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**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 07:46 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of the best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, pick five games a week:
went 3-2 this week, are now 45-38 this season.
My first impressions after a quick look at the bowl matchups........

-- Independence Bowl is good matchup: Miami-South Carolina; looks like Willie Robertson (from Duck Dynasty, sponsors of this bowl) got a good game here.

-- Fresno State-Rice is the Christmas Eve game from Hawai'i; hope they've got some college basketball on that night, too.

-- Only three bowl teams so far (Colorado State/Florida/Nebraska) have changed head coaches since the regular season ended. The domino effect of coaching will make that number go up in the next few weeks.

-- There was a time when Arkansas-Texas was one of the marquee games every season. Bret Bielema lost his last 12 games decided by 7 or less points.

-- If the school was "Texas" instead of "TCU" with the exact same resume, think they'd get screwed out of a spot in the playoff? No way in hell. TCU plays Ole Miss in an interesting Peach Bowl.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday.......

Ravens 28, Dolphins 13-- Miami led 10-0, wound up getting outgained 447-249, as we wonder if losing to one Harbaugh brother increased their chances of being coached by the other Harbaugh brother next year. Fish are 2-3 in last five games after laying an egg in last two games LY when they were 8-6. Miami owner Ross is a Michigan alum.

Steelers 42, Bengals 21-- Cincy led 21-17 after third quarter; Pitt gained 229 yards on 20 plays in fourth quarter, scoring 25 points to pull away for the win. Last week Bengals were only team in division to win; this week, they were only one to lose. Pitt had five plays of 20+ yards, all on first down-- they were more aggressive today.

Giants 36, Titans 7-- How does Jameis Winston look in powder blue? Tennessee lost its last seven games, covering one of last six; they allowed 41.3 ppg in last three games. Giants snapped 7-game losing streak. Giants had a 14-yard edge in field position; this week, teams with a 10+-yard edge in field position were 6-0 (70-3 for season).

Vikings 30, Jets 24 OT-- Minnesota scored on 87-yard pass in OT, so if you had the Jets +4.5, this was a tough one. Jets had ball in red zone five times, kicked four FGs and lost a fumble, which is really where they lost this game. Vikings won four of last six games, covered six of last seven.

Colts 25, Browns 24-- Indy turned ball over four times (-2) with two run back for Cleveland TDs; Colts were 0-2 on 2-point conversions, but they scored a TD when they had to, getting winning score with 0:32 left. You lose at home when you score two defensive TDs, it might be time to change QBs, I'm just sayin'......

Texans 27, Jaguars 13-- Jags and Oakland won't be drafting QBs, so if Tennessee takes Winston, who takes Mariota? (or other way around) Will a mediocre team like Houston trade up to grab someone they think is The Answer? Texans scored three TDs in this game. on drives of 52-84-26 yards. Jags led 13-10 at the half.

Panthers 41, Saints 10-- Home side won Saints' first seven games, lost their last six, with New Orleans losing its last four home games; they've allowed 27+ points in their last five games, giving up 271 rushing yards to a Carolina team that was 1-8-1 in its last ten games coming in. Who replaces Rob Ryan as Saints' DC next year?

Lions 34, Buccaneers 17-- Tampa Bay lost eight of last nine games, with one win by three TDs over Washington; how awful are the Redskins? Stafford was 8-for-9 for 158 yards and a TD targeting Calvin Johnson. Bucs ran ball 14 times for 26 yards in whole game; they might be a team interested in Mariota in April's draft.

Rams 24, Redskins 0-- St Louis scored 83 points since last time they allowed one; you say they played Raiders/Redskins, I say Oakland beat Chiefs/49ers in last three weeks. Kicker Zuerlein kept Washington in game in first half by kicking like Charlie Brown, missing a PAT and 28/38-yard FGs. Jay Gruden must really dislike RGIII.

Broncos 24, Bills 17--- Was theory on Twitter late Sunday that Peyton Manning is hurt, since Denver is playing timidly on offense since loss in St Louis. Broncos had a 23-yard edge in field position but didn't cover, with Bills scoring twice in last 11:00. Buffalo had 77-49 edge in plays run, both teams turned it over three times. Broncos ran ball 29 times, threw it 20-- what does that say?

Cardinals 17, Chiefs 14-- Arizona was beneficiary of terrible replay reversal with 5:23 left; they ruled Chiefs' TE Kelce fumbled on Arizona 16, when it was fairly clear he did not. KC didn't score in second half, lost third game in row. Cardinals stay two games ahead in NFC West with three to play. I can't stand watching Alex Smith play; reminds me of the 70's Rams with Pat Haden. Take some chances, man!!!!

Raiders 24, 49ers 13-- Oakland won two of last three games, lost 52-0 in between the wins; seems apparent that Jim Harbaugh won't be with the 49ers next year, so where does he go and who replaces him? Next coaching staff better have a QB guru, someone who can make Kaepernick a more accurate passer.

Seahawks 24, Eagles 14-- Total yardage: 440-139. Philly misses DeSean Jackson; their WRs are lot less explosive than last year. Last time Eagles played game decided by less than 10 points was October 26. Cowboys-Eagles is big game next week. Who thought Mark Sanchez would be in the middle of a pennant race?

Patriots 23, Chargers 14-- NFL has to make hits by DBs reviewable, as far as hits to the head go. Patriot DB had a great hit on Green last night, causing an INT; there was no head-to-head contact, it was shoulder-to-shoulder but it was violent so they threw a flag. Nowadays you get penalized for doing your job too well.

**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 07:47 AM

NCAAF opening line report: 'Bama nearing double-digit chalk in Sugar Bowl

The regular season in the Football Bowl Subdivision has come to a close. Well, almost anyway. We still have the traditional Army-Navy game next weekend, but all eyes are much more firmly focused on the first-ever four-team playoff in the FBS.

Those two games – and the other four that the selection committee was charged with determining – should be roof-raisers. So let’s get right to it as John Lester, senior lines manager at bookmaker.eu, takes us through the matchups.

SUGAR BOWL (semifinal playoff game)
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (-9.5)

Nick Saban and Urban Meyer meet again. The Crimson Tide (12-1 SU, 5-8 ATS) capped the regular season with a 55-44 shootout win over archrival Auburn giving 9.5 points at home, then hammered Missouri 42-13 Saturday in the SEC championship game as a 14.5-point chalk.

Ohio State (12-1 SU, 8-5 ATS) is somewhat of a surprise here. The Buckeyes lost starting QB Braxton Miller in the preseason, and backup J.T. Barrett suffered a broken ankle two weekends ago in a win over Michigan. But third-stringer Cardale Jones helped orchestrate a 59-0 beatdown of Wisconsin in Saturday’s Big 10 title game, with the Buckeyes rolling despite being a 4-point underdog.

“Bettors don’t forget all the big games the Buckeyes have been in over the last handful of years, and how they were utterly embarrassed in most of them,” Lester said. “Ohio State certainly has its share of fans and supporters, which is part of the reason it’s in the playoff, but I expect we’ll be dealing a double-digit spread when this one closes. Alabama teasers will be aplenty.”

ROSE BOWL (semifinal playoff game)
Florida State Seminoles vs. Oregon Ducks (-8)

Florida State (13-0 SU, 3-10 ATS) hasn’t lost a game SU in more than two years, winning 29 in a row. That includes Saturday’s ACC championship game, a 37-35 victory over Georgia Tech, though again the Seminoles failed to cover as 3.5-point faves. The ‘Noles are nearly at rock-bottom against the oddsmakers, sitting 127th out of 128 teams.

Oregon (12-1 SU, 9-4 ATS) is arguably the hottest team in the country, having won eight in a row SU and ATS, all by double digits and seven by 18 points or more. In Friday’s Pac-12 title game, the Ducks avenged their only loss this season, whitewashing Arizona 51-13 laying 14.5 points.

“The Ducks come into a stadium where they are very comfortable playing, and they should have the majority of the crowd support,” Lester said. “The weaknesses of Florida State are well documented, and the ‘Noles haven’t seen an offense like this since last year’s title game. Oregon should be able to name its score. Again, players will be lining up to tease an Alabama-Oregon national championship.”

Peach Bowl
Mississippi Rebels vs. Texas Christian Horned Frogs

TCU (11-1 SU, 10-2 ATS) felt like it was robbed of a spot in the four-team playoff, dropping from No. 3 to No. 6 after capping the season with routs of 48-10 at Texas as a 4.5-point fave and 55-3 over Iowa State on Saturday as a 34.5-point home chalk. The Horned Frogs finished the year tied with Western Michigan for the best spread-covering mark in the nation.

Ole Miss (9-3 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) had its season derailed by a late-season three-game SEC skid (with a meaningless win over Presbyterian sandwiched in there). But the Rebels ended the year by dumping archrival Mississippi State 31-17 as a 2.5-point home underdog.

“As it is every bowl season, time to get that motivation model out,” Lester said. “Will TCU be eager to show the world they deserved to be in the playoff, or will they go through the motions because they egregiously got left out? I see this playing out as more of a defensive battle, because we’ve got two pretty salty ones on tap.”

Cotton Bowl
Michigan State Spartans vs. Baylor Bears

Like TCU, Baylor believed it was snubbed by the selection committee in being kept out of the playoff games. The Bears (11-1 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) ended the regular season on a 5-0 SU run (4-1 ATS), including Saturday’s 38-27 home win over Kansas State giving 7 points.

Michigan State (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) bounced back from a loss to Ohio State to win its last three SU and ATS. The Spartans bested Penn State 34-10 giving 10 points on the road in their Nov. 29 regular-season finale.

“It’s a long trip for the Spartan contingent, while Baylor is very close to home,” Lester said, noting the game is at AT&T Stadium. “We’ve seen Michigan State give up some big numbers to quality passing teams, and its secondary may not be able to keep up with the Bears’ big-bodied receivers. That said, the Sparties always seem to muster some extra motivation for the postseason.”

Orange Bowl
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Mississippi State (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS) was on track for a spot in the four-team playoff, but dumped two of its last three games, falling at Alabama 25-20 as a 10-point underdog and ending the season with a 31-17 loss laying 2.5 points at Mississippi.

Georgia Tech (10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS) has been on fire at the betting window, cashing six in a row while winning five of those contests outright. The lone SU loss was in Saturday’s ACC final, a 37-35 setback catching 3.5 points.

“This is somewhat of a surprise matchup, but it is intriguing from a gambling standpoint,” Lester said. “The Bulldogs probably lucked out a bit not having to see TCU or Baylor, because those teams are more adept defending the run than the pass. Time is what you need to prepare for Tech coach Paul Johnson’s triple-option attack, and Mississippi State’s Dan Mullen will have three weeks to get his kids ready.”

Fiesta Bowl
Boise State Broncos vs. Arizona Wildcats

Boise State (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS) got its berth by virtue of being the highest-ranked conference champion from the five minor FBS leagues. The Mountain West champion Broncos have won eight in a row SU (4-4 ATS), including a 28-14 victory over Fresno State giving 22.5 points in Saturday’s conference title game.

Arizona (10-3 SU, 5-8 ATS) found its way into one of the big six bowls despite getting boatraced in Saturday’s Pac-12 championship game, losing to Oregon 51-13 as a 14.5-point pup.

“You obviously have to factor in a huge home-field edge for the Wildcats. And we expect they’ll have quarterback Anu Solomon close to 100 percent after the layoff,” Lester said. “The Broncos should be extremely motivated to play well, but I don’t think Arizona is going to look past them. This one could be a quandary for a lot of handicappers.”

**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 07:47 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 8

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YALE (8 - 2) at FLORIDA (3 - 4) - 12/8/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
YALE is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
YALE is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
YALE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in December games since 1997.
YALE is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
YALE is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
YALE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
YALE is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UC-SANTA BARBARA (4 - 3) at SMU (5 - 3) - 12/8/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BROWN (4 - 6) at PROVIDENCE (6 - 2) - 12/8/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PROVIDENCE is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROWN is 2-0 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 1-1 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IUPU-FT WAYNE (5 - 2) at PURDUE (6 - 2) - 12/8/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N DAKOTA (3 - 4) at MINNESOTA (6 - 2) - 12/8/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEBRASKA-OMAHA (3 - 3) at AIR FORCE (4 - 3) - 12/8/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
AIR FORCE is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in December games since 1997.
AIR FORCE is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENNESAW ST (3 - 6) at BUTLER (7 - 1) - 12/8/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 123-90 ATS (+24.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
BUTLER is 127-77 ATS (+42.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
BUTLER is 149-113 ATS (+24.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 07:48 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 8

Florida lost four of last six games, but all four losses were to teams in the top 30; Gators are 3-0 vs teams outside top 100, winning by 23-5-9, but Yale is #79 and they beat UConn 45-44 last game- Bulldogs grabbed 13 offensive rebounds, UConn one. Yale lost by 6 to Providence in its other top 100 game; Yale is a top 30 team nationally in terms of experience.

UCSB is 4-3, losing at Kansas by 10, at 8-1 Fla Gulf Coast in OT; they finished 2nd in Alaskan Shootout, losing by hoop to Colorado St, after an OT win over Mercer in semis. SMU won last three games by 13-12-13 points after 2-3 start, with all three losses to top 50 teams. Mustangs are turning ball over 21.6% of time playing a slow (#259) tempo.

Providence lost last two games to Kentucky/BC after a 6-0 start; Friars are forcing turnovers 21.8% of the time- they're 3-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 4-21-37 points. Brown is local rival; they split pair with Friars last two years, with two games decided by total of 5 points- they are 3-6 vs D-I teams, with all six losses by 12+ points. .

Purdue lost to #166 North Florida of A-Sun Saturday, bad loss; Boilers are 6-2, had just beaten BYU/NC State before UNF loss- they're 4-1 vs teams outside top 100, with wins all by 20+ points. Fort Wayne is 4-2, losing by 9 at Georgia Tech in only top 100 game; Mastodons are good at getting to foul line (#5 in US) but make only 65.9% once they get there.

North Dakota is 2-4 vs D-I teams, losing by 12 at Northern Iowa, 37 at Utah in only top 100 games; UND is allowing teams to make 56.8% of its 2-point shots. Minnesota is 4-0 vs teams outside top 100, winning by 22-18-15-20 points; Gophers are forcing turnovers 27.5% of time, #5 in country. Minnesota is making 59.9% of its foul shots, not very good.

Neb-Omaha is playing #2 tempo in nation; they won at Marquette, lost by 18 at K-State, 13 at Nebraska. Mavericks haven't played in six days; this is their fifth road game already. Air Force is 0-3 vs teams in top 200, losing by 6-1-15 points; Falcons turn ball over 24.1% of time- they play #299 tempo. Best team they've beaten is #317 Citadel.

7-1 Butler is 4-0 against teams outside top 200, with all four wins by 22+ points; Bulldogs have two top 25 wins, are forcing turnovers on 25% of possesions (#17 in US). Kennesaw State is 3-7, scoring total of 84 points in last two games; Owls lost to Syracuse by 47, to Cal by 34- they turn ball over 25.9% of time. Three of their last four losses are by 13 or less.

**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 07:48 AM

NCAAB

Monday, December 8

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SAVANNAH STATE vs. MIAMI
No trends available
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:00 PM
BOSTON UNIVERSITY vs. HARVARD
No trends available
Harvard is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston University
Harvard is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:00 PM
IUPU FORT WAYNE vs. PURDUE
No trends available
Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing IUPU Fort Wayne
Purdue is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
KENNESAW STATE vs. BUTLER
No trends available
Butler is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Butler is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
MONTREAT COLLEGE vs. CHATTANOOGA
No trends available
Chattanooga is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Chattanooga is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home

7:00 PM
YALE vs. FLORIDA
Yale is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games at home
Florida is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
SANTA BARBARA vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
No trends available
Southern Methodist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

9:00 PM
INCARNATE WORD vs. TEXAS EL PASO
No trends available
Texas El Paso is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
Texas El Paso is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

9:00 PM
BROWN vs. PROVIDENCE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brown's last 8 games when playing on the road against Providence
Brown is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Providence is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brown
Providence is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

9:00 PM
NEBRASKA OMAHA vs. AIR FORCE
No trends available
Air Force is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Air Force is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games

9:00 PM
NORTH DAKOTA vs. MINNESOTA
North Dakota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 07:49 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 8

Hot Teams
-- Hawks won their last six games, covering five of them (3-3 AU).
-- Washington won four of its last five games (3-0 last three HF). Celtics won last three games, covered last four (3-2 AU).
-- Cavaliers won their last six games, covering four.
-- Warriors won last 12 games, covered eight of last 11.
-- Clippers won last seven games, covering six of them.

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost last four games, but covered five of last seven.
-- Brooklyn lost four of its last five home games.
-- Nuggets lost their last three games (2-6 AU). Toronto lost three of its last five games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Minnesota lost 13 of last 15 games (3-12 vs spread).
-- Jazz lost their last eight games, covering two of eight (4-5 AU). Kings lost five of their last six games (2-3 HF).
-- Suns lost three of last four road games (2-3 AU).

Series Records
-- Pacers won three of last five visits to Indiana.
-- Celtics won nine of last twelve games with Washington.
-- Nets won six of last seven games with (Lebron-less) Cavaliers.
-- Nuggets won nine of last twelve games with Toronto.
-- Warriors won eight of last nine games with Minnesota.
-- Kings-Jazz split their last dozen games.
-- Clippers won their last four games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Hawk-Pacer games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Boston road games went over total; four of last five Wizard games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Last five Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last thirteen Minnesota games went over.
-- 11 of last 15 Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Clipper games.

Back-to-Backs
-- Hawks are 2-2-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Celtics are 2-0 vs spread if they played night before. Wizards are 3-2.
-- Nuggets are 3-2 vs spread if they played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 70-29 ATS: West 56-43
East teams HF vs West: 12-18
East teams HU vs West: 13-15
West teams HF vs East: 17-16
West teams HU vs East: 6-2

**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 07:50 AM

NBA

Monday, December 8

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. INDIANA
Atlanta is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. WASHINGTON
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Boston's last 22 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

7:30 PM
DENVER vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing Denver
Toronto is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Denver

7:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. MINNESOTA
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Minnesota's last 16 games when playing Golden State

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. SACRAMENTO
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Utah is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Sacramento's last 18 games when playing at home against Utah

10:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. LA CLIPPERS
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Phoenix's last 15 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games at home
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 08:19 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Yale at Florida
The Bulldogs head to Florida tonight and come into the contest with a 6-1-2 ATS record in their last 9 road games. Yale is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Gators favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: Yale (+9 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 8

Game 515-516: Yale at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 61.632; Florida 67.512
Dunkel Line: Florida by 6
Vegas Line: Florida by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (+9 1/2)

Game 517-518: UC-Santa Barbara at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 60.010; SMU 69.180
Dunkel Line: SMU by 9
Vegas Line: SMU by 6
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-6)

Game 519-520: Brown at Providence (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 45.525; Providence 69.259
Dunkel Line: Providence by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Providence by 16
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-16)

Game 521-522: IPFW at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 52.537; Purdue 68.019
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Purdue by 13
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-13)

Game 523-524: North Dakota at Minnesota (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 43.363; Minnesota 68.572
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 25
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 22
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-22)

Game 525-526: NE-Omaha at Air Force (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 51.482; Air Force 58.460
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 7
Vegas Line: Air Force by 4
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-4)

Game 531-532: Kennesaw State at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kennesaw State 46.011; Butler 66.522
Dunkel Line: Butler by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 24
Dunkel Pick: Kennesaw State (+24)

**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 09:31 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Denver at Toronto
The Nuggets head to Toronto tonight to face a Raptors team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Denver is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+9). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 8

Game 501-502: Boston at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 118.226; Washington 124.794
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 6 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 9; 204
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+9); Over

Game 503-504: Atlanta at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.511; Indiana 121.039
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-1 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Cleveland at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 125.034; Brooklyn 117.408
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5); Over

Game 507-508: Denver at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.941; Toronto 124.628
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+9); Over

Game 509-510: Golden State at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 124.290; Minnesota 114.328
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 10; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 13; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+13); Over

Game 511-512: Utah at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 110.059; Sacramento 122.289
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 12; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Phoenix at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.415; LA Clippers 132.365
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11; 219
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 09:39 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 8

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BOSTON (7 - 11) at WASHINGTON (13 - 6) - 12/8/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 327-395 ATS (-107.5 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (13 - 6) at INDIANA (7 - 13) - 12/8/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 60-93 ATS (-42.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
INDIANA is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 12-9 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 12-10 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (11 - 7) at BROOKLYN (8 - 10) - 12/8/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (9 - 11) at TORONTO (15 - 5) - 12/8/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (17 - 2) at MINNESOTA (4 - 15) - 12/8/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-46 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (5 - 15) at SACRAMENTO (10 - 10) - 12/8/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (12 - 9) at LA CLIPPERS (14 - 5) - 12/8/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 10:47 AM

NBA

Monday, December 8

Home teams a hot-bet ATS on hardwood Sunday

Home teams posted a record of 6-1 against the spread in Sunday's NBA schedule, cashing in at a mark of 85.71 percent on the day.

The only visitor to cover the spread was the New Orleans Pelicans, who posted a 104-87 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers as 2.5-point visiting favorites.

Still a sub-.500 venture on the season, the home team is just 137-158-5 (46.44 percent) season-to-date.

Pistons skid hits 12 games, but manage to cover

The Detroit Pistons dropped their 12th consecutive game losing 96-94 to Oklahoma City Sunday night, but did manage to cover the spread for the first time in six games.

The Pistons used a fourth quarter run to make the game close and cover as 10-point home dogs. Despite the cover the Pistons are still the NBA's worst bet at 6-15 ATS.

Nets' Lopez out at least a week with lower back strain

The Brooklyn Nets announced that center Brook Lopez underwent an MRI that revealed a lower back strain. He’s out at least a week, at which time he will be re-evaluated. It’s been a rough few years for Lopez, health-wise.

**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 03:57 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, December 8

Boston at Washington, 7:05 ET
Boston: 46-78 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games
Washington: 31-15 ATS when playing on back-to-back days

Atlanta at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Atlanta: 60-93 ATS in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points
Indiana: 8-0 ATS after a non-conference game

Cleveland at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Cleveland: 21-10 UNDER after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Brooklyn: 36-21 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

Denver at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Denver: 147-195 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
Toronto: 11-2 ATS against Northwest division opponents

Golden State at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Golden State: 8-1 ATS after scoring 105 points or more
Minnesota: 2-11 ATS after allowing 120 points or more

Utah at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Utah: 9-0 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread
Sacramento: 18-32 ATS in home games after playing a home game

Phoenix at Los Angeles, 10:35 ET
Phoenix: 17-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Los Angeles: 23-11 ATS as a road underdog

Announcement

Monday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/8

Monday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/8

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