Thursday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 10/30

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, October 30

Good Luck on day #303 of 2014!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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NBA Matchups

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the NBA championship this season.......

3-1-- Cavaliers-- How long before they're a cohesive unit?

4-1-- Spurs-- Five rings but have never repeated.

6-1-- Bulls-- Can they stay healthy?

7-1-- Thunder-- What will record be when Durant comes back?

10-1-- Clippers-- At least there's one good team in Los Angeles.

15-1-- Rockets-- Let some good players walk last summer.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend.......

13) Saints lost their last seven road games and were favored in most of them; after this game, a 4-4 team will be in first place at halfway point in the NFC South. Three of NO’s four road losses were by three or less points.

12) Florida State has a dicey road game at Louisville; Seminoles are only favored by 3.5 points, which seems very low. Bobby Petrino is a good coach; not sure his team is ready to pull this upset.

11) Chargers lost their last two games after a 5-1 start, now visit south Florida, where they haven’t won since the Kellen Winslow/OT playoff game in 1981- they’re 0-7 at Miami since then, losing a tight one LY.

10) Stanford beat Oregon the last two years, holding Ducks to total of 34 points; they’ll be hard-pressed to make it three in a row.

9) 7 of 13 NFL games this weekend have a spread of 3 or less points; there are four home underdogs this week. Over is 19-6 in primetime games this season.

8) Pitt-Duke played a 55-52 thriller LY, in their first meeting as ACC rivals; this year’s game won’t be like that one, but should be a good game.

7) Lot of new faces in new places as the NBA season kicks off; how long will it take the Cavaliers to become a cohesive unit? It took the Heat a month or so when Lebron James first went there.

6) Brett Bielema still hasn’t won an SEC game at Arkansas, but he’s pretty good at beating up Sun Belt teams like he did last week; his Razorbacks visit Starkville and the #1 Mississippi State Bulldogs, whose QB Prescott wore a walking boot for at least part of this week.

5) Will Tony Romo play? Would Dallas be better off if he didn’t play for a week or two? Arizona is 6-1 despite using three different QB’s, with only loss at Denver. Cardinals won their last three games with Dallas.

4) West Virginia beat Baylor at home two weeks ago, now the TCU Horned Frogs come east to Morgantown; Horned Frogs scored so many points last week, the school ran out of fireworks that they shoot off after every TCU score. Total in this game (74) is the week’s highest as I type this.

3) Steelers are retiring Mean Joe Greene’s number Sunday night; what took them so long? Ravens are 0-2 against the Bengals, 5-1 against everyone else- they’ve won five of last seven games against the Steelers.

2) Auburn-Ole Miss is the best SEC game this week; can the Rebels bounce back after getting beat at LSU last week? Will teams try to run scores up to impress the Selection Committee? Will the committee care about such things?

1) Broncos won, covered all four games since their bye, but they’ve lost last four visits to Foxboro, after blowing a big lead there LY. You know its a big game when they say Aaron Hernandez will be allowed to watch it on TV in prison.

[Udog]

NBA roundup: All's well between James, Gilbert

LeBron James and team owner Dan Gilbert, both commenting on the eve of the Cleveland Cavaliers' season opener, are on the same page about their relationship with the same common goal in mind.

"I think it's really good," James said Wednesday when asked about his relationship with the Cavs owner. Gilbert described their relationship as "very good, very solid."

Their relationship turned cold four years ago when James left Cleveland for Miami.

The Cavaliers open the season Thursday night when they host the New York Knicks.

---Rookie forward Julius Randle broke the tibia bone in his right leg during the fourth quarter of the Los Angeles Lakers' season-opening, 108-90 loss to the Houston Rockets and underwent surgery on Wednesday to repair the fracture.

The Lakers said in an announcement that the surgery was performed by Dr. Donald Wiss at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center. Randle is expected to make a full recovery but miss the remainder of the 2014-15 season.

Randle was the seventh overall pick in this year's draft out the University of Kentucky. As a freshman, he helped the Wildcats reach the national championship game, averaging 15 points and 10.4 rebounds. In his regular-season pro debut Tuesday, Randle came off the bench and scored two points in 14 minutes, hitting 1 of 3 shots from the field.

---The Charlotte Hornets exercised their fourth-year option on forward Michael Kidd-Gilchrist and their third-year option on forward Cody Zeller.

Kidd-Gilchrist, has averaged 8.2 points and 5.6 rebounds in 25.2 minutes in 140 career games since being selected with the second overall pick in the 2012 NBA Draft.

Zeller, the fourth overall pick in 2013, averaged 6.0 points and 4.3 rebounds in 17.3 minutes in 82 games as a rookie.

---The Dallas Mavericks waived guard Gal Mekel, who averaged 2.4 points, 2.0 assists and 9.4 minutes in 31 games last season.

The Israel native spent the entire exhibition season with the Mavericks, averaging 7.6 points, 3.9 assists, 1.8 rebounds and 19.4 minutes in eight games.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at LA Clippers
The Clippers host an Oklahoma City team that is coming off a 106-89 loss at Portland last night and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing with 0 days rest. LA is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-10 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30

Game 501-502: Washington at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 121.302; Orlando 112.877
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 8 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: New York at Cleveland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 108.091; Cleveland 129.121
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 21; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 10 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-10 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Detroit at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.872; Minnesota 120.412
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4); Under

Game 507-508: Utah at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 115.205; Dallas 122.764
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+10 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 114.219; LA Clippers 130.398
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 208
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-10 1/2); Over




NBA

Thursday, October 30

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ORLANDO
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. CLEVELAND
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing New York

8:30 PM
UTAH vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games at home

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA CLIPPERS
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Clippers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
LA Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City


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[Udog]

NBA

Thursday, October 30


Home favorites have a great night on the hardcourt

It was the first busy night in the Association and if you were backing home favorites you probably went home happy.

Home favorites went an impressive 8-3 against the spread Wednesday night, hitting almost 73 percent of the time. Straight up home favorites went a perfect 11-0.

There are four more home favorites on the court Thursday night with Minnesota -4 hosting Detroit, Cleveland -12 versus New York, Dallas -10.5 versus Utah and the Los Angeles Clippers -11 versus Oklahoma City.

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 30

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WASHINGTON (0 - 1) at ORLANDO (0 - 1) - 10/30/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 151-190 ATS (-58.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 70-91 ATS (-30.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (0 - 1) at CLEVELAND (0 - 0) - 10/30/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (0 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 1) - 10/30/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (0 - 1) at DALLAS (0 - 1) - 10/30/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 98-73 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 1) at LA CLIPPERS (0 - 0) - 10/30/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 295-245 ATS (+25.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 30

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WASHINGTON (0 - 1) at ORLANDO (0 - 1) - 10/30/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 151-190 ATS (-58.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 70-91 ATS (-30.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (0 - 1) at CLEVELAND (0 - 0) - 10/30/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (0 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 1) - 10/30/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (0 - 1) at DALLAS (0 - 1) - 10/30/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 98-73 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 1) at LA CLIPPERS (0 - 0) - 10/30/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 295-245 ATS (+25.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 30

Washington at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Washington: 17-7 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog
Orlando: 70-91 ATS in all games

NY Knicks at Cleveland, 8:05 ET
New York: 29-15 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread
Cleveland: 7-2 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

Detroit at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Detroit: 28-14 OVER in road games
Minnesota: 14-27 ATS after one or more consecutive overs

Utah at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Utah: 12-28 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
Dallas: 24-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses

Oklahoma City at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Oklahoma City: 126-81 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses
LA Clippers: 26-17 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points