Announcement

**Udog** · 11-13-2014, 10:38 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the college basketball national title next spring........

2-1-- Kentucky-- Their second unit would be a top 25 team.

7-1-- Arizona-- Senior point guard is unusual these days at this level.

10-1-- Duke, Wisconsin-- Duke has more talent; Badgers have more experience.

15-1-- Florida, Kansas, North Carolina-- Jayhawks have really young team.

20-1-- Gonzaga-- This is best team Mark Few has had in Spokane.

25-1-- Louisville, Texas-- Longhorns were a surprise team last year.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts from the desert....

13) What does it say that one of Drew Brees' kids was on the Superdome field after the Saints' game Sunday, wearing a #43 jersey? Think Brees misses Darren Sproles?

12) Chiefs' WRs have yet to catch a TD pass this season; every other team's WRs have caught at least three touchdowns.

11) Bills have to be sick about losing at home to the Chiefs; in a 17-13 game, they scored two field goals on four trips to the KC red zone. No bueno.

10) NFL officials lightened up on the defensive penalties in Week 10, with average of 2.83 first downs via penalty per game last week, down about 1.5 a game from what had been the season average this year.

9) Redskins have scored only two TDs on drives of less than 60 yards, least in NFL; Jets and Rams are next with three each. Baltimore (13) has scored the most.

8) By way of contrast, 10 of Cleveland's 22 TDs came on drives of less than 60 yards, meaning their defense/special teams are setting the offense up in great shape.

7) Odd stat of day: Raiders are 0-9, Houston lost their last 14 games last year, which means that Oakland backup QB Matt Schaub is on a 23-game NFL losing streak.

6) Something to follow while watching the Giants this week; the team that won field position this season won all nine Giant games.

5) When was last time someone tore the goalposts down after beating Iowa State? Fans at Kansas did last week; thats how awful their football team is. Usually if you lose to Iowa State, your coach starts packing his bags for his next job.

4) I told you being a window washer is a bad job; couple guys had to be rescued off the side of a building in New York City, up on 50th floor or so. Not sure how much those guys get paid, but it ain't near enough.

3) Victor Martinez re-upped for four years to be the Tigers' DH, good news for Detroit fans and more importantly, for my fantasy baseball team.

2) ESPN's NBA pregame show is way better now with Avery Johnson and Jalen Rose as studio analysts. It had been unwatchable the last couple years.

1) Denver Nuggets fired George Karl because he always lost in the first round of the playoffs; no such worries anymore- Denver is terrible, losing its last six games of the year, not even covering a spread in any of the six games. Only way they'll watch any playoff games in Denver this season is on TV, where Karl now works.

**Udog** · 11-13-2014, 10:50 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sacramento at Memphis
The Kings head to Memphis tonight following a 106-98 loss at Dallas and come into the contest with a 10-3-1 ATS record in their last 14 games following a SU defeat. Sacramento is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 13

Game 501-502: Chicago at Toronto (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.297; Toronto 127.266
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 10; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Sacramento at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 120.588; Memphis 123.923
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 107.921; Dallas 124.635
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 16 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 13; 209
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-13); Under

Game 507-508: Brooklyn at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 121.550; Golden State 127.103
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 9; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+9); Over

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 13

Hot Teams
-- Grizzlies won six of their last seven games (1-2 H).
-- Toronto won its last five games (4-1 vs spread). Bulls won five of last six games (0-0 U).
-- Dallas won five of its last seven games (2-2 HF).
-- Nets won four of last six games (1-2 AU).

Cold Teams
-- Sacramento lost last two games, both by 8 points, after winning its previous five games.
-- 76ers are 0-7, but covered three of last four games.
-- Golden State lost last two games after winning first five (2-1 HF).

Series Records
-- Kings lost 11 of last 12 games with Memphis.
-- Raptors won four of last six games with Chicago.
-- 76ers lost six of their last seven games with Dallas (1-6 vs spread).
-- Nets lost three of last four games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Five of last six Memphis games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Chicago games went over.
-- Mavericks' last four games stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven Brooklyn games went over the total.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 19-11 ATS: West 17-13
East teams HF vs West: 6-6
East teams HU vs West: 3-1
West teams HF vs East: 6-4
West teams HU vs East: 4-0

NBA

Thursday, November 13

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. MEMPHIS
Sacramento is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TORONTO
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

10:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 10 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

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**Udog** · 11-13-2014, 10:52 AM

NBA

Thursday, November 13

Road teams, underdogs have huge night on hardcourt

On a night were eight of the nine games played in the NBA had the road teams listed as underdogs, those dogs came through huge for their backers.

Underdogs on the whole went 7-2 against the spread Wednesday night, while road underdogs did even better going 7-1 ATS. But the most impressive trend of the night was road teams, going an incredible 8-1 ATS.

There are four more road dogs on the schedule Thursday night, Sacramento (+6.5) at Memphis, Chicago (+2.5) at Toronto, Philadelphia (+13) at Dallas and Brooklyn (+9) at Golden State.

76ers PF Nerlens Noel, questionable Thursday

Noel has missed the last two games with a left ankle sprain but is expected to return to play against the Mavericks on Thursday.

**Udog** · 11-13-2014, 12:27 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 13

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CHICAGO (6 - 2) at TORONTO (7 - 1) - 11/13/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 54-40 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (5 - 3) at MEMPHIS (7 - 1) - 11/13/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 7) at DALLAS (5 - 3) - 11/13/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 101-76 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (4 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (5 - 2) - 11/13/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 63-36 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-13-2014, 06:38 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, November 13

Chicago at Toronto, 8:05 ET
Chicago: 42-62 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins
Toronto: 54-40 ATS in all games

Sacramento at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Sacramento: 9-1 UNDER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points
Memphis: 70-51 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins

Philadelphia at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Philadelphia: 11-23 ATS off a road loss
Dallas: 26-14 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Brooklyn at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Brooklyn: 11-1 ATS in road games after allowing 110 points or more
Golden State: 8-0 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more

Announcement

Thursday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/13

Thursday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/13

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