him a raise to $2.8M, but he bolted to Texas for $3M a year. There is a thought process among some coaches (think Buzz Williams-- Marquette to Virginia Tech) that it is wise to align with a school that plays bigtime football, that the real money/security is there. It'll be interesting to follow, but it is unfair to say that Texas blew VCU out of the water financially.

                    9) Cavaliers are 31-7 in their last 38 games, so no one talks about them- they haven't lost at home since January 7.

                    8) NBA handicapping trend: Celtics are 10-1 vs spread on the road, when they played at home the previous night.

                    7) Would love to know how Brad Stevens likes coaching in the NBA, as compared to college. Getting Butler to the national title game two years in a row is one of the great achievements in recent college history. Boston is #8 in the East right now; Stevens can have his choice of college jobs, if he wants that.

                    6) As if this season hasn't been dismal enough for the Knicks, you watch the Cavaliers on TV and see JR Smith being a huge part of their success. Yikes.

                    5) How is Bo Ryan not in the basketball Hall of Fame? Four national titles at the D-3 level, two Final Fours in D-1-- he's not a Hall of Famer? Bull.

                    4) Texas Rangers employed professional ball shaggers in spring training; they pay guys to suit up, go out in the field and shag balls during batting practice, so players don't have to do that. Not that modern ballplayers are pampered or anything. No infield practice during the season, now no shagging. Oy.

                    3) Reds' 3B Todd Frazier is from Toms River, NJ; his walk-up music is very Jersey: "Best is Yet to Come" by Frank Sinatra.

                    2) I feel bad for Kentucky's players; they had a great year, winning 38 games in a row, but all anyone will remember is the one loss.

                    1) Cardinals 3, Cubs 0-- Was great to watch game that counts; Chicago could have used a third baseman who can hit. Too bad they don't have anyone like that in their farm sys-- oh wait, forget I said anything.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      NCAAB
                      Dunkel

                      Monday, April 6

                      Wisconsin @ Duke

                      Game 601-602
                      April 6, 2015 @ 9:18 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Wisconsin
                      77.159
                      Duke
                      79.526
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Duke
                      by 2 1/2
                      155
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Duke
                      Pick
                      140
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Duke
                      (Pick); Over



                      NCAAB
                      Long Sheet

                      Monday, April 6

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      WISCONSIN (36 - 3) vs. DUKE (34 - 4) - 4/6/2015, 9:20 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      DUKE is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
                      DUKE is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
                      DUKE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
                      DUKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
                      DUKE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
                      DUKE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
                      DUKE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                      DUKE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
                      DUKE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      DUKE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                      DUKE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
                      DUKE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
                      WISCONSIN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
                      WISCONSIN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
                      WISCONSIN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
                      WISCONSIN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
                      WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                      WISCONSIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
                      WISCONSIN is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
                      DUKE is 1-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
                      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                      NCAAB
                      Armadillo's Write-Up

                      Monday, April 6

                      -- My question for Wisconsin is how much energy do they have 48 hours after upsetting undefeated Kentucky? Kaminsky/Hayes both played 37:00, Dekker played 34:00; all starters played 31+.

                      Duke had a fairly stress-free game in pounding Michigan State.

                      -- Ryan won all four of his national title games, but they were at the D-3 level, not exactly the same, but he has won four national titles, same as Krzyzewski.

                      -- Duke shot 67.6% inside arc, 7-12 outside it, scoring 1.29 ppg in a 80-70 win at Wisconsin Dec 3; Duke held Wisconsin to 39.4% inside arc that night in Wisconsin- Jackson had 25 for Badgers that night - he played only 12 minutes Saturday- Badgers' bench played total of only 29:00.

                      -- Wisconsin is #54 in experience, Duke #331.

                      -- Blue Devils are 13-2 vs Big 14 teams in NCAAs (since '89).

                      -- Coach K is 4-4 in national title games, 0-3 vs #1 seeds.

                      -- Since 1987, favorites are 3-2 in finals with two #1 seeds; in four titles Krzyzewski has won, he was favored by 3.5/6/3/7.5 points in the national final, against seeds 3-6-2-5.

                      -- Teams from Big 14 are 0-5 in their last five national finals; 2000 was league's last title, when Michigan State won.

                      -- Favorites are 8-3 vs spread in last eleven national titles.




                      NCAAB

                      Monday, April 6

                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Trend Report
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      9:18 PM
                      WISCONSIN vs. DUKE
                      No trends available
                      Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke's last 7 games
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NCAAB

                        Monday, April 6

                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Game of the Day: NCAA tournament national championship game
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        (1) Wisconsin Badgers vs. (1) Duke Blue Devils (+1, 140)

                        The NCAA Tournament national championship game features two front-runners for the Wooden Award, two of the top coaches in the game and two teams looking to ride the momentum from impressive victories on Saturday. When fellow No. 1 seeds Wisconsin and Duke square off Monday in Indianapolis, all eyes will be focused on the matchup between the Badgers' Frank Kaminsky and the Blue Devils' Jahlil Okafor, although both big men are complemented by plenty of talent.

                        Perhaps nowhere is the talent display greater than on the sidelines, where Duke's Mike Krzyzewski is aiming for his fifth national title - and his third in Indianapolis - while Wisconsin's Bo Ryan is trying to lead the Badgers to their first championship since 1941. Kaminsky scored 20 points and grabbed 11 rebounds Saturday as the Badgers upset previously undefeated Kentucky 71-64. The Blue Devils took Saturday's first semifinal with an 81-61 triumph against Michigan State led by Okafor's 18 points, six rebounds and two blocks. This game also is a rematch from a Dec. 3 contest that saw Duke shoot 65.2 percent in handing Wisconsin one of its three losses - and its only home defeat.

                        TV: 9:18 p.m. ET, CBS

                        LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened the game at a pick'em, but that's since been moved to Duke +1.

                        INJURY REPORT: No injuries to report.

                        ABOUT WISCONSIN (36-3): The Badgers have won 21 of their last 22 games, including each of the last four victories by exactly seven points, and avenged a 2014 Final Four loss to Kentucky with Saturday's emotional victory. “This is something we’ve been talking about since Day 1 this season,” Wisconsin forward Sam Dekker told reporters. “Look where we are now.” Kaminsky (18.7 points, 8.1 rebounds) was recently named the Associated Press Player of the Year and is the favorite for the Wooden Award, while Dekker (13.9 points) has averaged 20.6 points on 61.3 percent shooting during the NCAA Tournament.

                        ABOUT DUKE (34-4): The Blue Devils have won 17 of 18, capped by a rout of Michigan State in which Okafor was complemented by fellow freshman star Justise Winslow (19 points, nine rebounds) and sturdy senior Quinn Cook (17 points). "It's an amazing thing, I mean, just to be in the Final Four, but to play on Monday night is the ultimate honor," Krzyzewski said to the media. "I hope our guys get their rest and we can get the same type of effort we got tonight. Now they've got a chance to play for a national championship, and damn, damn, how great is that?" The keys for the Blue Devils will include getting off to a better start - they overcame an early 14-6 deficit versus Michigan State - and improved 3-point shooting, as they were 2-of-10 against the Spartans.

                        TRENDS:

                        *Under is 6-1 in Blue Devils last 7 overall.
                        *Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
                        *Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
                        *Over is 5-1 in Badgers last 6 overall.

                        CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 51 percent of bettors are on the Badgers.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          NCAAB

                          Monday, April 6


                          Duke stays hot ATS with Final Four win over MSU

                          Duke cashed in once again for bettors in Saturday's 81-61 Final Four victory over Michigan State.

                          The Dukies, who closed -5.5, have now covered the spread in each of their five NCAA tournament games.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            A shot at history for Bo Ryan, Coach K

                            April 6, 2015

                            INDIANAPOLIS (AP) - Wisconsin's Bo Ryan has spent three decades working to get to this point, leading the Badgers into the NCAA championship game with a shot at personal history on the line.

                            Duke's Mike Krzyzewski has a chance at college basketball history.

                            Their teams meet Monday night, with Ryan going for his first Division I championship - and the program's first since winning its only other one in 1941 - and Krzyzewski trying to become only the second men's coach to win five NCAA titles along with UCLA's John Wooden.

                            They both know success, with a combined 1,757 career wins and four national titles each to their credit - though Ryan's were in the Division III ranks. But both veteran coaches tried to divert attention toward their players Sunday rather than focus on their own role in what will be the final game of the 2014-15 season.

                            ''I know I'm one of the really good coaches. I know we're one of the really good programs,'' Krzyzewski said. ''Monday night is about them. They shouldn't think of anything else. It has nothing to do with Duke historically or me.''

                            Both the Blue Devils (34-4) and the Badgers (36-3) are No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament and have been among the favorites to get here all season. And the winner - either the 68-year-old Krzyzewski or 67-year-old Ryan - will become the second-oldest ever to win the title behind former Connecticut coach Jim Calhoun (68 years, 10 months, 22 days) in 2011.

                            Ryan, in the Final Four with the Badgers for the second straight year, would be the oldest first-time winner in Division I history.

                            Ryan won four national titles at Wisconsin-Platteville in the 1990s, quite a change from the weekend's spectacle at Lucas Oil Stadium.

                            ''Training table meal was hot dogs,'' he said of winning his first title in 1991. ''The morning of the game, I had a cream doughnut and a diet pop. Now we have the best, French toast, pancakes, eggs, omelets. We have people cooking omelets. ... All the fruit you could possibly think about eating.

                            ''I think there was a stringer, one stringer, from the Madison paper that actually showed up and covered the game. So you ask me what it was like. It wasn't like this.''

                            While Ryan said the focus is ''watching these guys grow and their experiences together,'' junior Sam Dekker said the players would like to reward Ryan in a career that includes 740 wins.

                            ''To win it for him would be huge,'' Dekker said. ''He deserves as much credit as any coach in the nation for what we've done here. And then to be a part of the team that would win it for him, potentially win it for him, would be something I would never forget.''

                            As for Krzyzewski, he already stands as the winningest coach in men's Division I history with 1,017 wins and tied Wooden this year with a record 12 Final Fours. In his 35th season at Duke, he won titles in 1991, 1992, 2001 and 2010 - the '91 and '10 crowns both came in Indianapolis - and is tied with late Kentucky coach Adolph Rupp for second behind Woodmen's record total of 10 championships.

                            This is Krzyzewski's ninth NCAA title game, the first coming in 1986.

                            ''It's not just the title game, it's what you learn about coaching,'' Krzyzewski said of lessons from those experiences. ''You're constantly learning about the game. I'm a better coach now than I was in `86 or in `91 or `92. Just to be in the moment. ... I think the Final Four is a different animal like when you come in, just so you are not happy to be here, you know, that you're in this moment.''

                            Senior Quinn Cook said part of the moment is taking advantage of the opportunity, both for the players and their Hall of Fame coach.

                            ''We obviously know what Coach has done and what this could do for Coach,'' Cook said. ''But Coach has stressed all year that this is about this team. ... He's made his season about us, our moment. So obviously we want to get No. 5 for him, but we want to get No. 1 for ourselves as well. That's what he wants. He wants his first one with this group.''
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment

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