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  • Tuesday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, November 4

    Good Luck on day #308 of 2014!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NBA Matchups

    NBA Hot and Not

    NBA Injuries

    NBA Referees


    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Injuries


    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    -- Colts 40, Giants 24-- Giants have long road trip to Seattle on short week.

    -- Tom Coughlin has to be quicker to get the replay flag out on the field; reaching down to get it out of his sock cost Giants a TD in this game.

    -- Nick Foles doesn't need surgery on his collarbone, but is out 6-8 weeks.

    -- Rough week for Indiana's hoop team; they had two kids suspended for failing drug tests, after another player hit a fourth one with his car this weekend. Not good.

    -- Paul Molitor got a 3-year deal to manage the Minnesota Twins.

    -- AJ Burnett turned down $12.75M to pitch for the Phillies next year; does that mean he thinks he's going to get more somewhere else? Wow.

    **********


    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Happy Election Day, everyone.......

    13) Field position is an under-reported part of football. NFL teams are 45-1 this season when they win average starting field position by 10+ yards; only team to lose was the Raiders in Week 6, when they had a 10-yard advantage but lost 31-28 in the last 2:00 at home to San Diego.

    12) NFL’s rules on protecting QB’s are BS; guys like Russell Wilson and Robert Griffin III run, slide at the last minute with defenders rushing at them, then whine to the refs for a flag before they’re even done sliding. Once you break the pocket, you should lose any protection as a runner, especially if you cross the line of scrimmage.

    11) Last time the football Cardinals were 7-1 was 40 years ago; they played home games in St Louis and were coached by the great Don Coryell, who had fantastic offensive teams with the Redbirds and Chargers.

    10) Its not often two rookie coaches meet who had been coordinators on the same staff. Redskins-Vikings Sunday was Gruden vs Zimmer, both of whom were coordinators for Marvin Lewis in Cincinnati. Who has the advantage, if anyone?

    They both know a lot about the other, would be curious to know how that works. Long time ago, Vince Lombardi and Tom Landry were both coordinators for the Giants and became head coaches and later opposed each other in a couple of NFL title games. You wonder if either of them felt they had an edge.

    Obviously the guy with better players has a leg up, I just mean in terms of one being able to anticipate what the other will do in certain situations.

    9) Timing is Everything Department: Baltimore Ravens are 5-4 and in last place in AFC North. New Orleans Saints are 4-4 but are in first place in NFC South.

    8) Steelers’ first four drives Sunday night totaled 18 plays for 29 yards, not very good. Their last nine drives totaled 47 plays for 394 yards and 43 points; all of a sudden Pittsburgh is a juggernaut and now they go play the 1-8 Jets this week. Oy.

    7) Speaking of the Jets, they’re headed for a major overhaul in a couple months, which could be the best thing for them. In the meantime, they’ve lost eight games in a row, while old friend Mark Sanchez is now the starting QB for 6-2 Philly, at least for the next 6-8 weeks, maybe longer, depending on how Nick Foles’ collarbone heals.

    First Eagle start for Sanchez is on Monday Night Football next week.

    6) Rams had eight sacks of mobile Colin Kaepernick Sunday; they had a total of six sacks in their first seven games. Kapernick has now been sacked 14 times in his last two games; you see how unwilling Harbaugh was to run the ball in the last minute Sunday. He musn’t have much faith in his offensive line.

    5) Wonder what it feels like after you’ve run a 26-mile marathon? Longest I ever ran at once was just under two miles in some stupid high school gym class; not my thing. Hell, if I drive 26 miles I’m looking for the nearest drive-thru window for a burger and a Cherry Coke. Running 26 miles just seems unhealthy.

    4) Random movie/TV things: the actor who played Mr Bentley in The Jeffersons later on was Tom Cruise’s college professor in Cocktail.

    Also, the guy who was Herman Munster in the old 60’s TV series wound up being the judge in My Cousin Vinny, 36 years later.

    3) Why futures baseball bets are a horrible idea:

    Cubs dropped from 400-1 to 200-1 to win the World Series after hiring Joe Maddon as manager. He doesn’t pitch and he didn’t bring any of his coaches from Tampa Bay. The guy the Cubs fired did a good job in his one year there and they cut the odds in half? Also, if Maddon is worth the Cubs getting their odds lowered, then how come Tampa Bay’s stayed at 500-1? Shouldn’t they have gone up to 750-1 or higher?

    2) One thing that has made handicapping college basketball harder is teams are allowed two “secret” scrimmages, where they play what amounts to an exhibition game, but with no media and no reporting of results. Awesome. How does that help anything?

    Anyway, for what its worth, someone on Twitter said Harvard nipped Providence this weekend. Harvard is favored to win its fifth straight Ivy League title this winter.

    1) One thing I neglected to mention from Saturday: Maryland captains refused to shake hands with Penn State's captains before Saturday's game. Bush league; they got a 15-yard penalty for it. Before the game. How do coaches let this happen? Its not like its a great rivalry; it was their first meeting as conference rivals.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Monday, November 3


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MILWAUKEE (1 - 2) at INDIANA (1 - 2) - 11/4/2014, 7:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      INDIANA is 4-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
      INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 3) at TORONTO (2 - 1) - 11/4/2014, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TORONTO is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 297-246 ATS (+26.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WASHINGTON (2 - 1) at NEW YORK (2 - 1) - 11/4/2014, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WASHINGTON is 90-127 ATS (-49.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
      WASHINGTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW YORK is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      WASHINGTON is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HOUSTON (4 - 0) at MIAMI (3 - 0) - 11/4/2014, 7:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ORLANDO (0 - 3) at CHICAGO (2 - 1) - 11/4/2014, 8:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ORLANDO is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      CHICAGO is 6-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHARLOTTE (1 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 2) - 11/4/2014, 8:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
      NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CLEVELAND (1 - 1) at PORTLAND (1 - 2) - 11/4/2014, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
      PORTLAND is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PORTLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
      PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHOENIX (2 - 1) at LA LAKERS (0 - 4) - 11/4/2014, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA LAKERS are 120-78 ATS (+34.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
      PHOENIX is 54-30 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      LA LAKERS are 179-221 ATS (-64.1 Units) after a division game since 1996.
      LA LAKERS are 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      PHOENIX is 6-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Tuesday, November 4


        Hot Teams
        Not much to go on right now; after a few days, we'll have lot more information for you in this space.

        Cold Teams

        Series Records
        -- Pacers won their last six games with Milwaukee.
        -- Thunder won four of last five games with Toronto.
        -- Knicks were 0-3 vs Washington LY, losing last two by point each.
        -- Rockets lost eight of last nine games with Miami.
        -- Bulls won 11 of last 13 games with Orlando.
        -- Pelicans won four of last five games with Charlotte.
        -- Cavaliers lost six of last seven games with Portland.
        -- Lakers lost five of their last six games with Phoenix.

        Totals
        -- Last three Buck-Pacer games went over the total.
        -- Five of last six Thunder-Raptor games stayed under.
        -- Over is 3-1 in Wizards' last four visits to New York.
        -- Six of last seven Houston-Miami games went over.
        -- Five of last seven Chicago-Orlando games went over.
        -- Three of last four New Orleans-Charlotte games went over.
        -- Eight of last eleven Cleveland-Portland games went over.
        -- Over is 7-4 in Suns' last 11 road games with Lakers.

        Back-to-Backs
        --

        East vs West
        SU: West 8-2 ATS: West 7-3
        East teams HF vs West: 1-1
        East teams HU vs West: 1-1
        West teams HF vs East: 4-1
        West teams HU vs East: 1-0

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Tuesday, November 4


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          7:00 PM
          MILWAUKEE vs. INDIANA
          Milwaukee is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
          Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

          7:30 PM
          WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
          Washington is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing New York
          Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New York
          New York is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
          New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

          7:30 PM
          OKLAHOMA CITY vs. TORONTO
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
          Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
          Toronto is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games

          7:30 PM
          HOUSTON vs. MIAMI
          Houston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Miami
          Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
          Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston

          8:00 PM
          ORLANDO vs. CHICAGO
          Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
          Orlando is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
          Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home

          8:00 PM
          CHARLOTTE vs. NEW ORLEANS
          Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
          Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte
          New Orleans is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Charlotte

          10:00 PM
          CLEVELAND vs. PORTLAND
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
          Portland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
          Portland is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Cleveland

          10:30 PM
          PHOENIX vs. LA LAKERS
          Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
          Phoenix is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
          LA Lakers are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against Phoenix
          The total has gone OVER in 15 of the LA Lakers last 22 games when playing at home against Phoenix


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Short Sheet

            Tuesday, November 4


            Milwaukee at Indiana, 7:05 ET
            Milwaukee: 46-31 OVER as an underdog
            Indiana: 24-13 OVER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points

            Oklahoma City at Toronto, 7:35 ET
            Oklahoma City: 81-46 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
            Toronto: 61-91 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers

            Washington at NY Knicks, 7:35 ET
            Washington: 24-13 ATS as a road underdog
            New York: 18-8 OVER after playing a game as a home favorite

            Houston at Miami, 7:35 ET
            Houston: 19-7 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games
            Miami: 33-18 OVER after playing a game as a home favorite

            Orlando at Chicago, 8:05 ET
            Orlando: 13-27 ATS in road games
            Chicago: 55-36 UNDER in home games

            Charlotte at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
            Charlotte: 32-61 ATS against Southwest division opponents
            New Orleans: 26-13 OVER as a home favorite

            Cleveland at Portland, 10:05 ET
            Cleveland: 3-13 ATS in November games
            Portland: 51-31 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less

            Phoenix at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
            Phoenix: 23-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses
            LA Lakers: 30-51 ATS in home games after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Dunkel


              Charlotte at New Orleans
              The Hornets travel to New Orleans tonight where they are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games. The Pelicans are the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has New Orleans favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

              MONDAY, NOVEMBER 3

              Game 701-702: Milwaukee at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)

              Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.453; Indiana 115.256
              Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 195
              Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 191
              Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3 1/2); Over

              Game 703-704: Oklahoma City at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 114.894; Toronto 128.460
              Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 13 1/2; 202
              Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 193 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-9); Over

              Game 705-706: Washington at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Washington 119.186; New York 117.527
              Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 195
              Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 190 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over

              Game 707-708: Houston at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.988; Miami 127.342
              Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 201
              Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1; 191
              Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1); Over

              Game 709-710: Orlando at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 111.357; Chicago 120.345
              Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 207
              Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 13; 190 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+13); Over

              Game 711-712: Charlotte at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 114.904; New Orleans 121.800
              Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 7; 178
              Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 3; 191 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3); Under

              Game 713-714: Cleveland at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 125.418; Portland 120.586
              Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 194
              Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 205
              Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-2 1/2); Under

              Game 715-716: Phoenix at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 116.495; LA Lakers 117.519
              Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 218
              Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6 1/2; 213 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+6 1/2); Over

              Comment


              • #8
                Thanks dog!!
                Questions, comments, complaints:
                [email protected]

                Comment


                • #9
                  NBA

                  Tuesday, November 4



                  Line surging towards Raps in matchup with Thunder

                  The Toronto Raptors opened as big 9-point home favorites against the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder and bettors were happy to jump all over that number.

                  The betting line jumped to Raptors -11 early Tuesday morning and moved again to -11.5 early this afternoon.

                  Toronto (2-1 SU/ATS) is coming off their first loss of the season in Miami, while Oklahoma City (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) are playing in back-to-back games after getting blown out Monday night against Brooklyn.

                  Comment

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