Announcement

**Udog** · 11-08-2014, 08:45 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

-- Nets 110, Knicks 99-- Carmelo Anthony was 5-20; it is still early, but Knicks do not look any better this year than they were last year.

-- Hornets 122, Hawks 119, 2OT-- Lance Stephenson made his first 3 of season at buzzer to win game; he is now 1-6 from arc this year, 32.2% for his career.

-- Grizzlies 91, Thunder 89-- Memphis moves to 6-0; fans in Oklahoma gave their team a round of applause after this loss- they're really undermanned right now.

-- Bulls 118, 76ers 115-- Three of five Philly starters weren't even drafted.

-- Six of first eight NBA games to end Friday night were decided by 3 or less points, or in overtime. Quality of play in the NBA has gotten better.

-- Arizona Cardinals signed Carson Palmer to a 3-year, $50M contract extension.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend

13) TCU-Kansas State is a big game in the Big X; Bill Snyder covered 13 of his last 16 games as a road underdog, winning SU at Oklahoma last month. Can Wildcats win at TCU?

12) If you were a casual football fan in Florida looking to buy Jaguar season tickets, and the NFL took the Dallas game this season and put it in London, what does that tell me? It tells me the Jaguars are going to move, either to London or LA. Too bad, but for this week it is London. Interesting to hear Deion Sanders/Michael Irvin say Sunday night that Tony Romo had to play in this game, based on how bad Brandon Weeden was against the Cardinals. No mention of Romo’s health.

11) Alabama-LSU is in Baton Rouge and it is always good theater. Crimson Tide covered once in its last seven games away from home. Its amazing how many games Les Miles has won in Baton Rouge with sub-standard QBs (other than Mettenberger). This game is most always a defensive slugfest.

10) Dolphins-Lions is a surprising big game this week. Detroit pulled two games out of its hat before their bye. Miami has played better and better each week, crushing the Chargers last week. Tannehill’s running (he was a WR at Texas A&M for two years) has bolstered the Miami offense.

9) Total yardage in LY’s Notre Dame-Arizona State game was 427-424, a 37-34 Irish win. This is only second true road game this season for Notre Dame, who gave up 39 points to Navy’s option attack last week. ASU’s offense is way more diverse. This should be an interesting game.

8) How healthy is Aaron Rodgers? He tweaked his hamstring in New Orleans two weeks ago. Packers are 5-0 on grass, 0-3 on carpet. Bears lost four of last five games, as natives continue to grumble about their QB.

7) Charles Barkley is going on a hunger strike until the Lakers win; he better be careful or he’s going to wind up looking like a 6-4 version of Manute Bol. The Lakers are terrible.

Unrelated note: in 1991, I gave up soda/pie/candy after the Rams lost a game to the Raiders, saying I wouldn’t have sweets again until the Rams won another game. That win came……11 months later, in Week 2 of the following season. Felt like a freakin’ idiot, but lost 30 pounds.

6) Good thing to watch with the Cavaliers’ development as a team: in their loss at Utah Wednesday, the Jazz passed the ball 421 times, Cleveland 269.

Kyrie Irving is learning how to play in this style of play; remember, during his one year at Duke, he didn’t play in any ACC games because he was hurt. Cleveland will be good eventually; its going to take a while for them to become more cohesive.

5) Mark Sanchez’ first Philly start is on Monday night against Carolina; no pressure there, in front of those easy-going Eagle fans. Sanchez will be an interesting study; if he does well, will Iggles part ways with Nick Foles?

4) Jim Mora is a Washington alum who from sound of it, wouldn’t have minded becoming the Huskies’ coach back when they hired Steve Sarkisian. Now Mora takes his UCLA Bruins to Seattle to play Chris Petersen’s Huskies; this will be one of the weekend’s better games.

3) Ben Roethlisberger threw 12 TD passes in his last two games, first NFL QB ever to do that. Now Pittsburgh visits Swamp Stadium to play the struggling Jets, who haven’t won since Opening Day. There might be more Steeler fans than Jet fans there; Terrible Towels travel well.

2) Ohio State-Michigan State is a rare Big 14 game that might be watchable over an SEC game; Buckeyes have been crushing teams since they lost to Va Tech early on. MSU’s Mark Dantonio might be the most underrated coach in America. This will be a very good game.

1) Saints are 4-4, but they’re 3-0 at home. 49ers need to win in Superdome to avoid falling to 4-5. Loser of this game is going to have lot of ‘splaining to do next week.

**Udog** · 11-08-2014, 08:46 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, November 8

Hot Teams
-- Portland won last two games, by 19-21 points.
-- Wizards won four of their last five games.
-- Chicago won its last four games (1-3 vs spread).
-- Houston won its first six games, covering five. Warriors won/covered their first four games.
-- Grizzlies won last five games, covering four of them.

Cold Teams
-- Clippers lost two of last three games, are 0-5 vs spread.
-- Indiana lost last five games, but covered three of last four.
-- Hawks lost three of their first four games. New York lost its last three games, by 15-3-11 points.
-- Miami lost last two games, scoring 91-89 points. Minnesota is 2-3 in its first five games, but is 3-0 vs spread as an underdog.
-- Celtics lost three of their last four games.
-- Milwaukee lost three of its last four games.
-- Pelicans lost two of their last three games. Spurs split first four games. going 0-4 vs spread.

Series Records
-- Portland lost last five games at Clippers, by 5-1-13-16-5 points.
-- Pacers won four of last six games with the Wizards, but lost 96-94 in OT at Washington Wednesday.
-- Knicks won ten of thirteen games with Atlanta.
-- Heat won seven of last eight games with Minnesota.
-- Bulls won ten of last thirteen games with Boston.
-- Rockets won seven of last nine games with Golden State; visitors won four of last six series games.
-- Grizzlies won last seven games with Milwaukee (4-3 vs spread).
-- Spurs won 18 of last 21 games with New Orleans (5-2 vs spread in last seven played here).

Totals
-- All five Portland games stayed under total; three of last four Clipper games went over.
-- Last three Washington games stayed under total.
-- Three of four Atlanta games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Minnesota-Miami games stayed under.
-- Four of five Boston games went over total.
-- First six Houston games stayed under total.
-- Last four Memphis games stayed under total.
-- All four San Antonio games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 14-4 ATS: West 12-6
East teams HF vs West: 2-3
East teams HU vs West: 2-1
West teams HF vs East: 5-2
West teams HU vs East: 3-0

**Udog** · 11-08-2014, 08:47 AM

NBA

Saturday, November 8

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Trend Report
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3:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. LA CLIPPERS
Portland is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
LA Clippers are 17-6 SU in their last 23 games at home

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. INDIANA
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing Washington
Indiana is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Washington

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games at home
Miami is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. ATLANTA
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New York's last 20 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against New York
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago's last 15 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. HOUSTON
Golden State is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games

8:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

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**Udog** · 11-08-2014, 09:27 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Golden State at Houston
The Warriors head to Houston tonight to face a Rockets team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 Saturday games. Golden State is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 8

Game 701-702: Portland at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.064; LA Clippers 127.331
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-4); Over

Game 703-704: Washington at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 121.300; Indiana 115.342
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 6; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: New York at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.183; Atlanta 122.645
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Minnesota at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 117.513; Miami 122.020
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+6 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Boston at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 116.724; Chicago 127.287
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 711-712: Golden State at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 130.996; Houston 128.549
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 2 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 1 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+1 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Memphis at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 120.315; Milwaukee 116.217
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 4; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+6); Over

Game 715-716: New Orleans at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 117.511; San Antonio 130.229
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 12 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-08-2014, 09:29 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 8

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PORTLAND (3 - 2) at LA CLIPPERS (3 - 2) - 11/8/2014, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 211-264 ATS (-79.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 198-249 ATS (-75.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (4 - 2) at INDIANA (1 - 5) - 11/8/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 91-129 ATS (-50.9 Units) in November games since 1996.
INDIANA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-7 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (2 - 4) at ATLANTA (1 - 3) - 11/8/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (2 - 3) at MIAMI (3 - 2) - 11/8/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 99-134 ATS (-48.4 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 105-138 ATS (-46.8 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (2 - 3) at CHICAGO (5 - 1) - 11/8/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (4 - 0) at HOUSTON (6 - 0) - 11/8/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 95-68 ATS (+20.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 87-118 ATS (-42.8 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (6 - 0) at MILWAUKEE (2 - 4) - 11/8/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 206-164 ATS (+25.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 209-264 ATS (-81.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-0 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (2 - 2) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 2) - 11/8/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 860-752 ATS (+32.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 680-579 ATS (+43.1 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 439-366 ATS (+36.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 125-86 ATS (+30.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 159-116 ATS (+31.4 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-08-2014, 11:07 AM

NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, November 8

Portland at LA Clippers, 3:35 ET
Portland: 26-12 OVER after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread
LA Clippers: 18-4 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points

Washington at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Washington: 105-139 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games
Indiana: 33-19 ATS off a road loss

New York Knicks at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
NY Knicks: 30-18 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses
Atlanta: 22-11 OVER as a favorite

Minnesota at Miami, 7:35 ET
Minnesota: 35-21 UNDER off a road loss
Miami: 45-24 UNDER in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points

Boston at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Boston: n/a
Chicago: n/a

Golden State at Houston, 8:05 ET
Golden St: 12-2 UNDER after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points
Houston: 23-11 UNDER after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread

Memphis at Milwaukee, 8:35 ET
Memphis: 118-85 ATS in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Milwaukee: 11-23 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

New Orleans at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
New Orleans: 16-20 ATS off a home win
San Antonio: 125-86 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more

Announcement

Saturday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/8

Saturday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/8

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