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**Udog** · 01-12-2015, 09:14 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- NC State 87, Duke 75-- Wolfpack was 10-16 behind the arc.

-- Rutgers 67, Wisconsin 62-- Badgers led by 12 at half in game Kaminsky sat out and Jackson got hurt in. Very big win for Eddie Jordan's program.

-- Michigan State 84, Northwestern 77 OT-- Izzo's team is shaky right now.

-- Hawks 120, Wizards 89-- Atlanta is now 29-8, an obscure 29-8.

-- Tony Romo apparently tore ligaments in the ring finger on his passing hand in the Cowboys' loss in Green Bay.

-- Opening lines for next week's football:
Seattle -7.5 (46.5) over the Packers.....New England -7 (54) over the Colts.

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

13) So who was it that pushed 77-year old defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau out the door? Coach Tomlin? Owner Art Rooney? When a guy in his position says "I am not retiring" that means he got fired. Tough thing, firing a legend.

12) Kentucky 70, Texas A&M 64, 2OT-- Aggies were only 16-30 in foul line as Wildcats dodged another bullet in SEC play. They're very good, but don't tell me this Kentucky team is an all-time great team just yet.

11) Miami OH 82, Eastern Michigan 81 OT-- Ben Roethlisberger's alma mater was down 25 in first half, rallied to win.

10) North Carolina 72, Louisville 71-- UNC gets 8th-least % of points of anyone in country from beyond arc, where they shoot 31%; this was second Tar Heel game in row that was decided by exactly one point.

9) Seton Hall 68, Creighton 67 OT-- Sterling Gibbs hit a hard 3-pointer with 0:02.1 left to keep Bluejays (0-4) winless in Big East.

8) If you care about such things, home underdogs are now 1-9-1 vs spread in WCC conference games this season.

7) Super Bowl is in Phoenix this year, same week as Phoenix Open golf tournament, where Eldrick Woods will play for only the fourth time. Coincidence?.Nah, some of his sponsors probably want to watch him play, so he plays.

6) Roger Goodell and his wife sat outside in the cold in Foxboro last night; he runs the damn league but he doesn't sit in a luxury box? Mrs Goodell couldn't have been happy with this-- who wants to get sick when you don't have to?

5) At this point, Knicks might lose to the Washington Generals; they lost by 28 at home to Charlotte and they won the fourth quarter by 17-- you do the math.

4) New Orleans traded Austin Rivers to the Celtics in Jeff Green trade; rumor has it that Boston is going to ship him to the Clippers soon, where he will play for his dad.

3) ESPN's Jay Bilas/Dan Dakich are Robert M Knight henchmen, so they spend way too much airtime bitching about officials. Analyze the game, you're not paid to be the supervisor of officials. ESPN's college hoop analysts are a surprisingly weak lot. .

2) If they reduced the amount of timeouts each team got in TV games from five to three, it would be fine with me. In a college hoop game, there are eight scripted TV timeouts that have to happen; teams don't need five other timeouts, its too much. Let the kids play, the game would have better flow, better action. .

1) A's traded for Ben Zobrist/Yunel Escobar Saturday; counting DH, they've changed seven of nine position players from LY's team. One evaluator summed up the new A's in this way: "Younger, cheaper and deeper" Sounds like the A's.

**Udog** · 01-12-2015, 09:26 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, January 12

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MONMOUTH (7 - 8) at RIDER (10 - 6) - 1/12/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 7-30 ATS (-26.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
RIDER is 63-93 ATS (-39.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RIDER is 63-93 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RIDER is 50-76 ATS (-33.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
RIDER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 12-33 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 2-0 against the spread versus MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 4-0 straight up against MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 12

Rider beat Monmouth three times LY, by 6-6-11 points, with 71-60 win in MAAC tourney; Broncs won eight of last nine games after a 2-5 start, with only loss to league kingpin Iona. Both teams are 4-1 in league after Hawks lost to Quinnipiac last game; Monmouth won last three games on road, but are 2-6 vs top 200 teams. MAAC home favorites are 6-12 vs spread, 3-5 if spread was 7 or less points.

NCAAB

Monday, January 12

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
LYNDON STATE vs. BROWN
No trends available
Brown is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Brown is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
MONMOUTH vs. RIDER
Monmouth is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Monmouth is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Rider is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Monmouth
Rider is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Monmouth

8:00 PM
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO vs. TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN
Texas-San Antonio is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas-Pan America
Texas-San Antonio is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Texas-Pan American is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas-San Antonio
Texas-Pan American is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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NCAAB

Monday, January 12

Top 25 roundup: Duke, Wisconsin, Arizona fall

RALEIGH, N.C. -- North Carolina State hit a slew of 3-point shots and knocked off No. 2 Duke 87-75 in an Atlantic Coast Conference game Sunday afternoon at PNC Arena, where fans flooded the court to celebrate.

Guard Trevor Lacey scored 21 points, aided by five 3-pointers, and guard Ralston Turner pumped in 16 points, with four threes, for North Carolina State (12-5, 3-1 ACC), which made 10 of its first 14 3-point attempts.

Sophomore forward BeeJay Anya's career-high 14 points off the bench also gave the Wolfpack a boost.

Duke (14-1, 2-1) was aiming to start a season with a 15-0 mark for the second time in three years.

Center Jahlil Okafor's 23 points and guard Quinn Cook's 16 points paced Duke. Forward Justise Winslow had 10 points before fouling out.

Rutgers 67, Wisconsin 62

PISCATAWAY, N.J. -- For the first time in two years, the Scarlet Knights knocked off a ranked opponent, defeating the fourth-ranked Badgers at the Louis Brown Athletic Center.

Wisconsin (15-2, 3-1 Big Ten) was playing without its All-America candidate, Frank Kaminsky, who was out due to a concussion. Kaminsky was replaced in the starting lineup by sophomore guard Bronson Koenig, who scored 12 points.

Senior guard Myles Mack topped Rutgers (10-7, 2-2) with 21 points. Scarlet Knights forward Kadeem Jack scored 20. Badgers forward Nigel Hayes scored 15 points and grabbed 10 rebounds. Wisconsin forward Sam Dekker contributed 15 points and six rebounds.

Oregon State 58, Arizona 56

Guard Langston Morris-Walker drove for the winning points with 26 seconds left as Oregon State upset No. 7 Arizona in Corvallis for the program's first win over a top 10 team in nearly 15 years.

Arizona point guard T.J. McConnell attempted to tie the game on the final possession, but his leaning 10-footer off the glass went off the rim and time ran out.

The Beavers followed a stifling defensive effort in the first half with hot shooting in the second half, when they made 11 of 17 shots from the field. Morris-Walker led OSU with 12 points; he also had eight rebounds.

Oregon State improved to 11-4 overall and 2-1 in the Pac-12 under first-year head coach Wayne Tinkle. OSU hadn't beaten a top 10 team since March 2, 2000, when it won 70-69 over third-ranked Arizona.

Wichita State 67, Loyola (Chicago) 53

CHICAGO -- Guard Tekele Cotton scored 16 points to lead the 15th-ranked Shockers to a win over the Ramblers.

Guard Ron Baker added 15 points for Wichita State, which won its 22nd consecutive conference game. The Shockers (14-2, 4-0 Missouri Valley Conference) outscored Loyola 44-25 in the second half to erase a five-point halftime deficit.

Guard Earl Peterson scored 13 points to lead Loyola. Guard Devon Turk tallied 11 points for the Ramblers (12-4, 2-2 MVC), who have lost two of three. Wichita State guard Fred VanVleet notched a double-double with 14 points and 10 assists, which matched a career high.

**Udog** · 01-12-2015, 09:42 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 12

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HOUSTON (26 - 11) at BROOKLYN (16 - 21) - 1/12/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 281-220 ATS (+39.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (18 - 18) at BOSTON (12 - 23) - 1/12/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 32-57 ATS (-30.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 172-219 ATS (-68.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
BOSTON is 14-37 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 110-145 ATS (-49.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (13 - 24) at TORONTO (25 - 11) - 1/12/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 51-68 ATS (-23.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 68-54 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (13 - 27) at CHICAGO (26 - 12) - 1/12/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 12

Hot Teams
-- Rockets won/covered four of last five games (5-4 AF).
-- Pistons won eight of their last nine games (6-1 last seven AU).
-- Bulls won 11 of their last 14 games (2-5 last seven HF).

Cold Teams
-- Boston lost nine of last eleven games (3-6 HU). Pelicans lost last four road games (2-3 AF).
-- Brooklyn lost its last five games (1-4 HU).
-- Raptors lost four of their last five games (3-6 last nine HF).
-- Oelando lost its last six games (15-6 AU).

Series Records
-- Celtics lost seven of last eight games with New Orleans.
-- Nets lost ten of last eleven games with Houston.
-- Pistons lost five of last seven games with Toronto.
-- Bulls won 12 of last 14 games with Orlando.

Totals
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six New Orleans road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Houston road games went over. Nets' last five games stayed under.
-- Over is 9-4 in Detroit's last thirteen games.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Orlando road games.

Back-to-Backs
-- None

East vs West
SU: West 120-70 ATS: West 103-86-1
East teams HF vs West: 25-25
East teams HU vs West: 16-28
West teams HF vs East: 43-40-1
West teams HU vs East: 7-5

NBA

Monday, January 12

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. BOSTON
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Boston's last 23 games at home
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

7:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. BROOKLYN
Houston is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Houston is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Brooklyn is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
Brooklyn is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Orlando

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NBA

Monday, January 12

NBA game roundup: Grizzlies outlast Suns in 2 OTs

MEMPHIS, Tenn. -- For most of game, power forward Zach Randolph powered the Memphis Grizzlies. Then in the second overtime of a 122-110 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday night at FedExForum, center Marc Gasol took over.

Gasol scored seven of his 12 points in the second overtime as the Grizzlies outscored the Suns 14-2 in the second extra period. Memphis, which blew a double-digit second-half lead, avoided taking a third consecutive loss.

Randolph, playing for just the second time since missing nine games with a sore right knee, finished with a season-high 27 points and 17 rebounds. Memphis point guard Mike Conley finished with 25 points, eight assists and seven rebounds. Shooting guard Courtney Lee chipped in 18 points.

The Suns rallied from a 16-point deficit at the 7:22 mark in the third quarter to send the game into overtime at 101-101. Guard Isaiah Thomas paced Phoenix with 20 points.

Hawks 120, Wizards 89

ATLANTA -- Guard Kyle Korver shot 5-for-7 on 3-point attempts en route to 19 points, and red-hot Atlanta ran its winning streak to eight games.

The Hawks, who never trailed, made 16 3-pointers and forced the Wizards into 19 turnovers, including 14 Atlanta steals.

Forward DeMarre Carroll had 16 points for the Hawks and center Al Horford scored 15. Guard Jeff Teague had a double-double with 10 points and 10 assists. Guard John Wall led Washington with 15 points and eight rebounds, but he also committed eight turnovers.

Heat 104, Clippers 90

LOS ANGELES -- Center Chris Bosh scored 34 points, and Miami shook off a slow start to defeat Los Angeles.

Center Hassan Whiteside came off the bench to deliver 23 points and 16 rebounds for the Heat, who won for the second time in three games after dropping four in a row. Guard Dwyane Wade had 17 points and 10 assists.

Forward Blake Griffin had 26 points to lead Los Angeles, which had a two-game winning streak snapped and had just three players score in double figures. Point guard Chris Paul finished with 23 points and nine assists, while shooting guard J.J. Redick added 14 points.

Kings 103, Cavaliers 84

SACRAMENTO, Calif. -- Center DeMarcus Cousins scored 26 points and grabbed 13 rebounds, and forward Rudy Gay added 23 points, leading Sacramento past Cleveland.

Cousins also had five assists, four steals and three blocked shots, helping the Kings win for the third time in five games. Sacramento is 5-8 since Tyrone Corbin replaced Michael Malone as head coach.

The Cavaliers lost their season-high fifth consecutive game while falling to 1-7 without injured forward LeBron James. Forward Kevin Love led the Cavaliers with 25 points and 10 rebounds.

Trail Blazers 106, Lakers 94

LOS ANGELES -- Point guard Damian Lillard scored 17 of his 34 points in the fourth quarter, leading Portland past Los Angeles.

Guard Wesley Matthews had 16 points for the Trail Blazers, who won their fourth in a row. Portland forward LaMarcus Aldridge finished with 15 points and nine rebounds.

Forward Wesley Johnson, who returned to the lineup after missing three games with a strained right hip flexor, scored 17 points to lead the Lakers, who lost for the third time in four games. Los Angeles guard Kobe Bryant sat out a second game in a row to rest.

Hawks pick up eighth win and cover in a row vs. Wiz

In the wake of hammering the Washington Wizards 120-89 Sunday, the Atlanta Hawks have improved their winning streak to eight games.

Hawks backers have been cashing in during their winning streak, as Atlanta has covered the spread in each of those matchups en route to grabbing first place in the Eastern Conference.

Al Horford and company are in action once again on Tuesday when they travel to Philadelphia for a clash with the 76ers.

**Udog** · 01-12-2015, 11:28 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Houston at Brooklyn
The Rockets head to Brooklyn tonight to take on the Nets (16-21 SU) and come into the contest with a 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games against a team with a losing SU record. Houston is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

MONDAY, JANUARY 12

Game 701-702: Houston at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 123.262; Brooklyn 113.451
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 10; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: New Orleans at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 119.981; Boston 113.815
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 6; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-4 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Detroit at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 117.806; Toronto 126.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 208
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6); Over

Game 707-708: Orlando at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.775; Chicago 124.659
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 14; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 11 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-11 1/2); N/A

**Udog** · 01-12-2015, 02:16 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, January 12

Houston at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Houston: 9-19 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins
Brooklyn: 12-4 UNDER after playing a game as an underdog

New Orleans at Boston, 7:35 ET
New Orleans: 12-2 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Boston: 5-15 ATS in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games

Detroit at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Detroit: 20-7 ATS in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers
Toronto: 20-7 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

Orlando at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Orlando:
Chicago:

**Udog** · 01-12-2015, 02:25 PM

NFL Opening Line Report: Seahawks open -7 for showdown with Packers

The defending Super Bowl champion is alive and well. The defending AFC champion has been ousted. And so the NFL season surges onward to the conference championship weekend, with four teams battling for the two spots in the Super Bowl.

The Seattle Seahawks certainly look the role of clubhouse leader. In Saturday’s NFC divisional playoff game, top-seeded Seattle and its super-stingy defense and opportunistic offense pulled away for a 31-17 victory over visiting Carolina, narrowly cashing as a hefty 13.5-point favorite.

Seattle has won seven in a row SU and has been almost equally as stout at the betting window, going 6-0-1 ATS in that stretch while not allowing any team to score more than the 17 Carolina mustered.

Now the Seahawks get to host the NFC Championship Game against second-seeded Green Bay. The Packers had Aaron Rodgers gut out a gimpy leg to lead a 26-21 victory laying 5.5 points at home Sunday to the Dallas Cowboys. Green Bay was equally if not more fortunate to have a late replay reversal take away a Cowboys first-and-goal at the 1-yard line – perhaps questionably so on what appeared to be a spectacular Dez Bryant catch.

The Pack has won eight of its last nine SU but has been a much more middling 5-4 ATS in that span. And we’ve seen this movie before, and in the same theater: Seattle walloped visiting Green Bay 36-16 laying 4.5 points in the NFL’s regular-season opener.

John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, had no problem installing Seattle as 7-point chalk for Sunday's game, with a total of 46.5 points.

“We weren’t worried about hanging a touchdown for this one,” Lester said. “Everyone saw how limited Rodgers was against Dallas, and while a week to heal will help, he still won’t be anywhere close to 100 percent. Without him at full strength, I just don’t envision Green Bay leaving the Northwest with a win.”

Lester trekked familiar territory for the total, setting it at 46.5 points.

“We opened the total at exactly the same number we did when these teams met in Week 1,” he said. “I expect we'll see some over push from bettors.”

AFC Championship Game: Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (-7)

New England is in familiar territory, in yet another conference title game as it seeks its sixth Super Bowl bid and fourth title of the Tom Brady era. But the top-seeded Patriots took a hard road against the sixth-seeded Baltimore Ravens on Saturday, twice overcoming 14-point deficits, then hanging on for a 35-31 victory as a 7-point home fave.

Not including their loss in a meaningless regular-season finale to Buffalo, the Pats have won 11 of 12 games SU (8-4 ATS).

Indianapolis as a franchise is also in familiar territory, but with a very different look. Andrew Luck is at the controls, and he helped the Colts dispatch his predecessor in Indy – Peyton Manning – in a 24-13 road victory over defending AFC champ Denver. The Colts were a healthy 9.5-point underdog in the contest, yet cashed for the third straight week and are 7-1 SU in their last eight (5-2-1 ATS).

Lester said people shouldn’t sleep on the Colts this Sunday, even though the Patriots hammered Indy 42-20 as 3-point road favorites in mid-November and rolled the visiting Colts 43-22 giving 7.5 points in last year’s AFC divisional round.

“There are going to be a lot of people looking for a letdown from Indy. And it may be a genuine concern, because that was the team’s biggest win in the last handful of years,” Lester said. “But I’ll tell you what, the Patriots cannot afford to mosey through the first half of this game like they have in a few this year.

“The Colts’ defense is playing well, and you aren’t going to keep that offense from scoring,” added Lester, who set the total at 53. “This matchup was one-sided during the regular season and last year’s playoffs, but I think the Colts will be competitive.”

Announcement

Monday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/12

Monday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/12

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