Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/30

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Good Luck on day #273 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Dodgers 11, Padres 9— LA hit 4 homers, scored 5 runs in 8th inning.
— Brewers 4, Cardinals 0— St Louis’ 17-game win streak ends.
— Giants 1, Arizona 0— Giants win their 104th game.
— Seattle 4, A’s 2— A’s lost their last 12 games with Seattle.
— Toronto 6, New York 5— Bo Bichette homered twice for the Jays.
— Rockies 10, Nationals 5— Story went 4-4 in his last Colorado home game.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Playoff trends for NFL teams

13) Cowboys— Lost their last eight road playoff games; last time they won a road playoff game? 1992.

12) Bengals— Haven’t made playoffs since 2015; their last playoff win was in 1990.

11) Broncos:
— John Elway was 13-6 in playoff games
— Peyton Manning was 5-3 in playoff games as a Bronco.
— Every other Denver QB: 4-9 in playoff games

10) Ravens— Lamar Jackson is 1-3 in playoff games; Ravens scored 13 ppg in those games.

9) Chiefs— From 1994-2014, Chiefs were 0-7 in playoff games; last six years, they’re 7-5.

8) Packers— Last five times they made playoffs, they won their first playoff game.

7) Cardinals— Since 1998, Arizona is 6-5 in playoff games, 4-0 at home; their last two playoff wins both came in overtime.

6) Bills— Last year was first time Buffalo won a playoff game since 1995.

5) Raiders— Lost Super Bowl to Jon Gruden/Tampa Bay in 2002, have played in one playoff game since, losing 27-14 at home to Houston five years ago.

4) Lions— Lost their last nine playoff games; their last playoff win? 1991. Detroit’s last home playoff game was in 1993.

3) Jaguars— They’re 7-7 all-time in playoff games, but made postseason only one time since 2007.

2) Texans— 4-2 at home, 0-4 on road in playoff games.

1) Bears— Haven’t won a playoff game since 2010; last time they played a road playoff game? 1994. Since then, they played seven home playoff games and a Super Bowl (neutral field).

[Udog]

MILWAUKEE is 29-8 SU (22.3 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season...

TEXAS are 16-38 SU (-25.8 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 6-16 SU (-15.4 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 17-42 SU (-26.3 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

NY YANKEES are 19-5 SU (15.2 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

NY METS are 9-30 SU (-26.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the c...

TAMPA BAY is 44-19 SU (25.8 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

ATLANTA is 27-13 SU (12.8 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the cu...

MINNESOTA is 3-24 SU (-20.4 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 17-34 SU (-22 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 51-23 SU (32.8 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 19-34 SU (-20.9 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.


 

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 30

NL games
Milwaukee (95-63) @ St Louis (88-70)
— Anderson is 0-4, 9.92 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-12 in his starts.
— under 9-2-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-4
— He is 1-1, 9.45 in two starts vs St Louis this year.

— Brewers won four of last five games.
— Milwaukee is 7-4 in last 11 road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 54-158
— record in first 5 innings: 81-49-28

— Happ is 1-1, 3.44 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 6-4 in his starts.
— over 4-4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3
— He is 3-5, 6.25 in 11 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 17-1 in their last 18 games.
— St Louis is 8-2 in its last ten home games.
— Over is 9-6 in last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 59-158
— record in first 5 innings: 74-62-22

Miami (65-93) @ Mets (75-82)
— Cabrera is 0-3, 6.94 in six starts.
— Marlins are 1-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 0-1, 9.95 in two starts against the Mets.

— Marlins are 8-12 in last 20 games.
— Miami is 6-20 in last 26 road games.
— under 22-14-2 last 38 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-159
— record in first 5 innings: 57-77-25

— Hill is 0-4, 3.19 in his last seven starts.
— Mets are 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
— under 7-0 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-8-1
— As a Met, he is 0-0, 1.64 in two starts vs Miami.

— Mets are 5-14 in their last 19 games.
— Mets are 3-6 in last nine home games.
— over 7-5 last 12 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-158
— record in first 5 innings: 60-70-19

Cubs (68-90) @ Pittsburgh (59-99)
— Steele is 0-2, 7.58 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 2-6 in his starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He threw 2 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs Pittsburgh.

— Cubs are 1-7 in last eight games.
— Chicago is 2-5 in last seven road games.
— Over is 22-10 in last 32 games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-157
— record in first 5 innings: 62-77-18

— bullpen game

— Pirates are 11-10 in last 21 games.
— Pittsburgh is 8-4 in last 12 home games.
— over 15-10-1 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-158
— record in first 5 innings: 50-90-18

Philadelphia (81-77) @ Atlanta (85-72)
— Gibson is 0-3, 7.16 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 5-5 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-3
— He gave up 3 runs in 9 IP in one start vs Atlanta.

— Phillies are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— Phillies are 47-34 at home, 34-43 on road.
— under 8-4 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-158
— record in first 5 innings: 65-62-31

— Anderson is 3-0, 3.76 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 12-11 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 9-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-5
— He is 0-0, 3.09 in four starts vs Philly this year.

— Braves won nine of last 11 games.
— Atlanta is 7-5 in last 12 home games.
— under 21-13-4 last 38 games
— scored run in first inning: 56-157
— record in first 5 innings: 81-52-24

Arizona (50-108) @ San Francisco (104-54)
— Bumgarner is 0-3, 6.17 in his last six starts.
— Arizona is 10-15 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 10-25
— record in first 5 innings: 9-14-2
— He is 1-1, 2.45 in two starts against his old team.

— Arizona lost 23 of last 29 games.
— Arizona is 1-7 in its last eight road games.
— over 20-9-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-158
— record in first 5 innings: 56-86-16

— bullpen game

— Giants are 20-5 in last 25 games.
— Giants are 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— Over is 13-9 in last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 53-158
— record in first 5 innings: 83-53-22

San Diego (78-80) @ Los Angeles (102-56)
— Velasquez is 0-2, 12.60 in two starts for SD.
— San Diego is 0-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 1-3, 7.88 in 8 games (4 starts) vs Los Angeles.

— Padres are 12-30 in last 42 games.
— San Diego is 2-11 in last 13 road games.
— over 19-9-1 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-157
— record in first 5 innings: 63-72-22

— Gonsolin is 2-0, 2.08 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 8-4 in his starts.
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4
— He is 2-0, 0.66 in 3 games (2 starts) vs San Diego.

— Dodgers are 43-16 in last 59 games.
— Dodgers are 11-0 in last 11 home games.
— under 24-12-3 last 39 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-157
— record in first 5 innings: 85-49-23

AL games
Boston (89-69) @ Baltimore (50-107)
— Pivetta is 0-2, 6.12 in his last six starts.
— Boston is 2-7 in his last nine starts.
— under 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-6
— He is 3-0, 4.15 in four starts vs Baltimore this year.

— Boston is 1-4 in its last five games.
— Red Sox are 6-4 in last ten road games.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 52-158
— record in first 5 innings: 71-63-24

— Wells is 0-3, 8.13 in seven starts.
— Baltimore is 1-6 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP Sept 19 in Boston.

— Orioles are 12-41 in their last 53 games.
— Baltimore is 25-53 on road, 26-54 at home.
— under 10-5 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-158
— record in first 5 innings: 50-87-21

Bronx (90-68) @ Toronto (88-70)
— Kluber is 1-0, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— New York is 9-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
— He is 0-1, 5.73 in three starts vs Toronto this year.

— New York is 12-5 in its last 17 games.
— New York is 8-8 in last 16 road games.
— under 8-5-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-158
— record in first 5 innings: 69-58-32

— Ray is 4-1, 2.32 in his last seven starts.
— Toronto is 17-14 in his starts.
— under 9-2-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 16-8-7
— He is 0-2, 6.52 in two starts vs New York this year.

— Toronto is 4-5 in last nine games.
— Blue Jays are 9-3 in last 12 home games.
— Under is 6-1-1 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-158
— record in first 5 innings: 38-24-8 last 70

Detroit (75-83) @ Minnesota (71-87)
— Skubal is 0-0, 2.77 in his last four starts (13 IP).
— Detroit is 13-15 in his starts.
— under 10-3 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 11-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-16
— He is 0-2, 5.73 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Detroit is 10-9 in its last 19 games.
— Detroit is 7-9 in last 16 road games.
— under 36-16-3 last 55 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-159
— record in first 5 innings: 26-31-8 last 65

— Ryan is 2-1, 2.45 in four starts.
— Minnesota is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Minnesota is 13-10 in its last 23 games.
— Twins are 6-9 in last 15 home games.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 57-157
— record in first 5 innings: 53-77-27

Angels (75-83) @ Texas (57-99)
— Cobb is 4-0, 2.49 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 12-5 in his starts.
— over 11-6
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-4-1
— He is 1-1, 3.40 in seven starts vs Texas.

— Angels lost nine of last 12 games.
— Angels are 5-5 in last ten road games.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 46-158
— record in first 5 innings: 65-74-19

— Otto is 0-3, 8.02 in five starts.
— Texas is 0-5 in his starts.
— over 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 4.2 IP vs Anaheim Sept 3.

— Texas is 4-10 in last 14 games.
— Texas is 3-7 in last ten home games.
— under 4-1 last five home games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-158
— record in first 5 innings: 55-84-19

Cleveland (77-81) @ Kansas City (73-85)
— Bieber is 3-1, 3.14 in his last five starts.
— Indians are 10-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-1
— He is 0-0, 5.84 in two starts vs Kansas City this year.

— Cleveland is 19-20 in last 39 games.
— Indians are 5-4 in last nine road games.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scores run in first inning: 48-158
— record in first 5 innings: 62-73-23

— bullpen game

— Royals are 14-15 in their last 29 games.
— Royals are 3-4 in last seven home games.
— under 39-22-6 last 67 games.
— scores run in first inning: 44-158
— record in first 5 innings: 60-76-22

Tampa Bay (98-60) @ Houston (92-66)
— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay is 5-1 in its last six games.
— Rays are 3-6 in last nine road games.
— over 24-20-5 last 49 games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-158
— record in first 5 innings: 70-56-32

— McCullers is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 17-12 in his starts.
— under 14-12-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-29
— record in first 5 innings: 15-9-5
— He is 2-2, 2.77 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Astros are 1-5 in last six games.
— Astros are 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— over 13-8-3 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 54-158
— record in first 5 innings: 83-52-23

 

[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, September 30

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Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games
St. Louis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games

LA Angels @ Texas
LA Angels
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels

Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs

Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games at home

NY Yankees @ Toronto
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

Miami @ NY Mets
Miami
Miami is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Miami

Tampa Bay @ Houston
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games

Cleveland @ Kansas City
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

San Diego @ LA Dodgers
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 30




 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, September 30




 

[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Thursday September 30
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Arizona at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)

-- The Giants are 14-0 since August 2017 when they were favored by at least -200 last game and are not -200 favorites this game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Padres are 0-12 since September 22, 2018 as an underdog of more than +175.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Indians are 7-0-1 OU since June 6 as a road favorite.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Toronto (7:07 p.m. ET)

-- Corey Kluber is 6-0 OU sine October 29, 2016 when starting as an underdog.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)