My one play for tonight is TEX A&M/OLE MISS OVER 137.5.
Question???
Do you guys like plays posted daily if they are forced plays, Or do you like plays posted when its a play you like? I notice myself when I post often I don't really like a game but force a play to be able to post. I don't post plays I don't bet. I think I am gonna only start posting games I really like. It will stop me from forcing plays and betting forced plays. With that said I have been using the sports database to find some good spots to play some ml favorites as parlays. Last night I had 4 plays on ml parlays. The teams were Nebraska, Illinois, Vanderbilt, Vanderbilt+2.5. I have been doing this and think it is helpful to find games that I find about 90% certain to win straight up. Then eliminate the spread. All you need is a one point win. How often does a last second 3 pt shot screw you? Eliminate that. Then imagine playing two 7 point favorites in a money line parlay for even money? Hell in my opinion this is better than playing spreads. You just need to win the game plus you are getting even money. (On most bets) There are a few its less. Some are better! I call it a wash. Example: Notre Dame -13. All home favorites this year -13 are 68-2 straight up. Then Notre Dame at home favored by 13 or more are 6-0 winning by an average of 27 a game. Id say Notre Dame is about certain to win straight up. They are -900. Then I go through and find teams to match with them. I used Texas -240. When favored by 6 at home they are 3-0. I found that using home favorites is better than using road favorites.
My ml parlays today.
Notre Dame -900 and Texas -240. This is less than even money.
Notre Dame -900 and Ole Miss over 137.5 this is slightly better than even money.
If there is any interest in this I can post my ml parlays when I have them for you to follow. Never more than 3 teams. and usually round robin them. I don't find spots every day to play these.
Question???
Do you guys like plays posted daily if they are forced plays, Or do you like plays posted when its a play you like? I notice myself when I post often I don't really like a game but force a play to be able to post. I don't post plays I don't bet. I think I am gonna only start posting games I really like. It will stop me from forcing plays and betting forced plays. With that said I have been using the sports database to find some good spots to play some ml favorites as parlays. Last night I had 4 plays on ml parlays. The teams were Nebraska, Illinois, Vanderbilt, Vanderbilt+2.5. I have been doing this and think it is helpful to find games that I find about 90% certain to win straight up. Then eliminate the spread. All you need is a one point win. How often does a last second 3 pt shot screw you? Eliminate that. Then imagine playing two 7 point favorites in a money line parlay for even money? Hell in my opinion this is better than playing spreads. You just need to win the game plus you are getting even money. (On most bets) There are a few its less. Some are better! I call it a wash. Example: Notre Dame -13. All home favorites this year -13 are 68-2 straight up. Then Notre Dame at home favored by 13 or more are 6-0 winning by an average of 27 a game. Id say Notre Dame is about certain to win straight up. They are -900. Then I go through and find teams to match with them. I used Texas -240. When favored by 6 at home they are 3-0. I found that using home favorites is better than using road favorites.
My ml parlays today.
Notre Dame -900 and Texas -240. This is less than even money.
Notre Dame -900 and Ole Miss over 137.5 this is slightly better than even money.
If there is any interest in this I can post my ml parlays when I have them for you to follow. Never more than 3 teams. and usually round robin them. I don't find spots every day to play these.
Comment