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Thursday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/6

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  • Thursday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 6

    Good Luck on day #310 of 2014!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Matchup Links

    NBA Matchups

    NBA Hot and Not

    NBA Injuries

    NBA Referees


    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Injuries


    NASCAR Schedules

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    Last edited by Udog; 11-06-2014, 01:37 PM.

  • #2
    NBA
    Dunkel


    San Antonio at Houston
    The Rockets host the Spurs tonight and come into the contest with a 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games versus San Antonio. Houston is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 6

    Game 701-702: San Antonio at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)

    Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.614; Houston 127.820
    Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6; 194
    Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 3; 201 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3); Under

    Game 703-704: Dallas at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.861; Portland 126.369
    Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 4 1/2; 211
    Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2 1/2); Over




    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, November 6


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    SAN ANTONIO (2 - 1) at HOUSTON (5 - 0) - 11/6/2014, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 860-751 ATS (+33.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 288-227 ATS (+38.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DALLAS (3 - 1) at PORTLAND (2 - 2) - 11/6/2014, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 132-98 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
    DALLAS is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
    DALLAS is 276-223 ATS (+30.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    DALLAS is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 6-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, November 6


    Hot Teams
    -- Rockets won their first four games; three were on the road. Spurs won two of first three games; games were decided by total of 8 points.
    -- Dallas won its last three games, by 18-5-5; they're 3-1 vs spread so far this season.

    Cold Teams
    -- Portland split its first four games, winning two of three at home.

    Series Records
    -- Spurs lost their last five games with Houston.
    -- Trailblazers lost four of their last five games with Dallas.

    Totals
    -- Four of last five Rocket-Spur games stayed under the total.
    -- Last three Dallas games went over the total; all four Portland tilts went under the total. Eight of last eleven Mav-Blazer games went over.

    Back-to-Backs
    --

    East vs West
    SU: West 14-3 ATS: West 12-5
    East teams HF vs West: 2-3
    East teams HU vs West: 1-1
    West teams HF vs East: 5-2
    West teams HU vs East: 3-0




    NBA

    Thursday, November 6


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    Trend Report
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    8:00 PM
    SAN ANTONIO vs. HOUSTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
    San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    Houston is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

    10:30 PM
    DALLAS vs. PORTLAND
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
    Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games at home
    Portland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas


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    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

      Some of the better giveaway days at Citi Field for 2015 (these are all Saturdays)

      -- May 2 (Nationals): Jacob deGrom garden gnome

      -- May 16: (Brewers) Mets fedora (color unknown)

      -- June 13: (Braves) David Wright replica jersey

      -- July 11 (Arizona): Juan Lagares bobblehead

      -- August 29 (Red Sox); 1986 World Series bobblehead

      -- October 3 (Nationals): Mets fleece blanket

      **********


      Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

      13) Lebron James played 85 minutes in Cleveland’s first two games, which is way too many; he was down to 35 in Tuesday’s loss in Portland, then played 42 minutes in Utah last night, where the Cavaliers lost 102-100.

      Coach Blatt is going to have to learn how to dispense minutes to preserve his starters for the long season, especially James. Season is 82 games and as many as four playoff series, which could be 28 more games.

      High drama at the end in Utah last night; Gordon Hayward hit a fadeaway from deep on the right wing as the horn sounded, dropping the Cavaliers to 1-3.

      12) Cavaliers made their first ten shots in Portland, five of which were 3-pointers, then shot 28% the rest of the game; they need to find a dependable third scorer to supplement James/Kevin Love’s production.

      11) Speaking of James, did the Miami Heat lower its ticket prices once he left? Its fairly obvious they won’t be as good; somehow I doubt they lowered prices, but hopefully they did.

      10) FOX Sports 1 basketball analyst Bill Raftery filed for trademarks to his pet phrases "Onions" and "With a kiss" last week, protecting the use of the words as Raftery's during sports broadcasts and on clothes.

      9) How did Sacramento let Isaiah Thomas get away? The lefty Washington alum is pretty good and is helping Phoenix bigtime so far. Not like the Kings have so many good guards that they couldn’t use the guy.

      8) If you’re in Las Vegas December 17-20, the Jerry Tarkanian Classic will be played, a terrific high school basketball tournament with lot of really good players. I was there the last two years; its worth your time, if you’re in Vegas that week. Most of the games are at Bishop Gorman HS, I think.

      7) Next big Cuban baseball star to come here will be 3B/OF Yasmany Tomas, who is said to be a stocky slugger being pursued by both the Phillies and Red Sox. Philly could use the money AJ Burnett just turned down to sign Tomas, who is 24 years old.

      6) There are reports the Eagles were souring on Nick Foles even before he got hurt; Philly turned ball over 16 times in their last five games (-9) prompting rumors Eagle brass weren’t happy with him, all of which makes Mark Sanchez’ first Philly start Monday night a little more interesting.

      5) Alfonso Soriano retired this week; he is one of six players in history with 400+ doubles, 400+ homers and 250+ steals in his career. Wasn’t much of a fielder, but was a very dangerous hitter.

      4) Houston Texans pulled the plug on Ryan Fitzpatrick and will start Ryan Mallett at QB in Week 11; they have this week off. This was inevitable, with Mallett having been acquired from New England for a draft pick- they have to see what they have to see if they want to sign Mallett going forward.

      3) Dodgers signed A’s assistant general manager Farhan Zaidi, a Berkeley-educated economist, as their next GM. Zaidi grew up in the Philippines, attended MIT as an undergraduate and, after getting his doctorate at Cal-Berkeley, decided to try to break into baseball after reading Moneyball. Hey, I've seen Moneyball the movie 25 times; can I get a job with the A's?

      Not surprising, but it looks like the Dodgers’ new direction under Andrew Friedman will be heavily weighted towards analytics.

      2) Timberwolves 98, Nets 91-- Minnesota led 17-2, then Nets went on a 34-14 run, but Wolves closed game on 18-5 run. Rubio had 14 points, 12 assists, 8 rebounds as all five Minnesota starters scored in double figures.

      1) I know they do it because they can charge more for those tickets, but it is weird how close some fans sit to the team benches in NBA arenas. At Lakers' home games in Staples Center, the opposing coach often stands right in front of Jack Nicholson. If a guy goes lunging out of bounds for a loose ball, he might knock over people's drinks who are sitting right there. You don't get that in other sports.

      Comment


      • #4
        See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

        Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Covers Expert Ben Burns points out his favorites:

        Lookahead spot

        The fact Tony Romo even made the trip to London is baffling to some. Dallas jumps the pond to play Jacksonville in London with a laundry list of injuries, and not just to its star quarterback. The defensive corps have been dropping like flies the past two weeks and this overperforming stop unit doesn’t have much depth behind the first teamers.

        Limping into Week 10’s neutral-site matchup with the Jaguars on a two-game losing streak, and with the bye week on the horizon, the Cowboys could get caught looking ahead to some time off to lick those wounds. Books that have gone ahead and posted a line for this London game, regardless of Romo's status, have Dallas as high as a touchdown favorite. If he does play it could go as high as Cowboys -10.

        Letdown spot

        The Florida Gators haven’t had much to play this season. But when it came time to lay the lumber to SEC rival Georgia, UF rolled the Bulldogs in the “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” last weekend. The Gators rushed for 418 yards in the 38-20 win as 11.5-point underdogs in Jacksonville, and may have saved head coach Will Muschamp’s job for the time being.

        Florida doesn’t have much left on the schedule in terms of motivational factors, besides a season-ending chance to spoil Florida State’s bid for a spot in the College Football Playoff. In the meantime, the Gators waddle into Nashville all fat and cocky, tabbed as 14.5-point road favorites versus Vanderbilt Saturday. The Commodores have been a hot bet, covering in five of their last six games.

        Schedule spot

        The Dallas Mavericks will be breaking out the Advil and ice packs after their upcoming stretch of schedule, playing three games in four nights. While most teams handle these busy spots with moderate success, few are as ancient as the Mavs. Heading into the 2014-15 season, Dallas is tied with San Antonio as the oldest team in the league, with an average age of 28.7.

        The bulk of that youth is coming off the bench while starters like Dirk Nowitzki, Tyson Chandler, Monta Ellis and Jameer Nelson are all old as dirt by NBA standards with 53 combined years of experience between them. Those greybeards could be showing their age by the time this grueling span is over. The Mavericks are at Portland and Utah Thursday and Friday, then back on the court hosting the Heat Sunday.

        Comment


        • #5
          Matchup links are working again

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