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**Udog** · 02-13-2015, 09:44 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Six of the best minor league prospects for the Chicago Cubs........

1) Kris Bryant, 3B-- .327 hitter with 52 HRs in 620 minor league ABs.

2) Addison Russell, SS-- Acquired by Cubs in Samardzija trade.

3) Jorge Soler, OF-- Cuban defector got a $30M contract.

4) Kyle Schwarber, C/OF-- His Indiana team was first Big 14 team to make it to the College World Series since Barry Larkin's Michigan team in 1984.

5) CJ Edwards, P-- Allowed 30 hits in 48 IP in ten AA starts.

22) Erik Jokisch, P-- One of five Northwestern alums to pitch in bigs LY.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here......

13) So Carmelo Anthony is going to play in the All-Star Game Sunday night, then he'll blow off the rest of the season and get his knee scoped; Anthony didn't play for the Knicks Monday or Wednesday, but a stupid exhibition game? He's all in.

Knicks are paying Anthony $22,458,000 this season, but don't seem to mind that he is more interested in the freakin' All-Star Game than regular season games. If he is hurt, then the knee should already have been taken care of, to ensure that he is ready for next season. If they're subtly tanking games, they should be embarrassed, because there is no one at the top of this draft who is that much of a difference maker.

Knicks are an awful team, 10-30 when Anthony plays, 0-13 when he does not. How did he get on the All-Star team to begin with? He has sat out 24.5% of their games.

12) College hoop will probably wind up with a 30-second shot clock, as opposed to the current 35-second clock. Don't think it'll make a big difference; I do think forcing teams to get the ball over halfcourt in 7 seconds instead of ten would prevent teams from walking the ball up and pick up the pace of action. NBA's rule right now is :08.

11) Rashad Vaughn, UNLV's best player, is probably done for the year after hurting his knee Tuesday night; he hurt the same knee in high school last year. Big blow for a Rebel team that had been playing a lot better the last five games.

10) Missouri hoop coach Kim Anderson was flying on a recruiting trip Wednesday night when one of the engines on his plane gave out and the plane had to make an emergency landing near St Louis. Thankfully, pilots landed the plane safely. Coaches fly a lot on small planes to make in-season recruiting trips.

9) Golfer Billy Horschel won $10M last year when he won the Fed Ex Cup; turns out he gave his caddy $1M of it, which is unusually generous.

8) John Daly is less than two years from going on the Senior Tour, where he should win a lot, seeing as he can still compete with the younger guys. Daly should help the Senior Tour; people still like to watch him play.

7) Golfer Padraig Harrington is a licensed accountant; wonder if he does other golfers' taxes? Harrington won the PGA in 2008 but hasn't won in America since.

6) PGA rookie Max Homa once won the pro-am part of a tourney on the Web.com Tour; his partner was actress Janet Jones Gretzky, wife of the Great One; she is not only really pretty, she loves to gamble. Its good to be the Great One.

5) As far as this Little League cheating stuff goes, I'll say this: kids from broken homes wind up with parents living in different places; they have a dad in one town, a mom in another, aunts/uncles/grandparents and sometimes there is a creative use of a relative's address, so the kid can go to school or play ball where he/she prefers.

4) I can think of two high school basketball scenarios around here where addresses were used creatively so that a kid could play ball where he wanted to. One was the dad living in a suburb, the mom in the city, but that one got quashed. The suburban school district actually had detectives watching where the kid went after school.

The other one was a dad using his business, renting an apartment, then using that apartment as his son's "address" so he could play basketball for a different school in a bordering town for a better coach. So the kid drove to School B every day, usually passing the athletic director from School A on his way. Nothing was done.

3) Not sure what Jesse Jackson is trying to prove by objecting to all this; the team from Chicago cheated, they got caught, but so what?

They still had the thrill of winning, that can't be taken away. The kids on other teams in the tournament got cheated and naming another team "champion" isn't going to make them any happier. The actual crime isn't cheating, it is getting caught.

2) Kid named Scott Meredith from Hargraves Military Academy made 18 of 24 from behind the arc Wednesday night; he scored 55 points-- he got fouled on one of the 3-point shots. His team won 131-80; not sure what the other team was doing.

1) Vermont made 16-21 from the arc as a team against Mass-Lowell the other night; even after that display, Catamounts are making only 35% from the arc this season.

**Udog** · 02-13-2015, 09:47 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Arizona at Washington
The Wildcats head to Washington tonight to face a Huskies team that is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between the two teams. Washington is the pick (+10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 7. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+10 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 13

Game 801-802: Columbia at Harvard (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 51.529; Harvard 63.036
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Harvard by 9
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-9)

Game 803-804: Brown at Princeton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 48.458; Princeton 53.765
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brown (+8 1/2)

Game 805-806: Yale at Pennsylvania (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 58.970; Pennsylvania 48.644
Dunkel Line: Yale by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Yale by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (-7 1/2)

Game 807-808: Cornell at Dartmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 53.466; Dartmouth 54.852
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Dartmouth by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+3 1/2)

Game 809-810: WI-Green Bay at Valparaiso (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 57.865; Valparaiso 64.684
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 7
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 3
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-3)

Game 811-812: Cleveland State at Detroit (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 59.675; Detroit 51.722
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-4)

Game 813-814: Arizona at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 74.414; Washington 67.364
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 7
Vegas Line: Arizona by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+10 1/2)

Game 815-816: Arizona State at Washington State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 63.302 Washington State 60.316
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 3
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+5 1/2)

Game 817-818: St. Peter's at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 51.296; Niagara 49.260
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 2
Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+4 1/2)

Game 819-820: Rider at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 56.886; Canisius 54.222
Dunkel Line: Rider by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Canisius by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+2 1/2)

Game 821-822: Quinnipiac at Fairfield (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Quinnipiac 55.246; Fairfield 48.122
Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 7
Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Quinnipiac (-4 1/2)

Game 823-824: Iona at Manhattan (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 60.355; Manhattan 56.575
Dunkel Line: Iona by 4
Vegas Line: Iona by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-1 1/2)

Game 825-826: Kent State at Toledo (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 54.525; Toledo 65.478
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 11
Vegas Line: Toledo by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-8 1/2)

**Udog** · 02-13-2015, 09:49 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, February 13

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COLUMBIA (11 - 9) at HARVARD (15 - 5) - 2/13/2015, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 95-66 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 95-66 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
HARVARD is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
HARVARD is 96-126 ATS (-42.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBIA is 3-1 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 3-1 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROWN (10 - 13) at PRINCETON (10 - 11) - 2/13/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRINCETON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PRINCETON is 2-2 against the spread versus BROWN over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 3-1 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YALE (16 - 7) at PENNSYLVANIA (7 - 12) - 2/13/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
YALE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
YALE is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 81-115 ATS (-45.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 81-115 ATS (-45.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PENNSYLVANIA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 4-0 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 4-0 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CORNELL (11 - 11) at DARTMOUTH (8 - 12) - 2/13/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CORNELL is 122-90 ATS (+23.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
CORNELL is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
CORNELL is 111-70 ATS (+34.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
CORNELL is 111-70 ATS (+34.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
CORNELL is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
CORNELL is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
CORNELL is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
CORNELL is 62-32 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games this season.
DARTMOUTH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
DARTMOUTH is 51-79 ATS (-35.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 51-79 ATS (-35.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
DARTMOUTH is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CORNELL is 2-1 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
DARTMOUTH is 2-2 straight up against CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WI-GREEN BAY (20 - 5) at VALPARAISO (22 - 4) - 2/13/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-GREEN BAY is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
VALPARAISO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
VALPARAISO is 4-2 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 4-2 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND ST (15 - 10) at DETROIT (11 - 15) - 2/13/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND ST is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DETROIT is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (20 - 3) at WASHINGTON (14 - 9) - 2/13/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 3-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (12 - 11) at WASHINGTON ST (10 - 13) - 2/13/2015, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.
WASHINGTON ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 3-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 3-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST PETERS (12 - 13) at NIAGARA (4 - 19) - 2/13/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NIAGARA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
NIAGARA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
NIAGARA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NIAGARA is 4-0 against the spread versus ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA is 4-1 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RIDER (16 - 9) at CANISIUS (12 - 11) - 2/13/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 3-2 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 3-2 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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QUINNIPIAC (13 - 10) at FAIRFIELD (6 - 18) - 2/13/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 2-1 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
QUINNIPIAC is 2-1 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (19 - 6) at MANHATTAN (12 - 11) - 2/13/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) in February games since 1997.
MANHATTAN is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 4-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 3-3 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENT ST (16 - 8) at TOLEDO (16 - 8) - 2/13/2015, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 2-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-1 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-13-2015, 09:50 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 13

Harvard won 10 of last 11 games with Columbia, winning last six played here, by 9-20-11-5-5-33 points. Crimson won its last four games; three of the four were by 3 or less points- they're tied for Ivy lead after winning by hoop at Yale. Columbia just went 2-3 on five-game homestand; they won only Ivy road game by 3 at Cornell. Harvard lost its only home game in league. Ivy League home favorites are 5-7 against the spread.

Princeton won five of last six games with Brown, winning last four here by 18-34-17-5 points. Tigers won six of last nine D-I games, are 3-2 in Ivy, splitting pair of home games. Bruins took Harvard to OT but lost by hoop last Friday; they've lost five of last six games, beating Dartmouth by 3 at home last game. Ivy League home favorites of 7+ points are 2-4 vs spread. what does it say about the Ivy that Princeton is playing 2nd-fastest tempo in the league?

Yale won its last four games with Penn, winning last two in Palestra by 9-7 points; Bulldogs had 6-game win streak snapped with Harvard loss Saturday that ties them for Ivy lead. Yale is 3-0 on Ivy road, winning by 18-4-8 points. Quakers are 3-2 in last five games but losses were by 25-27 points; they split pair of Ivy home games. Penn is turning ball over 22.8% of time, worst in league. Ivy League home underdogs are 5-6.

Cornell won 15 of last 18 games with Dartmouth, but lost last two visits here by 14-9 points, in series where home side won last five games. Big Red is 3-3 in Ivy despite playing five of six games at home- they won by 10 at Columbia in only road game. Dartmouth lost last four, scoring 58.5 ppg; they lost only home game to Harvard by 11. Ivy League home teams are 6-5 vs spread in games where spread was less than 5 points.

Valparaiso lost 51-50 at Green Bay three weeks ago, after being down 10 in last 9:00. Home side won seven of last eight Green Bay-Valpo games; teams are in 3-way tie atop Horizon. Phoenix lost last three visits here by 3-12-15 points- teams went 4-23 from arc in last meeting. Green Bay is 6-1 in last seven games, losing at Oakland; they're 4-2 on Horizon road. Horizon home favorites of less than 5 points are 5-2 vs spread.

Cleveland State won its last three games with Detroit by 10-8-4 points; they beat Titans 70-66 at home three weeks ago, after being down 9 with 12:36 left. Vikings won nine of last 11 games, winning last three, all by 13+ points; they're 3-2 on Horizon road, losing at Valpo/Oakland by 3-2 points. Detroit lost six of last eight games, losing last three games by 4-8-10 points. Horizon home underdogs of 4 or less points are 6-2 vs spread.

Arizona is 20-3, but just 4-3 in true road games, with all three losses to teams that probably won't be in NCAAs; they won game after first two losses by 14-24 points. Wildcats won last three games with Washington by 4-18-9 points; they won 57-53 here LY, ending 5-year drought here in Seattle. Washington lost its last five games, allowing 79 ppeg in the four games since big man Upshaw was thrown off team. Pac-12 home dogs of 8+ points are 3-2 vs spread.

Arizona State won five of last six games with Washington State, winning last three by 4-12-9 points; Sun Devils split last four visits to Pullman. ASU is 1-4 on Pac-12 road with only win by 35 at Cal; their road losses are by 24-8-3-19 points. Pac-12 home underdogs of 6 or less points are 5-8 vs spread. Wazzu lost six of last seven games; all four of its Pac-12 wins were by 3 or less points or in OT. ASU is 9-2 against teams not in the top 100.

Niagara won six of last seven games with St Peter's, winning 61-59 back on Nov 20, in first meeting this season. Peacocks lost last three visits to Niagara by 12-17-5 points. Eagles lost 11 of last 12 games, with only win in OT; they're 2-5 at home in MAAC, with last three home losses by a total of 9 points. MAAC home underdogs of less than 5 points are 6-3-1 vs spread. Peacocks are 3-3 on MAAC road; three of their last 8 games overall went to overtime.

Rider is 7-4 in last 11 games with Canisius, winning two of last three in Buffalo; Broncs won first meeting 59-46, in brickfest where Canisius had 19 turnovers in addition to shooting 4-21 on arc. Rider is 12-3 in its last 15 games, winning four of last five on road- they won last two games, both in OT. Canisius lost last three games, scoring 58.7 ppg; Griffs won three of last four home games. MAAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 9-12 vs spread.

Fairfield-Quinnipiac split last four meetings; Stags won first meeting this year 56-52 on road in OT, after being down 4 with 1:22 left. Fairfield is on 7-game losing streak, losing last three home games by 14-1-15 points. Quinnipiac won five of last seven games, losing last two road games by total of 11 points. Bobcats' last three wins are all by 14+ points. MAAC home underdogs of less than 5 points are 6-3-1 against the spread.

Iona is 6-4 in its last 12 games with Manhattan, but lost last two visits to Draddy Gym by 1-3 points, with both losses in OT. Gaels won six in a row, 11 of last 12 games; they're 4-2 on MAAC road, winning last two away games by 10-15 points. MAAC home teams are 8-12-1 in games where spread was 3 or less points. Jaspers wom four of last five games, winning last three at home by 7-8-9 points; two of their last three losses came in overtime.

Kent State won eight of last 11 games with Toledo, splitting last four in this gym; Flashes won first meeting 67-60 at home, after being down five with 9:08 left. Kent lost three of last four games after a 15-5 start; they lost last three home games by 25-1-9 points. Toledo won its sixth game in row at Buffalo Tuesday; Rockets won last three home games, by 4-15-24 points. MAC home favorites of 8+ points are 7-9-1 against spread.

**Udog** · 02-13-2015, 09:53 AM

NCAAB

Friday, February 13

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
COLUMBIA vs. HARVARD
Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Harvard
Columbia is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Harvard is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Harvard is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 13, 6:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. TOLEDO
Kent State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Kent State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing at home against Kent State
Toledo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kent State

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 13, 7:00 PM
YALE vs. PENNSYLVANIA
Yale is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Yale is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
Pennsylvania is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 13, 7:00 PM
WISC-GREEN BAY vs. VALPARAISO
Wisc-Green Bay is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisc-Green Bay's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Valparaiso's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Valparaiso's last 6 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 13, 7:00 PM
CORNELL vs. DARTMOUTH
Cornell is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dartmouth
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cornell's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dartmouth
Dartmouth is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Dartmouth is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 13, 7:00 PM
RIDER vs. CANISIUS
Rider is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Rider is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Canisius
Canisius is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Canisius's last 6 games

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FEBRUARY 13, 7:00 PM
SAINT PETER'S vs. NIAGARA
Saint Peter's is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Niagara
Saint Peter's is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Niagara
Niagara is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Saint Peter's
Niagara is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Saint Peter's

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FEBRUARY 13, 8:00 PM
BROWN vs. PRINCETON
Brown is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Brown is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Princeton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Princeton's last 6 games when playing at home against Brown
Princeton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brown

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FEBRUARY 13, 8:00 PM
CLEVELAND STATE vs. DETROIT
Cleveland State is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Cleveland State is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland State
Detroit is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Cleveland State

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FEBRUARY 13, 8:00 PM
QUINNIPIAC vs. FAIRFIELD
Quinnipiac is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Fairfield is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Fairfield is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

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FEBRUARY 13, 9:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games when playing at home against Arizona

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FEBRUARY 13, 10:00 PM
IONA vs. MANHATTAN
Iona is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
Iona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Manhattan's last 5 games when playing Iona
Manhattan is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

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FEBRUARY 13, 11:00 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Arizona State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington State
Arizona State is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington State
Washington State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Washington State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

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**Udog** · 02-13-2015, 09:56 AM

NCAAB

Friday, February 13

Double-digit dogs are the sharpest bet in college hoops conference play

Parity is something that has been preached about in college basketball in recent years. Every time a Cinderella team makes a run deep into the NCAA tournament, the discussion turns to the slowly-narrowing gap between the elite programs in the country and everyone else.

If the way double-digit underdogs have performed in conference play is any indication, we could be in for a mad, mad March. As of Thursday, teams getting 10 or more points versus conference opponents are a collective 192-138-14 ATS – covering the spread 58 percent of the time. Those big underdogs are just 38-306 SU – winning just 11 percent of those game outright – so oddsmakers aren't wrong in who they favor but may be off when it comes to how many points (double-digit dogs went 2-9 SU and 6-5 ATS on Thursday).

According to Peter Childs, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag, it’s the skill level of college basketball – or lack thereof – that is evening the playing field and keeping big dogs live during conference play. Childs believes there’s a serious downward spiral in fundamentals that goes hand-in-hand with the one-and-done trend, with the best players looking to up their draft stock and make the jump to the pros rather than lead their teams to national championships.

“This has been going on for years, with guys leaving early. I think as we see the level of play diminish more and more, it’s going to bring that much more parity which makes double-digit dogs more likely to cover,” Childs tells Covers.

“And for the players that do stay, that are juniors and seniors who aren't household names but are skilled in the fundamentals of the game, they don’t get near the hype of teams like Kentucky. But they have major edges in team cohesion, which helps bigger dogs come in because these veteran players get the most out of their team concepts.”

Childs may be on to something. The conferences which have seen the most double-digit underdogs cover the spread are mainly major conferences, the main destination for those one-and-done talents. The ACC (14-7-2 ATS double-digit dogs in conference play), Big Ten (14-6-1 ATS), and SEC (13-6-0 ATS) are among the league’s that hold the most big underdog value, along with mid-majors the Ohio Valley Conference (13-5-0 ATS) and Colonial Athletic Association (10-2-0 ATS).

The biggest offenders when it comes to favorites not covering double-digit spreads versus conference foes are the Kentucky Wildcats (2-6 ATS), Wisconsin Badgers (2-6-1 ATS), Hofstra Pride (1-5 ATS), Murray State Races (1-5 ATS) and Michigan State Spartans (0-4 ATS).

Scott Kaminsky, sportsbook director at The Greek.com, says that double-digits dogs are very popular with his client base – mainly sharps who bet college basketball for the entire season, unlike the public which only gets involved during the NCAA tournament. Kaminsky rolled through the list of Wednesday night’s double-digit NCAAB spreads and sounded like a broken record for each and every game: “We need the favorite. We need the favorite. We need the favorite...”

“They have bet the dog in every one of those games,” says Kaminsky, noting the action was one-sided on the double-digit dogs. “These big teams today can’t compare to those powerhouse teams of the 60s, 70s, 80s, the UNLV teams of the 90s for (Jerry) Tarkanian and the Duke team’s with (Christian) Laettner. Those teams played together for three to four years. Any of those teams would easily be double-digit favorites against the best teams today.”

On the flip side of this, double-digit favorites in the Pac-12 (13-4-1 ATS) and Big 12 (7-2-1 ATS) have lived up to those lofty spreads in conference competition. The Utah Utes are a perfect 7-0 ATS as double-digit chalk in Pac-12 play and the Arizona Wildcats have gone 4-2 ATS when giving 10 or more points to a conference rival. The Villanova Wildcats are 4-1 ATS as double-digit favorites in the Big East this season.

Out of all 25 conferences in Div. I NCAA basketball, just five have watched double-digit favorites come through more often than not: Atlantic 10, Big 12, Horizon League, Mountain West, and Pac-12. Kaminsky says that those leagues may have a bigger gap between the top two or three teams and the rest of the league, compared to conference like the ACC, Big Ten and SEC.

“It’s noticeable now. You have a lot more upsets today than you did 20 years ago,” he says.

**Udog** · 02-13-2015, 11:47 AM

NCAAB

Friday, February 13

Arizona dominant as double-digit favorites

The Arizona Wildcats are 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 games when favored by double-digit points. Frequently these games are not even close, as Arizona has outscored their opponents by 20.7 points per game in those contests.

As of this writing, the Wildcats are -10.5 when they travel to Washington Friday.

**Udog** · 02-13-2015, 12:15 PM

MLB considering shrinking strikezone to increase offense

Not only is the MLB considering banning defensive shifts, but they are also thinking of altering the strikezone. The league is discussing the increase of low strikes, which has caused a lack of offense in the majors.

Strike zones sizes have been growing considerably bigger per an article penned by David Leonhardt in Oct. 2014 in the New York Times. The increased use of technology has created more consistent calls by umpires, which has seen strikeouts increase by 19 percent since 2000 per Leonhardt.

The 2014 MLB regular season saw teams combine for an average of 4.07 runs per game, with a 1,125-1,187 over/under mark. That mark of 4.07 runs is a drastic drop from the 4.38 runs per game in 2010 and according to Marc Lawrence, the lowest average team score had been 4.60 runs per game during the 17 seasons prior to 2010.

The league plans to watch the strikezone through 2015, with the idea of making changes for 2016.

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Friday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/13

Friday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/13

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