Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/19

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, August 19

Good Luck on day #231 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Major league leaders in RBI
89— Jose Abreu CWS/Rafael Devers Bos
88— Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
87— Shohei Ohtani, LAA
86— Jesus Aguilar, Mia
84— Duvall Atl, THernandez Tor, Albies Atl
81— Austin Meadows, TB

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Arizona Diamondbacks’ TV analyst Bob Brenly told a somewhat odd story on the air last night; there was guy named named Richie Ashburn who was a great ballplayer- he’s in the Hall of Fame. Played for the Phillies in the 50’s.

Ashburn is playing one day and fouls a ball off that hits a woman in the stands in the head- the doctor comes over, they put her on a stretcher to get her medical attention, but in the meantime, Ashburn hits another foul ball and…….hits the woman while she is laying on the stretcher.

What are the odds of that?

12) I bought a new car Wednesday, first time in 14 years. Friday I’ll be trading in my beloved maroon Nissan Rogue that I’ve been driving for long time now, and I’ll pick up the keys to a new Nissan Rogue, a blue one. The old car has been making some strange noises lately, figured it was time to get a new one.

I don’t drive a whole lot, just locally; 14 years, only 44,000 miles. Most of the time I wander more than three miles away from my house, it is in an airplane to/from Las Vegas.

11) San Francisco Giants by month this season:
April: 16-10
May: 18-10
June: 16-9
July: 15-10
August: 13-4

Very consistent.

10) Then there are the Oakland A’s, who started the season 1-6, then won 13 games in a row, but now have lost five of last six games, and figure to be without Chris Bassitt for the rest of season after his facial fractures Tuesday night.

A’s are tied for the second Wild Card; they need to get home and win some games. They play their crosstown rival Giants this weekend.

9) Freddie Freeman hit for the cycle Wednesday, on his first four AB’s; it is second time he’s hit for the cycle, the only Atlanta Brave to do it twice.

8) Mets’ SS Jonathan Villar has been picked off seven times this season; no one else in the majors has been picked off more than four times.

7) As I’m typing this, Corey Seager just hit an opposite field home run for the Dodgers, and this kid, a lefty, maybe 12 years old, catches it in between bunch of people. Heck of a catch.

6) Dodgers aren’t using any of their starting pitchers against Pittsburgh this week, and they’re going to sweep the Pirates. It sucks rooting for a team that doesn’t try to win. Dodgers have now won 16 games in a row against Pittsburgh.

I root for the A’s, who have been in that boat a few times over the years; you wonder why their owner bothers to even have a team? If you’re not trying to win, go buy some other business and get involved in that. There are only 30 major league teams; they all should try to win.

5) Royals 3, Astros 2— Altuve got a clutch hit that appeared to tie the game with two out in the 9th, but Andrew Benitendi threw the runner out at the plate to end the game. Close decision for the replay ump; I would’ve called him safe, and I was rooting for the Royals.

4) Houston starter Zack Greinke tossed six innings, faced 22 hitters, threw 85 pitches, with no walks and no strikeouts. That doesn’t happen much these days.

3) Toronto Blue Jays are 9-2 in last 11 home games, 7-14 in last 21 road games.

2) Milwaukee starter Freddie Peralta left Wednesday’s game after two innings with a shoulder issue; hard to tell if he hurt it batting or not, but he whiffed just before he left the game.

Two points: #1 Peralta has been brilliant this season, going 9-3, 2.45 in 121 IP. Problem is, this is his 4th year in the major leagues, during which he has thrown:

2018: 78.1 IP
2019: 85 IP
2020: 29.1 IP
2021: 121.1 IP

Baseball trainers believe that if you throw 20% more innings this year than last year, it greatly improves your chances of getting hurt. Peralta has thrown 412% more innings this year than last.

#2, the National League needs the DH already!!! Enough with pitchers getting hurt while they swing a bat. No one pays to watch them hit.

1) Pet peeve of mine: Third base coaches should not be allowed to be closer to home plate than the coaches’ box. One of them could get hurt. They draw the coaches’ box for a reason.

In a game last night, lefty is late on his swing and hits a sharp ground ball to his left— it drills the third base coach in the foot. The coach is probably 20 feet closer to home plate than he should be— if that ball is in the air, he could get drilled in the face with it.

 

[Udog]

901PHILADELPHIA -902 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 5-22 SU (-18.1 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better in the current season.

903MIAMI -904 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 1-12 SU (-13.7 Units) in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in the current season.

905MILWAUKEE -906 ST LOUIS
MILWAUKEE is 19-5 SU (13.5 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the current season.

907NY METS -908 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 5-17 SU (-13.3 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

909LA ANGELS -910 DETROIT
DETROIT is 18-7 SU (13.7 Units) in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

911BALTIMORE -912 TAMPA BAY
BALTIMORE is 11-32 SU (-24.1 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

913SEATTLE -914 TEXAS
TEXAS are 18-37 SU (-25.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

915OAKLAND -916 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 22-12 SU (16.4 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

917HOUSTON -918 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 30-41 SU (-19.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

919MINNESOTA -920 NY YANKEES
MINNESOTA is 15-39 SU (-32.3 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.


 

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, August 19




 

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, August 19

NL games
Philadelphia (60-59) @ Arizona (40-80)
— Wheeler is 4-2, 3.40 in his last six starts.
— Phillies are 14-10 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-7
— He is 4-1, 2.58 in seven starts vs Arizona.

— Phillies are 10-6 in last 16 games.
— Phillies are 36-25 at home, 25-34 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-120
— record in first 5 innings: 50-46-24

— Bumgarner is 2-1, 2.28 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1
— He is 5-3, 3.08 in 11 starts vs Philly.

— Arizona won five of last six games.
— Arizona is 6-6 in its last 12 home games.
— under 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 17-120
— record in first 5 innings: 45-64-11

Miami (51-70) @ Cincinnati (65-56)
— They haven’t named a starter.

— Marlins lost its last three games.
— Miami is 1-6 in last seven road games.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-121
— record in first 5 innings: 44-56-21

— Castillo is 2-2, 6.14 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 8-6 in his last 14 starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 10-25
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-2
— He is 3-0, 1.84 in four starts vs Miami.

— Cincinnati is 18-14 in its last 32 games.
— Reds won six of last eight home games.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-121
— record in first 5 innings: 58-48-16

Milwaukee (74-47) @ St Louis (61-58)
— Woodruff is 0-2, 3.00 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 14-9 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-7
— He is 3-1, 2.27 in 7 games (5 starts) vs St Louis.

— Brewers are 21-8 in last 29 games.
— Milwaukee is 17-2 in last 19 road games.
— over 10-5-3 last 17 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-121
— record in first 5 innings: 64-36-21

— Lester is 1-1, 6.75 in three starts for St Louis.
— Cardinals are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 9-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
— He is 5-4, 3.05 in 14 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 8-3 in last 11 games.
— St Louis is 3-7 in its last ten home games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-119
— record in first 5 innings: 52-47-20

Mets (60-60) @ Los Angeles (75-46)
— Walker is 0-4, 6.26 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 14-8 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-2
— He is 3-1, 4.14 in eight starts vs Los Angeles.

— Mets are 25-35 in their last 60 games.
— Mets are 2-8 in last 10 road games.
— under 6-1 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-120
— record in first 5 innings: 49-59-12

— Another bullpen game

— Dodgers are 16-6 in last 22 games.
— Dodgers are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— under 7-3 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 40-120
— record in first 5 innings: 64-37-19

AL games
Angels (61-60) @ Detroit (57-64)
— Quintana is 0-3, 8.29 in nine starts.
— His last start was May 28.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1
— He is 6-5, 4.41 in 19 starts vs Detroit.

— Angels are 11-12 in their last 23 games.
— Angels are 8-4 in last 12 road games.
— under 15-3 last 18 road games
— scored run in first inning: 39-122
— record in first 5 innings: 53-54-15

— Manning is 1-2, 8.04 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 4-6 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
— He gave up 2 runs in five IP in one start vs Anaheim.

— Detroit is 1-4 in its last five games.
— Detroit is 4-7 in last 11 home games.
— under 12-5-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-122
— record in first 5 innings: 16-11-2 last 29

Baltimore (38-80) @ Tampa Bay (74-47)
— Lopez is 1-1, 5.87 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 8-16 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 7-13-4
— He is 0-1, 5.91 in two starts vs Tampa Bay this year.

— Orioles are 0-14 in last 14 games.
— Baltimore is 21-44 on road, 17-37 at home.
— over is 6-2 in last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-119
— record in first 5 innings: 38-64-17

— McClanahan is 3-0, 3.44 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 11-7 in his starts.
— under 6-4 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He is 2-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Baltimore this year.

— Tampa Bay won 14 of last 19 games.
— Rays are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— over 10-2 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 37-121
— record in first 5 innings: 48-46-27

Seattle (64-56) @ Texas (41-77)
— Flexen is 1-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— Mariners are 15-7 in his starts.
— over 12-10
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-2
— He is 3-0, 2.33 in three starts vs Texas this year.

— Seattle won six of last seven games.
— Seattle is 3-4 in last seven road games.
— under 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-121
— record in first 5 innings: 54-53-14

— bullpen game

— Texas lost 26 of last 32 games.
— Texas is 6-10 in last 16 home games.
— over 6-4 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-120
— record in first 5 innings: 37-67-16

Houston (70-50) @ Kansas City (53-67)
— Garcia is 2-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
— Astros are 11-4 in his last 15 starts.
— under 10-3 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 13-4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Astros lost their last four games.
— Astros are 6-10 in last 16 road games.
— under 10-4-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-120
— record in first 5 innings: 65-38-17

— Minor is 0-3, 5.50 in his last three starts.
— Kansas City is 10-14 in his starts.
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 8-13-3
— He is 3-4, 4.81 in 13 starts vs Houston.

— Royals won their last three games.
— Royals are 10-6 in last 16 home games.
— under 19-7-2 last 28 games.
— scores run in first inning: 25-122
— record in first 5 innings: 42-60-20

Oakland (68-53) @ White Sox (71-50)
— Irvin is 1-3, 4.84 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 11-12 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— A’s lost five of last six games.
— Oakland is 8-6 in last 14 road games.
— Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-121
— record in first 5 innings: 51-49-21

— Cease is 2-0, 3.38 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 14-10 in his starts.
— over 7-4-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Chicago is 8-4 in last 12 games.
— White Sox are 8-7 in last 15 home games.
— over 9-7 last 16 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-121
— record in first 5 innings: 68-35-18

Minnesota (54-67) @ Bronx (69-52)
— Gant is making his first start for Minnesota.
— He was 0-3, 9.90 in his last three starts for St Louis.
— under 10-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-2
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Minnesota is 6-2 in its last eight games.
— Twins are 5-3 in last eight road games.
— over 12-8-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-121
— record in first 5 innings: 37-60-24

— Taillon is 3-0, 3.55 in his last six starts.
— New York is 9-1 in his last ten starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-6
— He is 1-1, 3.97 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— New York is 28-10 in last 38 games.
— New York is 13-2 in last 15 home games.
— over 17-10 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-122
— record in first 5 innings: 50-43-29



 

[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, August 19

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Trend Report
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LA Angels @ Detroit
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle

Oakland @ Chi White Sox
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

Houston @ Kansas City
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Houston

Philadelphia @ Arizona
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Minnesota @ NY Yankees
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Miami @ Cincinnati
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami

Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

NY Mets @ LA Dodgers
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, August 19




 

[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Thursday August 19
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at Texas (2:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 10-0 SU since Jul. 19, 2009 in the last game of a series as a favorite after a win as a road favorite in which they never trailed

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Orioles are 0-11 SU since Jul. 4, 2021 as a dog after they allowed 5+ walks last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rays are 11-0 OU (3.41 ppg) since May 06, 2021 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Arizona (3:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 0-8 SU since Jul. 24, 2020 when Madison Bumgarner starts when he won in his last start against the current opponent.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)