Announcement

**Udog** · 11-12-2014, 10:25 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 11 rapidly approaching........

-- Dolphins are 9-18 in last 27 games as a home favorite.

-- Colts covered eight of last nine, coming off a bye.

-- Carolina's last seven divisional games stayed under total.

-- Arizona is 16-4-1 in last 21 non-divisional games.

-- Tennessee covered only three of last 17 games.

-- Chicago is 2-12-2 in its last sixteen home games.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) 24 of the 32 NFL teams have a #1 draft pick playing at offensive tackle; none of Carolina's tackles were even drafted, which helps explain why Cam Newton is getting treated like a pinata every week.

12) Rising star in ESPN's studios; Louis Riddick, who is on during the day; he offers strong opinions and he makes sense-- he should be on the Sunday morning show, if their Sunday morning show wasn't more nonsense than good football stuff.

Colts' backup QB Matt Hasselbeck worked the Rams-Cardinals game Sunday and he was very good. If he quit playing right now and signed with CBS, he'd be their second best analyst, behind Dan Fouts.

11) Since 2010, NFL home teams that played previous the three games on road are 5-13-1 vs spread, 2-6 if favored.

10) Since 2009, NFL road teams who played previous three games at home are 31-22 vs spread, 9-7 if favored.

9) There were 11 NHL games Tuesday; Dallas was only road team to win. There was a 44-16 goal differential in favor of the home teams.

8) Phil Mickelson is now an assistant golf coach at Arizona State; his brother is the head coach-- think that helps their recruiting?

7) UCLA made its first ten 3-pointers in its scrimmage with UNLV last weekend; first half was all Bruins, but the young Rebels played better after that.

6) Sacramento/Charlotte were up both up 20+ points on road Tuesday but neither team won. Kings couldn't even cover as a 7-point underdog in Dallas.

5) Interesting tidbit from Al Michaels' new book: He once worked as a booker on The Dating Game, the 60's game show where a single went on and interviewed three prospective dates, without seeing any of them before he/she made their choice.

4) Mark Few is 403-100 at Gonzaga, the only active D-I hoop coach whose career winning percentage is over 80%. Few has one of his best teams this season.

3) Alabama won at LSU but stayed the same in the latest rankings? Oy.

2) If I ran ESPN, Rece Davis would be my #1 college football guy.

1) Disappointing news from back home, where the bowling alley I grew up going to has been sold and will be used as a warehouse for the many Asian supermarkets that are now open in my hometown. Had a lot of fun in that building.

**Udog** · 11-12-2014, 10:25 AM

NFL line watch: Raiders-Chargers a feast for Over bettors

Spread to bet now

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

The Patriots (7-2) have risen to the top of many power rankings but really don’t have a signature road win. Getting this one would be a huge boost, especially with post-Thanksgiving games at Green Bay and San Diego still to come. Both the Pats and Colts (6-3) are coming off their bye week and should be rested and prepared. The line opened at Indy -2.5 and figures to sit there barring any news involving Tom Brady or Andrew Luck. Two things to look for here are New England’s inability to run the ball effectively since Stevan Ridley went down, and the Colts’ propensity to turn the ball over. Unless some sharps throw in some last money, this line should set in cement, so bet it now whichever way you want to go.

Spread to wait on

Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (-3)

The Browns are in the conversation again for the first time in decades, and the Dog Pound is giddy at the thought that Cleveland could actually win the AFC North. The line in this one opened at Browns -3 and bettors have been pounding Cleveland over a Houston team that has lost four of its last five. The Texans have won twice on the road, but they came at Oakland (season opener) and at Tennessee. If the money remains on Cleveland through mid-week, books may be forced to move it to 3.5 to balance things out. So if you like Houston at 3.5, hang on a bit and you might get your wish by Thursday or Friday. Or perhaps even a few hours before kickoff.

Total to watch

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (44)

The Chargers have had a week off to think about that embarrassing 37-0 defeat in Miami, and figure to have spent some time working on their offense. Right on cue the winless Oakland Raiders come to down, fresh off their own 41-17 loss to the Broncos this past Sunday. Rest assured San Diego won’t be shut out for a second straight game. In fact, at minimum the Chargers should be in the mid- to high-30s against an Oakland team that is on the fast track to an 0-16 season. This one should be a feast for over players, assuming the Raiders can reach the end zone once or twice.

**Udog** · 11-12-2014, 10:26 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Portland at Denver
The Trail Blazers head to Denver tonight where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus the Nuggets. Portland is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Trail Blazers favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 12

Game 701-702: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 115.251; Washington 119.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 6 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+6 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Utah at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 110.992; Atlanta 123.020
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 12; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7); Under

Game 705-706: Oklahoma City at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 114.354; Boston 116.312
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Indiana at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.982; Miami 125.261
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 10 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8); Over

Game 709-710: Orlando at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 111.938; New York 119.808
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8; 185
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Under

Game 711-712: LA Lakers at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 112.323; New Orleans 124.888
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 12 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-10 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Portland at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 122.926; Denver 117.347
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2 1/2); Over

Game 715-716: Brooklyn at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 120.000; Phoenix 123.544
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+5 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Houston at Minnesota (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 126.290; Minnesota 117.674
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-12-2014, 10:26 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 12

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DETROIT (2 - 5) at WASHINGTON (5 - 2) - 11/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 323-391 ATS (-107.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 92-129 ATS (-49.9 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (3 - 5) at ATLANTA (3 - 3) - 11/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (2 - 6) at BOSTON (3 - 3) - 11/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 299-248 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
BOSTON is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 77-105 ATS (-38.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 45-74 ATS (-36.4 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
BOSTON is 78-115 ATS (-48.5 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (2 - 6) at MIAMI (5 - 2) - 11/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 101-134 ATS (-46.4 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 10-10 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 11-9 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (2 - 6) at NEW YORK (2 - 6) - 11/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (1 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 3) - 11/12/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 160-210 ATS (-71.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (5 - 3) at DENVER (1 - 5) - 11/12/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 7-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (4 - 2) at PHOENIX (4 - 3) - 11/12/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (6 - 1) vs. MINNESOTA (2 - 4) - 11/12/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-12-2014, 10:26 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 12

Hot Teams
-- Washington won five of last six games (1-1 HF).
-- Hawks won both their home games (0-1-1 HF). Utah covered four of its last six games (2-2 AU).
-- Celtics won last two games by total of 8 points (1-1 HF).
-- Miami won five of its seven games (3-1 HF).
-- Portland won four of last five games, is 0-2 SU on road.
-- Nets won four of their last five games (1-1 AU).
-- Rockets won six of their seven games (5-2 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Detroit lost five of its seven games (0-7 vs spread).
-- Oklahoma City lost four of its last five games.
-- Pacers lost six of last seven games, covered three of last four.
-- Knicks lost their last five games (1-3-1 vs spread). Orlando lost six of eight games but covered four of last five.
-- Lakers lost six of last seven games, but covered last three. Pelicans lost three of last five games (2-1 HF).
-- Nuggets lost their last five games (0-5 vs spread).
-- Suns lost three of their last five games (1-1 HF).
-- Minnesota lost last two games by 9-10 points (3-1 as dog).

Series Records
-- Pistons won eight of last ten games with Washington.
-- Hawks won six in row, nine of last ten games with Utah.
-- Celtics lost six of last seven games with Oklahoma City.
-- Heat beat Indiana in six games in LY's playoffs.
-- Knicks won eight of last nine games with Orlando.
-- Lakers won 12 of last 15 games with Pelicans
-- Portland won last five games with Denver; they beat Nuggets 116-100 at home Sunday.
-- Suns lost their last five games with Brooklyn.
-- Rockets won four of last five games with Minnesota.

Totals
-- Three of last four Detroit games went over.
-- Four of six Atlanta games went over total.
-- Last four Boston games went over the total. Under is 6-1-1 in Thunder games this season.
-- Last four Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 15-1-1 in last seventeen Magic-Knick games.
-- Five of last six Laker games went over total.
-- Last four Denver games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Brooklyn games went over total.
-- All seven Houston games stayed under the total.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 17-10 ATS: West 14-13
East teams HF vs West: 6-4
East teams HU vs West: 3-1
West teams HF vs East: 5-4
West teams HU vs East: 4-0

**Udog** · 11-12-2014, 10:27 AM

NBA

Wednesday, November 12

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. WASHINGTON
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Detroit is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Detroit

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. BOSTON
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oklahoma City's last 17 games
Boston is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. MIAMI
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

7:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. NEW YORK
Orlando is 7-16-2 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Orlando
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:30 PM
UTAH vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
LA Lakers are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games on the road
LA Lakers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 18 games at home

9:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Phoenix is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Portland

10:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

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**Udog** · 11-12-2014, 02:15 PM

NBA

Wednesday, November 12

Under scoarching with Zarba calling action

Offense has not been easy to come by in games with Zach Zarba officiating this season. In the six games Zarba has called, the over/under record is 1-5.

The average combined score of games that Zarba calls this season is 186.3 points

Zarba will be calling the Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves with the total currently set at 201.

Home team on fire with Cutler overseeing action

Though the NBA season is young, home teams have been on fore when referee Kevin Cutler is calling the action. In all five of Cutler's games officiating, the home team has gone 5-0 straight-up and 3-2 against the spread.

Cutler will be overseeing the game between the Jazz and Hawks in Atlanta Wednesday.

Pistons still winless ATS, face Wizards as dogs

The Detroit Pistons are one of only two teams this season that have yet to cover in a single game. The Pistons have failed to cover their games by an average of four points this season, but have only missed their first ATS win by less than two points four times.

Detroit is averaging 91.9 points per game while allowing 96.7 ppg.

The Pistons are currently 6-point road dogs against the Washington Wizards Wednesday.

Nelson injured in win, but appears to be OK

Lost in the euphoria of Dirk Nowitzki’s milestone and the Dallas Mavericks’ amazing comeback win over the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday was an injury to point guard Jameer Nelson. The 11-year veteran went down hard late in the third quarter and limed off the court holding the back of his right leg.

Raptors second unit is pushing starters

During the regular season, a strong bench can propel a team a long way. The play of Toronto’s strong group of reserves is part of the reason why the team is off to a franchise-best 6-1 start. Each of the primary backups have spent considerable time as starters earlier in their careers, which means both that Toronto’s second unit will be more talented than most opponents’ reserves and that the starters will get pushed for playing time, benefiting everyone on the roster in the long run.

Orr has been automatic for visiting teams

When J.T. Orr takes to the court to call the Portland Trail Blazers and Denver Nuggets game tonight, he will be bringing a hot trend. In the four games Orr has officiated this season, the home team is 0-4 straight up and against the spread.

In fact games have no been close as home teams have been outscored by a margin of 15.8 points per game.

Big line jump in Blazers-Nuggets matchup

There was a huge line jump in a Northwest Division showdown between the Portland Trail Blazers and the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets (1-5 SU/ATS) opened as 1-point home dogs but were quickly bet a whopping 3.5-point to now sit at Denver -2.5.

Portland (5-3 SU/ATS) are expected to be without small forward Nicolas Batum for the next couple of games with an ankle injury.

**Udog** · 11-12-2014, 06:51 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, November 12

Detroit at Washington, 7:05 ET
Detroit: 17-6 ATS in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers
Washington: 323-391 ATS in home games

Utah at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Utah: 13-30 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
Atlanta: 23-12 OVER as a favorite

Oklahoma City at Boston, 7:35 ET
Oklahoma City: 82-48 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Boston: 167-218 ATS in home games after playing a road game

Indiana at Miami, 7:35 ET
Indiana: 35-20 UNDER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points
Miami: 24-13 OVER in home games after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds

Orlando at NY Knicks, 7:35 ET
Orlando: 168-212 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses
New York: 31-19 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses

LA Lakers at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
LA Lakers: 18-38 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread
New Orleans: 35-63 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers

Portland at Denver, 9:05 ET
Portland: 25-14 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Denver: 39-21 UNDER in home games after 5 or more consecutive losses

Brooklyn at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Brooklyn: 29-16 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread
Phoenix: 157-119 OVER after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite

Houston at Minnesota, 10:05 ET
Houston: 24-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Minnesota: 28-13 OVER in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/12

Wednesday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/12

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