Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/27

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Good Luck on day #270 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Some interesting spreads for Week 4 of NFL:
— Jaguars @ Bengals (-7.5)
— Washington @ Falcons (-1)
— Lions @ Bears (-3.5)
— Titans (-7.5) @ Jets
— Browns (-1) @ Vikings
— Colts @ Dolphins (-1.5)

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Green Bay 30, San Francisco 28:
— Crosby kicked 51-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Rodgers drove Packers 42 yards on six plays in last 0:37.
— Davante Adams caught 12 passes for 132 yards.
— Jones was only Packer to run ball (19 carries, 82 yards)

— 49ers converted 7-11 on 3rd down, still gained only 298 yards.
— SF had only one play of 20+ yards.
— 49ers are 0-5 ATS in last five home openers.
— Last 3+ years, Niners are 4-13-1 ATS as home favorites

Baltimore 19, Detroit 17:
— Tucker kicked NFL-record 66-yard FG on last play for win- it hit crossbar and went thru.
— Ravens converted 1-10 on 3rd down, Detroit 3-10.
— Tucker was 4-5 on FG’s; Baltimore scored only one TD.
— Last time Ravens were in Detroit (’13), Tucker kicked a 61-yard FG on last play for the win.

— Lions in 1st half: 29 plays, 76 yards, six punts.
— Lions in 2nd half: 32 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
— Detroit kicked FG with 1:07 left to take 17-16 lead.
— Total yardage 387-285, Ravens.

LA Chargers 30, Kansas City 24:
— Chargers scored nine points in last 2:14 for the win.
— Herbert threw for 281 yards, four TD’s.
— Three of LA’s four TD drives were less than 60 yards.
— Bolts are 3-12 last 15 games vs Chiefs, but won three of last four in Arrowhead.

— Chiefs turned ball over four times (-4), averaged only 5.5 yards/pass play.
— Kansas City allowed 95 points in first three games (1-2).
— KC ran ball for 186 yards, outgained Chargers 437-352.
— Coach Reid left Arrowhead in ambulance after game; it isn’t thought to be serious.

Las Vegas 31, Miami 28 OT
— Raiders are 3-0, with two wins in overtime.
— Las Vegas is scoring 30 ppg.
— Raiders outgained Miami, 497-330.
— Las Vegas had ten plays of 23+ yards, very explosive.

— Miami’s first score was a pick-6.
— Dolphins tied game on TD/2-point play with 0:02 left.
— Miami was 6-18 on third down, Raiders 8-15.
— Miami has given up 21 plays of 20+ yards, has only six themselves.

LA Rams 34, Tampa Bay 24:
— Rams won field position by 13 yards.
— Bucs’ best starting field position was their own 25.
— Tampa Bay ran ball 13 times for only 35 yards.
— Bucs allowed 29.3 ppg in their first three games (2-1).

— Rams are off to 3-0 start, scoring 31.7 ppg.
— LA’s first two drives: 8 plays, 17 yards, two punts.
— LA’s next six drives: 51 plays, 394 yards, 34 points.
— Rams are 9-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

Minnesota 30, Seattle 17:
— Seahawks lost last two games, giving up 33-30 points.
— Seattle has been outscored 39-13 in 2nd half this year.
— Seahawks converted 3-8 on third down, Vikings 9-14.
— Vikings ran 73 plays from scrimmage, Seattle only 52.

— Minnesota ends 7-game losing skid to Seattle.
— Vikings scored 29 ppg in first three games.
— Vikings scored six of first seven times they had ball.
— Vikings are now 6-1 ATS in last seven home openers.

Cincinnati 24, Pittsburgh 10:
— Bengals win for just 3rd time in last 17 games vs Pittsburgh.
— Cincy had 15-yard edge in starting field position.
— Last 7+ years, Bengals are 14-8 ATS in AFC North road games.
— Cincy was only 3-9 on third down, Pittsburgh 9-19.

— Steelers threw 58 passes, ran ball only 15 times.
— Steelers in 2nd half: 44 plays, 227 yards, only 3 points.
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 33-14 in first half of games.
— Steelers have scored only four TD’s on 29 drives this season.

Arizona 31, Jacksonville 19:
— Leading 19-17 late in 3rd, Lawrence threw horrific pick-6 that swung game.
— Jaguars have now lost 18 games in a row.
— Jacksonville turned ball over 4 times, were just 2-11 on third down.
— Jaguars ran a missed FG back 109 yards for a TD.

— Cardinals trailed 19-10; they scored on three of last four drives.
— Arizona was 1-9 on third down, but 2-2 on fourth down.
— Murray ran ball only seven times for 19 yards.
— Arizona won its first three games, scoring 34.3 ppg.

Tennessee 25, Indianapolis 16:
— Titans won despite turning ball over three times (-3, minus-6 for season).
— Tennessee ran for 180 yards; Henry had 113 of it.
— Titans converted 6-12 on third down, Colts 3-12.
— Tennessee outgained Indianapolis, 368-265

— Colts have only four TD’s on 29 drives this season.
— Colts averaged only 4.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Indy has only 39 points in 11 red zone drives.
— First win for home side in last six series games.

Buffalo 43, Washington 21:
— Bills won last two games, scoring 78 points.
— Buffalo had three TD drives of 52 or less yards.
— Buffalo outscored first three foes 51-14 in first half.
— McDermott is 19-12-1 ATS as a favorite.

— Buffalo won field position by 14 yards.
— Washington turned ball over three times (-3).
— Total yardage: Buffalo, 480-291.
— Washington converted only 9-34 third down plays so far.

New Orleans 28, New England 13:
— Up 14-3, Saints scored on pick-6 on first play of 3rd quarter.
— Saints ran for 142 yards, didn’t turn ball over (+3).
— In his career, Payton is 29-20-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Saints are 22-13-1 ATS in last 36 games on artificial turf.

— Rookie QB’s are 1-10 ATS so far this season.
— NE’s first five drives, an INT, three 3/outs, a blocked punt.
— Patriots threw 51 passes, ran ball only 17 times.
— Belichick’s career record without Brady: 63-74.

Atlanta 17, NY Giants 14:
— Falcons kicked 40-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Atlanta gained 171 in first three quarters, 130 yards in 4th quarter.
— Cordarrelle Patterson caught six passes for 82 yards.
— Atlanta lost field position in Weeks 1-2, by 15-13 yards; they were +7 here.

— Giants had ball in red zone 2 of first 3 drives, kicked two FG’s.
— Rest of game: 36 plays, 155 yards, 8 points.
— Barkley ran ball 16 times for only 51 yards.
— Last 4+ years, Giants are 9-24-1 ATS overall at home.

Cleveland 26, Chicago 6:
— Rookie QB Fields was 6-20/68 passing in his first NFL start.
— He was sacked 9 times for 67 yards- they had ONE passing yard!!!!
— Bears averaged 4.4/3.1/0.0 yards/pass play in first three games.
— 42 plays for 47 yards tends to get coaches fired.

— Cleveland ran 78 plays for 418 yards; Bears 42 plays, 47 yards.
— McLaughlin made 52-57 yard field goals.
— Browns ran ball for 174.7 ypg in first three games.
— Cleveland scored five of last six times they had ball.

Denver 26, NJ Jets 0:
— Jets lost first two games, scoring two TD’s on 32 drives.
— Jets have been outscored 46-3 in first half.
— Jets lost field position by 14-15-13 yards.
— Last 5+ years, Jets are 11-23-2 ATS as road underdogs.

— Denver won first three games, giving up 8.7 ppg.
— Opposing QB’s in those games; two rookies, Daniel Jones.
— Denver outscored opponents 39-12 in second half of games.
— Broncos outgained first three foes by 165.7 yards/game.

[Udog]

PITTSBURGH is 13-23 SU (-17.8 Units) in road games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season...

DETROIT is 19-7 SU (16.8 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current ...

KANSAS CITY is 10-23 SU (-18.8 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the current season.

COLORADO is 11-1 SU (12.3 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the current season.

SEATTLE is 57-26 SU (24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, September 27

NL games
Pittsburgh (58-97) @ Cincinnati (81-75)
—bullpen game

— Pirates are 10-8 in last 18 games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-12 in last 16 road games.
— over 13-9-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-155
— record in first 5 innings: 50-87-18

— bullpen game

— Cincinnati is 10-16 in its last 26 games.
— Reds are 7-8 in last 15 home games.
— under 22-11-1 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-156
— record in first 5 innings: 71-63-22

Washington (64-92) @ Colorado (71-84)
— Gray is 1-1, 9.26 in his last five starts.
— Washington is 3-7 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 5.1 IP vs Colorado 10 days ago.

— Washington is 22-49 in its last 71 games.
— Nationals are 5-10 in last 15 road games.
— over 34-16-3 last 53 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-156
— record in first 5 innings: 66-65-25

— Marquez is 1-0, 7.11 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 13-4 in his last 17 starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-31
— record in first 5 innings: 18-11-2
— He is 2-1, 7.77 in four starts vs Washington.

— Colorado is 0-4 in its last four games.
— Rockies are 46-32 at home, 25-52 on road.
— over 8-5 last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 51-155
— record in first 5 innings: 62-70-23

AL games
White Sox (88-68) @ Detroit (75-80)
— Keuchel is 0-3, 9.47 in his last six starts.
— White Sox are 2-9 in his last 11 starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-5
— He is 0-1, 6.60 in three starts vs Detroit this year.

— Chicago is 15-13 in last 28 games.
— White Sox are 9-13 in last 22 road games.
— under 14-6 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-156
— record in first 5 innings: 85-46-25

— Manning is 1-0, 3.21 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 8-8 in his starts.
— under 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He is 0-0, 5.87 in two starts vs Chicago this year.

— Detroit is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
— Detroit is 7-4 in last 11 home games.
— under 34-15-3 last 52 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-156
— record in first 5 innings: 26-28-8 last 62

Kansas City (71-84) @ Cleveland (76-79)
— Kowar is 0-4, 12.32 in six starts.
— Kansas City is 1-5 in his starts.
— over 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP vs Cleveland Sept. 1.

— Royals are 12-14 in their last 26 games.
— Royals are 7-3 in last ten road games.
— under 39-19-6 last 64 games.
— scores run in first inning: 41-158
— record in first 5 innings: 60-75-23

— Quantrill is 3-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 9-12 in his starts.
— under 11-2 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 13-3-5
— He is 2-0, 2.84 in two starts vs KC this year.

— Cleveland is 18-18 in last 36 games.
— Indians are 4-11 in last 15 home games.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scores run in first inning: 45-155
— record in first 5 innings: 61-73-21

Oakland (85-71) @ Seattle (86-70)
— Irvin is 1-2, 6.84 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 14-16 in his starts.
— under 18-10-2
— allowed run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 12-16-2
— He is 0-4, 7.56 in four starts vs Seattle this year.

— A’s won their last three games.
— Oakland is 5-0 in its last five road games.
— Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-156
— record in first 5 innings: 71-60-25

— Flexen is 2-0, 1.42 in his last two starts.
— Mariners are 20-9 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 17-10-2
— He is 2-2, 3.96 in four starts vs Oakland this year.

— Seattle is 18-9 in last 27 games.
— Seattle is 1-4 in last five home games.
— over 15-6-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-156
— record in first 5 innings: 68-66-22




MLB

Monday, September 27

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Trend Report
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Chi White Sox @ Detroit
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 12 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Washington @ Colorado
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games

Oakland @ Seattle
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland


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[Udog]

PITTSBURGH is 13-23 SU (-17.8 Units) in road games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season...

DETROIT is 19-7 SU (16.8 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current ...

KANSAS CITY is 10-23 SU (-18.8 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the current season.

COLORADO is 11-1 SU (12.3 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the current season.

SEATTLE is 57-26 SU (24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, September 27

NL games
Pittsburgh (58-97) @ Cincinnati (81-75)
—bullpen game

— Pirates are 10-8 in last 18 games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-12 in last 16 road games.
— over 13-9-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-155
— record in first 5 innings: 50-87-18

— bullpen game

— Cincinnati is 10-16 in its last 26 games.
— Reds are 7-8 in last 15 home games.
— under 22-11-1 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-156
— record in first 5 innings: 71-63-22

Washington (64-92) @ Colorado (71-84)
— Gray is 1-1, 9.26 in his last five starts.
— Washington is 3-7 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 5.1 IP vs Colorado 10 days ago.

— Washington is 22-49 in its last 71 games.
— Nationals are 5-10 in last 15 road games.
— over 34-16-3 last 53 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-156
— record in first 5 innings: 66-65-25

— Marquez is 1-0, 7.11 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 13-4 in his last 17 starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-31
— record in first 5 innings: 18-11-2
— He is 2-1, 7.77 in four starts vs Washington.

— Colorado is 0-4 in its last four games.
— Rockies are 46-32 at home, 25-52 on road.
— over 8-5 last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 51-155
— record in first 5 innings: 62-70-23

AL games
White Sox (88-68) @ Detroit (75-80)
— Keuchel is 0-3, 9.47 in his last six starts.
— White Sox are 2-9 in his last 11 starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-5
— He is 0-1, 6.60 in three starts vs Detroit this year.

— Chicago is 15-13 in last 28 games.
— White Sox are 9-13 in last 22 road games.
— under 14-6 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-156
— record in first 5 innings: 85-46-25

— Manning is 1-0, 3.21 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 8-8 in his starts.
— under 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He is 0-0, 5.87 in two starts vs Chicago this year.

— Detroit is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
— Detroit is 7-4 in last 11 home games.
— under 34-15-3 last 52 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-156
— record in first 5 innings: 26-28-8 last 62

Kansas City (71-84) @ Cleveland (76-79)
— Kowar is 0-4, 12.32 in six starts.
— Kansas City is 1-5 in his starts.
— over 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP vs Cleveland Sept. 1.

— Royals are 12-14 in their last 26 games.
— Royals are 7-3 in last ten road games.
— under 39-19-6 last 64 games.
— scores run in first inning: 41-158
— record in first 5 innings: 60-75-23

— Quantrill is 3-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 9-12 in his starts.
— under 11-2 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 13-3-5
— He is 2-0, 2.84 in two starts vs KC this year.

— Cleveland is 18-18 in last 36 games.
— Indians are 4-11 in last 15 home games.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scores run in first inning: 45-155
— record in first 5 innings: 61-73-21

Oakland (85-71) @ Seattle (86-70)
— Irvin is 1-2, 6.84 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 14-16 in his starts.
— under 18-10-2
— allowed run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 12-16-2
— He is 0-4, 7.56 in four starts vs Seattle this year.

— A’s won their last three games.
— Oakland is 5-0 in its last five road games.
— Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-156
— record in first 5 innings: 71-60-25

— Flexen is 2-0, 1.42 in his last two starts.
— Mariners are 20-9 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 17-10-2
— He is 2-2, 3.96 in four starts vs Oakland this year.

— Seattle is 18-9 in last 27 games.
— Seattle is 1-4 in last five home games.
— over 15-6-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-156
— record in first 5 innings: 68-66-22




MLB

Monday, September 27

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chi White Sox @ Detroit
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 12 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Washington @ Colorado
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games

Oakland @ Seattle
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland


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v

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, September 27




 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, September 27




 

[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Monday September 27
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Colorado (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockies are 11-0 since September 2020 as a home favorite of at least -130 against an NL team when Jon Gray is not their starter.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Cleveland (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Royals are 0-8 since June 2018 coming off a win where they scored two or fewer runs and the game had at least nine total hits.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Pirates are 0-7-2 OU this season coming off a 5+ run win as an underdog.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- Dallas Keuchel is 0-7 since July 26 pitching as a favorite vs. an AL team.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)