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Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/13

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  • Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Good Luck on day #256 of 2021!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    College football leagues ATS so far this season:
    — ACC teams are 2-6 ATS away from home.
    — Big 14 teams are 9-3 ATS as favorites.
    — Big X teams are 2-7 ATS as favorites.
    — Mountain West teams are 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Pac-12 teams are 3-6 ATS as favorites.
    — Sun Belt teams are 2-5 ATS on the road.

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Cincinnati 27, Minnesota 24 (OT)
    — Vikings drilled a 53-yard FG at gun to force OT.
    — Minnesota threw 50 passes, ran ball only 22 times.
    — penalties: Vikings 12 for 116 yards; Bengals 3 for 15
    — Vikings are 0-4-1 SU, 0-5 ATS last five road openers.

    — Cincinnati kicked 33-yard FG on last play of overtime.
    — Bengals’ first three drives: 11 plays, 14 yards, 0 points
    — Bengals’ next three drives: 24 plays, 225 yards, 21 points
    — Cincinnati started out 1-0 five of last eight years.

    San Francisco 41, Detroit 33
    — SF led this game 38-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
    — 49ers got pick-6 that made it 28-10 with 1:10 left in half.
    — 49ers averaged 11.5 yards/pass play.
    — 49ers won 9 of last 11 season openers.

    — Detroit had ball on 49ers’ 25 in last 0:30 to tie game.
    — Lions lost five of last seven home openers.
    — Over 9-3 in their last 12 home openers.
    — Lions’ last 11 season openers went over the total.

    Pittsburgh 23, Buffalo 16
    — Steelers blocked a punt for a TD.
    — Steelers’ first five drives: 21 plays, 38 yards, 0 points.
    — Steelers’ last four drives: 34 plays, 231 yards, 16 points.
    — Steelers are 11-3 ATS in last 14 games as road underdogs.

    — Bills ran 79 plays for 371 yards; Steelers 55 for 252.
    — Buffalo had ball in red zone four times, scored only 16 points.
    — Bills converted 8-18 on third down; Steelers only 4-12.
    — Buffalo averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.

    Carolina 19, NJ Jets 14
    — Jets’ first eight drives: 37 plays, 68 yards, 0 points.
    — Jets scored TD’s on two of their last three drives.
    — Jets started 0-1 five of last six years.
    — Last 5+ years, Gang Green is 10-23-2 ATS as road underdogs.

    — Panthers had 14-yard edge in starting field position.
    — Total yardage: Carolina 381, Jets 252.
    — Panthers’ QB Darnold threw for 279 yards and a TD.
    — Last 6+ years, Carolina is 16-9 ATS vs AFC teams.

    Philadelphia 32, Atlanta 6
    — Total yardage: Eagles 434, Falcons 260
    — Three trips to red zone, Eagles scored 22 points.
    — Philly had 14 penalties for 89 yards; Falcons 12 for 99.
    — Eagles won five of last six season openers.

    — Falcons were only team in 1:00 games not to score a TD.
    — Atlanta was also only team not to have a play of 20+ yards.
    — Last 5+ years, Falcons are 15-19 ATS as home favorites.
    — Falcons lost five of last six Week 1 games

    Arizona 38, Tennessee 13
    — Arizona scored on four of first five possessions (24 points)
    — Total yardage: Cardinals 416, Tennessee 258
    — Murray threw for 289 yards, four TD’s.
    — Cardinals had 17-yard edge in starting field position.

    — Titans’ first four drives: 15 plays, minus-16 yards, 0 points.
    — Henry was held to 58 yards on 17 rushes.
    — Tennessee lost SU last four times they opened season at home.
    — Titans are 2-6 SU last eight home openers (2-8 ATS last ten)

    Seattle 28, Indianapolis 16
    — Seahawks averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt.
    — Seattle scored TD’s on three of first four drives.
    — Seattle won last 3 road openers 28-26/38-25/28-16.
    — Seattle is 8-4-1 ATS last 13 games vs AFC teams.

    — Colts started out 0-1 the last eight years.
    — Indy had ball in red zone four times, scored only 16 points.
    — Colts had only one play of 20+ yards.
    — Seattle had 10-yard edge in starting field position.

    LA Chargers 20, Washington 16
    — Chargers converted 14 of 19 third down plays.
    — Keenan Allen caught nine passes for 100 yards.
    — Chargers are 5-0-1 ATS last six Week 1 road games.
    — Bolts are 7-2-1 ATS last ten road openers.

    — QB Fitzpatrick left with hip injury in first quarter.
    — Washington kicked a FG on three of first five drives.
    — Total yardage: Chargers 424, Washington 259
    — Washington ran only 49 plays; Chargers ran 78.

    Houston 37, Jacksonville 21
    — Jaguars were 3-12 on 3rd down, Houston 12-21.
    — Jaguars threw three INT’s, were minus-3 in turnovers.
    — Lawrence did throw for 332 yards in his NFL debut.
    — Jaguars are 2-6-2 ATS last 3+ years in AFC South road games.

    — Texans won last seven series games.
    — Houston scored on five of seven drives in first half.
    — WR Cooks caught five passes for 132 yards.
    — Tyrod Taylor is now 25-21-1 as an NFL starter.

    Kansas City 33, Cleveland 29
    — Cleveland led 15-3 midway thru second quarter.
    — Browns in first half: 3 drives, 25 plays, 231 yards, 22 points.
    — Browns in second half: 5 drives, 24 plays, 126 yards, 7 points.
    — Cleveland averaged 10.1 yards/pass attempt.

    — Last 19 years, Super Bowl loser is 4-15 ATS in Week 1 the next year
    — Chiefs won last seven season openers (4-1 ATS last five)
    — Last six years, they scored 33-42-38-40-34-33 in Week 1.
    — Over 5-0-2 in their last seven home openers.

    Miami 17, New England 16
    — Miami scored a TD on first drive of each half.
    — Dolphins ran ball 23 times for only 74 yards.
    — Since 1994, under is 23-5 in Miami’s road openers (13-0 last 13)
    — Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.

    — New England fumbled on Dolphins’ 11-yard line with 3:31 left
    — Patriots outgained Miami 393-259.
    — New England scored 13 points on four red zone drives.
    — Patriots were 11-16 on third down, Miami 4-11.

    New Orleans 38, Green Bay 3
    — Green Bay had ball in red zone twice, turned ball over both times.
    — Packers ran ball 15 times for 43 yards.
    — Green Bay converted only 1-10 on third down.
    — Packers, Falcons were only teams not to score a TD this week.

    — Winston completed 14-20 passes for 148 yards, five TD’s.
    — Saints are 18-6 ATS in last 24 games on natural grass.
    — New Orleans had 13-yard edge in starting field position.
    — Saints are 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games as single digit underdog.

    Denver 27, NY Giants 13
    — Denver ran ball for 165 yards, outgained Giants 420-314.
    — Gordon ran ball 11 times for 101 yards.
    — Broncos scored four of last five times they had ball.
    — Last 9+ years, Denver is 21-14-2 ATS vs NFC opponents.

    — Giants started 10 of last 11 seasons 0-1.
    — Last 4+ years, Giants are 9-23-1 ATS at home.
    — Big Blue is 1-9 SU, 0-10 ATS last ten home openers.
    — Last 2+ years, Giants are 1-8 ATS vs AFC opponents.

    LA Rams 34, Chicago 14
    — Chicago punted only once, went out on downs three times.
    — Montgomery ran for 108 yards but appeared to hurt his hand.
    — Bears are 2-5 ATS last seven road openers.
    — Last 5+ years, Chicago is 10-17-1 ATS as road underdogs.

    — Stafford threw three TD passes, two of them 67-56 yards.
    — Under McVay, Rams are 5-0 SU in Week 1.
    — Rams won/covered last seven home openers.
    — LA in 2nd half: 3 drives, 24 plays, 220 yards, 21 points.

     

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Monday, September 13


      NL games
      Miami (60-82) @ Washington (58-84)

      — Alcantara is 2-3, 1.83 in his last six starts.
      — Marlins are 12-17 in his starts.
      — under 5-0-1 last six
      — allowed run in first inning: 7-29
      — record in first 5 innings: 13-11-5
      — He is 1-6, 6.50 in seven starts vs Washington.

      — Marlins lost 16 of last 25 games.
      — Miami is 2-15 in last 17 road games.
      — under 15-6-1 last 22 games
      — scored run in first inning: 38-143
      — record in first 5 innings: 52-67-2

      — Espino is 1-0, 4.70 in his last three starts.
      — Washington is 5-10 in his starts.
      — over 6-1 last seven
      — allowed run in first inning: 6-15
      — record in first 5 innings: 7-7-1
      — He blanked Miami for five IP July 20.

      — Washington is 17-41 in its last 58 games.
      — Nationals are 2-6 in last eight home games.
      — over 26-12-2 last 40 games
      — scored run in first inning: 46-145
      — record in first 5 innings: 58-61-26

      St Louis (72-69) @ Mets (72-72)
      — Wainwright is 8-1, 2.06 in his last nine starts
      — Cardinals are 14-3 in his last 17 starts.
      — over 3-0 last three
      — allowed run in first inning: 4-28
      — record in first 5 innings: 14-9-5
      — He is 6-6, 4.95 in 13 starts vs New York.

      — Cardinals are 9-7 in last 16 games.
      — St Louis is 11-5 in its last 16 road games.
      — Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
      — scored run in first inning: 52-142
      — record in first 5 innings: 66-55-21

      — Hill is 0-1, 1.59 in his last three starts.
      — Mets are 3-5 in his starts.
      — under 6-1-1
      — allowed run in first inning: 1-8
      — record in first 5 innings: 2-6
      — He is 4-1, 4.38 in eight starts vs St Louis.

      — Mets won 11 of last 16 games.
      — Mets are 7-1 in last eight home games.
      — over 3-0 last three games.
      — scored run in first inning: 39-145
      — record in first 5 innings: 57-71-17

      San Diego (73-68) @ San Francisco (93-50)
      — Darvish is 1-3, 8.31 in his last four starts.
      — Padres are 16-10 in his starts.
      — over 5-1-1 last seven
      — allowed run in first inning: 4-26
      — record in first 5 innings: 8-9-9
      — He is 1-0, 1.46 in two starts vs SF this year.

      — Padres lost 18 of last 26 games.
      — San Diego is 4-12 in last 16 road games.
      — over 8-4-1 last 13 games
      — scored run in first inning: 40-141
      — record in first 5 innings: 57-65-19

      — bullpen game

      — Giants are 9-1 in last ten games.
      — Giants are 3-1 in last four home games.
      — Under is 18-10-1 in last 29 games.
      — scored run in first inning: 45-143
      — record in first 5 innings: 76-49-18

      Arizona (47-96) @ Los Angeles (91-53)
      — Gallen is 1-3, 3.64 in his last five starts.
      — Arizona is 4-15 in his starts.
      — over 12-7
      — allowed run in first inning: 5-19
      — record in first 5 innings: 8-11
      — He is 0-1, 2.45 in five starts vs Los Angeles.

      — Arizona lost 11 of last 14 games.
      — Arizona is 5-12 in its last 17 road games.
      — over 12-3 last 15 games
      — scored run in first inning: 19-143
      — record in first 5 innings: 53-77-13

      — Kershaw is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
      — His last start was July 3rd.
      — Dodgers are 11-7 in his starts.
      — under 3-0-1 last four
      — allowed run in first inning: 5-18
      — record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1
      — He is 18-10, 2.76 in 37 starts vs Arizona.

      — Dodgers are 32-13 in last 45 games.
      — Dodgers are 15-3 in last 18 home games.
      — under 18-6-2 last 26 games
      — scored run in first inning: 48-143
      — record in first 5 innings: 77-45-21

      AL games
      Minnesota (63-80) @ Bronx (79-64)

      — Gant is 1-1, 1.80 in his last two starts.
      — Twins are 1-3 in his starts.
      — under 2-2
      — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
      — record in first 5 innings: 1-3
      — He gave up 4 runs in 3.1 IP in one start vs New York.

      — Minnesota won five of last eight games.
      — Twins won four of last five road games.
      — under 10-4-2 last 16 games
      — scored run in first inning: 51-142
      — record in first 5 innings: 44-72-26

      — Gil is 1-0, 1.42 in four starts (19 IP).
      — New York is 2-2 in his starts.
      — under 3-1
      — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
      — record in first 5 innings: 2-0-2
      — He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

      — New York is 3-12 since its 13-game win streak ended.
      — New York is 0-6 in last six home games.
      — over 4-0 last four games
      — scored run in first inning: 32-143
      — record in first 5 innings: 59-52-32

      Tampa Bay (89-54) @ Toronto (80-63)
      — Yarbrough is 1-0, 8.25 in his last three starts.
      — Rays won his last five starts.
      — over 5-0 last five
      — allowed run in first inning: 8-20
      — record in first 5 innings: 6-8-6
      — He is 2-0, 2.49 in four games vs Toronto this year.

      — Tampa Bay lost three of last four games.
      — Rays won eight of last 11 road games.
      — over 21-10-3 last 34 games.
      — scored run in first inning: 45-143
      — record in first 5 innings: 61-51-31

      — Manoah is 0-0, 4.70 in his last four starts.
      — Toronto is 12-4 in his starts.
      — under 3-1 last four
      — allowed run in first inning: 2-16
      — record in first 5 innings: 5-8-3
      — He is 1-1, 2.53 in two starts vs Tampa Bay this year.

      — Toronto is 14-2 in last 16 games.
      — Blue Jays are 5-1 in last six home games.
      — Over is 4-0 in last four games.
      — scored run in first inning: 41-142
      — record in first 5 innings: 31-17-7 last 55

      Houston (83-59) @ Texas (52-89)
      — Odorizzi is 1-1, 2.61 in his last four starts.
      — Astros are 10-10 in his starts.
      — over 7-2-1 last ten
      — allowed run in first inning: 3-20
      — record in first 5 innings: 10-7-3
      — He is 0-0, 3.38 in three games vs Texas this year.

      — Astros are 6-7 in last 13 games.
      — Astros are 1-4 in last five road games.
      — over 5-3 last eight games
      — scored run in first inning: 49-142
      — record in first 5 innings: 77-45-20

      — Alexy threw 11 shutout IP in two starts.
      — Texas is 2-0 in his starts.
      — under 2-0
      — allowed run in first inning: 0-2
      — record in first 5 innings: 2-0
      — He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

      — Texas is 6-1 in last seven games.
      — Texas is 3-1 in last four home games.
      — over 17-13-2 last 32 games.
      — scored run in first inning: 28-142
      — record in first 5 innings: 50-75-17

      Boston (81-64) @ Seattle (77-66)
      — Rodriguez is 2-1, 4.86 in his last three starts.
      — Red Sox are 12-5 in his last 17 starts.
      — under 7-4-1 last dozen
      — allowed run in first inning: 8-27
      — record in first 5 innings: 14-11-2
      — He is 4-3, 3.72 in eight starts vs Seattle.

      — Boston lost five of last seven games.
      — Red Sox are 7-8 in last 15 road games.
      — over 5-4 last nine games
      — scored run in first inning: 48-145
      — record in first 5 innings: 63-60-22

      — Gilbert is 0-0, 4.73 in his last three starts.
      — Mariners are 1-6 in his last seven starts.
      — over 8-2 last ten
      — allowed run in first inning: 3-20
      — record in first 5 innings: 9-6-5
      — He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

      — Seattle is 9-5 in last 14 games.
      — Seattle is 4-3 in last seven home games.
      — over 9-0 last nine games
      — scored run in first inning: 46-143
      — record in first 5 innings: 61-62-20


       

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB

        Monday, September 13


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Minnesota @ NY Yankees
        Minnesota
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
        Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        NY Yankees
        NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
        NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

        Miami @ Washington
        Miami
        Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games
        Washington
        Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
        Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

        Tampa Bay @ Toronto
        Tampa Bay
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Toronto
        Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
        Toronto
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
        Toronto is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

        St. Louis @ NY Mets
        St. Louis
        St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        NY Mets
        NY Mets is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home

        Houston @ Texas
        Houston
        Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Texas
        Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Texas
        Texas
        Texas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
        Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

        San Diego @ San Francisco
        San Diego
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
        San Francisco
        San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing San Diego

        Arizona @ LA Dodgers
        Arizona
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games
        LA Dodgers
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Arizona
        LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

        Boston @ Seattle
        Boston
        Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
        Seattle
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


         

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Dunkel

          Monday, September 13





           

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Weather Report

            Monday, September 13





             

            Comment


            • #7
              Diamond Trends for Monday September 13
              Vince Akins

              SU Play ON Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Boston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)

              -- The Red Sox are 9-0 since 2019 coming off a one-run loss where they scored 0-1 runs and had six or fewer walks.

              SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. ET)

              -- The Marlins are 0-11 since May 1 on the road with no rest for the first game of a series.

              OU Trend of the Day
              Matchup: San Diego at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)

              -- The Padres are 9-0 OU since April 23 on the road without a day of rest when facing a team with a better record.

              Starter-Based Trend of the Day
              Matchup: San Diego at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)

              -- Yu Darvish is 0-10 since May 15, 2020 pitching when the line is within 20 cents of pick in a non-doubleheader game, when he didn't get 12+ runs of support last outing.

              Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


               

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