Announcement

**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 08:21 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

College football trends for Saturday's action

-- Underdogs covered eight of last ten North Carolina-Miami games.

-- Kansas State covered eight of last ten as a Big X home favorite.

-- Purdue covered seven of last ten as a road underdog.

-- Air Force covered 13 of last 17 games with Army, but is 0-5 in its last five games as a road favorite.

-- Baylor covered 19 of its last 22 home games.

-- Northwestern covered 14 of its last 21 games as a road underdog.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.....

13) Kevin Durant has a walking boot on his injured foot, Russell Westbrook broke his right hand Thursday night and the Oklahoma City Thunder are 0-2, with not much relief in sight before Thanksgiving. Like we said, its going to take 50 wins to make the playoffs in the west; Thunder aren’t putting a 50-win team on the floor anytime soon.

12) In 2008, NFL teams averaged 211.3 passing yards per game; so far this year, 241.7. That’s a 14.4% increase in six years.

11) ESPN the Magazine had some interesting stuff this month; from 2001-03, NFL tight ends were responsible for 15.8% of a team’s passing yardage. From 2012-now, that number has risen to 22.6%. Spread offenses are said to the reason why.

10) CBS is remaking the Odd Couple again next TV season, with Matthew Perry as Oscar Madison. This will make me sound old(er) but no one could top Jack Klugman as Oscar.

The next few notes are related to college basketball and again, they come from my reading of this week’s ESPN the Magazine…….

9) ESPN’s Jay Bilas says if Kentucky divided its team into two 6-man units, both units would be ranked in the top 25, that show much talent they have. Calipari’s team actually has too much talent; no way he can keep all those guys happy.

8) Wisconsin returns 82% of its minutes from last year; their defense slipped last year, curious to see if what is basically the same team will play better defense this season.

7) Duke’s 2-point FG% defense was 49.1% LY, which ranked 13th……in the 14-team ACC. Freshman C Jahlil Okafor is supposed to be really good, so we’ll see if Duke is better defensively this year.

6) Villanova was 8-1 LY in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT; the other seven #1/#2 seeds in NCAA’s were a combined 43-22 (66.2%) in close games like those, which infers Villanova may have had luck on its side LY. Wildcats have a veteran team, should win Big East this year.

5) Gonzaga has a freshman named Domantas Sabonis, whose dad Arvydas was the best basketball very few people saw play, at least until he tore his Achilles tendon. The elder Sabonis played for Portland late in his career, after the injury, but was in Russia at the peak of his career, before the Internet. His son is supposed to be very good and should help the Zags win the WCC again.

4) VCU was a bully team in the A-14 last year; they forced turnovers on 23.6% of possessions, rebounded 35.5% of their missed shots, so they were just a lot more athletic than most opponents. But if you didn’t turn the ball over forced them to set up in the half court, they made only 44.6% of their 2-point shots, 9th in a 14-team league. If you held your own on the boards, then they struggled to score.

3) SMU made 37.9% of its 3-pointers last year, which is very good, but they ranked 339th out of 351 D-I teams when it came to %age of shots that were 3’s.

Larry Brown is old-fashioned and doesn’t like the trey, despite playing/coaching in the ABA. We’ll see if Coach Brown, a media darling for sure, gets his team in the NCAAs after they were a disappointment in missing it LY.

2) Syracuse scored 63 or less points in 11 of its last 13 games LY and lost 59% of its minutes played from LY. Boeheim always has players, but his players this year are very young and could struggle some in an improved ACC. Don’t forget, Louisville is in the ACC now.

1) Say what you want about Jameis Winston, but he is 21-0 as a starting QB in college and he’s stared down a few double digit deficits.

His career going forward is going to be fascinating to study, as he heads to the fishbowl that is playing QB in the NFL.

**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 08:32 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, November 1

Hot Teams
Not much to go on right now; after a few days, we'll have lot more information for you in this space.

Cold Teams

Series Records
-- Grizzlies won four of last five games with Charlotte.
-- Raptors won their last seven games with Orlando (5-1-1 vs spread).
-- 76ers won two of last three vs Miami, after losing 19 of previous 20.
-- Wizards won five of last six games with Milwaukee.
-- Mavericks won their last seven games with New Orleans.
-- Pacers beat Indiana in seven games LY; road team won four of seven.
-- Pistons won three of last four games with Brooklyn.
-- Rockets won six of last eight games with Boston.
-- Bulls won eight of last nine games with Minnesota.
-- Thunder was 3-1 vs Denver LY, winning by 2-12-21 points.
-- Suns lost nine of last eleven games with San Antonio.
-- Warriors won three of last five games with the Lakers, after losing 17 of previous 18 meetings.

Totals
-- Six of last nine Charlotte-Memphis games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Toronto-Orlando games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-2 in Miami's last seven visits to Philly.
-- Four of last five Buck-Wizard games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Dallas-New Orleans games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Indiana-Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Last six Net-Piston games went over the total.
-- Last four Boston-Houston games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Chicago-Minnesota games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Nugget-Thunder games.
-- Over is 15-7 in last 22 Phoenix-San Antonio games.
-- Last three Laker-Warrior games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West

**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 08:36 AM

NBA

Saturday, November 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. CHARLOTTE
Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Memphis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Memphis

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
Miami is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games when playing Miami

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. ORLANDO
Toronto is 4-8-2 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto's last 16 games
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. DETROIT
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
Atlanta is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Denver is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Houston
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MINNESOTA
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. UTAH
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Utah is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. GOLDEN STATE
LA Lakers are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games
LA Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 5-13 SU in their last 18 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Golden State is 5-20 SU in their last 25 games when playing LA Lakers

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**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 08:54 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Chicago at Minnesota
The Bulls head to Minnesota following last night's 114-108 loss to Cleveland in overtime and come into tonight's contest with a 14-2 ATS record in their last 16 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Chicago is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 1

Game 501-502: Memphis at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 117.481; Charlotte 122.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 5; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 2 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Dallas at New Orleans (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 115.045; New Orleans 120.193
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 5; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+2); Over

Game 505-506: Toronto at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 121.517; Orlando 113.136
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Miami at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.556; Philadelphia 114.168
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+9); Under

Game 509-510: Milwaukee at Washington (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 111.987; Washington 123.653
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 11 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 9; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-9); Under

Game 511-512: Brooklyn at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 117.566; Detroit 115.063
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+3 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Indiana at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.688; Atlanta 120.952
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+10 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 122.588; Minnesota 117.155
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: Boston at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.810; Houston 126.802
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 13; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-8); Over

Game 519-520: Denver at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 118.470; Oklahoma City 124.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+7 1/2); Under

Game 521-522: Phoenix at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 123.862; Utah 113.228
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2); Under

Game 523-524: LA Lakers at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 112.868; Golden State 127.513
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 14 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 16 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+16 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 09:34 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 1

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MEMPHIS (2 - 0) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 0) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 205-164 ATS (+24.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 32-60 ATS (-34.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (1 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 0) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
DALLAS is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 131-98 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (1 - 0) at ORLANDO (0 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 112-83 ATS (+20.7 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (1 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 97-132 ATS (-48.2 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 92-123 ATS (-43.3 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 122-165 ATS (-59.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 322-390 ATS (-107.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 89-127 ATS (-50.7 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (0 - 1) at DETROIT (0 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (1 - 1) at ATLANTA (0 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 11-9 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 12-9 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (1 - 1) at MINNESOTA (1 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (1 - 0) at HOUSTON (2 - 0) - 11/1/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 274-215 ATS (+37.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (1 - 0) at OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 296-245 ATS (+26.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
DENVER is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (2 - 0) at UTAH (0 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 54-29 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (0 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (1 - 0) - 11/1/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Saturday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/1

Saturday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/1

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