NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, February 10
Akron-Kent split last four meetings; last seven series games were decided by 6 or less points, with Flashes losing four of last five visits here, by 4-14-3-9 points. Akron is 4-0-1 as home favorite, winning MAC home tilts by 20-17-6-12-3 points- they've won four of last five overall. Kent won seven of last nine games, is 1-1 as road dog- they lost two away games by 25-1- their last two games (1-1) were both decided by point. MAC home favorites of 6+ points are 10-11-2 vs spread.
Toledo nipped Buffalo 67-65 at home LY, snapping 6-game series skid; Rockets lost last three visits here, by 13-23-15 points. Buffalo won three of last four games overall, is 2-2 as home favorite, with home wins by 19-9-6-25 points. Toledo won its last five games, is 3-1 on MAC road with only loss by 7 at Kent. Rockets get to foul line more than anyone in the league and make 74% once they get there, also #1 in league. MAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-8-1 vs spread.
Kentucky won seven of last eight games with LSU, losing 87-82 here LY, then losing in OT at Rupp. Unbeaten Wildcats survived a lesser Florida team by 7 Saturday; they're 2-3 as SEC road favorites, winning games on foreign soil by 6-22-15-16-7 points. LSU lost two of last three games; all four of its SEC losses are by 7 or less points. Tigers are 3-2 at home, 3-0 vs spread as an underdog. SEC double digit favorites are 7-11 vs spread.
Seton Hall won last three of last four games with Georgetown by 10-15 points, winning last two here by 18-15 points. Hoyas had won four in a row on road before getting waxed at Villanova Saturday; they're 1-3 as a road underdog. Big East home teams are 8-5 in games with spread of 3 or less points. Seton Hall lost five of last seven games; underdogs covered all six of their Big East home games; Pirates are 0-3 as home favorites, 4-2 in conference games with spread of 4 or less. .
Notre Dame was down 43-13 at Duke Saturday after leading 6-0; they're 4-2 on ACC road, losing last two at Pitt/Duke- they beat Clemson LY in double OT, in brickfest where teams were 12-50 from arc. Four of last six Irish wins overall were by 5 or less points. Clemson had its 4-game win streak snapped Sunday at Miami; Tigers won three of last four at home- they allowed less than 60 points in their last seven games. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 6-4 vs spread.
Michigan State won five in row, 20 of last 22 with Northwestern, taking seven of last eight played here; State beat Wildcats 84-77 in OT back on Jan 11, despite Wildcats making 12-25 from and leading by hoop in last 0:30 of regulation. Spartans covered once in last six games when favored; they're 2-2 on Big 14 road, winning at Iowa/Rutgers. Northwestern lost its last nine games; they're 1-2 as home underdogs. Big 14 home dogs of 7 or less points are 9-2 vs spread.
Cincinnati is 3-0 vs Temple in AAC play, blasting Owls 84-53 Jan 17 at home; Bearcats made 9-14 from arc that night, have won six of last seven games overall, with only loss strange one at ECU. Temple won/covered last five games, with three of those five on road; Owls won last two home games, are 2-2 as AAC home favorites, 1-3 vs top 50 teams, with win by 25 over Kansas back in December. AAC home faves of 5 or less points are 7-3 vs spread.
Bruce Pearl will win at Auburn but is talent-short this year- Auburn lost five of last six games, including last three at home by 7-10-7 points; they lost last seven games with Arkansas, losing by 2-6-8 points in last three played here. Hogs won five of last six games, losing by point at Florida; they're 2-2 on SEC road with all four games decided by 5 or less points. Road team covered last six Auburn games. SEC home underdogs are 10-9.
Alabama lost six of its last eight games, beating Auburn/Missouri, two of worst teams in SEC; Crimson Tide lost last four road games, last two by 15-11 points. Tide has won last four games with Mississippi State, all by 8+ points; Tide lost five of last seven visits to Starkville, but won here by 32 LY. Bulldogs won two of last three games, covered six of its last eight; they're 6-4 as SEC dogs, 2-2 at home. SEC home teams are 8-10-1 in games where spread was 3 or less points.
Wisconsin is 5-1 vs Nebraska in Big 14 play, beat Cornhuskers 70-55 in first meeting Jan 15, making 11-21 from arc in game they led by 10 at the half. Badgers lost here LY, won by 24-6 in previous two visits. Huskers lost three of last four games, scoring 44 or less points in all three losses; they're 0-3-2 as road underdogs- home side is 7-1-3 vs spread in their Big 14 games. Badgers are 2-2 as road favorites, winning by 23-5-11 points. Big 14 home underdogs are 11-4 against spread.
Xavier (-10) edged Marquette 62-58 Jan 17, after trailing by 11 early in second half; Musketeers are 1-5 on Big East road, with only win by 13 at Georgetown- home teams covered nine of their 12 league games. These teams split last four series games, with home side winning three regular season meetings. Marquette lost six of last seven games, including three in row at home by 10-10-4, with two of those three in OT. Big East home underdogs are 10-4 vs spread.
UNLV won three of last four games, losing by point at Colorado State on Saturday after leading by 18 in first half; Rebels are 2-3 as home favorite in MW, covering vs San Jose/Air Force. Fresno lost three of last four, is 2-2 as road underdog, losing away games by 12-11-23 points, with wins at Nevada/San Jose. Bulldogs lost here in OT LY, after winning the year before. Mountain West home favorites of 9+ points are 12-6-1 vs spread.
Colorado State was 14-0 when they lost 66-53 at New Mexico Jan 3, its fifth straight loss to Lobos, who won last two visits here by 9-2 points. Rams won six of last seven games but were down 18 in first half in last game before winning by point; they're 3-3 as home favorites, winning by 6-56-6-23-1. Mountain West home favorites of 7 or less points are 6-7 vs spread. Lobos lost two of last three games, with losses by total of four points- they're 2-1 as Mountain West road underdogs.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, February 10
Akron-Kent split last four meetings; last seven series games were decided by 6 or less points, with Flashes losing four of last five visits here, by 4-14-3-9 points. Akron is 4-0-1 as home favorite, winning MAC home tilts by 20-17-6-12-3 points- they've won four of last five overall. Kent won seven of last nine games, is 1-1 as road dog- they lost two away games by 25-1- their last two games (1-1) were both decided by point. MAC home favorites of 6+ points are 10-11-2 vs spread.
Toledo nipped Buffalo 67-65 at home LY, snapping 6-game series skid; Rockets lost last three visits here, by 13-23-15 points. Buffalo won three of last four games overall, is 2-2 as home favorite, with home wins by 19-9-6-25 points. Toledo won its last five games, is 3-1 on MAC road with only loss by 7 at Kent. Rockets get to foul line more than anyone in the league and make 74% once they get there, also #1 in league. MAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-8-1 vs spread.
Kentucky won seven of last eight games with LSU, losing 87-82 here LY, then losing in OT at Rupp. Unbeaten Wildcats survived a lesser Florida team by 7 Saturday; they're 2-3 as SEC road favorites, winning games on foreign soil by 6-22-15-16-7 points. LSU lost two of last three games; all four of its SEC losses are by 7 or less points. Tigers are 3-2 at home, 3-0 vs spread as an underdog. SEC double digit favorites are 7-11 vs spread.
Seton Hall won last three of last four games with Georgetown by 10-15 points, winning last two here by 18-15 points. Hoyas had won four in a row on road before getting waxed at Villanova Saturday; they're 1-3 as a road underdog. Big East home teams are 8-5 in games with spread of 3 or less points. Seton Hall lost five of last seven games; underdogs covered all six of their Big East home games; Pirates are 0-3 as home favorites, 4-2 in conference games with spread of 4 or less. .
Notre Dame was down 43-13 at Duke Saturday after leading 6-0; they're 4-2 on ACC road, losing last two at Pitt/Duke- they beat Clemson LY in double OT, in brickfest where teams were 12-50 from arc. Four of last six Irish wins overall were by 5 or less points. Clemson had its 4-game win streak snapped Sunday at Miami; Tigers won three of last four at home- they allowed less than 60 points in their last seven games. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 6-4 vs spread.
Michigan State won five in row, 20 of last 22 with Northwestern, taking seven of last eight played here; State beat Wildcats 84-77 in OT back on Jan 11, despite Wildcats making 12-25 from and leading by hoop in last 0:30 of regulation. Spartans covered once in last six games when favored; they're 2-2 on Big 14 road, winning at Iowa/Rutgers. Northwestern lost its last nine games; they're 1-2 as home underdogs. Big 14 home dogs of 7 or less points are 9-2 vs spread.
Cincinnati is 3-0 vs Temple in AAC play, blasting Owls 84-53 Jan 17 at home; Bearcats made 9-14 from arc that night, have won six of last seven games overall, with only loss strange one at ECU. Temple won/covered last five games, with three of those five on road; Owls won last two home games, are 2-2 as AAC home favorites, 1-3 vs top 50 teams, with win by 25 over Kansas back in December. AAC home faves of 5 or less points are 7-3 vs spread.
Bruce Pearl will win at Auburn but is talent-short this year- Auburn lost five of last six games, including last three at home by 7-10-7 points; they lost last seven games with Arkansas, losing by 2-6-8 points in last three played here. Hogs won five of last six games, losing by point at Florida; they're 2-2 on SEC road with all four games decided by 5 or less points. Road team covered last six Auburn games. SEC home underdogs are 10-9.
Alabama lost six of its last eight games, beating Auburn/Missouri, two of worst teams in SEC; Crimson Tide lost last four road games, last two by 15-11 points. Tide has won last four games with Mississippi State, all by 8+ points; Tide lost five of last seven visits to Starkville, but won here by 32 LY. Bulldogs won two of last three games, covered six of its last eight; they're 6-4 as SEC dogs, 2-2 at home. SEC home teams are 8-10-1 in games where spread was 3 or less points.
Wisconsin is 5-1 vs Nebraska in Big 14 play, beat Cornhuskers 70-55 in first meeting Jan 15, making 11-21 from arc in game they led by 10 at the half. Badgers lost here LY, won by 24-6 in previous two visits. Huskers lost three of last four games, scoring 44 or less points in all three losses; they're 0-3-2 as road underdogs- home side is 7-1-3 vs spread in their Big 14 games. Badgers are 2-2 as road favorites, winning by 23-5-11 points. Big 14 home underdogs are 11-4 against spread.
Xavier (-10) edged Marquette 62-58 Jan 17, after trailing by 11 early in second half; Musketeers are 1-5 on Big East road, with only win by 13 at Georgetown- home teams covered nine of their 12 league games. These teams split last four series games, with home side winning three regular season meetings. Marquette lost six of last seven games, including three in row at home by 10-10-4, with two of those three in OT. Big East home underdogs are 10-4 vs spread.
UNLV won three of last four games, losing by point at Colorado State on Saturday after leading by 18 in first half; Rebels are 2-3 as home favorite in MW, covering vs San Jose/Air Force. Fresno lost three of last four, is 2-2 as road underdog, losing away games by 12-11-23 points, with wins at Nevada/San Jose. Bulldogs lost here in OT LY, after winning the year before. Mountain West home favorites of 9+ points are 12-6-1 vs spread.
Colorado State was 14-0 when they lost 66-53 at New Mexico Jan 3, its fifth straight loss to Lobos, who won last two visits here by 9-2 points. Rams won six of last seven games but were down 18 in first half in last game before winning by point; they're 3-3 as home favorites, winning by 6-56-6-23-1. Mountain West home favorites of 7 or less points are 6-7 vs spread. Lobos lost two of last three games, with losses by total of four points- they're 2-1 as Mountain West road underdogs.
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