Announcement

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:13 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six of the best minor league prospects for the Washington Nationals......

1) Lucas Giolito, P-- 12-3, 2.17 in 32 minor league starts, all in A ball.

2) Michael Taylor, OF-- Got promoted to majors, has only 44 AAA ABs

6) AJ Cole, P-- Was 7-0 in AAA LY; has 500 minor league IPs.

7) Wilmer Difo, 2B/SS-- Played in 360 minor league games, all in A ball.

11) Austin Voth, P-- Allowed 122 hits in 173 minor league IP.

16) Taylor Hill, P-- Another in increasingly long line of Vanderbilt pitchers.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.......

13) Louisville threw senior PG Chris Jones off the team for good Sunday, a day after he played 36:00 off the bench in their win over Miami; Jones missed the loss at Syracuse because he was suspended. Lot of drama in Louisville this winter.

12) Sunday was Julius Erving's 65th birthday; I remember getting into arguments with a friend of mine in high school; who was better, Erving or Rick Barry? I was on Barry's side; still think he was a highly underrated player.

11) There are lot of reasons why the San Antonio Spurs are really good, but team chemistry plays into it too; Saturday night Patty Mills was honored by St Mary's, and Manu Ginobili, Boris Diaw and Tiago Splitter were all there with him. Pretty cool to see them watching a college game, considering none of those three played college ball.

10) It is amazing to me to watch a NASCAR race and see how close 20-30 cars are driving together, all over 195 mph. Do those guys drive out on the street in real life? Do they get mad at some bad driver who changes lanes all the time?

9) Knicks were a 17-point home underdog to Cleveland Sunday; its really hard to be so bad that you're a 17-point home dog, but Cleveland had the spread covered before the first quarter was over. This Knick team is an epic disaster; the coach and GM make a combined $17M a year and they're this bad. Wow.

8) Possible big trouble for Oklahoma City, as Kevin Durant had "minor surgery" done on his foot. Minor surgery is generally "surgery somebody else has"; if Durent has to shut it down for rest of the season, its curtains for the Thunder this year.

7) Anyone have any theories on why so many NBA players are getting hurt? Are the sneakers not sturdy enough to protect guys' feet? Do players overtrain, stressing maximum performance over durability? Are players just getting softer?

6) Want to win a bar bet?. Sam Snead is the oldest golfer to win a PGA Tour event, at 52 years of age. Sunday was Vijay Singh's 52nd birthday; he was tied for the lead for a while in the final round of the LA Open, but he faded late.

5) Bad beat of the day: Central Florida (+7.5) loses to Memphis by 10 in OT; Knights had fought back from a 16-point first half deficit.

4) According to Mapquest, it is 1,474 miles from Storrs, CT to New Orleans, but somehow, UConn and Tulane are league rivals, even though neither one has a football program that is worth screwing over your basketball team for. Go figure.

3) If you bet the road team in every Tennessee conference game this season, you'd have 13 wins and one loss. Vols' next game is at Vanderbilt.

2) Golfer James Hahn is a nice guy; walking up the fairway in a driving rainstorm in Los Angeles Sunday, Hahn turned to the CBS cameraman behind him and offered to share his umbrella with the guy. Not everyone would do that.

1) JK Simmons won an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor last night, but I missed it because, for some odd reason, that was the first award they gave out- I was watching the Michigan State game on another channel. Simmons has been on Law and Order for 15 years, has been in many commercials/movies and is a terrific actor.

Thankfully the Internet exists and I saw his speech a couple hours later. Seems like a fairly normal guy for a celebrity-- good for him.

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:16 AM

Cubs, Indians, Mets and Reds are biggest MLB season win totals moves

Spring has sprung at the sportsbooks where MLB season win totals have been on the board for more than a week. We talk to bookmakers in Nevada and online to see which teams have garnered the most action on their season projections and the subsequent adjustments to those win totals.

Chicago Cubs (Open 81.5, Move 83)

According to Steve Mikkelson, sportsbook director at the Atlanta Casino Resort in Reno, the first book to open MLB season win totals, the Cubs have taken a ton of action on the Over after making a splash this offseason, moving their win total as high as 84 before buyback on the Under trimmed that number to 83 wins.

“Good action so far, more on the Over to this point,” says Mikkelson. “Public is all in on the Cubs this year which is driving this number.”

St. Louis Cardinals (Open 88, Move 89)

The Cardinals are perennial National League contenders in a very competitive NL Central. According to Peter Childs of Sportsbook.ag, a big bet on the Over immediately boosted this total but outside of that, smaller wagers are taking St. Louis Under.

“We’ll get down to 88.5 soon, but we’re always aggressive with our initial line moves on these season specials because more times than not, once a popular side gets bet like a Cardinals team Over, it’s tough to get buy back on the Under,” says Childs.

Cleveland Indians (Open 81, Move 85)

The Indians made serious improvements last season, finishing 2014 at 85-77. Oddsmakers came in lower to open the Tribe’s 2015 win total, and were hammered with money on Cleveland Over. This total has been pumped up as many as four wins as of this weekend.

“I just missed on this one, as everyone believes they are much better than I did and keep betting the Over,” says Mikkelson.

Kansas City Royals (Open 79.5, Move 80.5)

Some books in Nevada opened 79.5 on the Royals, while others stayed high and posted 80.5 for Kansas City, which is coming off an 89-73 renaissance of a season in 2014. Money hit the Over, forcing adjustments in both markets.

“Since we opened high, I’m not going to be that aggressive moving off that early initial action because it was expected but we did go from 80.5 (Even) to 80.5 Over (-130),” says Childs.

Cincinnati Reds (Open 79, Move 77.5)

The Reds appear bound for a letdown as the rest of the NL Central goes up, according to the early action on the Under Cincinnati’s season win total. The Reds dealt pitchers Mat Latos and Alfredo Simon this offseason, and rumors of a fire sale are buzzing as spring training approaches.

“I guess they feel someone in this division has to lose, and the Reds didn’t instill confidence by trading away two of their starters,” says Mikkelson.

New York Mets (Open 82, Move 82.5)

The National League East belongs to the Washington Nationals (who have seen their win total climb as well) but the battle for second in the division is up for grabs. Atlanta seems in rebuild mode, Philadelphia is selling off its roster and Miami is a wild card. That has early money believing in the Mets improving on a 79-win season in 2014.

“It’s been all Over money so far,” says Childs. “We got to 82.5 pretty quickly and did book some sharp action Under 82.5 but not enough to get us to move off that one sharp bet. If we take more sharp Under action, we’ll move it back to 82 (Even).”

Oakland A’s (Open 82.5, Move 82)

In Reno, odds on the Athletics and Giants (Open 85, Move 84) are a bit skewed when compared to everywhere else, due to the amount of tourist traffic from the Bay Area. Oakland has drawn the expected Over money from A’s fans but this number has been trimmed half a win since opening.

“By far the most interesting of the teams, as we just keep taking public money Over, then smarter money Under,” he says.

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:18 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Louisville at Georgia Tech
The Cardinals head to Georgia Tech tonight and come into the contest with a 19-7-1 ATS record in their last 27 Monday games. Louisville is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-4). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 23

Game 717-718: Louisville at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 72.244; Georgia Tech 65.911
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 4
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-4)

Game 719-720: Xavier at St. John's (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 67.860; St. John's 66.446
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (+2)

Game 721-722: Kansas at Kansas State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 74.137; Kansas State 63.992
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 6
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-6)

Game 723-724: Manhattan at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 53.474; Marist 52.673
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 1
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 4
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+4)

Game 725-726: Austin Peay at Eastern Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 42,013; Eastern Kentucky 61.901
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 20
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 727-728: Morehead State at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 52.820; Tennessee State 43.315
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-7 1/2)

Game 729-730: Delaware State at Norfolk State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 46.017; Norfolk State 49.469
Dunkel Line: Norfolk State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Norfolk State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Delaware State (+7)

Game 731-732: Alabama State at Southern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama State 46.767; Southern 46.795
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Southern by 4
Dunkel Pick: Alabama State (+4)

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:22 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (21 - 6) at GEORGIA TECH (12 - 15) - 2/23/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

XAVIER (18 - 10) at ST JOHNS (18 - 9) - 2/23/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 176-140 ATS (+22.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
XAVIER is 189-148 ATS (+26.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
XAVIER is 113-82 ATS (+22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 2-1 against the spread versus ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 2-1 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (22 - 5) at KANSAS ST (13 - 15) - 2/23/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 4-2 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 5-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MANHATTAN (14 - 12) at MARIST (5 - 22) - 2/23/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 4-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUSTIN PEAY (7 - 20) at E KENTUCKY (16 - 10) - 2/23/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
E KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus AUSTIN PEAY over the last 3 seasons
E KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against AUSTIN PEAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOREHEAD ST (12 - 16) at TENNESSEE ST (5 - 23) - 2/23/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MOREHEAD ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
TENNESSEE ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE ST is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MOREHEAD ST is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE ST is 3-3 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
MOREHEAD ST is 4-2 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DELAWARE ST (13 - 14) at NORFOLK ST (17 - 11) - 2/23/2015, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 3-0 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA ST (15 - 7) at SOUTHERN U (14 - 14) - 2/23/2015, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN U is 4-1 straight up against ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:23 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 23

Louisville finally threw senior PG Smith off team yesterday, after he had played 36:00 off bench Saturday. Cardinals are 2-3 in last five games and were down 10 at half vs Miami Saturday, with Smith. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in their ACC road games; Cards are 3-2 as road favorites, with wins by 9-12-9-8 on foreign soil. Georgia Tech has guard Bolden out with suspension also; five of their last six losses are by 6 or less points. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 10-5 vs spread.

St John's (+8) won 78-70 at Xavier nine days ago, shooting 61% inside arc; that is Xavier's only loss in their last five games. Musketeers are 2-5 on Big East road, 1-3 as road underdogs, losing by 3-12-13-3-8, winning at Georgetown/Marquette. Red Storm also won four of last five, is 3-3 as home favorite, winning home games by 3-9-18-8-13 points, with losses to Butler/Villanova. Big East home favorites of less than 4 points are 5-7.

Kansas (-12) beat K-State 68-57 at home Jan 31, holding visitors to 33% from floor in game they led 33-17 at half. Jayhawks (#337 in experience) lost two of last three road games, are 1-3 as road favorites, winning tilts on Big X road by 1-13-3-22 points (4-3 SU). Wildcats lost seven of last eight overall, are 5-2 at home in Big X, losing by 6 to West Virginia, 4 to Texas. Kansas is making 42.4% of its 3's in conference play. Big X home underdogs 9-9 against the spread.

Manhattan (-15) drilled Marist 60-38 at home Dec 7, despite Red Foxes taking 30 FTs, Jaspers only six; Manhattan shot 60% inside arc in game they never trailed. Marist lost last four games, last three by total of ten points; they're 2-3 as home underdogs- their last three home games were decided by total of 8 points. Jaspers won six of last eight games, with favorites covering four of their last five. MAAC home teams are 16-21-1 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points.

Austin Peay lost its last seven games (2-5 vs spread) is 3-3 as road dog, losing away games by 12-16-4-6-35 points, with win at Eastern Illinois. Governors lost last two games with Eastern Kentucky by 21-38 points. Colonels won five of last six games, are 3-2 as home favorites, winning at home by 16-12-5-12 points, with loss to Eastern Illinois. EKU had two extra days to prepare for this game, not having played Saturday. OVC home favorites of 9+ points are 7-14 vs spread.

Morehead State hasn't played in nine days, Tennessee State lost by 5 at Jacksonville State Saturday; Eagles (-13) beat TSU 72-57 at home Feb 5, in game where Morehead shot 67% inside arc, never trailed. TSU is 5-3 as road underdogs, with four of seven road losses by 7 or less points. Eagles are 2-3 in last five games, scoring 57 points in all three losses; they're 3-1 as home favorites, winning home games by 28-15-2, with three losses SU. OVC home underdogs of 6+ points are 8-5 vs spread.

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:25 AM

NCAAB

Monday, February 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
AUSTIN PEAY vs. EASTERN KENTUCKY
Austin Peay is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Austin Peay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Kentucky's last 7 games when playing at home against Austin Peay
Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Austin Peay

7:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. GEORGIA TECH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 10 games on the road
Louisville is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia Tech's last 8 games at home
Georgia Tech is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games

7:00 PM
MANHATTAN vs. MARIST
Manhattan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Manhattan's last 5 games on the road
Marist is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Manhattan
Marist is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Manhattan

8:00 PM
XAVIER vs. ST. JOHN'S
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Xavier's last 5 games on the road
Xavier is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
St. John's is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
St. John's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
MOREHEAD STATE vs. TENNESSEE STATE
Morehead State is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Morehead State's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Morehead State
Tennessee State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Morehead State

9:00 PM
KANSAS vs. KANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games on the road
Kansas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas State is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:29 AM

NCAAB

Monday, February 23

Top 25 roundup: Oregon pulls off upset of No. 9 Utah

EUGENE, Ore. -- Oregon got the win it needed to boost its NCAA Tournament hopes with a 69-58 upset of No. 9 Utah Sunday afternoon in Pac-12 Conference men's basketball at Matthew Knight Arena.

Freshman forward Dillon Brooks led Oregon with 19 points and scored 11 straight Oregon points down the stretch to lead the Ducks to the win. Guard Joseph Young added 14 points and forward Elgin Cook had 12 for Oregon.

Oregon improved to 20-8 and gave its NCAA hopes a jolt with its first win over a team in the top 40 of the RPI rankings. The Ducks are in third place in the Pac-12 Conference at 10-5.

Guard Delon Wright scored 20 points to lead Utah, which fell to 21-5 overall and 11-3 in conference play.

No. 2 Virginia 51, Florida State 41

CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. -- On a night when the Oscars awards the best of cinematic achievements, second-ranked Virginia tussled with Florida State in a game that would have been more suited for the Razzies.

The Cavaliers gutted out their 25th win of the season with a victory over the Seminoles at John Paul Jones Arena.

Florida State (15-13, 7-8) was held without a field goal for the final 10:33 of the second half and scored just four points during that stretch. The Seminoles shot a woeful 33 percent from the field on the night and turned the ball over 14 times.

Virginia (25-1, 13-1) guard London Perrantes exited the game with 14:39 remaining after a nasty collision with fellow guard Malcolm Brogdon. Perrantes did not reenter the game.

No. 13 Wichita State 62, Evansville 43

WICHITA, Kan. -- No. 13 Wichita State kept pace with No. 11 Northern Iowa atop the Missouri Valley Conference with a win over Evansville at Koch Arena.

The Shockers held the Aces to 15-of-48 shooting and forced 13 turnovers.

WSU (25-3, 15-1 MVC) plays at third-place Indiana State on Wednesday before Northern Iowa visits Koch Arena for one of the Valley's biggest games since the 1980s. Evansville (19-9, 9-7) ended a three-game win streak and plays at Northern Iowa on Wednesday.

WSU junior guard Fred VanVleet handed out five assists to become WSU's career leader with 431, passing Toure Murry with a one-handed pass to freshman forward Rashard Kelly for a layup late in the game. VanVleet scored 22 points, 18 in the first half, and grabbed eight rebounds.

Michigan 64, No. 24 Ohio State 57

ANN ARBOR, Mich. -- Injury-riddled Michigan snapped a five-game Big Ten losing streak by beating 24th-ranked Ohio State.

The Wolverines (14-13, 7-8 Big Ten) built a big lead early and then withstood several runs by the Buckeyes (19-8, 8-6).

Guard D'Angelo Russell led the Buckeyes with 16 points, while freshman forward Keita Bates-Diop added 12.

Ohio State, battling for a first-round bye in the conference tournament, connected on just three of its first 10 shots, while Michigan came out on fire.

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:33 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Minnesota at Houston
The Timberwolves head to Houston tonight and come into the contest with a 2-10 ATS record in their last 12 Monday games. Houston is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-9). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 23

Game 701-702: Philadelphia at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 114.858; Miami 117.059
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 12; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+12); Over

Game 703-704: Toronto at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.488; New Orleans 120.407
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3 1/2); N/A

Game 705-706: Milwaukee at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 118.129; Chicago 127.536
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Minnesota at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.423; Houston 125.423
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 11; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 9; 211
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-9); Over

Game 709-710: San Antonio at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 120.926; Utah 124.787
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4; 193
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+5 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Boston at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 111.615; Phoenix 121.843
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Brooklyn at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 113.545; Denver 116.183
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2); Under

Game 715-716: Memphis at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 122.283; LA Clippers 128.249
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6; 197
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4; 203
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-4); Under

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:36 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 23

Hot Teams
-- Raptors won four of last five games (4-7 last 11 A).
-- Bucks won four of last five games (12-3-1 last 16 AU). Chicago won six of its last seven games (1-5 last six HF).
-- Minnesota won four of last six games (10-2 last 12 AU).
-- Jazz won three of their last four games (3-1 last four HU).
-- Memphis won 11 of its last 13 games (2-6-1 last nine AU). Clippers won/covered their last four games (7-4 last 11 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Miami lost seven of last ten games (2-9-1 last 12 HF). 76ers lost four of last five games (3-1 last four HF).
-- Pelicans lost four of last five games; now Davis is hurt (0-4 last four H)
-- Rockets lost three of their last five games (7-2-1 last ten HF).
-- Spurs lost three of their last five games (1-4 last five AF).
-- Phoenix lost seven of last eight games (8-4 last 12 HF). Celtics lost three of their last four (10-2 last 12 AU).
-- Nets lost three of their last four games (3-1 AF). Nuggets lost eight of their last nine games (4-5 HU).

Series Records
-- 76ers won three of last five games with Miami.
-- Raptors won six of last seven games with New Orleans.
-- Bulls won their last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Rockets won six of last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Spurs won six of last seven games with Utah.
-- Suns won their last three games with Boston; they just traded Thomas to Celtics- he got thrown out of his first game with Boston last nite.
-- Nets lost five of their last six visits to Denver.
-- Clippers lost seven of their last eight games with Memphis.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Philly road games stayed under; Miami's last five games all went over.
-- Five of last six New Orleans home games went over; Houston's last four games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Last three Houston games stayed under total; three of Minnesota's last four games went over.
-- Seven of Spurs' last eight road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Phoenix home games stayed under.
-- Six of last nine Brooklyn road games went over.
-- Five of last six Memphis road games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- 76ers are 9-5 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Milwaukee is 4-2 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Denver is 0-4 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Memphis is 5-5 vs spread if they played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 175-120 ATS: West 149-143-3
East teams HF vs West: 40-40
East teams HU vs West: 34-38
West teams HF vs East: 58-59-3
West teams HU vs East: 13-12

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:38 AM

NBA

Monday, February 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Philadelphia's last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games at home

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NEW ORLEANS
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. HOUSTON
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHICAGO
Milwaukee is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Chicago's last 25 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. UTAH
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games at home
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio

9:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games

9:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Denver
Brooklyn is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
LA Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 09:41 AM

NBA

Monday, February 23

Cavaliers continue to be a red-hot bet

LeBron James made it known before the start of the season that his return to Cleveland wouldn't be a completely seamless transition. It took some time, but now that the Cavs are firing on all cylinders they're quickly becoming a fantastic play for sports bettors.

The Cavaliers started off the season with a 19-20 straight-up record while only averaging 99.8 points per game. In their last 18 contests, they've gone 16-2 SU and have averaged 108.6 PPG.

During that 18 game span, the Cavs have cashed 14 times after squeaking out a cover in Sunday's 101-83 victory over the New York Knicks.

King James' squad's next matchup will be Tuesday against the Detroit Pistons in the Motor City.

NBA roundup: Love's double-double leads Cavs

NEW YORK -- Cleveland forward Kevin Love recorded a team-best 29th double-double, leading the Cavaliers to a 101-83 win over the New York Knicks on Sunday at Madison Square Garden.

Love scored 16 points and grabbed 16 rebounds in the Cavaliers' 16th win in their last 18 games to move their record to 35-22. He eclipsed the 5,000-rebound barrier early in the first quarter and has 5,014 for his career. Love is seventh in the league in double-doubles.

Forward LeBron James and point guard Kyrie Irving each scored 18 points in three quarters of work. James surpassed Allen Iverson for 22nd on the NBA's all-time scoring list in the first quarter. He was four points shy of the former Philadelphia guard. James has accumulated 24,383 points in his career.

It was the first time James failed to score at least 25 points in the last 13 road games.

Shooting guard J.R. Smith scored 17 points in his first return to the Garden since being traded by the Knicks on Jan. 5. Fellow guard Iman Shumpert, who came over to Cleveland in that trade, registered seven of the Cavaliers' 22 assists.

Pistons 106, Wizards 89

AUBURN HILLS, Mich. - Guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope poured in 26 points, including 13 during the third quarter, and Detroit pulled away to a victory over Washington at The Palace.

Center Andre Drummond supplied 18 points and 16 rebounds for the Pistons (23-33), who are 2-0 since the All-Star break. Point guard Reggie Jackson, acquired in a trade with Oklahoma City on Thursday, overcame a slow start in his Pistons debut to contribute 17 points and five assists.

Power forward Greg Monroe added 15 points and 15 rebounds and reserve forward Anthony Tolliver chipped in 13 points for Detroit.

Center Marcin Gortat's 24 points and 10 rebounds led the Wizards (33-23), who have lost three straight, including a 38-point thumping by Cleveland in their first game after the All-Star break.

Hawks 97, Bucks 86

MILWAUKEE -- Forward Paul Millsap scored 23 and shooting guard Kyle Krover got nine of his 12 in the final quarter as Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with a victory over Milwaukee at the Bradley Center.

Korver had battled with his shot all night and was just 1-of-5 from the field and 1-of-4 on 3-point attempts heading into the final quarter, as Milwaukee had whittled a 15-point deficit down to two.

But Korver hit three 3-pointers in the first 2:30 of the quarter, as the Hawks used a 13-4 run to go back up by 11.

Atlanta only shot 40.2 percent for the game but scored 18 points off 24 Milwaukee turnovers and was dominant on the boards, getting 14 offensive rebounds which the Hawks converted into 19 points.

Thunder 119, Nuggets 94

OKLAHOMA CITY -- Russell Westbrook scored 21 points and dished out a career-high 17 assists to lead Oklahoma City to a victory over Denver at the Chesapeake Energy Arena.

The Thunder played without forward Kevin Durant for the second consecutive game after he had surgery on his right foot earlier in the day. Despite that, they improved to 31-25 on the season have won eight of their last nine contests.

The Nuggets' slide continued as they have now lost eight of their last nine games. At 20-35, they are still third in the Northwest Division.

Oklahoma City forward Serge Ibaka posted 20 points, eight rebounds and eight blocked shots. In his second game with the Thunder, Enes Kanter scored 20 points and grabbed 12 rebounds. Guard Dion Waiters came off the bench to score 17 points on 7-of-15 shooting. Guard Ty Lawson led Denver with 17 points on 6-of-12 shooting. Forward Danilo Gallinari added 16 points.

Pacers 104, Warriors 98

INDIANAPOLIS -- Guard Rodney Stuckey, playing on a sprained left ankle, scored a season-best-tying 30 points Sunday night, leading Indiana to a victory over short-handed Golden State in Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Golden State (43-10) got 39 points from guard Klay Thompson but played without its leading scorer, All-Star guard Stephen Curry, who has a sprained right ankle.

Indiana led 89-84 with 6:27 remaining, but six consecutive points from Thompson, including four free throws, gave Golden State a 90-89 lead with 4:05 left. Consecutive baskets from Stuckey and forward David West pushed the Pacers in front 93-90 with 3:11 to play.

Magic 103, 76ers 98

ORLANDO -- Center Nikola Vucevic scored 31 points and grabbed 14 rebounds to lead Orlando to a victory over lowly Philadelphia.

The Magic (19-39) won their third consecutive game, their longest winning streak since February of last season. They are 4-2 under interim coach James Borrego, who replaced Jacque Vaughn earlier this month. The Sixers (12-43) lost their third consecutive game.

Magic forward Channing Frye had 15 points and hit three of his seven 3-point attempts. Guard Victor Oladipo had 17 points. Point guard Elfrid Payton had 10 points, seven assists and eight rebounds. Reserve guard Willie Green had 16 points.

Mavericks 92, Hornets 81

DALLAS -- Dallas hopes forward Amar'e Stoudemire is another piece in a potential championship puzzle. The fit looked pretty good Sunday night.

Stoudemire made his Dallas debut and scored 14 points off the bench in a victory over slumping Charlotte at American Airlines Center.

The Mavericks (38-20) improved to 11-0 all-time in Dallas against the current Charlotte franchise. The Hornets (22-32) are still in the Eastern Conference playoff race in ninth place despite dropping their fifth game in a row.

Grizzlies 98, Trail Blazers 92

PORTLAND, Ore. -- Center Marc Gasol scored 21 points, and Memphis came back from a 13-point deficit after three quarters to beat Portland at the Moda Center.

Guard Courtney Lee added 19 points, and point guard Mike Conley collected 15 points, eight assists and six rebounds for the Grizzlies, who won for the 15th time in 18 games.

Guard Damian Lillard scored 18 points with seven assists and forward Nicolas Batum contributed 17 points, 10 rebounds and five assists for the Trail Blazers, who made four of 23 shots from the field and were outscored 34-15 in the fourth quarter.

Lakers 118, Celtics 111 (OT)

LOS ANGELES -- Guard Jeremy Lin scored 25 points and forward Wesley Johnson had 22 as Los Angeles ended a seven-game skid with an overtime victory over Boston at Staples Center.

Guard Nick Young added 19 points for the Lakers (14-41).

Forward Jae Crowder had 22 points to lead the Celtics (20-33), who lost for the third time in four games. Boston guards Isaiah Thomas and Avery Bradley had 21 and 20 points, respectively.

Los Angeles held a 103-94 lead with 1:28 remaining in regulation after a fadeaway by Young, but failed to close the deal. Boston scored seven consecutive points to close to 103-101 on a 3-pointer by Bradley with 18.7 seconds remaining, but two free throws by Young with 12.4 seconds left gave Los Angeles a four-point cushion. Crowder's layup cut the deficit to two again with 8.5 seconds left before Young missed one of two free throws with 8.2 seconds.

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 10:34 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, February 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (12 - 43) at MIAMI (23 - 31) - 2/23/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-30 ATS (+25.0 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (37 - 18) at NEW ORLEANS (28 - 27) - 2/23/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (31 - 24) at CHICAGO (35 - 21) - 2/23/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 316-379 ATS (-100.9 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 55-77 ATS (-29.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 45-72 ATS (-34.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (12 - 42) at HOUSTON (37 - 18) - 2/23/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 173-223 ATS (-72.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (34 - 21) at UTAH (20 - 34) - 2/23/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 883-778 ATS (+27.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 698-600 ATS (+38.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 126-89 ATS (+28.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (20 - 33) at PHOENIX (29 - 27) - 2/23/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
PHOENIX is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHOENIX is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (22 - 31) at DENVER (20 - 35) - 2/23/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 150-200 ATS (-70.0 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
DENVER is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (40 - 14) at LA CLIPPERS (37 - 19) - 2/23/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 109-77 ATS (+24.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 95-132 ATS (-50.2 Units) in February games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 165-226 ATS (-83.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 121-161 ATS (-56.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 9-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-6 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-23-2015, 01:21 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, February 23

Philadelphia at Miami, 7:35 ET
Philadelphia: 2-10 ATS in road games off a road loss
Miami: 22-10 ATS off a home loss

Toronto at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Toronto: n/a
New Orleans: n/a

Milwaukee at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Milwaukee: 21-7 ATS in road games
Chicago: 6-18 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points

Minnesota at Houston, 8:05 ET
Minnesota: 5-15 ATS off an home win scoring 110 or more points
Houston: 9-1 ATS in home games after a non-conference game

San Antonio at Utah, 9:05 ET
San Antonio: 126-89 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more
Utah: 0-7 ATS after a division game

Boston at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Boston: 1-10 ATS when playing 5 or less games in 14 days
Phoenix: 7-0 ATS against Atlantic division opponents

Brooklyn at Denver, 9:05 ET
Brooklyn: 17-4 ATS in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days
Denver: 0-7 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more

Memphis at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Memphis: 19-8 ATS after 4 or more consecutive unders
LA Clippers: 22-44 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games

Announcement

Monday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/23

Monday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/23

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment