Announcement

**Udog** · 09-23-2021, 07:50 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL leaders in passing yardage:
817— Derek Carr, LV
689— Kyler Murray, Ariz
680— Patrick Mahomes, KC
675— Justin Herbert, LAC
655— Tom Brady, TB
640— Dak Prescott, Dal

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Tampa Bay Rays clinched their third straight playoff spot Wednesday; they’re 94-59 this year, are jogging to the AL East title. Kevin Cash has done a hell of a job managing them; too bad they don’t draw very well. Have a feeling that when baseball expands in a couple years, the Rays could wind up north of the border, in Montreal maybe?

12) Since 1990, NFL teams that started a season 0-2 made the playoffs only 11.6% of the time; those odds will go up, since the season is now 17 games instead of 16, but still, 0-2 ain’t good.

11) Since 2000, these NFL teams have started the most different QB’s:
29— Cleveland
26— Chicago (Justin Fields will be #26 this week)
24— Washington
23— Miami

10) Jeff Driskel is the backup QB for Houston tonight; technically he is their #4 QB, but Tyros Taylor is hurt and Deshaun Watson has other issues, so rookie Davis Mills and Driskel are it for the Texans this week.

Hopefully Driskel writes a book someday; he played four years for the Florida Gators, then played his last year of college at Louisiana Tech. 49ers drafted him in the 6th round of the 2016 draft, but he never played for them. Here is Driskel’s resume:

2018: Bengals 1-4 as starter, 1,003 PY, 6 TD’s, 2 INT
2019: Lions 0-3 as starter, 685 PY, 4 TD’s, 4 INT
2020: Broncos 0-1 as starter, 432 PY, 3 TD’s, 2 INT

Four years, four teams. Quite an experience.

9) Kyle Schwarber has nine home runs in 10 games against the Mets this year.

8) Speaking of the Mets, Taijuan Walker gave up six runs in 2+ IP in Boston Wednesday; Walker was 7-3, 2.06 at the All-Star break this year, made the All-Star team, but in 13 starts since then, Walker is 0-8, 8.03 in 13 starts. A disturbing reversal of fortune.

7) Cardinals 10, Brewers 2— St Louis won its 11th straight game, have a 4.5 game lead over the Reds/Phillies for the second Wild Card spot.

6) Giants 8, Padres 6— Buster Posey had four hits, scored three runs; Giants have a 2-game lead over the Dodgers in the NL West.

5) NFL QB changes:
— Davis Mills gets his first NFL start for Houston tonight.
— Jacoby Brissett starts for Miami this week when they visit Las Vegas.
— Justin Fields gets his first NFL when the Bears visit Cleveland.

4) Minnesota Timberwolves fired President of Basketball Operations Gersson Rosas; weird time to do it, so close to the start of training camp.

Timberwolves will switch ownership to Alex Rodriguez and Marc Lore in 2023; you wonder if they wanted Rosas out, and let current owner Glen Taylor do the dirty work for them.

3) Braves’ OF Eddie Rosario hit for the cycle the other night; in the four at-bats where he got his hits, he saw a total of five pitches, which has to be some kind of a record.

2) Raiders’ kicker Daniel Carlson admitted his 14-point performance in Pittsburgh LW led to his losing a fantasy football game where he was playing against himself.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: St Louis @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: New York @ Boston

**Udog** · 09-23-2021, 09:53 AM

CLEVELAND is 15-4 SU (10.6 Units) revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 47-26 SU (25.8 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

COLORADO is 47-22 SU (30.4 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

SEATTLE is 56-26 SU (23.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

ARIZONA is 11-31 SU (-21.3 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 26-6 SU (18.8 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season...

CLEVELAND is 32-18 SU (16.1 Units) vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in the ...

WASHINGTON is 19-29 SU (-17.3 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 5-18 SU (-16.8 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the curr...

TEXAS are 4-17 SU (-14.7 Units) in road games after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs in the last 3 ...

MINNESOTA is 10-37 SU (-26 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

HOUSTON is 20-8 SU (14 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better in the current season.

**Udog** · 09-23-2021, 10:01 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 23

**Udog** · 09-23-2021, 10:12 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 23

NL games
St Louis (82-69) @ Milwaukee (91-61)
— Wainwright is 5-0, 1.73 in his last six starts.
— Cardinals are 20-10 in his starts.
— under 17-12-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-30
— record in first 5 innings: 15-10-5
— He is 1-1, 2.60 in three starts vs Milwaukee this year.

— Cardinals won 11 in row, 18 of last 25 games.
— St Louis is 9-3 in its last 12 road games.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 58-151
— record in first 5 innings: 72-57-22

— Houser is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 17-7 in his starts.
— over 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 9-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-2
— He is 2-0, 0.64 in two starts vs St Louis this year.

— Brewers lost their last four games.
— Milwaukee is 10-7 in last 17 home games.
— over 7-3 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 76-48-28

Los Angeles (97-55) @ Colorado (71-80)
— Scherzer is 4-0, 0.25 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 9-0 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 9-0
— He is 0-3, 5.88 in five starts at Coors Field.

— Dodgers are 38-15 in last 53 games.
— Dodgers are 6-6 in last 12 road games.
— under 22-9-3 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 83-47-22

— Freeland is 1-2, 6.06 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 11-10 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-5
— He is 1-2, 3.00 in three starts vs Los Angeles this year.

— Colorado is 6-2 in its last eight games.
— Rockies are 46-28 at home, 25-52 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-151
— record in first 5 innings: 61-68-22

Atlanta (80-70) @ Arizona (48-104)
— Morton is 1-1, 2.88 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 18-9-3
— He is 5-1, 3.67 in ten starts vs Arizona.

— Braves won their last four games.
— Atlanta is 6-7 in last 12 road games.
— under 18-9-4 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 54-150
— record in first 5 innings: 76-52-22

— Bumgarner is 0-3, 6.30 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 9-15 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 10-24
— record in first 5 innings: 19-13-2
— He is 8-3, 2.52 in 14 starts vs Atlanta.

— Arizona lost 19 of last 23 games.
— Arizona is 0-8 in its last eight home games.
— over 17-6-1 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-152
— record in first 5 innings: 55-83-14

San Francisco (99-53) @ San Diego (76-75)
— Webb is 5-0, 2.36 in his last eight starts.
— Giants are 16-1 in his last 17 starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-6-4
— He is starts vs San Diego.

— Giants are 15-4 in last 19 games.
— Giants are 8-0 in last eight road games.
— Over is 11-5 in last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 81-52-19

— Darvish is 1-4, 7.62 in his last six starts.
— Padres are 16-12 in his starts.
— over 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-9
— He is 1-1, 5.19 in three starts vs San Francisco this year.

— Padres lost 25 of last 35 games.
— San Diego is 3-8 in last 11 home games.
— over 15-6-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-150
— record in first 5 innings: 61-70-19

Washington (63-89) @ Cincinnati (78-74)
— Corbin is 1-3, 7.96 in his last five starts.
— Washington is 12-17 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 13-29
— record in first 5 innings: 11-14-4
— He is 2-4, 4.53 in nine starts vs Cincinnati.

— Washington is 21-46 in its last 67 games.
— Nationals are 4-7 in last 11 road games.
— over 31-15-3 last 49 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-154
— record in first 5 innings: 64-64-26

— Castillo is 1-1, 3.26 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 10-31
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 14-14-3
— He is 0-3, 5.48 in four starts vs Washington.

— Cincinnati is 7-15 in its last 22 games.
— Reds are 4-7 in last 11 home games.
— under 21-8-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-152
— record in first 5 innings: 70-61-21

Pittsburgh (57-94) @ Philadelphia (78-74)
— bullpen game

— Pirates are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— Pittsburgh is 3-9 in last 12 road games.
— over 11-7-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-149
— record in first 5 innings: 46-85-18

— Wheeler is 1-1, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 14-16 in his starts.
— over 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-15-1
— He is 2-0, 2.22 in four starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Phillies are 6-2 in last eight games.
— Phillies are 44-33 at home, 34-41 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 64-57-31

AL games
White Sox (85-66) @ Cleveland (74-76)
— Lopez is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 2-3, 3.71 in seven starts vs Cleveland.

— bullpen game

— Chicago is 12-11 in last 23 games.
— White Sox are 6-11 in last 17 road games.
— under 11-4 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-151
— record in first 5 innings: 82-44-25

— Allen is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 2-8 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Civale is 1-2, 3.93 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 13-5 in his starts.
— over 11-7
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 4-2, 3.51 in six starts vs Chicago

— Cleveland is 16-15 in last 31 games.
— Indians are 2-8 in last ten home games.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scores run in first inning: 44-150
— record in first 5 innings: 59-70-21

Seattle (83-69) @ Oakland (82-70)
— Kikuchi is starts.
— Mariners are 19-9 in his starts.
— over 15-13
— allowed run in first inning: 9-28
— record in first 5 innings: 16-10-2
— He is starts vs Oakland this year.

— Seattle is 15-8 in last 23 games.
— Seattle is 12-3 in last 15 road games.
— over 12-5-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-152
— record in first 5 innings: 67-63-22

— Bassitt is 2-1, 1.71 in his last four starts.
— His last start was August 17; he got his cheekbone broken by a line drive.
— A’s are 17-8 in his starts.
— under 14-11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-7
— He is 0-0, 8.00 in two starts vs Seattle this year.

— A’s are 14-21 in their last 35 games.
— Oakland is 5-6 in last 11 home games.
— Under is 6-0-1 in their last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-152
— record in first 5 innings: 69-60-23

Texas (54-97) @ Baltimore (48-104)
— Otto allowed 15 runs in 6.2 IP in his last two starts.
— Rangers are 0-4 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings:1-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Texas is 1-7 in last eight games.
— Texas is 6-4 in last ten road games.
— under 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-152
— record in first 5 innings: 53-82-17

— Lowther is 0-2, 11.85 in four starts.
— Baltimore is 0-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Orioles are 9-38 in their last 47 games.
— Baltimore is 25-53 on road, 23-51 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-152
— record in first 5 innings: 48-84-20

Toronto (85-67) @ Minnesota (67-85)
— Matz is 3-0, 4.08 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 14-13 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 16-8-3
— He is 1-0, 3.72 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Toronto is 19-6 in last 25 games.
— Blue Jays are 10-3 in last 13 road games.
— Over is 6-5-2 in last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-151
— record in first 5 innings: 35-21-8 last 64

— Pineda is 2-0, 3.38 in his last two starts.
— Twins are 8-11 in his starts.
— over 7-3-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
— He is 3-5, 4.29 in 15 starts vs Toronto.

— Minnesota is 9-8 in its last 17 games.
— Twins are 2-7 in last nine home games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 55-151
— record in first 5 innings: 49-75-27

Houston (91-61) @ Angels (72-80)
— McCullers is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 16-10 in his starts.
— over 14-11-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 15-8-3
— He is 1-1, 2.10 in four starts vs Anaheim this year.

— Astros are 14-9 in last 23 games.
— Astros are 6-1 in last seven road games.
— over 11-4-3 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 53-152
— record in first 5 innings: 83-48-21

— Cobb is 3-0, 1.65 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 11-5 in his starts.
— over 11-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-1
— He is 1-3, 8.50 in four starts vs Houston.

— Angels lost their last six games.
— Angels are 5-9 in last 14 home games.
— under 6-4-1 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 44-152
— record in first 5 innings: 62-72-18

**Udog** · 09-23-2021, 10:13 AM

MLB

Thursday, September 23

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Trend Report
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Chi White Sox @ Cleveland
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

St. Louis @ Milwaukee
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing Colorado
LA Dodgers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Colorado
Colorado is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers

Seattle @ Oakland
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games

Atlanta @ Arizona
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games at home

San Francisco @ San Diego
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 11 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Diego's last 11 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games

Chi White Sox @ Cleveland
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Washington @ Cincinnati
Washington
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Washington is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games

Texas @ Baltimore
Texas
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games

Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games

Toronto @ Minnesota
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

Houston @ LA Angels
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 17 of LA Angels's last 25 games when playing Houston

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**Udog** · 09-23-2021, 10:19 AM

Diamond Trends for Thursday September 23
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at Oakland (3:37 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 9-0 since April 29 playing the fourth game of a series.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Francisco at San Diego (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Padres are 0-12 since September 12, 2020 as a home dog of more than +100 when they were not shutout last game. All 12 losses have been by multiple runs.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Francisco at San Diego (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Giants are 0-9-2 OU in the last game of a road series when they scored less than 15 runs last game and allowed at least a run.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Colorado (3:10 p.m. ET)

-- Max Scherzer is 11-0 since October 2019 when he allowed 2 of fewer hits last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

**Udog** · 09-23-2021, 11:03 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, September 23

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/23

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/23

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