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  • Puzzling Clips look to get rolling

    January 22, 2015


    With apologies to the surging Atlanta Hawks, the NBA’s best team, both record-wise and aesthetically speaking, leads the West. It resides in a Pacific Division that it paces by an impressive seven games.
    You’ve probably talked about them this morning following their thorough dismantling of Houston in Wednesday’s marquee matchup. Stephen Curry is the current MVP favorite. As of right now, Steve Kerr has to get the nod over even Mike Budenholzer as Coach of the Year. Draymond Green is going to be on the short list for Most Improved.

    The Golden State Warriors are the NBA’s “it” team. They’re the current favorite to get out of the league’s toughest conference, currently priced at +280 (Bet $100 to win $280) at Sportsbook.ag.

    They’re everything the Los Angeles Clippers were supposed to be.

    L.A. was 4-to-1 to win the Western Conference when the season began, behind only defending champ San Antonio and Oklahoma City. Gregg Popovich’s Spurs have been banged up and understandably uninterested with their standing this early in the season. The Thunder have only had Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook play 19 games together.

    What’s the Clippers excuse?

    Although they’ve won two-thirds of their 42 games entering Thursday night’s home date against Brooklyn, Rivers’ team is running sixth in the West. Watch them play. They often look like they’ve regressed, appearing disjointed.

    Given the distractions former owner Donald Sterling tripped the team up with last postseason before being barred by the league, the Clips got a well-deserved pass for failing to reach the Western Conference Finals. Doc Rivers was in his first season, still learning his team. They still finished with a franchise-record 57 wins, one more than Vinny Del Negro managed the year prior. They won a second straight Pacific title and got out of the first round for only the third time since moving to L.A.

    With former Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer providing a steady hand atop the organization, it’s strange to Rivers being upstaged by Kerr’s Warriors in his second go-round.

    Basically everyone is back from last season. Darren Collison departed, but Spencer Hawes came aboard, upgrading the team’s frontcourt depth. Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, DeAndre Jordan and J.J. Redick have started all 42 games. Matt Barnes has made 38 starts at small forward. Top reserve Jamal Crawford has participated in 41 of 42. The continuity has been there. It’s the overwhelming success most expected would be a given that has been missing.

    “Is it personnel, or is it personal? Here's the unvarnished opinion of someone who knows that team well: 'They don't like each other,'" wrote veteran NBA.com insider David Aldridge late last month.

    You might be thinking, 28-14 isn’t bad. They’re on pace for 55 wins. While that’s true, keep in mind that the Clippers haven’t really dealt with any physical adversity. Paul has seen a slight dip in his numbers, but still ranks third in the NBA in assists and is on pace to set a personal best for 3-pointers made, shooting just shy of 40 percent from beyond the arc. Griffin is averaging career-highs of 23.0 points and 5.0 assists, although his rebound clip of 7.8 in a career low. Jordan helps make up for that dip, leading the league in that category and shooting 72 percent from the field, a career-high that’s also the top mark in the NBA. Once again, he’s averaging 10 points, 13 rebounds and roughly 2.5 blocks.

    So, where are the resuls? What happens if they do lose any of their key figures for an extended period? Why are the Clippers on their third streak of three or more consecutive ATS losses? They opened the season failing to cover their first seven games, going just 4-3 straight up. They went through a December stretch where they went just 2-9 against the number. Last week, both the Heat and Cavaliers came into Staples Center and won outright. Cleveland scorched them for 126 points, the most they’ve given up this season.

    The bench has been a major area of weakness despite the presence of Crawford, since Hedo Turkoglu is past his prime, Glen Davis is out of shape and Jordan Farmar ended up being cut after failing to adequately replaced Collison. Austin Rivers and Dahntay Jones were added this week, while plans are in the works to add a veteran or two over the coming weeks.

    No one should be writing the Clippers off yet, but whether they’re able to hit their stride prior to the All-Star break definitely bears watching. They’re a double-digit favorite against a Brooklyn team that won in Sacramento on Wednesday, but it’s worth noting that they’ve covered just six of 15 games where they’ve been favored by 10 or more. The Nets were outscored 54-41 in the second half of their 103-100 win over the Kings and are just 3-7 SU on the second night of back-to-backs. We’ll see if L.A. can take advantage. Based on what we’ve seen thus far, don’t count on it.

    Spurs at Bulls – 8:05 p.m. ET

    A potential Finals preview between teams that haven’t seen each other this season loses a little luster since Joakim Noah remains sidelined with an ankle injury that has been an issue for the past month. As a result, Tim Duncan is likely to see more of Pau Gasol, while other terrific individual matchups here include Derrick Rose squaring off with Tony Parker and Jimmy Butler battling Kawhi LeonardM. Heck, just the fact that Popovich isn’t resting starters for a TNT Thursday night showcase is cause for celebration.

    Celtics at Trail Blazers – 10:05 PM ET

    LaMarcus Aldridge missed his first game after injuring his left thumb in last night’s 118-113 loss in Phoenix and is listed as out indefinitely. It looked like the Blazers were going to steal one without him before they surrendered a late Phoenix run, so it’s important to take care of winnable games like this one against rebuilding Boston. The next five games yield a visit from Washington and stops in Brooklyn, Cleveland, Atlanta and Milwaukee, a tough stretch they may have to brave without their All-Star power forward.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • NBA
      Dunkel

      Houston at Phoenix
      The Rockets head to Phoenix tonight to face the Suns (26-18 SU) and come into the contest with a 1-6 ATS record in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning SU record. Phoenix is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Suns favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

      FRIDAY, JANUARY 23

      Game 801-802: Toronto at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.847; Philadelphia 102.780
      Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 15; 199
      Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 11 1/2; 194 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-11 1/2); Over

      Game 803-804: Orlando at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.039; New York 107.155
      Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 5; 210
      Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2 1/2; 205 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2 1/2); Over

      Game 805-806: Indiana at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 122.904; Miami 122.311
      Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 187
      Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; No Total
      Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4 1/2); N/A

      Game 807-808: Oklahoma City at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 121.541; Atlanta 123.970
      Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 203
      Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 208
      Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+4 1/2); Under

      Game 809-810: Charlotte at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 121.284; Cleveland 132.999
      Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 11 1/2; 198
      Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 9 1/2; 194
      Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-9 1/2); Over

      Game 811-812: Chicago at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 112.934; Dallas 129.412
      Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 16 1/2; 211
      Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 207
      Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-7 1/2); Over

      Game 813-814: New Orleans at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 116.371; Minnesota 114.412
      Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 2; 199
      Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 7; 203 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7); Under

      Game 815-816: LA Lakers at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 110.768; San Antonio 122.790
      Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 191
      Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 195 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+14); Under

      Game 817-818: Houston at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.360; Phoenix 124.304
      Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 215
      Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 220
      Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2); Under

      Game 819-820: Boston at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.973; Denver 123.300
      Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9 1/2; 204
      Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7; 208
      Dunkel Pick:Denver (-7); Under

      Game 821-822: Sacramento at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.736; Golden State 128.908
      Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 23 223
      Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 15 1/2; 218 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+15 1/2); Over
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • NBA
        Long Sheet

        Friday, January 23

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TORONTO (27 - 15) at PHILADELPHIA (8 - 34) - 1/23/2015, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TORONTO is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        TORONTO is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
        TORONTO is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
        TORONTO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 54-69 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 52-67 ATS (-21.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 29-44 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PHILADELPHIA is 5-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ORLANDO (15 - 30) at NEW YORK (7 - 36) - 1/23/2015, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ORLANDO is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW YORK is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
        NEW YORK is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
        NEW YORK is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games this season.
        NEW YORK is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents this season.
        NEW YORK is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
        NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
        NEW YORK is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW YORK is 6-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
        NEW YORK is 6-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        INDIANA (15 - 29) at MIAMI (18 - 24) - 1/23/2015, 7:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        INDIANA is 12-10 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        MIAMI is 11-11 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
        13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA CITY (22 - 20) at ATLANTA (35 - 8) - 1/23/2015, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ATLANTA is 31-11 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games this season.
        ATLANTA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
        ATLANTA is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in January games this season.
        ATLANTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
        ATLANTA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
        ATLANTA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
        ATLANTA is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
        ATLANTA is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        ATLANTA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHARLOTTE (18 - 25) at CLEVELAND (23 - 20) - 1/23/2015, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHARLOTTE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CHARLOTTE is 6-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        CHARLOTTE is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHICAGO (28 - 16) at DALLAS (30 - 13) - 1/23/2015, 8:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW ORLEANS (21 - 21) at MINNESOTA (7 - 34) - 1/23/2015, 8:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
        MINNESOTA is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA LAKERS (12 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (27 - 17) - 1/23/2015, 8:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        LA LAKERS are 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN ANTONIO is 881-770 ATS (+34.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 696-593 ATS (+43.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 448-375 ATS (+35.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 293-234 ATS (+35.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN ANTONIO is 126-88 ATS (+29.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 159-117 ATS (+30.3 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN ANTONIO is 111-81 ATS (+21.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN ANTONIO is 8-5 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
        SAN ANTONIO is 10-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
        9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HOUSTON (29 - 14) at PHOENIX (26 - 18) - 1/23/2015, 9:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHOENIX is 76-47 ATS (+24.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 139-104 ATS (+24.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
        PHOENIX is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
        HOUSTON is 108-69 ATS (+32.1 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BOSTON (14 - 26) at DENVER (18 - 24) - 1/23/2015, 9:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
        DENVER is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SACRAMENTO (16 - 26) at GOLDEN STATE (34 - 6) - 1/23/2015, 10:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SACRAMENTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in January games this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GOLDEN STATE is 4-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
        GOLDEN STATE is 7-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • NBA
          Short Sheet

          Friday, January 23

          Toronto at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
          Toronto: 20-7 ATS off a road loss
          Philadelphia: 3-16 ATS in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games

          Orlando at New York, 7:35 ET
          Orlando: 9-24 ATS as a favorite
          New York: 64-41 OVER as a home underdog of 3 points or less

          Indiana at Miami, 7:35 ET
          Indiana: N/A
          Miami: N/A

          Oklahoma City at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
          Oklahoma City: 8-22 ATS off a road win by 3 points or less
          Atlanta: 18-3 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games

          Charlotte at Cleveland, 7:35 ET
          Charlotte: 22-11 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
          Cleveland: 3-17 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games

          Chicago at Dallas, 8:05 ET
          Chicago: N/A
          Dallas: N/A

          New Orleans at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
          New Orleans: N/A
          Minnesota: N/A

          LA Lakers at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
          LA Lakers: 18-35 ATS after scoring 80 points or less
          San Antonio: 19-9 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite

          Houston at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
          Houston: 15-3 OVER in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days
          Phoenix: 24-10 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

          Boston at Denver, 9:05 ET
          Boston: N/A
          Denver: N/A

          Sacramento at Golden State, 10:35 ET
          Sacramento: 19-6 OVER in road games after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less
          Golden State: 23-9 ATS after playing a game as favorite
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • NBA
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Friday, January 23

            Hot Teams
            -- Thunder won/covered their last four games (1-6-1 last eight AU).
            -- Hawks won last 14 games (12-0-1 vs spread in last 13).
            -- Hornets won seven of last eight games (5-2 last seven AU). Cavaliers won/covered last four games (3-1 last four HF).
            -- Knicks won last two games, after losing previous 16 (4-11 HU).
            -- Dallas won four of last five games (3-9-1 last 13 HF).
            -- Spurs won six of their last eight games (5-3-1 last nine HF).
            -- Rockets won six of last nine games (0-3 last three AU). Suns are 14-4 in their last 18 games (5-2 last seven HF).
            -- Warriors won 11 of last 12 games (7-0-1 last eight HF).

            Cold Teams
            -- Raptors lost eight of last eleven games (7-2 AF). 76ers lost five of last six games (7-4 last 11 HU).
            -- Miami lost three of last four games (1-6-1 last eight HF). Pacers lost their last six games (0-8 vs spread in last eight).
            -- Orlando lost last three games, by 10-28-10 points (0-1 AF).
            -- Bulls lost six of their last nine games (2-5 last seven AU).
            -- Pelicans lost seven of last nine road games (2-6 AF). Minnesota lost 18 of its last 20 games (5-10 HU).
            -- Lakers lost their last six games (0-6 vs spread, 10-9 AU).
            -- Celtics lost three of their last four games (5-1 last six AU). Denver lost its last four games (6-7-1 HF).
            -- Kings lost their last five games (8-5 AU, 1-3 last four).

            Series Records
            -- Raptors won their last six games with Philadelphia.
            -- Thunder won seven of last nine games with Atlanta.
            -- Cavaliers are 2-0 vs Charlotte this year, winning by 9-4 points.
            -- Pacers won three of last four games with Miami.
            -- Magic won last two games with New York, after losing previous eight.
            -- Mavericks won three of last four games with Chicago.
            -- Pelicans won last two games with Minnesota, last one 139-91 Nov 14.
            -- Lakers lost eight of last ten games with San Antonio.
            -- Home side won last nine Boston-Denver games.
            -- Rockets won five of last seven games with Phoenix.
            -- Warriors won their last six games with Sacramento.

            Totals
            -- 76ers' last six home games stayed under total.
            -- Three of last four Thunder road games went over.
            -- Last eight Cleveland home games stayed under.
            -- Seven of last eight Miami home games stayed under.
            -- Eight of last ten Orlando games went over total.
            -- Eight of last nine Dallas home games stayed under.
            -- Six of last seven New Orleans road games stayed under.
            -- Under is 10-1-2 in last thirteen Laker road games.
            -- Eight of last ten Boston road games stayed under.
            -- Last four Houston road games went over the total.
            -- Over is 11-5-1 in last seventeen Golden State games.

            Back-to-Backs
            -- Bulls are 4-1 vs spread on road if they played at home nite before.
            -- Spurs are 7-5 vs spread if they played night before, 3-1 at home.
            -- Celtics are 4-2 vs spread if they played night before.

            East vs West
            SU: West 137-84 ATS: West 118-101-2
            East teams HF vs West: 28-30
            East teams HU vs West: 21-34
            West teams HF vs East: 48-46-2
            West teams HU vs East: 7-7
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • NBA

              Friday, January 23

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              7:00 PM
              TORONTO vs. PHILADELPHIA
              Toronto is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Toronto

              7:30 PM
              OKLAHOMA CITY vs. ATLANTA
              Oklahoma City is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
              Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
              Atlanta is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Oklahoma City

              7:30 PM
              CHARLOTTE vs. CLEVELAND
              Charlotte is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
              Cleveland is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Charlotte
              Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

              7:30 PM
              INDIANA vs. MIAMI
              Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 18 of Indiana's last 25 games on the road
              Miami is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games at home

              7:30 PM
              ORLANDO vs. NEW YORK
              Orlando is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing New York
              Orlando is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New York
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
              New York is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Orlando

              8:00 PM
              NEW ORLEANS vs. MINNESOTA
              New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
              Minnesota is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games
              Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

              8:00 PM
              CHICAGO vs. DALLAS
              Chicago is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Dallas
              Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
              Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Chicago

              8:30 PM
              LA LAKERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
              LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
              LA Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing San Antonio
              San Antonio is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Lakers
              San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

              9:00 PM
              BOSTON vs. DENVER
              Boston is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games on the road
              Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

              9:00 PM
              HOUSTON vs. PHOENIX
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
              Houston is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games on the road
              Phoenix is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

              10:30 PM
              SACRAMENTO vs. GOLDEN STATE
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games
              Sacramento is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
              Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games at home
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • NBA

                Friday, January 23

                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Game of the Day: Thunder at Hawks
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Oklahoma City Thunder at Atlanta Hawks (-3.5, 208.5)

                Atlanta has barely been challenged during a franchise record-tying 14-game win streak, but its quest for a new team standard will come against one of the league's hotter teams. The Hawks aim for a record 15th straight victory Friday at home against Oklahoma City, which has won four in a row of its own. Atlanta's dominant run continued with a 110-91 win over Indiana on Wednesday, when it improved to 2-0 on a seven-game homestand and had its 14th straight game in which it held a double-digit lead.

                The Hawks' balanced attack was on display once more, as 10 players scored before halftime and Jeff Teague and DeMarre Carroll led the way with 17 points apiece in Atlanta's 28th win in 30 games overall. While the Thunder's surge is not quite on that level, they have won 19 of 27 and are 3-0 on an Eastern Conference road swing after surviving in overtime against Washington on Wednesday. Superstars Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook combined for 66 points and Steven Adams grabbed 20 rebounds as Oklahoma City improved to 11-5 against the East.

                TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FSN Oklahoma, SportSouth (Atlanta)

                LINE HISTORY: The line opened at Atlanta -3.5 with a total of 208.5.

                INJURY REPORT: Thunder - N/A Hawks - G Shelvin Mack (Ques-Calf)

                ABOUT THE THUNDER (22-20 SU, 20-20-2 ATS, 17-25 O/U): Even amid Oklahoma City's surge, Durant had a bit of a slump, missing a career-high 14 consecutive 3-pointers before waking up to hit four late in the win at Washington. The reigning MVP made 5-of-7 triples while scoring 41 points in the last meeting with Atlanta and is shooting 45.2 percent from long range in 13 career games against the Hawks, his highest mark against an Eastern Conference opponent. Durant averages 29.2 points in their encounters, which is higher than his average against all but five other NBA teams.

                ABOUT THE HAWKS (35-8 SU, 32-11 ATS, 22-21 O/U): Carroll is not often at the top of the team's scoring leaders as he was Wednesday but does the grunt work as a defensive standout to help make this unit blend so well. He tied a season high with four steals in the win over Indiana and had a third-quarter sequence that included one theft and a pair of 3-pointers, which has become a more prominent portion of his game. The veteran is 18-for-41 from 3-point range over his last nine games and is shooting a career-high 38.8 percent from beyond the arc.

                TRENDS:

                *Thunder are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
                *Hawks are 23-4 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.
                *Over is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
                *Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

                CONSENSUS: 60.47 percent of users are backing ATL -3.5.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • Friday's Tip Sheet

                  January 23, 2015

                  Thunder at Hawks – 7:35 PM EST

                  Can Atlanta keep it going? What’s more impressive than the 14-game winning streak the Hawks are currently on is the 14-0 ATS run they are riding, while Mike Budenholtzer’s club is 19-1 SU/ATS the past 20 games. The Hawks continue a seven-game homestand following double-digit victories over the Pistons and Pacers, while limiting seven straight teams to below 100 points. Since Thanksgiving, Atlanta has compiled an amazing 14-1 SU and 12-3 ATS home record with the lone loss coming to Milwaukee on December 26 by 30 points.

                  Oklahoma City looks to keep up a winning streak of its own, albeit much smaller. The Thunder will try to build on a four-game hot streak after holding off the Wizards in overtime on Wednesday, 105-103. OKC has covered all four times during this stretch, which is a major improvement from the 2-10-1 ATS run it was previous on. Scott Brooks’ team has held its past three opponents to 99 points or fewer in regulation, while putting together a 4-8-1 ATS record as a road underdog this season. The Thunder swept the season series from the Hawks last season, as OKC has captured three of the past four meetings at Philips Arena.

                  Hornets at Cavaliers – 7:35 PM EST

                  Both Charlotte and Cleveland are playing solid basketball recently, as the Cavaliers attempt to extend a four-game winning streak. David Blatt’s team has accomplished something of late it hasn’t all season, by covering four straight contests after blowing out the Jazz on Wednesday, 106-92 as 9 ½-point home favorites. The Cavs obviously hit a rough spot when LeBron James took a seat for eight games in late December through mid-January, going just 1-7 SU/ATS, but have scored at least 100 points in all five games since his return.

                  The Hornets have lost twice to the Cavs this season, which includes falling behind at Quicken Loans Arena, 21-0 on December 15 in a 97-88 defeat. Charlotte is creeping back into the playoff picture following a slow start with victories in eight of its previous nine trips to the court, including an ugly 78-76 triumph over the Heat on Wednesday. The Hornets have stepped things up defensively by limiting 10 straight opponents to 98 points or less, but have eclipsed the ‘over’ in four consecutive road contests.

                  Bulls at Mavericks – 8:05 PM EST

                  Chicago will try to build on the momentum from last night’s 104-81 blowout of San Antonio as 5 ½-point home underdogs. Three nights after calling out his teammates following an embarrassing performance at Cleveland, Derrick Rose led the Bulls with 22 points, while all five Chicago scored in double-figures as the team continues to play without Joakim Noah and Mike Dunleavy. The Bulls have won and covered in all three opportunities this season playing on the road with no rest coming off a home win, which includes victories at Washington and Memphis as an underdog.

                  The Mavericks return to the American Airlines Center tonight off a pair of road wins at Memphis and Minnesota, as Dallas has won four of its past five games. Rick Carlisle’s club is 7-2 to the ‘under’ in the last nine contests, which includes a pair of easy ‘unders’ in the past week against Denver and Minnesota on totals of 215 ½ or below. The last time the Mavericks and Bulls hooked up at the United Center on December 2, Dallas outlasted Chicago in two overtimes, 132-129 to cash as one-point underdogs.

                  Lakers at Spurs – 8:35 PM EST

                  Instead of playing the guessing game on whether or not Kobe Bryant will play moving forward, the Lakers’ star is sidelined with a torn rotator cuff, putting the rest of his season in jeopardy. Bryant injured the already ailing right shoulder in Wednesday’s 96-80 defeat at New Orleans, the sixth straight defeat for the Lakers, as Los Angeles hasn’t covered once in this cold stretch. The Lakers have covered four of seven times with Bryant out of the lineup this season, which includes a 3-2 ATS record as a double-digit underdog.

                  San Antonio will look to put last night’s 23-point loss at Chicago behind them, as San Antonio suffered just its second setback in the past eight games. Who knows what Gregg Popovich will do tonight with his lineup knowing Bryant is out? The Spurs are playing revenge tonight after getting stunned by the Lakers, 112-110 in overtime as 12 ½-point home favorites in mid-December, only the second loss to L.A. in the past 10 meetings. San Antonio has compiled a 7-3 record in its past 10 games with no rest, but owns a 4-4 ATS mark at home off a road loss.

                  Rockets at Suns – 9:05 PM EST

                  Phoenix is heating up at the right time, taking advantage of its home-court by winning the first four games on its season-high eight-game homestand. The Suns held off the Blazers on Wednesday, 118-113 in spite of blowing a 25-point lead and falling behind in the fourth quarter. Phoenix rallied late, but couldn’t cover as 7 ½-point favorites, dropping to 2-4-1 ATS the past seven games. Since losing three straight times at home in mid-December, the Suns have run off seven consecutive victories at U.S. Airways Center, while scoring at least 107 points in each win.

                  The Rockets should be thrilled that their season series with the Warriors is finished after losing for the fourth time this season to Golden State on Wednesday, 126-113 as eight-point underdogs. Houston is riding a six-game ‘over’ streak, while hitting the ‘over’ in nine of the previous 11 contests away from the Toyota Center. The Rockets have bounced back from a loss pretty well this season, winning eight of the past 10 off a defeat, while going for their second victory over Phoenix after knocking off the Suns, 100-95 as two-point home ‘dogs back in December.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

                    -- Warriors 126, Kings 101-- Klay Thompson scored 37 points in the third quarter alone, most points ever scored by an NBA player in one quarter.

                    -- New York 113, Orlando 106-- Knicks are 9-36, but won three in a row.

                    -- Boston 100, Denver 99-- Celtics win by point for second night in a row.

                    -- Last time the NBA team with the worst record got the first pick in the draft was way back in 2004, thats how much good tanking games does for you.

                    -- Former UNLV coach Bobby Hauck is now special teams coach at San Diego St, which will make future games against the Rebels fairly interesting.

                    -- Former used car salesman Alan R Selig's annual pension from baseball will be a cool $6M a year. Beats selling Edsels for a living.

                    **********

                    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.....

                    13) RIP Ernie Banks, Mr Cub. One of the first things I learned about baseball was that Ernie Banks played for the Cubs and he was really good, winning MVP in 1958-59 even though he played for bad teams. Banks was a cheerful guy known for saying "Lets play two!!!" no matter how dismal the weather or the Cubs' outlook.

                    Heaven is a more cheerful place today, with one more Cub fan. They're probably playing a doubleheader up there too. Mr Cub will play in both games.

                    12) Mike Krzyzewski will win his 1,000th game Sunday; he is definitely a great coach, but the next time someone calls him the best college basketball coach ever, say these two words to them:

                    John. Wooden.

                    Wooden won 10 national titles at UCLA, seven in a row, in an era where you had to win your league just to make the NCAA tournament. Its not close.

                    11) In today's impatient culture, Coach K might've gotten a little more grief early on than he did in the 80's, when his first eight Duke teams combined to go 111-106, after he had a losing record at West Point. Think how Herb Sendek got run out of NC State despite going to the NCAA tournament most years- the world has gone crazy.

                    10) Speaking of which, Manhattan College is in the Bronx, not Manhattan; LIU is in Brooklyn, not on Long Island. The Big East has teams in Nebraska, Indiana, Ohio and Wisconsin-- to paraphrase Vince Lombardi, what the hell's going on out there?!?!?!

                    9) South Florida wanted to hire Manhattan coach Steve Masiello last spring, but his resume wasn't 100% accurate, so they passed on him and hired Orlando Antigua from Louisville's staff. Its going to be fascinating 3-4 years from now to see how this all works out, because Masiello will move on somewhere else, to see if USF should've said the hell with it and hired him anyway.

                    8) One last Manhattan note: The Jaspers' Director of Basketball Ops is the son of former Maryland great Len Elmore, who played center for Maryland in '74, maybe the best team ever that didn't make the NCAA tournament, losing in OT in the ACC finals to NC State, back when each league got only one team in the NCAAs.

                    7) Someone explain to me how Marcus Paige isn't one of the 25 finalists for the Wooden Award? Where would the Tar Heels be without his fine play?

                    6) SMU lost Keith Frazier (grades) for the year; Creighton loses its best shooter for the year, Isaiah Zierden (knee). Big blows for both ballclubs.

                    5) Golfer Ryan Palmer shot a 61 Friday and bogeyed two holes. Not bad.

                    4) Coastal Carolina's football field will be teal next year; good think they're never on TV, that would be hard to take for three hours. Boise State has a blue field, Eastern Washington has a red one; not sure this is a good idea.

                    3) Hawks 103, Thunder 93-- Atlanta has won 15 games in a row, 29 of last 31.

                    2) Mentioned this up above but it bears repeating: Klay Thompson put on one of the greatest shooting exhibitions in basketball history Friday night against the Kings, as in, ever. He scored 37 points in third quarter alone, without missing a shot, and I don't think he made a layup or a free throw in the period. An awesome display.

                    1) If you see Illinois play basketball in next couple weeks, root for Ryan Schmidt; the senior walk-on has been the Illini's student manager for the last three years, but has been given a uniform after injuries ravaged the Fighting Illini roster. Apparently the kid was a pretty good high school player but chose being a manager at Illinois over playing D-III ball. I put myself thru college as a student manager; those kids work hard, with no expectation of any accolades or glory. It would be very cool if he got some.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • NBA
                      Long Sheet

                      Saturday, January 24

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      NEW YORK (8 - 36) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 26) - 1/24/2015, 7:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      NEW YORK is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
                      NEW YORK is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
                      NEW YORK is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                      NEW YORK is 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      CHARLOTTE is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
                      CHARLOTTE is 5-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
                      9 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      DETROIT (17 - 26) at MILWAUKEE (21 - 21) - 1/24/2015, 7:35 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      DETROIT is 55-70 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      DETROIT is 33-47 ATS (-18.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                      MILWAUKEE is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games this season.
                      MILWAUKEE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                      MILWAUKEE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
                      DETROIT is 114-80 ATS (+26.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
                      DETROIT is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                      MILWAUKEE is 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                      MILWAUKEE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
                      MILWAUKEE is 125-169 ATS (-60.9 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
                      MILWAUKEE is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      MILWAUKEE is 7-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
                      DETROIT is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                      6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      PHILADELPHIA (8 - 35) at MEMPHIS (30 - 12) - 1/24/2015, 8:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 55-69 ATS (-20.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 53-67 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points this season.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                      PHILADELPHIA is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                      MEMPHIS is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
                      MEMPHIS is 213-171 ATS (+24.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
                      MEMPHIS is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                      MEMPHIS is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                      4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      BROOKLYN (18 - 25) at UTAH (15 - 28) - 1/24/2015, 9:05 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                      UTAH is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      WASHINGTON (29 - 14) at PORTLAND (31 - 13) - 1/24/2015, 10:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      PORTLAND is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
                      PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
                      WASHINGTON is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                      WASHINGTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                      WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • NBA
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Saturday, January 24

                        Hot Teams
                        -- Charlotte won seven of last nine games, but lost by 39 in Cleveland on Friday (6-8 HF). Knicks won last three games, after losing 16 in row (5-3 last 8 AU).
                        -- Pistons won 12 of their last 15 games (4-9 F, 1-0 AF).
                        -- Memphis won five of last six games (4-1 last five HF).
                        -- Wizards won seven of last ten games (6-3 AF).

                        Cold Teams
                        -- Milwaukee lost three of last four games (3-3-1 HU).
                        -- 76ers lost six of last seven games (2-7 last nine AU).
                        -- Brooklyn lost nine of last 11 games (6-1 last seven AU). Jazz lost five of their last seven games (3-4 HF).
                        -- Portland lost five of last six games (1-0 HU).

                        Series Records
                        -- Knicks lost five of last eight games with Charlotte.
                        -- Bucks won three of last five games with Detroit.
                        -- Grizzlies won seven of last eight games with Philly.
                        -- Nets beat Utah twice LY, after losing eight of previous nine in series.
                        -- Wizards won three of last four games with Portland.

                        Totals
                        -- Last six Charlotte home games stayed under total.
                        -- Five of last six Milwaukee home games stayed under.
                        -- 14 of last 19 Philly road games stayed under total.
                        -- 13 of last 16 Utah games stayed under the total.
                        -- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Portland home games.

                        Back-to-Backs
                        -- Knicks are 4-1 vs spread on road if they played at home nite before; Hornets are 6-5, 2-3 at home.
                        -- 76ers are 6-4 vs spread if they played night before.

                        East vs West
                        SU: West 137-87 ATS: West 118-104-2
                        East teams HF vs West: 29-30
                        East teams HU vs West: 21-34
                        West teams HF vs East: 48-48-2
                        West teams HU vs East: 7-7
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • NBA

                          Saturday, January 24

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Trend Report
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          7:00 PM
                          NEW YORK vs. CHARLOTTE
                          New York is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
                          New York is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games
                          Charlotte is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games

                          7:30 PM
                          DETROIT vs. MILWAUKEE
                          Detroit is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
                          Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
                          Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
                          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home

                          8:00 PM
                          PHILADELPHIA vs. MEMPHIS
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Memphis
                          Philadelphia is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                          Memphis is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                          Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

                          9:00 PM
                          BROOKLYN vs. UTAH
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Utah
                          Brooklyn is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Utah
                          The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Utah's last 23 games when playing Brooklyn
                          Utah is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

                          10:00 PM
                          WASHINGTON vs. PORTLAND
                          Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
                          The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Washington's last 18 games when playing Portland
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games at home
                          Portland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • NBA notebook: Lakers' Bryant likely done for season

                            Los Angeles Lakers star Kobe Bryant is expected to miss the remainder of the season with a torn rotator cuff, ESPN.com reported Friday.

                            Bryant sustained the injury during the second half of a 96-80 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday night in New Orleans. Sources told ESPN that he has been dealing with this shoulder injury since the preseason.

                            The Lakers announced Thursday that the findings were the result of a preliminary MRI taken in San Antonio.

                            On Friday, the team said the initial diagnosis was confirmed after another examination and Bryant was discussing options with doctors. He is scheduled to be examined by Dr. Neal ElAttrache on Monday, and a decision about surgery is expected to be made then.

                            The 36-year-old Bryant has played in 35 games this season since returning from an Achilles injury that sidelined him last year. He is averaging 22.3 points, 5.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists for the Lakers, who are in last place in the Pacific Division with a 12-31 record.

                            ---Brooklyn Nets forward Mirza Teletovic, who was taken to the hospital Thursday night after experiencing shortness of breath during a loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, will miss the remainder of the season after being diagnosed with multiple blood clots in his lungs.

                            The team announced Friday that a battery of tests, including a CT scan, revealed the seriousness of his condition. He was to remain hospitalized in Los Angeles to undergo further testing and begin treatment.

                            A 29-year-old Bosnian in his third season with Brooklyn, Teletovic finished the season averaging 8.5 points and 4.9 rebounds in 40 games. Over 165 career games (11 starts), he holds averages of 7.0 points and 3.4 rebounds.

                            ---Philadelphia 76ers guard Tony Wroten has a partial tear of the ACL in his right knee that will require surgery, the team announced Friday.

                            Wroten was hurt against the New Orleans Pelicans on Jan. 16 and examined on Wednesday by a specialist who diagnosed the extent of the injury.

                            The 76ers are not sure when the surgery will take place.

                            Wroten, in his third season, was leading the Sixers in scoring at 16.9 points per game and averaging 5.2 assists.

                            ---Denver Nuggets point guard Ty Lawson was arrested on suspicion of DUI early Friday morning.

                            Denver Police said Lawson was arrested at 1:19 a.m. after reportedly going 60 mph in a 35-mph zone, according to 9News in Denver. The officer said Lawson's speech was slurred, his breath had a strong odor of alcohol and he was swaying.

                            On Thursday night, Lawson posted on Facebook that he was attending the Nuggets' "Punch Bowl Social" in Denver.

                            Lawson, 27, is averaging 16.7 points and 9.9 assists in 41 games this season.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • NBA
                              Dunkel

                              Detroit at Milwaukee
                              The Pistons head to Milwaukee tonight and come into the contest with a 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Detroit is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2).. Here are all of today's NBA picks.

                              SATURDAY, JANUARY 24

                              Game 501-502: New York at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: New York 109.607; Charlotte 121.939
                              Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 12 1/2; 181
                              Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 9; 185
                              Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-9); Under

                              Game 503-504: Detroit at Milwaukee (7:30 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 122.020; Milwaukee 117.694
                              Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 4 1/2; 190
                              Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 196
                              Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2); Under

                              Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 107.300; Memphis 121.801
                              Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 14 1/2; 195
                              Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 17; 190
                              Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+17); Over

                              Game 507-508: Brooklyn at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 116.504; Utah 118.275
                              Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 2; 193
                              Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 189
                              Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+4 1/2); Over

                              Game 509-510: Washington at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Washington 119.674; Portland 121.914
                              Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2; 191
                              Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 5 1/2; 195 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5 1/2); Under
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • Wizards head West for key stretch

                                January 24, 2015

                                Of the six teams that have reached the 30-win mark, the Atlanta Hawks are the lone Eastern Conference member in the club. The Washington Wizards hope to offer their Southeast Division mates some company as they open a four-game Western road swing in Saturday night’s most compelling NBA matchup, visiting the Portland Trail Blazers.
                                Despite the second-best record in the East, Washington can’t rest on its laurels. For one, the Hawks appear to be flying away with the Southeast and the East’s top seed. The Raptors, who the Wizards will see twice between now and the All-Star break, benefit from playing in the NBA’s weakest division. Chicago is nipping at Washington’s heels. The Cavaliers, winners of four straight, are also coming on strong.

                                Over the second-half of the season, the Wizards are going to have to play with a target on their back for the first time in a decade. Last year’s team was just 25-27 at the All-Star break. All the new hurdles they were able to clear came as pleasant surprises. They’re going to have to continue to improve under Randy Wittman as they chase their first 50-win season since 1979. The success they’ve had at Verizon Center (18-6) makes it imperative that they finish with a top-four seed and host a first-round series. If they find a way to make it two by holding on to No. 2, they would improve their chances of reaching their first conference finals since ’79.

                                Those dubious that they’ll be able to make a long-awaited breakthrough have plenty of ammunition. It’s disconcerting that John Wall has not only just one playoff series win under his belt, but only one winning season, period. The same can be said of Wittman, who despite this season’s success, still has a career winning percentage of under .400 as a head coach. It’s why Paul Pierce’s presence was so coveted this offseason. His penchant for making clutch shots takes a back seat to how invaluable his championship experience will be to this group.

                                The Wizards have to prove they can handle success. Luckily, their roster is no longer young. They know where the twists and turns on the rollercoaster ride are. Taking care of business in the few weeks before the All-Star break is what veteran teams prioritize, understanding that the younger, less-talented teams hit the wall around this time. Although they’re embarked on their only stretch of four road games in five nights this season, the fact the Wizards visit banged-up Denver on Sunday and the depleted Lakers on Tuesday offers hope they can pull of a winning record on the trip. The final leg of the journey, against fast-paced Phoenix on Wednesday, feels like scheduled loss. That makes this opening game against the LaMarcus Aldridge-less Trail Blazers a key game that may ultimately swing matters.

                                Oddsmakers favor Washington by four points, marking just the second time all season that Portland is a home underdog.

                                Of course, that’s because the Blazers come off a 90-89 home loss to lowly Boston and are 0-2 without Aldridge, who has been ruled out for 6-to-8 weeks after requiring surgery on an injured thumb. Disappointing former No. 5 pick Thomas Robinson, discarded by Sacramento, has moved into the starting lineup and will team with Nicolas Batum, Chris Kaman, Meyers Leonard and shooter Dorell Wright to anchor the frontcourt until the injured Robin Lopez returns to pitch in while Aldridge mends. With Oklahoma City coming into sight in the rear-view mirror, Portland has a heightened sense of urgency, especially since it has led both the Suns and Celtics deep into the fourth quarter in each of its last two losses. Another setback would be their sixth in seven games.

                                The Trail Blazers and Wizards split their 2013-14 meetings and are squaring off for the first time this season. Wall averaged 23 points and 10 assists in last year’s two games, the last of which didn’t feature Aldridge due to a back contusion. Portland won 116-103 at the Moda Center despite his absence last March, as Marcin Gortat strained his back on a pre-game dunk and was forced to sit.

                                This rematch has the feel of a springboard game for on a night where they’re the only teams with winning records squaring off.

                                Knicks at Hornets – 7:05 PM EST

                                For the first time since last April, the Knicks are on a three-game winning streak. Carmelo Anthony scored 25 points and Jason Smith had a season-high 19 to help hold off Orlando 113-106, but it remains to be seen whether New York will let Anthony play on the second night of a back-to-back for the first time since returning from a two-week absence due to a sore knee. Amar’e Stoudemire sat on Friday and should be available.

                                Charlotte trailed by as much as 49 points in Cleveland last night. The Cavs were up a franchise-best 75-40 at halftime. While horrible, it doubles as good news for this one since no one wound up playing more than 26 minutes. Al Jefferson hasn’t started since returning from a groin injury since head coach Steve Clifford wanted to keep a starting lineup that had been playing well together in place, but that may change following Friday’s debacle. The Hornets are 2-1 against the Knicks this season, winning 110-82 at Madison Square Garden on Jan. 10. They won their lone meeting at home, 103-102, on Dec. 5.

                                Pistons at Bucks – 7:35 PM EST

                                The Pistons begin a stretch of four games in five nights, all in different cities, after a few days off. Brandon Jennings had 28 points and a career-high 21 assists in Wednesday’s 128-118 win to pace Detroit’s highest-scoring output of the season. Andre Drummond is averaging 15.8 points and 16.5 rebounds over the last four games. Detroit played Milwaukee three times in November, winning only once.

                                The Bucks are on their first losing streak of 2015 after losing one-possession games against Toronto and Utah at home earlier this week to fall back to .500. Ersan Ilyasova is back in Jason Kidd’s starting lineup after returning from a bout with a concussion and have the fresher legs here. Because it traveled to London for the NBA’s most recent Global Games showcase, Milwaukee will be playing just its fifth game in 15 days.

                                76ers at Grizzlies – 8:05 PM EST

                                Despite being listed as game-time decisions, Nerlens Noel, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute and Henry Sims all played against Toronto, performing well to give the 76ers a chance in an eventual 91-86 loss. Robert Covington led the way with 18 points in a game Philly led well into the fourth quarter as a 13-point underdog. The 76ers led by as many as 18 points in nearly upsetting Memphis at home on Dec. 13, losing 120-115 in OT. Michael Carter-Williams came up with a triple-double (16-11-11) in a losing cause.

                                Mike Conley scored a career-high 36 points in the comeback win in Philly, sending the game to an extra period in on a 3-pointer with less than a second remaining. The Grizzlies have won five of six games to remain ahead of Dallas and Houston in the Southwest and have beaten fellow division leaders Portland and Toronto on their current homestand.

                                Nets at Jazz – 9:05 PM EST

                                Brooklyn wraps up a three-game Western swing in Salt Lake City after splitting with the Kings and Clippers. With Deron Williams still sidelined with fractured rib cartilage and Mirza Teletovic out for the season after being hospitalized in Sacramento with multiple blood clots, the Nets will be significantly short-handed. The team’s next five games will be against teams with winning records.

                                Derrick Favors is listed as questionable against the team that made him the No. 3 pick of the 2010 draft, having missed Thursday’s 101-99 win in Milwaukee due to a personal issue. 7-footers Enes Kanter and Rudy Gobert combined for 37 points and 26 rebounds. Rookie teenager Dante Exum made his second NBA start against the Bucks, scoring 15 points and dishing out five assists upon replacing a healthy Trey Burke in Quin Snyder’s lineup. Since he’s more of a scorer at this early stage of his career, a lot more offense is being run through small forward Gordon Hayward. The Jazz are looking to match their longest winning streak of the season (2), which they’ve only accomplished twice.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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