Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/16

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, August 16

Good Luck on day #228 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

MLB leaders in strikeouts:
187— Zack Wheeler, Phil
176— Gerrit Cole, NYY
172— Corbin Burnes, Milw
170— Max Scherzer, LA
167— Robbie Ray, Tor
165— Dylan Cease, CWS

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….


13) Live TV is often fun; it can become unscripted, especially late at night. This week, Tuesday and Wednesday, ESPN is running its annual Fantasy Football marathon, where they try to get you to sign up for one of their fantasy football leagues for 26 hours, many of them late at nite.

Lot of what ESPN does these days doesn’t appeal much to me, but that’s another story for another day; I remember laughing pretty hard at some of the stuff they had on the fantasy marathon last time I watched it.

I’ll tune in again late Tuesday night, see if they can make me think some, and make me laugh again. Laughing is most always a good thing.

12) NFL teams that sat out the most players this past weekend:
Rams 38, Vikings 33, Seahawks/Giants 31

NFL teams that sat out the least players this past weekend:
Washington 6, Jaguars 7, Buccaneers 8

11) New Orleans Saints haven’t said whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill will replace Drew Brees as their new starting QB; my guess is both will play a decent amount, but only person who knows right now is Sean Payton.

Saints turned the ball over six times in their 17-14 loss at Baltimore; if Winston doesn’t protect the ball better than he did in Tampa Bay, there isn’t a coach alive who would keep playing him.
Ball security is numero uno on the list of things a QB must be good at.

10) Fernando Tatis returned from the IL Sunday and played RF for first time in his career; he hit two homers, scored 3 runs, knocked in 4, and San Diego snapped its 4-game losing skid.

Tatis has homered in his first game off the IL three times this year, but the problem is that he is 22 and has been on the IL three times. He needs surgery on his shoulder but if the Padres make the playoffs, that surgery will delayed enough that he’ll probably miss the start of next season.

9) There have been eight losing streaks of 11+ games this season, the most in any season since 1899, that is 1899, not 1999.

Cubs, Orioles, Arizona have all had two skids off 11+ games.
Texas and Kansas City both had one.

8) if the Mets don’t make the playoffs, will be very interesting to see if their new owner fires the manager, or shows some patience.

Steve Cohen is a really rich guy, a hedge fund trader— I’ve talked about the Showtime series Billions, a great series— well the character Bobby Axelrod on Billions was supposedly modeled after Cohen, and Bobby Axelrod is NOT a patient guy.

7) As an A’s fan, I’m concerned that in his last three starts, Sean Manaea has given up 13 runs in 11 IP. Not good.

Last 44 games are going be a sprint to the wire; couple of good squads aren’t going to make it into the playoffs. A’s need Manaea to finish strong for them to be a playoff team.

6) Still can’t get over the Cubs completely going in the tank; they’ll be very interesting to follow this winter. How do they expect to become good again?

5) Kentucky Wildcats named Penn State transfer Will Levis their starting QB; he transferred to Kentucky this offseason after playing three years at Penn State, where he was used as both a QB and running back.

Kentucky’s new offensive coordinator is Liam Coen, who spent the last three years with the Los Angeles Rams, two years as the assistant WR’s coach, one year as assistant quarterbacks coach.

Coen also used to be an assistant coach at Brown, UMass, Maine and Rhode Island.

4) One of the kids Levis beat out for the QB job has already entered the transfer portal; he previously transferred from Auburn to Kentucky, but to paraphrase the old shortstop Garry Templeton, “If I ain’t starting, then I’ll be departing.”

May have to look up this season how many starting QBs in the country played somewhere else, before settling at their current school.

3) Was watching the T’wolves-76ers summer league game last night; the scores of these games don’t matter, but the players were busting their butts to play good ball, whether to make an NBA roster, just to get invited to training camp, or to get a contract from a pro team overseas. Fun to watch.

A few years ago I was at the summer league and starting talking with a guy who is an agent who signs players to play for teams overseas. The next day I was listening to people around me talk in Cox Pavilion, the smaller gym they use and many of the people weren’t speaking English. They were guys who ran the teams overseas scouting for players to sign.

2) Random college basketball note: This fall will be the first time in 14 years that Kentucky has its leading scorer back from the previous season. Kentucky went 9-16 last year, which helps to explain why their leading scorer isn’t in the NBA Summer League, like most years.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Boston @ Oakland

[Udog]

951ATLANTA -952 MIAMI
MIAMI is 24-15 SU (11.8 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

953CHICAGO CUBS -954 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 4-18 SU (-14.7 Units) in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

955SAN DIEGO -956 COLORADO
COLORADO is 37-17 SU (25 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

957NY METS -958 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-22 SU (29 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

959PITTSBURGH -960 LA DODGERS
PITTSBURGH is 21-33 SU (-23.3 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

961LA ANGELS -962 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 16-3 SU (12.7 Units) in home games as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons.

963BALTIMORE -964 TAMPA BAY
BALTIMORE is 11-29 SU (-21.1 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

965HOUSTON -966 KANSAS CITY
HOUSTON is 19-6 SU (15.2 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better in the current season.

967CLEVELAND -968 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 7-28 SU (-21.1 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

969OAKLAND -970 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 20-11 SU (15.4 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 16

NL games
Atlanta (61-56) @ Miami (51-67)
— Toussaint is 1-2, 4.61 in five starts.
— Braves are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He is 2-0, 3.00 in 4 games (1 start) vs Miami.

— Braves won 11 of last 14 games.
— Atlanta won its last seven road games.
— over 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-118
— record in first 5 innings: 60-42-16

— Garrett is 1-0, 4.11 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Marlins won their last three games.
— Miami is 8-4 in last 12 home games.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-118
— record in first 5 innings: 44-54-20

Cubs (52-68) @ Cincinnati (64-54)
— Steele allowed 3 runs in 5 IP (70 PT) in his first MLB start.
— Cubs are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 3 IP in 2 relief stints vs Cincinnati.

— Cubs are 10-35 in last 45 games.
— Chicago is 3-11 in its last 14 road games.
— Over is 6-3-1 in last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-120
— record in first 5 innings: 47-60-13

— Miley is 1-0, 5.40 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 13-8 in his starts.
— over 9-3-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-2
— He is 1-0, 3.94 in three starts vs Chicago this year.

— Cincinnati is 17-12 in its last 29 games.
— Reds won their last five home games.
— over 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-118
— record in first 5 innings: 57-46-16

San Diego (67-53) @ Colorado (52-66)
— Weathers is 0-3, 15.43 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 6-9 in his starts.
— over 9-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 0-1, 12.00 in two starts vs Colorado this year.

— Padres lost four of last five games.
— San Diego is 5-8 in last 13 road games.
— over 13-4-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-120
— record in first 5 innings: 50-52-18

— Senzatela is 0-2, 4.93 in his last six starts.
— Rockies are 6-13 in his starts.
— under 10-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 5-11-3
— He is 7-3, 3.38 in 16 games (10 starts) vs San Diego.

— Colorado lost five of last six games.
— Rockies are 38-21 at home, 14-45 on road.
— over 4-2 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-118
— record in first 5 innings: 47-55-16

Mets (59-58) @ San Francisco (76-42)
— Hill is 0-0, 4.00 in three starts for the Mets.
— Mets are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-5
— He is 8-2, 2.23 in 17 starts vs San Francisco.

— Mets are 24-33 in their last 57 games.
— Mets are 1-6 in last seven road games.
— under 4-0 last four road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-117
— record in first 5 innings: 49-56-12

— Gausman is 2-0, 2.45 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 15-8 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 15-5-3
— He is 0-3, 5.09 in 4 games (3 starts) vs New York.

— Giants are 18-10 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 10-3 in last 13 home games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-118
— record in first 5 innings: 63-41-14

Pittsburgh (42-76) @ Los Angeles (72-46)
— Brault is 0-1, 3.00 in two starts.
— Pirates are 0-2 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He gave up 10 runs in 12.2 IP, in 4 relief stints vs Los Angeles.

— Pirates are 6-24 in last 30 games.
— Pittsburgh is 1-7 in last eight road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-117
— record in first 5 innings: 35-69-13

— bullpen game

— Dodgers are 13-6 in last 19 games.
— Dodgers are 5-2 in last seven home games.
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 39-117
— record in first 5 innings: 62-37-18

AL games
Angels (59-59) @ Bronx (65-53)
— Suarez is 1-3, 8.55 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He gave up 7 runs in 8 IP, in two relief stints vs New York.

— Angels are 9-11 in their last 20 games.
— Angels are 6-3 in last nine road games.
— under 13-2 last 15 road games
— scored run in first inning: 36-119
— record in first 5 innings: 52-53-14

— Cole is 2-2, 4.26 in his last four starts.
— This is his first start since July 29
— New York is 10-11 in his starts.
— under 10-10-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-5
— He is 6-1, 2.70 in nine starts vs Anaheim.

— New York is 24-10 in last 34 games.
— New York is 9-2 in last 11 home games.
— over 16-7 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-118
— record in first 5 innings: 46-43-29

Baltimore (38-77) @ Tampa Bay (71-47)
— Harvey is 4-1, 2.20 in his last six starts.
— Orioles are 11-12 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 1.2 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Orioles are 0-11 in last 11 games.
— Baltimore is 21-41 on road, 17-37 at home.
— under is 7-3 in their last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-116
— record in first 5 innings: 38-61-17

— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay won 11 of last 16 games.
— Rays are 5-2 in last seven home games.
— over 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-118
— record in first 5 innings: 45-46-27

Oakland (68-50) @ White Sox (68-50)
— Montas is 1-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 12-11 in his starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— A’s are 12-4 in last 16 games.
— Oakland is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
— Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-118
— record in first 5 innings: 51-46-21

— Keuchel is 0-3, 5.79 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 12-10 in his starts.
— over 13-9
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 14-6-2
— He is 6-6, 3.06 in 20 starts vs Oakland.

— Chicago is 5-4 in last nine games.
— White Sox are 5-7 in last 12 home games.
— over 8-5 last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-118
— record in first 5 innings: 65-35-18

Cleveland (57-59) @ Minnesota (52-66)
— Quantrill is 3-0, 1.91 in his last seven starts.
— Indians are 5-9 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-3
— He gave up 8 runs in 8.1 IP in 4 games (1 start) vs Minnesota.

— Cleveland is 17-29 in last 46 games.
— Indians are 3-5 in last eight road games.
— over 3-0-1 last four games
— scores run in first inning: 35-116
— record in first 5 innings: 44-55-17

— Jax is 2-0, 2.66 in his last four starts.
— Minnesota is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 4.1 IP in a relief stint vs Cleveland.

— Minnesota is 4-1 in its last five games.
— Twins are 5-4 in last nine home games.
— over 11-6-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-118
— record in first 5 innings: 36-59-23

Houston (71-46) @ Kansas City (50-67)
— Odorizzi is 2-2, 7.29 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 7-8 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6
— He is 3-6, 5.37 in 13 starts vs Kansas City.

— Astros won four of last five games.
— Astros are 6-7 in last 13 road games.
— under 8-3-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-117
— record in first 5 innings: 65-37-15

— Hernandez is 2-0, 1.02 in his last three starts.
— Kansas City is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Royals are 4-11 in last 15 games.
— Royals are 7-6 in last 13 home games.
— under 17-6-2 last 25 games.
— scores run in first inning: 25-119
— record in first 5 innings: 41-60-18

[Udog]

MLB

Monday, August 16

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Trend Report
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LA Angels @ NY Yankees
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Angels's last 16 games on the road
LA Angels is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Cincinnati
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Oakland @ Chi White Sox
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chi White Sox's last 19 games when playing Oakland

Houston @ Kansas City
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Kansas City's last 15 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games at home

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Cleveland

San Diego @ Colorado
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 15 of San Diego's last 21 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games

NY Mets @ San Francisco
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Pittsburgh @ LA Dodgers
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 16

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, August 16