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Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/16

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  • Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/16

    Trends and Indexes

    Good Luck on day #259 of 2021!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    NFL leaders in rushing yardage:
    127— Joe Mixon, Cincy
    108— David Montgomery, Chi
    104— Elijah Mitchell, SF
    101— Melvin Gordon, Den
    100— Damien Harris, NE
    98— Christian McCaffrey, Car

    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) Red Sox 9, Mariners 4 (10)— Last two days, Boston outscored Seattle 12-3 in last two innings, pulling out a pair of wins that pushed the Mariners four games out of playoff chase.

    12) Atlanta Braves have played in 11 games this season that were tied after eight innings; they lost 10 of them, but somehow are still in first place in NL East.

    11) Cubs aren’t going anywhere this year; it’ll be interesting to see the team they put on the field next year. On July 18, they acquired 1B Frank Schwindel on waivers from the A’s; the guy has hit .361 in 39 games for Chicago, with a 1.075 OPS. He’s been awesome.

    10) Cardinals 11, Mets 4— St Louis scored 25 runs in their 3-game sweep of the Mets; they’ve won five in row overall, are now in the 2nd Wild Card slot, but by a narrow margin.

    9) Pirates 5, Reds 4— Cincinnati has lost four in row, 12 of last 16 games, as the playoffs begin to slip away. They’re 11-16 since the last time LF Jesse Winker played.

    8) Marlins 8, Nationals 6— Jesus Sanchez homered twice, including a 2-run blast during a 4-run ninth inning. Marlins are two games ahead of Washington in the race to avoid the cellar in the NL East.

    7) New England hasn’t been 0-2 since 2001; Packers haven’t been 0-2 since 2006, Dallas hasn’t been 0-2 since 2010.

    6) Last six times Denver Broncos won their season opener, they also won in Week 2.

    5) Cowboys’ DE DeMarcus Lawrence broke his foot, is out 6-8 weeks; he is Dallas’ best defensive player.

    4) Mike Trout haas’t played since May 17; he has an injured calf. Imagine the fantasy teams that have gone down the drain this year because he hasn’t played?

    3) In 1980 the Oakland A’s had three different starting pitchers throw 14-inning complete games, because their bullpen sucked and their manager (Billy Martin) didn’t give a rat’s ass about the future of the franchise. He just wanted to get re-hired by the Bronx Bombers.

    I was 20 that summer; 41 years later, the A’s bullpen is just as bad, and it has cost them dearly over the last month (10-18 in last 28 games) as playoff contention slips away. They play the Astros, Mariners mostly the rest of the way; they’ll have to score lot of runs to win more than they lose.

    PS From 1982 on, those starting pitchers that were overused in 1980 all had medical issues and the A’s felt into the trash can, thanks to a manager who put himself ahead of the team in 1980. After a 68-94 season in 1982, Martin jumped back to the Bronx. Good riddance.

    2) When college coaches recruit these days, you think they propose ways players can make $$$ off the new NIL rules? Would seem stupid if they didn’t; the QB at Alabama had an $800,000 deal before he threw a pass. Basketball especially, with smaller rosters; lot of money to be made.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: St Louis @ Los Angeles
    AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: 3-way playoff (Tor-NY-Bos)

     

    Comment


    • #3
      COLORADO is 13-27 SU (-22.5 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

      CINCINNATI is 0-11 SU (-12.5 Units) in road games vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

      OAKLAND is 40-21 SU (23.8 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

      CHI WHITE SOX is 25-15 SU (15.9 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the c...

      SAN DIEGO is 11-29 SU (-22.2 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season in the...

      BALTIMORE is 13-32 SU (-21.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

      CHICAGO CUBS are 21-6 SU (13.8 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the cu...

      TAMPA BAY is 12-2 SU (9.8 Units) at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the current season.

      TEXAS are 15-38 SU (-26.8 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.


       

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Dunkel

        Thursday, September 16





         

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Thursday, September 16


          NL games
          Colorado (68-78) @ Atlanta (76-68)

          — Marquez is 1-1, 5.85 in his last four starts.
          — Rockies are 18-11 in his starts.
          — over 6-3 last nine
          — allowed run in first inning: 5-29
          — record in first 5 innings: 17-10-2
          — He is 1-2, 6.65 in four starts vs Atlanta.

          — Colorado is 5-1 in its last six games.
          — Rockies are 45-27 at home, 23-51 on road.
          — under 8-2-2 last 12 road games.
          — scored run in first inning: 47-146
          — record in first 5 innings: 59-66-21

          — Anderson is 2-0, 3.95 in his last three starts.
          — Atlanta is 11-10 in his starts.
          — under 9-9-3
          — allowed run in first inning: 8-21
          — record in first 5 innings: 8-8-5
          — He allowed 4 runs in 3 IP, in one start vs Colorado.

          — Braves are 1-3 in last four games.
          — Atlanta is 10-7 in last 17 home games.
          — under 15-6-4 last 25 games
          — scored run in first inning: 51-144
          — record in first 5 innings: 73-50-21

          Cincinnati (75-71) @ Pittsburgh (54-91)
          — Mahle is 1-1, 3.42 in his last four starts.
          — Reds are 18-11 in his starts.
          — under 5-2 last seven
          — allowed run in first inning: 9-29
          — you’re reading ***************.com
          — record in first 5 innings: 17-7-5
          — He is 2-0, 2.19 in two starts vs Pittsburgh this year.

          — Cincinnati is 4-12 in its last 16 games.
          — Reds are 7-13 in last 20 road games.
          — under 17-6-1 last 24 games
          — scored run in first inning: 44-145
          — record in first 5 innings: 68-58-20

          — bullpen game

          — Pirates are 18-38 in last 56 games.
          — Pittsburgh is 10-5 in last 15 home games.
          — over 8-4-1 last 13 games
          — scored run in first inning: 36-143
          — record in first 5 innings: 44-83-16

          San Diego (74-70) @ San Francisco (95-51)
          — bullpen game

          — Padres lost 20 of last 29 games.
          — San Diego is 5-14 in last 19 road games.
          — over 10-5-1 last 16 games
          — scored run in first inning: 41-144
          — record in first 5 innings: 58-67-19

          — Gausman is 2-0, 3.75 in his last four starts.
          — Giants are 19-10 in his starts.
          — over 9-2 last 11
          — allowed run in first inning: 9-29
          — record in first 5 innings: 18-6-5
          — He is 2-0, 1.42 in three starts vs San Diego this year.

          — Giants are 11-2 in last 13 games.
          — Giants are 5-2 in last seven home games.
          — Over is 7-3 in last ten games.
          — scored run in first inning: 47-146
          — record in first 5 innings: 78-50-18

          Cubs (66-80) @ Philadelphia (73-72)
          — Hendricks is 0-1, 7.77 in his last four starts.
          — Cubs are 17-12 in his starts.
          — over 7-2 last nine
          — allowed run in first inning: 9-29
          — record in first 5 innings: 17-11
          — He is 4-2, 3.26 in six starts vs Philly.

          — Cubs are 9-5 in last 14 games.
          — Chicago is 6-3 in last nine road games.
          — Over is 12-8 in last 20 games.
          — scored run in first inning: 40-145
          — record in first 5 innings: 57-72-16

          — bullpen game

          — Phillies are 2-6 in last eight games.
          — Phillies are 41-32 at home, 32-40 on road.
          — over 12-7-1 last 20 games.
          — scored run in first inning: 48-145
          — record in first 5 innings: 62-55-28

          AL games
          Oakland (78-67) @ Kansas City (66-79)

          — Blackburn is 0-2, 5.24 in five starts.
          — A’s are 2-3 in his starts.
          — under 3-2
          — allowed run in first inning: 2-5
          — record in first 5 innings: 3-2
          — He is 1-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Kansas City.

          — A’s are 10-18 in last 28 games.
          — Oakland is 2-5 in last seven road games.
          — Over is 11-6-1 in their last 18 games.
          — scored run in first inning: 43-145
          — record in first 5 innings: 66-56-23

          — Lynch is 0-1, 7.43 in his last three starts.
          — Kansas City is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
          — under 6-5-1
          — allowed run in first inning: 4-12
          — record in first 5 innings: 4-4-4
          — He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

          — Royals are 7-9 in its last 16 games.
          — Royals are 3-6 in last nine home games.
          — under 31-18-5 last 54 games.
          — scores run in first inning: 37-148
          — record in first 5 innings: 54-71-23

          Angels (71-74) @ White Sox (83-62)
          — Cobb is 2-0, 2.19 in his last four starts.
          — His last start was July 23.
          — Angels are 10-5 in his starts.
          — over 10-5
          — allowed run in first inning: 2-15
          — record in first 5 innings: 10-4-1
          — He is 0-3, 10.70 in four starts vs Chicago.

          — Angels are 8-7 in last 15 games.
          — Angels are 4-9 in last 13 road games.
          — over 8-6 last 14 road games
          — scored run in first inning: 44-145
          — record in first 5 innings: 60-67-18

          — Lopez is 1-1, 3.86 in his last three starts.
          — White Sox are 3-3 in his starts.
          — over 3-3
          — allowed run in first inning: 2-6
          — record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
          — He is 0-1, 4.67 in three starts vs Anaheim.

          — Chicago is 10-7 in last 17 games.
          — White Sox are 10-4 in last 14 home games.
          — under 6-3 last nine games.
          — scored run in first inning: 42-145
          — record in first 5 innings: 80-42-23

          Bronx (82-64) @ Baltimore (46-99)
          — Montgomery is 1-1, 4.74 in his last four starts.
          — New York is 14-11 in his starts.
          — under 10-3 last 13
          — allowed run in first inning: 9-25
          — record in first 5 innings: 7-15-3
          — He is 1-0, 3.86 in four starts vs Baltimore this year.

          — New York won four of last five games.
          — New York is 4-6 in last ten road games.
          — over 5-2 last seven games
          — scored run in first inning: 33-146
          — record in first 5 innings: 61-53-32

          — Ellis is 0-0, 2.55 in four starts.
          — Baltimore is 3-1 in his starts.
          — under 2-2
          — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
          — record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
          — He blanked New York for 5 innings September 5.

          — Orioles are 7-33 in their last 40 games.
          — Baltimore is 24-48 on road, 22-51 at home.
          — over 8-7-1 last 16 home games.
          — scored run in first inning: 48-145
          — record in first 5 innings: 46-80-19

          Detroit (70-76) @ Tampa Bay (90-56)
          — Alexander is 0-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
          — Detroit is 9-2 in his starts.
          — over 7-4
          — allowed run in first inning: 4-11
          — record in first 5 innings: 5-3-3
          — He allowed a run in 4.1 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

          — Detroit is 13-16 in its last 29 games.
          — Detroit is 8-5 in last 13 road games.
          — under 25-14-3 last 42 games
          — scored run in first inning: 29-146
          — record in first 5 innings: 23-23-7 last 53

          — bullpen game

          — Tampa Bay lost five of last seven games.
          — Rays are 11-4 in last 15 home games.
          — over 21-11-5 last 37 games.
          — scored run in first inning: 45-146
          — record in first 5 innings: 62-53-31

          Houston (85-60) @ Texas (53-91)
          — Valdez is 2-1, 3.96 in his last four starts.
          — Astros are 12-7 in his starts.
          — over 3-1 last four
          — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
          — record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
          — He is 2-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Texas this year.

          — Astros are 8-8 in last 16 games.
          — Astros are 3-5 in last eight road games.
          — over 6-3-2 last 11 games
          — scored run in first inning: 50-145
          — record in first 5 innings: 79-46-20

          — Otto is 0-1, 6.92 in three starts.
          — Texas is 0-3 in his starts.
          — over 1-1-1
          — allowed run in first inning: 1-3
          — record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
          — He blanked Houston for 5 IP August 27.

          — Texas is 7-3 in last ten games.
          — Texas is 4-3 in last seven home games.
          — over 18-13-4 last 35 games.
          — scored run in first inning: 29-145
          — record in first 5 innings: 51-77-17

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB

            Thursday, September 16


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Colorado @ Atlanta
            Colorado
            Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
            Colorado is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
            Atlanta
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Colorado
            Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

            Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
            Cincinnati
            Cincinnati is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Pittsburgh
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 13 games on the road
            Pittsburgh
            Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

            LA Angels @ Chi White Sox
            LA Angels
            LA Angels is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Chi White Sox
            LA Angels is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
            Chi White Sox
            Chi White Sox is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games

            Oakland @ Kansas City
            Oakland
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
            Kansas City
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games

            San Diego @ San Francisco
            San Diego
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
            San Francisco
            San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing San Diego

            NY Yankees @ Baltimore
            NY Yankees
            NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
            Baltimore
            Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

            Chi Cubs @ Philadelphia
            Chi Cubs
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
            Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Philadelphia
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
            Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

            Detroit @ Tampa Bay
            Detroit
            Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
            Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            Tampa Bay
            Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

            Houston @ Texas
            Houston
            Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Texas
            Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Texas
            Texas
            Texas is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
            Texas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


             

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Weather Report

              Thursday, September 16





               

              Comment


              • #8
                Diamond Trends for Thursday September 16
                Vince Akins

                SU Play ON Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Oakland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Athletics are 8-0 this season on the road in weekday day games that are not the series opener.

                SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Baltimore (5:05 p.m. ET)

                -- The Orioles are 0-13 since May 20 in the last game of a series vs. a divisional opponent if they allowed at least four hits last game.

                OU Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. ET)

                -- The Rangers are 0-7-1 since May 2021 in the fourth game of a series when the total is no more than 9.

                Starter-Based Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Colorado at Atlanta (12:20 p.m. ET)

                -- German Marquez is 0-12-1 OU in his career when neither team is a favorite of -200 or more after he did not allow any runs in his last start.

                Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


                 

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